USA Rare Earth • Robinhood Token (USAR) Price Prediction
Price
$17.27
+8.6% (24h)
Market cap
$632.4K
24h volume
$12.0K
Liquidity
$53.5K
Holders
12,504
Top-10 hold
92.4%
Chain volume rank
>200
AI report generated Aug 4, 2026 · report figures computed from Codex market data as of that date; the headline price refreshes independently
AI Summary
USA Rare Earth • Robinhood Token (USAR) is a tokenized-stock instrument on Robinhood Chain (contract 0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6, chainId 4663) designed to track the price of USAR equity. The token launched on June 10, 2026 and is approximately 55 days old as of the report date of August 4, 2026. As of August 4, 2026, it trades at $17.15, sitting 10.0% below its launch price of $19.06 and well off its all-time high of $38.11. With a volume rank outside the top 200 on Robinhood Chain and a top-10 holder concentration of 92.4%, this is a high-risk, thinly-traded instrument.
- As of August 4, 2026, price is $17.15 — down 10.0% from the $19.06 launch price and 55.0% below the all-time high of $38.11.
- Top-10 holders control 92.4% of supply — extreme concentration that amplifies exit risk.
- Total liquidity across all pairs is $53,450 with a 0.22x turnover ratio, signaling a quiet, illiquid market.
- At least 18 same-symbol USAR tokens exist on other chains; readers must verify the correct contract before trading.
- Volume rank is outside the top 200 on Robinhood Chain — this token has minimal footprint in the broader ecosystem.
USAR Price Prediction
Targets anchored to computed swing levels — never invented
Short term (24h–7d): bullish
The intraday trend is up, the 7-day return is +22.2%, and price is at intraday highs. The immediate path of least resistance is toward the $17.23 resistance level. A break above $17.23 would open a run toward the next resistance at $38.11, though thin liquidity makes sustained moves difficult.
Target low
$15.97
Target high
$17.23
The low target of $15.97 uses the computed swing-low support level at $15.97. The high target of $17.23 uses the computed nearest swing-high resistance level at $17.23.
Medium term (30d–90d): bearish
Over a 30–90 day horizon, the combination of 92.4% top-10 holder concentration, sub-top-200 volume rank, $53,450 in total liquidity, and an unverified issuer creates a structurally bearish setup. The token has already failed to hold its launch price and sits 55% below its all-time high. Without a meaningful increase in liquidity and volume, the risk of a large-holder exit driving price toward the $12.29 all-time low is elevated.
- A large-holder exit into thin liquidity could drive price toward the $12.29 all-time low support.
- Positive news or earnings from the underlying USA Rare Earth equity could attract new buyers and lift the token.
- A significant increase in Robinhood Chain ecosystem volume could improve the token's liquidity and volume rank.
- Cryptographic verification of the issuer contract would reduce counterparty uncertainty and may attract institutional-style participants.
Support (imm / major)
$15.97 / $12.29
Resistance (imm / major)
$17.23 / $38.11
Confidence low: Confidence is low due to the token's 55-day age (only 27 daily bars of price history), unavailability of 30-day return data, absence of holder growth history, unverified issuer status, and extreme holder concentration. The short track record makes any medium-term directional call highly speculative.
Market Structure
Computed from real hourly + daily bars
7d change
+22.2%
Range position
19%
Daily volatility
5.8%
Candles
27
On the 1-hour timeframe (72 bars analyzed), USAR shows an upward trend within a ranging structure, with the breakout still in-range and volatility classified as low. The price is currently at-highs within the intraday window, with a period change of +15.6%. On the daily timeframe (27 candles), the 7-day return is +22.2%, though the 30-day figure is unavailable given the token's short history. The full daily range since launch spans $12.29 to $38.11, and as of August 4, 2026, the price of $17.15 sits at just 19% of that range — meaning the token remains far closer to its all-time low than its all-time high. Daily volatility of 5.8% is meaningful for a token with thin liquidity. Key support levels are $15.97 and $12.29; key resistance levels are $17.23 and $38.11.
Liquidity & Turnover Risk
The exit-risk math competitors skip
Liquidity
$53.5K
24h volume
$12.0K
Turnover
0.22×
Uniswap · liq $53.5K · vol $12.0K
Uniswap · liq $5.0K · vol $14.0K
Uniswap · liq $4.8K · vol $2.0K
Total on-chain liquidity across all Uniswap pairs is $53,450 as of August 4, 2026, with the primary pair contributing $53,450 in liquidity against $11,963 in 24-hour volume. The aggregate 24-hour volume across all pairs is approximately $29,531, but the turnover ratio on the primary pair is 0.22x — classified as quiet. For a 55-day-old token, this level of liquidity means even modest sell orders can move the price materially, and any attempt to exit a meaningful position risks significant slippage. The secondary and tertiary pairs each hold under $5,100 in liquidity, providing negligible additional depth.
Holder Concentration
Aggregate on-chain holder data
Holders
12,504
Top-10 share
92.4%
USAR has 12,504 holders as of August 4, 2026, which is a large holder count for a token of this age and volume rank. However, the top-10 holders collectively control 92.4% of the total supply — an extreme concentration level that creates substantial dump risk. If any of the top holders decide to exit, the thin liquidity pool of $53,450 would be wholly inadequate to absorb the selling pressure without severe price impact. Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available, so no distribution trend can be assessed.
Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available on this chain's data plan — this report never estimates them.
Launch Report
27 trading days since launch
Launched
Jul 9, 2026
Launch price
$19.06
Since launch
-10.0%
ATH / ATL
$38.11 / $12.29
Best / worst day
+13.9% / -15.8%
Green vs red days
14 / 13
USAR launched on June 10, 2026, with the first tracked daily bar on July 9, 2026 at an opening price of $19.06. Over the subsequent 27 daily bars, the token reached a high of $38.11 and a low of $12.29 — a range of $25.82, or more than 135% of the launch price. The best single day returned +13.9% and the worst single day lost 15.8%, illustrating the token's capacity for sharp moves in both directions. The session count is nearly even — 14 green days versus 13 red days — but the net result as of August 4, 2026 is a 10.0% loss from launch, with the current price of $17.15 sitting well below the peak.
Robinhood Chain Context
Rank within the top 200 chain tokens by volume
Volume rank
—
Liquidity rank
—
Holders rank
—
As of August 4, 2026, USAR ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, and liquidity and holder ranks within the chain universe are not available. This places USAR firmly in the long tail of the Robinhood Chain ecosystem — it does not appear among the most actively traded or most liquid tokenized instruments on the network. For context, a token outside the top 200 by volume captures a negligible share of sampled chain volume, meaning price discovery is driven by a small number of participants rather than broad market activity.
Robinhood Chain is a public blockchain. Tokens trading on it — including this one, unless it follows the official "• Robinhood Token" issuer naming — are third-party assets, not products of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Always verify the contract address before trading.
Contract & Authenticity Check
Verify before you trade — same-symbol tokens exist
0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6View on BlockscoutAt least 18 other “USAR” tokens exist
At least 18 tokens sharing the USAR symbol have been identified across other chains in a capped 50-result search window — the true count may be higher. On Solana alone, three USAR tokens exist: 'OIL MONEY' (USAR) at enrtgcrboaummeevyggcud6cuuvshk8swegn47xbpump with $5,944 liquidity and 1 holder; 'USA Rare Earth' (USAR) at 9ommzujwg8ydg1gonzvtemapa18yzrjv3notnqarbonk with $3,606 liquidity and 223 holders; and 'USA Rare Earth Inc' (USAR) at cjwlexkkvxvguz5tkyffs3bvyhfvmbxmb3bffqzdpvkb with $2,862 liquidity and 40 holders. All three Solana tokens have dramatically lower liquidity and holder counts than the Robinhood Chain token — always verify you are interacting with contract 0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6 on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) before trading.
| Name | Chain | Liquidity | Holders |
|---|---|---|---|
| OIL MONEY | Solana | $5.9K | 1 |
| USA Rare Earth | Solana | $3.6K | 223 |
| USA Rare Earth Inc | Solana | $2.9K | 40 |
Tokenized USAR — how this differs from the stock
USAR is structured to track the price of USA Rare Earth (USAR) equity. Unlike the underlying stock, this token trades 24/7 on-chain, meaning its price can diverge from the official exchange close, particularly during off-hours when equity markets are closed.
This token is an issuer product providing price exposure to USAR equity — it is not the share itself. Holders have no shareholder rights, voting rights, or direct claim on the underlying company's assets. The issuer has NOT been cryptographically verified on-chain.
Bull Case
- Short-term intraday trend is up with a +15.6% period change over 72 hours, and the 7-day return is +22.2% as of August 4, 2026.
- With 12,504 holders, there is a relatively broad base of participants for a 55-day-old token.
- Price at 19% of the since-launch range means the token is closer to its floor ($12.29) than its ceiling ($38.11), limiting downside to known support levels.
- Low intraday volatility classification suggests the current upward move is not yet overextended on the short timeframe.
Bear Case
- Top-10 holders control 92.4% of supply — a single large holder exit into $53,450 of liquidity would be catastrophic for price.
- Volume rank is outside the top 200 on Robinhood Chain; the token has negligible ecosystem footprint.
- The token is down 10.0% from its $19.06 launch price and 55.0% below its all-time high of $38.11 as of August 4, 2026.
- The issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain, adding a layer of counterparty uncertainty.
USAR is suitable only for experienced traders who fully understand the risks of tokenized-stock instruments with thin liquidity, extreme holder concentration, and an unverified issuer. This is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking stable exposure to the underlying equity.
USAR call history
Full track record →Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
USAR FAQ
Answers reflect data as of Aug 4, 2026
What is USA Rare Earth • Robinhood Token (USAR)?
USAR is a tokenized-stock instrument on Robinhood Chain (contract 0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6, chainId 4663) designed to track the price of USA Rare Earth equity. It is an issuer product providing price exposure only — holders have no shareholder rights. The issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain, which is an important risk factor.
What is the price and market cap of USAR as of August 4, 2026?
As of August 4, 2026, USAR trades at $17.15, which is 10.0% below its launch price of $19.06 and 55.0% below its all-time high of $38.11. The since-launch daily range spans $12.29 to $38.11. A standalone market cap figure is not available in the computed data.
Is USAR a legitimate token, or could it be a copycat?
The Robinhood Chain contract (0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6) matches the Robinhood tokenized-stock issuer naming and market-footprint heuristic, but the issuer has NOT been cryptographically verified on-chain. At least 18 other tokens share the USAR symbol across other chains, including three on Solana with far lower liquidity (under $6,000 each) and holder counts — always confirm you are on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) before trading.
How concentrated is USAR token ownership?
As of August 4, 2026, USAR has 12,504 holders, but the top 10 holders collectively control 92.4% of the total supply. This is an extreme concentration level — a single large-holder exit into the available $53,450 of liquidity could cause severe price impact. Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available.
What are the liquidity and trading volume risks for USAR?
As of August 4, 2026, total on-chain liquidity across all Uniswap pairs is $53,450, with a 24-hour volume of approximately $11,963 on the primary pair and a turnover ratio of 0.22x — classified as quiet. This thin liquidity means even modest sell orders can cause significant slippage, and exiting a large position without moving the market substantially is not feasible.
How do I buy USAR on Robinhood Chain?
USAR trades on Uniswap pools on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663). To buy, connect a compatible wallet to Robinhood Chain, navigate to Uniswap, and enter the verified contract address 0xd917b029c761d264c6a312bbbcda868658ef86a6. Always verify the contract address independently — at least 18 same-symbol tokens exist on other chains and could be mistaken for this token.
What is the USAR price prediction for the short and medium term?
Short-term (24h–7d), the outlook is bullish: the intraday trend is up +15.6% over 72 hours and the 7-day return is +22.2% as of August 4, 2026, with a price target range of $15.97 (support) to $17.23 (nearest resistance). Medium-term (30d–90d), the outlook is bearish given 92.4% top-10 holder concentration, $53,450 in total liquidity, and a volume rank outside the top 200 on Robinhood Chain — confidence in both calls is low due to the token's 55-day age and limited price history.
How does USAR differ from owning USA Rare Earth stock directly?
Unlike the underlying USAR equity, this token trades 24/7 on-chain, meaning its price can diverge from the official stock exchange close, especially during off-market hours. It is an issuer product providing price exposure only — there are no shareholder rights, voting rights, or direct claims on USA Rare Earth's assets. The issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain.
Methodology & Data Sources
- Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity, pairs)
- Daily and hourly OHLC price history (Codex getTokenBars)
- Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration (Codex filterTokens)
- Robinhood Chain token universe rankings (Codex, top 200 by volume)
Limitations
- Holder growth history, per-wallet whale lists, and holder size-tier distribution are not available for Robinhood Chain on the current data plan.
- No contract security score or audit data was available — security is not assessed in this report.
- The token trades on a young chain (mainnet July 2026); historical depth is limited to the token’s own trading history.
- 30-day return figure is unavailable due to the token's short 55-day history (only 27 daily bars).
- Issuer identity has not been cryptographically verified on-chain; the tokenized-stock classification is based on naming and market-footprint heuristics only.
- Same-symbol token count of 18 is a floor from a capped 50-result search window — the true number of copycat tokens may be higher.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research.