Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing • Robinhood Token (TSM) Price Prediction

Robinhood Chain
Tokenized stock · TSM
55d old
15 same-symbol tokens

Price

$414.98

+2.8% (24h)

Market cap

$194.3K

24h volume

$18.2K

Liquidity

$41.7K

Holders

567

Top-10 hold

89.6%

Chain volume rank

>200

AI report generated Aug 4, 2026 · report figures computed from Codex market data as of that date; the headline price refreshes independently

AI Summary

Short-term: bearish
Medium-term: bearish
Confidence: low
Risk: very high

TSM is a Robinhood Chain tokenized-stock instrument designed to track Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM), issued under Robinhood's tokenized-stock naming convention. As of 2026-08-04, the token is 55 days old, trades at approximately $415.02, and sits outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume — placing it at the lower end of the chain's activity spectrum. The token has shed 11.4% since its first recorded daily bar and carries a top-10 holder concentration of 89.6%, making it a high-risk instrument despite the blue-chip equity it references.

  • Tracks TSMC equity price exposure but confers no shareholder rights; issuer is NOT cryptographically verified on-chain.
  • As of 2026-08-04, price is $415.02 — down 11.4% from the $468.35 launch price and sitting at just 9% of its all-time range ($371.19–$886.30).
  • Top-10 wallets control 89.6% of supply; with only 567 holders, exit liquidity is structurally thin.
  • Total liquidity of $41,684 and a 24h volume of $18,165 (turnover ratio 0.44x) mean even modest sell orders can move the price materially.
  • At least 15 same-symbol TSM tokens exist on other chains — most with near-zero liquidity and single holders — creating serious copycat/confusion risk.

TSM Price Prediction

Targets anchored to computed swing levels — never invented

Short term (24h–7d): bearish

The daily chart shows 15 red days versus 13 green days since launch, price is at 9% of its all-time range, and the intraday structure is ranging with a nascent breakout attempt. However, the token remains well below its $886.30 all-time high and is hugging the lower support cluster. A failure to hold $412.83 opens a retest of the $371.19 range low.

Target low

$371.19

Target high

$415.11

Low target uses the computed swing low support at $371.19; high target uses the nearest computed resistance at $415.11, which sits just above the current price and represents the first meaningful overhead level.

Medium term (30d–90d): bearish

Over a 30–90 day horizon, the combination of extreme holder concentration (89.6% in top 10), thin liquidity ($41,684), no verified issuer, and a token that is already down 11.4% from launch creates a structurally bearish backdrop. Recovery toward the $886.30 all-time high would require a dramatic improvement in liquidity depth and holder distribution that is not evidenced in current data.

  • Broader TSMC equity rally driving demand for the tokenized instrument
  • Significant increase in on-chain liquidity and holder count reducing concentration risk
  • Cryptographic verification of the Robinhood issuer contract improving trust
  • Sustained daily volume growth lifting the token into the Robinhood Chain top 200

Support (imm / major)

$412.83 / $371.19

Resistance (imm / major)

$415.11 / $886.3

Confidence low: Confidence is low because the token is only 55 days old with 28 daily bars of price history, no 30-day return is computable, holder growth history is unavailable, and the issuer is not cryptographically verified. The thin liquidity pool means a single large wallet move can invalidate any price target.

Market Structure

Computed from real hourly + daily bars

Trend: sideways
Structure: ranging
Breakout: breaking-out
Volatility: low
at-highs

7d change

+5.3%

Range position

9%

Daily volatility

3.2%

Candles

28

On the 1-hour timeframe (61 bars analyzed), TSM is trending sideways in a ranging structure with low volatility, though an intraday breakout signal is present and the price is near its recent highs — a +2.4% period change. The daily picture (28 candles) is more sobering: the 7-day return is +5.3%, but the token has no computable 30-day return given its age, and the full since-launch range spans $371.19 to $886.30 with current price sitting at just 9% of that range — near the bottom. Daily volatility of 3.2% is moderate for a tokenized equity but elevated relative to the underlying stock's typical daily moves. Key support sits at $412.83 and $371.19; resistance is at $415.11 and $886.30. The price is sandwiched between the two nearest levels, making the next directional resolution critical.

Liquidity & Turnover Risk

The exit-risk math competitors skip

Liquidity

$41.7K

24h volume

$18.2K

Turnover

0.44×

moderate liquidity
quiet

Uniswap · liq $41.7K · vol $18.2K

Uniswap · liq $63 · vol $547

Uniswap · liq $46 · vol $13

Total on-chain liquidity for TSM is $41,684, concentrated almost entirely in one Uniswap pool ($41,684 liquidity, $18,165 in 24h volume). The remaining pools are negligible — the second-largest has just $63 in liquidity. The aggregate 24h turnover ratio of 0.44x is classified as quiet, meaning trading activity is low relative to the pool size. In practical terms, any sell order exceeding a few thousand dollars risks meaningful slippage, and a large holder exiting even a fraction of their position could gap the price through the $412.83 support level. This is not a liquid instrument by any standard, and the thin pool amplifies the risk posed by the 89.6% top-10 holder concentration.

Holder Concentration

Aggregate on-chain holder data

Holders

567

Top-10 share

89.6%

medium holder base
concentrated

TSM has 567 holders as of the report date, a medium count for a 55-day-old Robinhood Chain token. However, the top-10 wallets collectively control 89.6% of the token supply — an extreme concentration that leaves the remaining 557 holders sharing just 10.4% of supply. Holder growth history and per-wallet breakdown data are not available, so it is impossible to assess whether concentration is improving or worsening over time. What is clear is that a coordinated exit by even one or two top holders would overwhelm the $41,684 liquidity pool and could cause severe price dislocation.

Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available on this chain's data plan — this report never estimates them.

Launch Report

28 trading days since launch

Launched

Jul 6, 2026

Launch price

$468.35

Since launch

-11.4%

ATH / ATL

$886.3 / $371.19

Best / worst day

+9.6% / -7.9%

Green vs red days

13 / 15

TSM's first recorded daily bar was on 2026-07-06 at a price of $468.35, approximately 26 days after the contract was deployed on 2026-06-10. Since that first bar, the token has declined 11.4% to $415.02 as of 2026-08-04. The since-launch range is wide — $371.19 to $886.30 — indicating the token experienced a significant spike (best single day: +9.6%) before retreating sharply (worst single day: -7.9%). The scorecard of 13 green days versus 15 red days reflects a mild but consistent selling bias since launch. The spike to $886.30 and subsequent collapse back toward the $371–$415 zone suggests early speculative demand that was not sustained by organic buying.

Robinhood Chain Context

Rank within the top 200 chain tokens by volume

Volume rank

Liquidity rank

Holders rank

As of 2026-08-04, TSM ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, with no computable liquidity rank or chain-volume market share. This places it in the long tail of the Robinhood Chain ecosystem — active enough to have 567 holders and daily trading, but not yet generating the volume needed to compete with the chain's leading tokens. For a tokenized instrument referencing one of the world's largest semiconductor companies, this low chain rank underscores how nascent and thinly traded this specific on-chain product remains.

Robinhood Chain is a public blockchain. Tokens trading on it — including this one, unless it follows the official "• Robinhood Token" issuer naming — are third-party assets, not products of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Always verify the contract address before trading.

Contract & Authenticity Check

Verify before you trade — same-symbol tokens exist

Contract address on Robinhood Chain (as indexed by this report):0x58ffe4a942d3885baa22d7520691f611ef09e7aaView on Blockscout

At least 15 other “TSM” tokens exist

At least 15 tokens sharing the TSM ticker exist on other chains, with three identified on Solana: 'the simon cult' (faetp8la1a4gqmqcuumwzorw57w6azpnapnkwd5apump), 'Tayor Swift Musk' (9evbgdurbc6w9vvc5hlzmmwqdmxxzjlqcqevmxgdpump), and 'The Second Memecoin' (85brmxr9nl5bxq3tez9tfsu4ngo8iqidbm3pyq8rpump) — each with roughly $6,000 in liquidity, a single holder, and zero 24-hour volume. These are effectively dead tokens with no connection to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing; always verify the contract address (0x58ffe4a942d3885baa22d7520691f611ef09e7aa on Robinhood Chain, chainId 4663) before transacting.

NameChainLiquidityHolders
the simon cultSolana$6.1K1
Tayor Swift MuskSolana$6.1K1
The Second MemecoinSolana$6.1K1

Tokenized TSM — how this differs from the stock

This token is designed to track the price of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM) equity. Unlike the NYSE-listed share, the token trades 24/7 on Robinhood Chain and its price can diverge from the official exchange close, particularly during off-hours or periods of low on-chain liquidity.

TSM on Robinhood Chain is an issuer product providing price exposure to TSMC stock — it is not the underlying share itself. Holders have no shareholder rights, no voting rights, and no direct claim on TSMC assets or dividends. The issuer has NOT been cryptographically verified on-chain.

Bull Case

  • 7-day price change of +5.3% as of 2026-08-04 shows short-term positive momentum.
  • Intraday structure shows a breakout signal with price near recent highs on the 1-hour timeframe.
  • Tracks TSMC, a globally recognized semiconductor leader, which may attract demand if the underlying equity rallies.
  • A move above the $415.11 resistance level could open space toward higher range levels.

Bear Case

  • Down 11.4% since the first recorded daily bar; 15 red days vs. 13 green days reflects a selling bias.
  • Top-10 holders control 89.6% of supply — extreme concentration in a pool with only $41,684 in liquidity.
  • Issuer is not cryptographically verified, adding counterparty and authenticity risk.
  • Ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume; thin market depth amplifies slippage risk.

This token is suitable only for experienced participants who fully understand tokenized-stock wrapper mechanics, accept the absence of shareholder rights, and can tolerate very high volatility, extreme holder concentration, and thin liquidity. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those seeking direct TSMC equity exposure.

TSM call history

Full track record →
Aug 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

TSM FAQ

Answers reflect data as of Aug 4, 2026

What is TSM on Robinhood Chain?

TSM is a Robinhood Chain tokenized-stock instrument that tracks the price of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM). It was deployed on 2026-06-10 at contract address 0x58ffe4a942d3885baa22d7520691f611ef09e7aa on chainId 4663. It provides price exposure to TSMC stock but does not confer shareholder rights, voting rights, or any direct claim on TSMC assets. The issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain.

What is the price and market cap of TSM on Robinhood Chain as of 2026-08-04?

As of 2026-08-04, TSM trades at approximately $415.02, down 11.4% from its first recorded daily bar price of $468.35 on 2026-07-06. The since-launch range is $371.19 to $886.30. A total market capitalization figure is not computable from the available data.

Is this TSM token legitimate — could it be a copycat?

The token at 0x58ffe4a942d3885baa22d7520691f611ef09e7aa on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) matches Robinhood's tokenized-stock naming convention, but the issuer is NOT cryptographically verified on-chain. At least 15 other tokens share the TSM ticker on other chains — three on Solana alone — each with roughly $6,000 in liquidity, a single holder, and zero 24-hour volume as of 2026-08-04. Always confirm the exact contract address before transacting.

How concentrated is TSM token ownership?

As of 2026-08-04, TSM has 567 holders, and the top 10 wallets collectively control 89.6% of the token supply. This is an extreme concentration level. Holder growth history and per-wallet breakdowns are not available, so it is unknown whether concentration is improving over time.

What is the liquidity and trading volume of TSM, and what does that mean for buyers?

As of 2026-08-04, TSM has $41,684 in total on-chain liquidity and a 24-hour volume of $18,165, giving a turnover ratio of 0.44x (classified as quiet). The vast majority of liquidity sits in a single Uniswap pool. This means sell orders of even a few thousand dollars risk significant slippage, and a large holder exiting could gap the price through key support levels.

How do I buy TSM on Robinhood Chain?

TSM trades on Uniswap pools on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663). To buy, connect a compatible wallet to Robinhood Chain, navigate to Uniswap, and enter the verified contract address 0x58ffe4a942d3885baa22d7520691f611ef09e7aa to locate the correct token. Given the thin liquidity ($41,684 as of 2026-08-04), set slippage tolerance carefully and be aware that large orders will move the price.

What is the price prediction for TSM on Robinhood Chain?

As of 2026-08-04, the short-term (24h–7d) outlook is bearish: the nearest support is $412.83, with a deeper floor at $371.19; the first resistance is $415.11. The medium-term (30d–90d) view is also bearish given extreme holder concentration, thin liquidity, and a token already down 11.4% from launch. Confidence in any target is low due to the token's 55-day age, limited price history, and unverified issuer. This is not financial advice.

How does this token differ from owning TSMC stock directly?

Unlike NYSE-listed TSMC shares, this token trades 24/7 on Robinhood Chain and its price can diverge from the official exchange close, especially during off-hours or low-liquidity periods. As of 2026-08-04, the token price is $415.02, which may not reflect the TSMC closing price on any given trading day. Holders receive no dividends, no voting rights, and no direct claim on TSMC assets — it is purely a price-exposure instrument issued by an unverified on-chain issuer.

Methodology & Data Sources

  • Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity, pairs)
  • Daily and hourly OHLC price history (Codex getTokenBars)
  • Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration (Codex filterTokens)
  • Robinhood Chain token universe rankings (Codex, top 200 by volume)

Limitations

  • Holder growth history, per-wallet whale lists, and holder size-tier distribution are not available for Robinhood Chain on the current data plan.
  • No contract security score or audit data was available — security is not assessed in this report.
  • The token trades on a young chain (mainnet July 2026); historical depth is limited to the token’s own trading history.
  • No 30-day return is computable — the token has fewer than 30 daily bars of price history as of the report date.
  • Total market capitalization cannot be computed — circulating supply data is not available in the computed data block.
  • The 15 same-symbol token count is a floor from a capped 50-result search window; the true number of copycat tokens may be higher.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research.

More Robinhood Chain Tokens