United States Oil Fund • Robinhood Token (USO) Price Prediction
Price
$115.66
-5.1% (24h)
Market cap
$690.4K
24h volume
$555.4K
Liquidity
$9.9K
Holders
1,648
Top-10 hold
72.6%
Chain volume rank
#43
AI report generated Aug 4, 2026 · report figures computed from Codex market data as of that date; the headline price refreshes independently
AI Summary
United States Oil Fund • Robinhood Token (USO) is a tokenized-stock instrument on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) designed to track the United States Oil Fund (USO), an exchange-traded product benchmarked to crude oil futures. At 55 days old as of the report date of 2026-08-04, it sits at volume rank 43 and holders rank 56 within the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens, reflecting a mid-tier presence on the chain. As of 2026-08-04, the token trades at $115.82, sitting at just 19% of its since-launch price range of $103.72–$167.38 — deep off its highs and in a confirmed downtrend.
- As of 2026-08-04, price is $115.82 — down 13.4% intraday and 8.0% over 7 days, sitting at 19% of the $103.72–$167.38 since-launch range.
- Liquidity is critically thin at $9,949 against $555,381 in 24h volume, producing a 55.82x turnover ratio that signals extreme churn and severe exit-slippage risk.
- Top-10 wallets control 72.6% of supply; holder growth history is unavailable.
- Two same-symbol USO tokens exist on Solana with near-zero liquidity and activity — neither is this contract.
- The issuer's tokenized-stock structure gives price exposure to USO, not direct share ownership or shareholder rights.
USO Price Prediction
Targets anchored to computed swing levels — never invented
Short term (24h–7d): bearish
The grinding lower-lows structure, -13.4% intraday move, and price sitting at 19% of range all point to continued near-term downside. The immediate test is the $115.26 support; a break targets the launch low at $103.72.
Target low
$103.72
Target high
$121.48
Low target uses the computed support level at $103.72 (since-launch low / key swing low). High target uses the computed resistance level at $121.48 (nearest swing high resistance). A recovery above $121.48 would be the first structural sign of trend reversal.
Medium term (30d–90d): bearish
Without a structural reversal in the daily downtrend and a meaningful improvement in liquidity depth, the medium-term path remains bearish. The token needs to reclaim $121.48 resistance and sustain it to shift the outlook.
- A sustained rally in crude oil futures that lifts the underlying USO ETF and pulls the token higher.
- Significant new liquidity added to the primary Uniswap pair, reducing the 55.82x turnover ratio.
- Reclaim and hold of the $121.48 resistance level, converting it to support.
- Broader Robinhood Chain ecosystem growth driving new holder inflows and reducing top-10 concentration below 72.6%.
Support (imm / major)
$115.26 / $103.72
Resistance (imm / major)
$121.48 / $167.38
Confidence medium: The directional call is supported by consistent multi-window bearish signals (lower-lows structure, negative 1h and 7d returns, price at 19% of range). Confidence is capped at medium because the token is only 55 days old with limited price history (no 30-day return available), liquidity is thin enough that a single large buy could spike price unpredictably, and the underlying USO ETF introduces an external crude oil variable not captured in on-chain data alone.
Market Structure
Computed from real hourly + daily bars
7d change
-8.0%
Range position
19%
Daily volatility
4.5%
Candles
27
The 1-hour bar analysis across 73 candles shows a clear downtrend with a lower-lows structure and a breaking-down breakout pattern, while volatility reads as low — meaning the decline is grinding rather than panicked. The period change of -13.4% on the intraday window confirms sustained selling pressure. On the daily timeframe (27 candles), the 7-day return is -8.0%, and the price at $115.82 sits at just 19% of the full since-launch range ($103.72–$167.38), indicating the token has retraced the bulk of its post-launch rally. Key support levels are $115.26 and $103.72 (the launch-day low); resistance sits at $121.48 and $167.38 (the all-time high). Daily volatility of 4.5% means meaningful intraday swings remain possible even within the downtrend.
Liquidity & Turnover Risk
The exit-risk math competitors skip
Liquidity
$9.9K
24h volume
$555.4K
Turnover
55.82×
Uniswap · liq $58.3K · vol $445.6K
Uniswap · liq $9.9K · vol $555.4K
Uniswap · liq $28.6K · vol $61.8K
Liquidity across the primary pair is just $9,949 as of 2026-08-04, while 24-hour volume reached $555,381 — producing a turnover ratio of 55.82x. A ratio this extreme means the entire liquidity pool is cycling through more than 55 times per day, which is a hallmark of a churning, speculative market. In practical terms, any trade of meaningful size will move the price significantly; exits during a downturn carry severe slippage risk. The secondary Uniswap pairs add some volume ($445,647 against $58,254 liquidity and $61,808 against $28,629 liquidity) but do not materially change the overall picture of a thin, high-velocity market.
Holder Concentration
Aggregate on-chain holder data
Holders
1,648
Top-10 share
72.6%
As of 2026-08-04, USO on Robinhood Chain has 1,648 holders, placing it at rank 56 by holders within the top 200 chain tokens — a medium-sized holder base for a 55-day-old token. However, the top-10 wallets collectively hold 72.6% of the total supply, a highly concentrated distribution that creates meaningful price-impact risk if any large holder decides to exit. Holder growth history and per-wallet breakdown data are not available, so no trend in adoption or distribution can be inferred.
Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available on this chain's data plan — this report never estimates them.
Launch Report
27 trading days since launch
Launched
Jul 8, 2026
Launch price
$103.72
Since launch
+11.7%
ATH / ATL
$167.38 / $103.72
Best / worst day
+17.0% / -7.3%
Green vs red days
16 / 11
The token launched on 2026-07-08 at $103.72 (the since-launch low) and rallied sharply, reaching a high of $167.38 — a gain of roughly 61% from launch price at peak. The best single day returned +17.0% and the worst -7.3%, reflecting the high daily volatility of 4.5%. Over the 27 daily bars since launch, 16 were green and 11 were red, but the recent trajectory has reversed: the token has given back most of its gains and as of 2026-08-04 sits at $115.82, just +11.7% above the launch price and deep in a downtrend.
Robinhood Chain Context
Rank within the top 200 chain tokens by volume
Volume rank
#43
Liquidity rank
#103
Holders rank
#56
USO carries 0.18% of sampled chain volume.
Within the sampled top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, USO ranks 43rd by volume, 103rd by liquidity, and 56th by holders as of 2026-08-04. Its 0.18% share of sampled chain volume is modest, consistent with a mid-tier token that generates disproportionate trading activity relative to its thin liquidity base. The gap between its volume rank (43) and liquidity rank (103) is a structural red flag — it is trading far more actively than its liquidity depth would normally support.
Robinhood Chain is a public blockchain. Tokens trading on it — including this one, unless it follows the official "• Robinhood Token" issuer naming — are third-party assets, not products of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Always verify the contract address before trading.
Contract & Authenticity Check
Verify before you trade — same-symbol tokens exist
0xa30fa36db767ad9ed3f7a60fc79526fb4d56d344View on BlockscoutAt least 2 other “USO” tokens exist
Two tokens sharing the USO symbol were found on Solana: 'United Scam Organisation' (USO) at dd6bjyfce2fmumenbmxv4x1vusvilmfahbwgsmsepump with $6,456 liquidity and 1 holder, and 'usolf' (uso) at gvvprb4znd6zkyfardk1kwr43fwgkckn6buhn7n2pump with $6,210 liquidity and 2 holders — both with zero 24-hour volume. Neither is the Robinhood Chain tokenized-stock product. The Robinhood Chain contract is 0xa30fa36db767ad9ed3f7a60fc79526fb4d56d344 on chainId 4663; always verify the contract address before transacting.
| Name | Chain | Liquidity | Holders |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Scam Organisation | Solana | $6.5K | 1 |
| usolf | Solana | $6.2K | 2 |
Tokenized USO — how this differs from the stock
This token is designed to track the United States Oil Fund (USO), an exchange-traded product benchmarked to crude oil futures. It trades 24/7 on Robinhood Chain, unlike the underlying ETF which is subject to U.S. market hours; this means the on-chain price can diverge from the ETF's exchange close, particularly during off-hours crude oil moves.
This is an issuer product providing price exposure to USO — holding it does not confer ownership of USO shares, ETF units, or any shareholder or unitholder rights. The issuer has NOT been cryptographically verified on-chain.
Bull Case
- Token is +11.7% above its launch price of $103.72 even after the recent selloff, showing the launch-level support has held so far.
- Volume rank of 43 out of the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens indicates genuine trading interest relative to peers.
- 1,648 holders at 55 days old represents a medium-sized community for a nascent tokenized-stock product.
Bear Case
- Multi-window downtrend: -13.4% intraday, -8.0% over 7 days, price at 19% of the since-launch range.
- 55.82x turnover ratio against $9,949 liquidity is a churning signal — exit slippage risk is severe.
- Top-10 wallets hold 72.6% of supply; a single large-holder exit could accelerate the decline toward the $103.72 support.
- Issuer is not cryptographically verified on-chain, adding counterparty uncertainty to the tokenized-stock structure.
USO on Robinhood Chain is suitable only for experienced participants who understand both the risks of tokenized-stock wrappers and the extreme liquidity constraints of a 55-day-old token with a 55.82x daily turnover ratio. This is a high-risk, speculative instrument — not appropriate for capital that cannot be fully lost.
USO call history
Full track record →Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
USO FAQ
Answers reflect data as of Aug 4, 2026
What is the United States Oil Fund • Robinhood Token (USO)?
It is a tokenized-stock instrument on Robinhood Chain (contract 0xa30fa36db767ad9ed3f7a60fc79526fb4d56d344, chainId 4663) designed to track the United States Oil Fund (USO), an ETF benchmarked to crude oil futures. It trades 24/7 on-chain, unlike the underlying ETF which is subject to U.S. market hours. Holding this token gives price exposure to USO — it does not confer ownership of ETF units or any unitholder rights. The issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain.
What is the USO token price and market cap as of the report date?
As of 2026-08-04, USO trades at $115.82 on Robinhood Chain. The token launched on 2026-07-08 at $103.72 and reached a since-launch high of $167.38; as of 2026-08-04 it sits at just 19% of that full range, reflecting a significant retracement from peak. A total market cap figure is not available in the computed data.
Is this the real USO token, or could it be a copycat or scam?
The Robinhood Chain token at contract 0xa30fa36db767ad9ed3f7a60fc79526fb4d56d344 (chainId 4663) matches the Robinhood tokenized-stock issuer naming heuristic, but the issuer is NOT cryptographically verified on-chain. Two other tokens using the USO symbol exist on Solana — 'United Scam Organisation' and 'usolf' — each with under $6,500 in liquidity, fewer than 3 holders, and zero 24-hour volume as of 2026-08-04; neither is this product. Always verify the exact contract address before transacting.
How concentrated is USO token ownership?
As of 2026-08-04, USO has 1,648 holders on Robinhood Chain. The top-10 wallets collectively control 72.6% of the total supply, which is a highly concentrated distribution. Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available, so no trend in adoption or redistribution can be assessed.
What is the liquidity situation and what does it mean for buyers and sellers?
As of 2026-08-04, the primary liquidity pool holds just $9,949 while 24-hour volume reached $555,381 — a turnover ratio of 55.82x. This means the pool is cycling through more than 55 times its depth every day, a churning signal that indicates severe slippage risk for any trade of meaningful size. Exits during a price decline are particularly dangerous in this environment.
How do I buy USO on Robinhood Chain?
USO trades on Uniswap pools deployed on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663). To buy, connect a compatible wallet to Robinhood Chain, navigate to the relevant Uniswap interface, and enter the verified contract address 0xa30fa36db767ad9ed3f7a60fc79526fb4d56d344 to ensure you are trading the correct token. Given the $9,949 liquidity depth as of 2026-08-04, use limit orders or small trade sizes to manage slippage.
What is the price prediction for USO in the short and medium term?
As of 2026-08-04, the outlook is bearish across both timeframes. In the short term (24h–7d), the token is in a lower-lows downtrend with a -13.4% intraday move; the downside target is the computed support at $103.72 (launch low), while a recovery would need to clear resistance at $121.48. Over the medium term (30d–90d), the bearish bias holds unless the token reclaims $121.48, liquidity improves materially, or a crude oil rally lifts the underlying USO ETF. Confidence in this call is medium, given the token's short 55-day history and thin liquidity that can cause sharp, unpredictable price spikes.
How does USO on Robinhood Chain relate to the actual USO ETF?
This token is structured to track the price of the United States Oil Fund (USO), which itself holds crude oil futures contracts. The on-chain token trades around the clock, while the underlying ETF only trades during U.S. market hours, meaning the token's price can diverge from the ETF's official exchange close — especially during overnight or weekend crude oil market moves. Holding the token provides price exposure only; it carries no ETF unitholder rights.
Methodology & Data Sources
- Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity, pairs)
- Daily and hourly OHLC price history (Codex getTokenBars)
- Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration (Codex filterTokens)
- Robinhood Chain token universe rankings (Codex, top 200 by volume)
Limitations
- Holder growth history, per-wallet whale lists, and holder size-tier distribution are not available for Robinhood Chain on the current data plan.
- No contract security score or audit data was available — security is not assessed in this report.
- The token trades on a young chain (mainnet July 2026); historical depth is limited to the token’s own trading history.
- No 30-day return is available (token has only 27 daily bars since launch on 2026-07-08).
- Total market capitalization figure is unavailable — circulating supply data not provided.
- Issuer identity is not cryptographically verified on-chain; the tokenized-stock structure and counterparty cannot be independently confirmed from computed data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research.