SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust • Robinhood Token (SPY) Price Prediction
Price
$771.46
+2.0% (24h)
Market cap
$1.17M
24h volume
$102.3K
Liquidity
$156.9K
Holders
11,727
Top-10 hold
64.7%
Chain volume rank
>200
AI report generated Aug 4, 2026 · report figures computed from Codex market data as of that date; the headline price refreshes independently
AI Summary
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust • Robinhood Token (SPY) is a tokenized-stock instrument on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) that is designed to track the price of the widely followed SPY ETF, trading 24/7 on-chain rather than during traditional market hours. The token launched on June 10, 2026 and is approximately 55 days old as of the report date of August 4, 2026. As of 2026-08-04, it sits at $771.46, up 13.4% from its launch price of $680.42, with a 28-day range spanning $159.21 to $875.04 — a spread that underscores meaningful on-chain price volatility. The token ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, placing it at the periphery of the chain's active trading universe.
- As of 2026-08-04, price is $771.46 — 13.4% above the $680.42 launch price but well below the since-launch high of $875.04.
- The 28-day price range of $159.21–$875.04 reflects extreme on-chain volatility for a token meant to track a low-volatility equity ETF.
- Top-10 wallets control 64.7% of supply — a concentrated holder structure that amplifies exit risk.
- Total liquidity across all pairs is $156,861 as of 2026-08-04; a large sell order could cause significant slippage.
- The issuer is NOT cryptographically verified on-chain; this is a Robinhood-issued wrapper product, not the SPY ETF share itself.
SPY Price Prediction
Targets anchored to computed swing levels — never invented
Short term (24h–7d): bullish
Intraday structure shows higher-highs with a breakout in progress and a +3.5% hourly-period change. The daily chart is up +4.1% over 7 days and price sits at 86% of its 28-day range, pressing toward the $773.49 resistance level. Near-term momentum favors continuation toward that level, though thin liquidity means any reversal could be sharp.
Target low
$755.43
Target high
$773.49
Low target uses the computed support level at $755.43 (nearest swing low). High target uses the computed resistance level at $773.49 (nearest swing high).
Medium term (30d–90d): bullish
If the token sustains its breakout above $773.49, the next computed resistance sits at $875.04 — the since-launch high. However, the 55-day age, thin liquidity pool of $156,861, and 64.7% top-10 concentration mean medium-term upside is highly contingent on continued holder participation and broader SPY equity performance.
- Sustained breakout above the $773.49 resistance level opening a path toward the $875.04 since-launch high.
- Broader S&P 500 / SPY ETF price appreciation driving demand for on-chain exposure.
- Growth in Robinhood Chain ecosystem activity lifting overall token liquidity and volume.
- Reduction in top-10 holder concentration through broader distribution, lowering exit-risk overhang.
Support (imm / major)
$755.43 / $159.21
Resistance (imm / major)
$773.49 / $875.04
Confidence low: Confidence is low for three compounding reasons: (1) the token is only 55 days old with no 30-day return data available, limiting trend reliability; (2) liquidity of $156,861 is thin enough that a single large holder exit could invalidate any technical level; and (3) the issuer is not cryptographically verified, introducing structural uncertainty that purely technical signals cannot resolve.
Market Structure
Computed from real hourly + daily bars
7d change
+4.1%
Range position
86%
Daily volatility
0.9%
Candles
28
On the 1-hour timeframe (73 bars analyzed), SPY token is trending sideways with a higher-highs structure and an active breakout in progress, accompanied by low volatility and a +3.5% period change — a constructive short-term setup. On the daily chart (28 candles), the 7-day return is +4.1% and price sits at 86% of its full $159.21–$875.04 range, meaning it is pressing the upper portion of its historical distribution. Daily volatility of 0.9% is modest in isolation, but the full range from $159.21 to $875.04 reveals that this token has experienced severe drawdowns since launch — the $159.21 low represents an 81.8% drop from the $875.04 high at some point in its brief history. Key support levels are $755.43 and $159.21; key resistance levels are $773.49 and $875.04.
Liquidity & Turnover Risk
The exit-risk math competitors skip
Liquidity
$156.9K
24h volume
$102.3K
Turnover
0.65×
Uniswap · liq $156.9K · vol $102.3K
Uniswap · liq $245.9K · vol $61.8K
Uniswap · liq $56.7K · vol $16.7K
As of 2026-08-04, total liquidity across all tracked pairs is $156,861, with the largest Uniswap pair contributing $156,861 in liquidity against $102,283 in 24-hour volume. The aggregate 24-hour volume across all pairs is approximately $102,283, yielding a turnover ratio of 0.65x — classified as quiet. While a 0.65x turnover is not alarming on its own, the absolute liquidity depth of $156,861 is shallow: a trade of even a few thousand dollars could move the price materially, and a large holder exit from the 64.7%-concentrated top-10 cohort could drain the pool rapidly. Traders should size positions with slippage and exit risk explicitly in mind.
Holder Concentration
Aggregate on-chain holder data
Holders
11,727
Top-10 share
64.7%
As of 2026-08-04, SPY token has 11,727 holders — a large count for a 55-day-old Robinhood Chain token. However, the top-10 wallets collectively hold 64.7% of the total supply, a concentrated distribution that creates meaningful overhang risk: coordinated or coincidental selling by a handful of large holders could overwhelm the $156,861 liquidity pool. Holder growth history and per-wallet breakdown data are not available, so it is not possible to assess whether concentration is improving or worsening over time.
Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available on this chain's data plan — this report never estimates them.
Launch Report
28 trading days since launch
Launched
Jul 8, 2026
Launch price
$680.42
Since launch
+13.4%
ATH / ATL
$875.04 / $159.21
Best / worst day
+9.3% / -1.5%
Green vs red days
15 / 13
SPY token's first recorded daily bar falls on July 8, 2026 (the launch report anchor date), at an opening price of $680.42. As of 2026-08-04, the price is $771.46, representing a +13.4% gain since launch across 28 daily bars. The since-launch high reached $875.04 and the low touched $159.21 — a range of $715.83 that dwarfs the current price level and signals at least one severe intraday or daily dislocation during the token's brief life. The best single day returned +9.3% and the worst lost -1.5%; the token has closed green on 15 of 28 days versus 13 red days, a slight majority of positive sessions.
Robinhood Chain Context
Rank within the top 200 chain tokens by volume
Volume rank
—
Liquidity rank
—
Holders rank
—
As of 2026-08-04, SPY token ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, and liquidity and holder ranks within the chain universe are not available from the sampled data. This places SPY at the lower end of on-chain activity relative to the broader Robinhood Chain ecosystem, despite its 11,727 holders. The disconnect between a relatively large holder base and a sub-top-200 volume rank suggests that most holders are passive or inactive traders rather than active market participants — a dynamic that can suppress price discovery and amplify volatility when activity does spike.
Robinhood Chain is a public blockchain. Tokens trading on it — including this one, unless it follows the official "• Robinhood Token" issuer naming — are third-party assets, not products of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Always verify the contract address before trading.
Contract & Authenticity Check
Verify before you trade — same-symbol tokens exist
0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0cView on BlockscoutAt least 11 other “SPY” tokens exist
A same-symbol token on another chain carries far deeper liquidity than this one — this contract may itself be the derivative. Do your own verification before assuming either is “the real one”.
At least 11 other tokens share the SPY symbol across different networks, including one on network #11155111 (contract 0x82d9984b29eee49af623bab219ecd5d69987f4f3) with a reported liquidity figure orders of magnitude larger, and others on network #101 and BNB Chain with negligible liquidity ($65,940 and $64,497 respectively) and unknown or single-digit holder counts. Before interacting with any SPY token, verify the exact contract address (0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0c on Robinhood Chain, chainId 4663) — the presence of near-zero-volume copycats on multiple chains is a common vector for misdirected funds.
| Name | Chain | Liquidity | Holders |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | network #11155111 | $1137585426.24B | — |
| Spy Ai | network #101 | $65.9K | — |
| Spyinu | BNB Chain | $64.5K | 1 |
Tokenized SPY — how this differs from the stock
This token is designed to track the price of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which itself tracks the S&P 500 index. Unlike the ETF, this token trades 24/7 on Robinhood Chain rather than during NYSE Arca market hours, meaning its on-chain price can and does diverge from the official ETF closing price — as evidenced by the $159.21–$875.04 range observed since launch.
This is a Robinhood-issued wrapper product that provides price exposure to SPY; it is not the ETF share itself. Holders have no shareholder rights, no claim on the underlying ETF assets, and the issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain. Investors should review Robinhood's tokenized-stock terms before trading.
Bull Case
- Price is up +13.4% since the $680.42 launch price and +4.1% over the past 7 days as of 2026-08-04, with an active intraday breakout structure.
- 11,727 holders is a large base for a 55-day-old token, suggesting meaningful organic distribution.
- Low daily volatility of 0.9% and a higher-highs intraday structure support near-term continuation toward the $773.49 resistance.
- Broader S&P 500 appreciation would provide a fundamental tailwind for a token tracking SPY.
Bear Case
- The since-launch low of $159.21 — an 81.8% drop from the $875.04 high — reveals that severe dislocations have already occurred in this token's 55-day life.
- Top-10 wallets hold 64.7% of supply; thin $156,861 liquidity cannot absorb a large coordinated exit.
- The token ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, indicating limited ecosystem traction.
- The issuer is not cryptographically verified on-chain, adding structural risk beyond normal market risk.
This token is suitable only for experienced traders who understand tokenized-stock wrapper mechanics, can tolerate high on-chain volatility, and are prepared for the liquidity and concentration risks documented above. It is not suitable as a substitute for holding the SPY ETF directly. This report is not financial advice.
SPY call history
Full track record →Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
SPY FAQ
Answers reflect data as of Aug 4, 2026
What is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust • Robinhood Token (SPY)?
It is a tokenized-stock wrapper issued on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663, contract 0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0c) designed to track the price of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). It is not the ETF share itself — holders receive no shareholder rights or claim on underlying ETF assets. The token trades 24/7 on-chain, unlike the ETF which trades during NYSE Arca market hours, and the issuer has not been cryptographically verified on-chain.
What is the SPY token price and market cap as of the report date?
As of 2026-08-04, the SPY token is priced at $771.46, up 13.4% from its launch price of $680.42 on July 8, 2026. The token's 28-day trading range spans $159.21 to $875.04, and price currently sits at 86% of that range. A market capitalization figure is not available in the computed data.
Is this SPY token legitimate, or could it be a copycat?
At least 11 other tokens share the SPY symbol across different networks, including one on network #11155111 with substantially higher reported liquidity and others on network #101 and BNB Chain with negligible liquidity and near-zero holders. The Robinhood Chain token (0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0c) is identified as matching the Robinhood tokenized-stock issuer naming convention, but the issuer is NOT cryptographically verified on-chain. Always confirm the exact contract address before trading.
How concentrated is SPY token ownership?
As of 2026-08-04, SPY token has 11,727 holders, but the top-10 wallets collectively control 64.7% of the total supply — a highly concentrated distribution. Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available, so it is impossible to determine whether concentration is improving over time. This concentration is a material risk given the token's shallow liquidity pool.
What are the liquidity and exit risks for SPY token?
As of 2026-08-04, total liquidity across all tracked pairs is $156,861, with 24-hour volume of $102,283 and a turnover ratio of 0.65x (classified as quiet). This shallow liquidity means even moderately sized sell orders could cause significant slippage, and a large exit by any of the top-10 holders — who collectively own 64.7% of supply — could rapidly drain the available pool.
How do I buy SPY token on Robinhood Chain?
SPY token trades on Uniswap pools deployed on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663). To buy, connect a compatible wallet to Robinhood Chain, navigate to a Uniswap interface supporting chainId 4663, and enter the verified contract address 0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0c to ensure you are trading the correct token. As of 2026-08-04, the largest single pair holds $156,861 in liquidity — confirm slippage tolerance before executing any trade.
What is the price prediction for SPY token?
As of 2026-08-04, the short-term (24h–7d) outlook is cautiously bullish: the intraday structure shows higher-highs with an active breakout, and the nearest resistance is $773.49 with support at $755.43. The medium-term (30d–90d) outlook is also bullish contingent on a sustained break above $773.49 toward the since-launch high of $875.04, driven by broader S&P 500 performance and ecosystem growth. Overall prediction confidence is LOW due to the token's 55-day age, thin $156,861 liquidity, and unverified issuer status. This is not financial advice.
Methodology & Data Sources
- Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity, pairs)
- Daily and hourly OHLC price history (Codex getTokenBars)
- Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration (Codex filterTokens)
- Robinhood Chain token universe rankings (Codex, top 200 by volume)
Limitations
- Holder growth history, per-wallet whale lists, and holder size-tier distribution are not available for Robinhood Chain on the current data plan.
- No contract security score or audit data was available — security is not assessed in this report.
- The token trades on a young chain (mainnet July 2026); historical depth is limited to the token’s own trading history.
- 30-day return data is unavailable (token has fewer than 30 full daily bars since the launch report anchor date of 2026-07-08).
- Market capitalization is not computable — circulating supply data is not provided in the computed data block.
- Liquidity rank and holders rank within the Robinhood Chain top-200 universe are not available for this token.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research.