USDf

Falcon USD Price Today & AI Analysis

USDfEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 29, 2026

Price

$0.9935

-0.25% 24h

Contract

Live
0xfa2b947eec368f42195f24f36d2af29f7c24cec2

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

6.4K

Market cap

$1.88B

Liquidity

$621.74K

At a $10B market cap, $USDF would be $5.28 (5.32x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is USDf a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 29

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through

Buy tax

0%

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about USDf

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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Falcon USD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-29 22:15 UTC

Holder addresses

6,391

Top 10 supply share

56.94%

Reported liquidity

$621,744.00
How concentrated is Falcon USD ownership?
As of 2026-10-29 22:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 56.94% of supply. It reports 6,391 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Falcon USD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-29 22:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $954,464.00 in buys and $1,083,624.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Falcon USD liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -27.49%, from $857,505.00 (2026-10-28 23:00 UTC) to $621,744.00 (2026-10-29 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-29 22:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-28 23:00 UTC$857,505.00
2026-10-29 03:00 UTC$856,637.00
2026-10-29 04:00 UTC$853,900.00
2026-10-29 09:00 UTC$842,412.00
2026-10-29 12:00 UTC$838,737.00
2026-10-29 14:00 UTC$838,790.00
2026-10-29 15:00 UTC$838,770.00
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC$843,950.00
2026-10-29 21:00 UTC$621,848.00
2026-10-29 22:00 UTC$621,744.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 29, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$1.88B

24h Volume

$2.04M

Liquidity

$621.74K

FDV

—

Holders

6,391

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Neutral

Falcon USD (USDf) is an Ethereum synthetic dollar from the Falcon protocol, 20.2 months old, with a market cap of about $1.88B and 6,391 holders. It trades at $0.9935 on Curve, slightly under the $1 peg, and has been flat over 7d, 30d and 90d. Unhosted's scam check is NEUTRAL with a successful test sell. The main concerns are the past depeg to $0.8389 and very shallow on-chain liquidity relative to supply.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 29, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Synthetic dollar positioned around yield generation for crypto holders and institutions
  • Roughly $1.88B market cap with only about $0.62M of tracked DEX liquidity
  • Recovered from a 90-day low of $0.8389 to trade within about 0.7% of the peg

Falcon USD AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

USDf is a USD-pegged synthetic dollar, and the daily OHLC shows it pinned just under $1: 7d -0.2%, 30d -0.3%, 90d -0.3%, with daily volatility of 0.1%. Trend flatness is the expected behaviour for a stable asset, so the relevant question is peg integrity rather than direction. The latest daily close of $0.9937 is a step below the prior 13 closes, which sat at $0.9953-$0.9964, and is worth watching for follow-through.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over 90 days the price moved only -0.3%, so both the 7d and 30d windows are flat, which is the one case where neutral is justified. For a peg asset the medium-term outcome depends on collateral quality and redemption liquidity, not momentum. The 90d low of $0.8389 shows a past depeg episode, so tail risk is not zero.

Bullish Factors

  • Price sits at 96% of its 91-day range and the 90d change is only -0.3%, indicating the peg has been largely restored after the earlier low.
  • Daily return volatility of 0.1% is consistent with a well-functioning peg over the recent period.
  • The scam check returned a NEUTRAL verdict with a successful test sell and 0% buy tax.

Bearish Factors

  • The 90-day low of $0.8389 shows the peg has broken materially before, about 16% below $1.
  • On-chain liquidity of $621,744 is under 0.04% of the $1.88B market cap, so on-chain exit depth is thin if redemptions surge.
  • The latest daily close of $0.9937 is the lowest of the recent 14 closes, and 24h sell volume ($1.08M) exceeded buy volume ($0.95M).

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

USDf call history

Full track record →

Oct 29neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xfa2b...cec2
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Peg risk: the price fell to $0.8389 within the last 91 days and could do so again under stress
  • Shallow DEX liquidity ($621,744) relative to the $1.88B market cap
  • Unknown collateral and reserve quality; not assessable from this data
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration (56.9%) with no wallet classification

Trading Insight

neutral

Sell volume was slightly higher than buy volume over 24h (53.2% vs 46.8%), but buyers outnumbered sellers by transaction count. Both signals are small and consistent with peg arbitrage rather than directional conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Daily closes ranged between $0.9953 and $0.9964 for 13 days before a dip to $0.9937. Over 7d, 30d and 90d, change is within -0.3%, a tight sideways range typical of a peg.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With 0.1% daily volatility and price near the top of its range, conventional momentum readings carry little meaning for a peg asset. The latest close slightly below the recent band is the only notable deviation.

Volume Analysis

Buy

46.8%

Sell

53.2%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h volume of about $2.04M, with 54 transactions across 23 buyers and 17 sellers, indicates light but balanced participation. Multi-day volume history is not provided, so the trend is judged stable by absence of a spike.

Recent Price Action

Tight consolidation at $0.995-$0.996 followed by a small downward step to $0.9937.

For stablecoins, a persistent drift below $0.995 would suggest weakening redemption confidence, while a quick return to the band indicates normal arbitrage.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.9855

Major support

$0.8389

Immediate resistance

$0.9958

Major resistance

$1

The $1 level is the peg and the natural ceiling, while $0.9958 is where recent closes clustered. $0.9855 is the nearest swing low, and $0.8389 is the 91-day low marking the earlier depeg; a break below $0.9855 would show renewed stress.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

42/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility is 0.1% and the 90d change is -0.3%, though the $0.8389 low shows depeg events have occurred.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Tracked liquidity of $621,744 is tiny compared with a $1.88B market cap, so large exits on-chain could move price.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders own 56.9%, but holder labels are unavailable so dump risk cannot be separated from protocol or exchange holdings.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Yield-bearing synthetic dollars may face stablecoin and securities scrutiny depending on jurisdiction.

Key Risks

  • Peg risk: the price fell to $0.8389 within the last 91 days and could do so again under stress
  • Shallow DEX liquidity ($621,744) relative to the $1.88B market cap
  • Unknown collateral and reserve quality; not assessable from this data
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration (56.9%) with no wallet classification

Mitigating Factors

  • Price has stayed within 0.7% of $1 recently with 0.1% daily volatility
  • Scam check NEUTRAL with successful test sell and 0% buy tax

Investor Suitability

Suited to informed users who understand synthetic-dollar mechanics and can independently review collateral and redemption terms. Not suited to those who treat it as risk-free cash.

USDf is a peg asset whose value depends on collateral integrity and redemption confidence rather than price momentum. Recent stability is encouraging, but the earlier depeg and thin on-chain liquidity keep tail risk real.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Peg holds at $0.995-$1 as reserves are verified and liquidity deepens.

  • Transparent reserve attestations
  • Increasing DEX and venue liquidity

Base Case

USDf trades in a $0.985-$1.00 band with minor fluctuations.

  • No collateral shock occurs
  • Mint and redeem arbitrage keeps price near $1

Bear Case

Low probability

Redemption pressure breaks $0.9855 and moves toward the earlier $0.8389 low.

  • Collateral or yield-strategy losses
  • Large holder exits into thin liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 29, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-29 22:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.993454740067

Market Cap

$1.88B

24h Volume

$2.04M

Holders

6,391

Liquidity

$621,744.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment — a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • Collateral, reserve and redemption details were not provided
  • Market cap and FDV figures are inconsistent and should be verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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