FLAY

Flayer Price Today & AI Analysis

FLAY
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

$0.004689

+8.18%24h
LiveContract:0xf1a7000000950c7ad8aff13118bb7ab561a448eeChain:EthereumHolders:903Market cap:$2.81MLiquidity:$136.73K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 12, 2026, 08:45 AM UTC
Market Cap

$2.81M

24h Volume

$8.99K

Liquidity

$136.73K

FDV

Holders

903

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Flayer (FLAY) is a 23.8-month-old Ethereum token trading on Uniswap that positions itself as a meme-token launchpad routing 100% of trading fees to creators and buybacks. At $0.0046889, the token trades near the low end of its 91-day range ($0.003171-$0.009256), having fallen 24.1% over the past 30 days despite a 7.8% rebound in the last week. Liquidity is thin at $136,732 against a $2.81M market cap, and the aggregate top-10 holder concentration of 92.3% cannot be broken down into individual wallet types with the available data. Overall, this is a small, thinly-traded, high-volatility token with meaningful data gaps around holders and security.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 12, 2026, 08:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Fee model routes 100% of trading fees to token creators and buybacks rather than a separate treasury
Built on Uniswap V4 infrastructure
Nearly two years of on-chain trading history, longer-lived than most meme-launchpad tokens

Flayer AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

The 7-day trend is positive (+7.8%), and the most recent daily close jumped 8.18% to $0.004689, pushing price right up against the immediate resistance level. This looks like an attempt to break out of the multi-week consolidation between roughly $0.0043-$0.0046, but confirmation requires holding above resistance.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Despite the recent bounce, the 30-day trend is down sharply (-24.1%) and price sits at only 25% of its 91-day range ($0.003171-$0.009256), meaning the broader medium-term structure is still recovering from a larger drawdown rather than confirming a new uptrend. The 90d gain of +38.1% reflects strength earlier in the window that has since been mostly given back.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day trend is positive at +7.8%, with the latest daily close up 8.18% to $0.004689
  • +24h buy volume ($6,533) outweighs sell volume ($2,453), a 72.7%/27.3% split across 7 buy vs 3 sell transactions
  • +Token has sustained on-chain trading for 23.8 months, longer than most meme-token launchpad assets
Bearish Factors
  • -30-day trend remains sharply negative at -24.1%, with price sitting at just 25% of its 91-day range ($0.003171-$0.009256)
  • -Total liquidity of $136,732 is thin relative to the $2.81M market cap / $4.69M FDV, raising slippage risk on larger trades
  • -Aggregate top-10 holder concentration is 92.3%, and no classified holder list exists to confirm whether this is exchange/protocol-held or individually dumpable supply

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

FLAY call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xf1a7...48ee
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Thin liquidity ($136,732) relative to valuation increases slippage and price-impact risk for meaningfully sized trades
30-day price decline of -24.1% shows the token remains well below recent highs, sitting at just 25% of its 91-day range
Aggregate top-10 holder concentration of 92.3% with no classification data leaves dumpable-supply risk unverified
No smart-money, whale-transaction, or contract-security data is available, reducing visibility into insider behavior and code risk

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading is buy-dominant, with $6,533 in buy volume against $2,453 in sell volume (72.7%/27.3% split) across 7 buyers and 3 sellers. However, total activity is very light (only 10 transactions in 24h), so this tilt reflects a handful of wallets rather than broad market conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Short-term price action is turning up, with a +7.8% 7-day gain and the latest daily close jumping to $0.004689 from a base around $0.0043-$0.0045. But the medium-term picture remains a downtrend, with price down 24.1% over 30 days and sitting at only 25% of its 91-day trading range.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Price is testing the immediate resistance level ($0.004708) right after a sharp single-day bounce, which is not yet extreme enough to call overbought, but a rejection here would suggest the bounce lacks follow-through.

Volume Analysis

Buy 72.7%Sell 27.3%

Volume Trend: Increasing

All 7 of the 24h buy transactions occurred within the most recent 4-hour window, indicating a pickup in buying activity, though absolute volume (~$9K combined) remains very small for a token with a multi-million-dollar valuation.

Recent Price Action

Price declined gradually from around $0.00464 to a local base near $0.00433 over roughly two weeks, then jumped from $0.004404 to $0.004689 (+8.18%) in the latest daily close, breaking above the recent consolidation band.

A sharp single-day breakout after a multi-week base can mark the start of a reversal, but it can also be a low-liquidity spike; a confirmed close above the immediate resistance is needed to validate the move.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.004575
Major$0.003171
Resistance
Immediate$0.004708
Major$0.009256

Price is currently wedged between immediate support ($0.004575) and immediate resistance ($0.004708), effectively testing the ceiling of its recent range. A confirmed close above $0.004708 would open room toward the major resistance at $0.009256 (roughly double current price), while a break below $0.004575 exposes the major support at $0.003171, the 91-day low (~32% downside).

Overall Risk:
High
70/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility (stdev) of 6.5% combined with a 30-day drawdown of -24.1% within a 91-day range of $0.003171-$0.009256 indicates substantial price swings.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $136,732 is thin relative to the $2.81M market cap and $4.69M FDV, meaning moderate-to-large trades are likely to move price significantly and increase slippage.

Concentration
High

Top 10 wallets hold 92.3% of supply in aggregate; no classified holder list is available to confirm whether this reflects protocol/exchange-held supply or individually dumpable positions, so the risk is treated as elevated pending better visibility.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security audit data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than an evidenced assessment.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme-token launchpad style asset with a fee-sharing buyback model, it may attract regulatory scrutiny typical of the broader token-launch/meme sector, though no specific regulatory action is indicated in the data provided.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($136,732) relative to valuation increases slippage and price-impact risk for meaningfully sized trades
  • 30-day price decline of -24.1% shows the token remains well below recent highs, sitting at just 25% of its 91-day range
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration of 92.3% with no classification data leaves dumpable-supply risk unverified
  • No smart-money, whale-transaction, or contract-security data is available, reducing visibility into insider behavior and code risk

Mitigating Factors

  • Token has traded on-chain for 23.8 months, longer than most speculative meme-token launches
  • Current 24h buy pressure (72.7%) and a positive 7-day trend (+7.8%) suggest some renewed near-term demand

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for risk-tolerant, experienced traders comfortable with thin-liquidity microcap tokens and unverifiable holder/security data; not suitable for risk-averse or passive investors.

FLAY's fee-to-creator/buyback model and nearly two-year trading history provide some differentiation among meme-launchpad tokens, but thin liquidity, a still-depressed price within its 91-day range, and unverifiable holder concentration keep overall risk elevated. Short-term price action is stabilizing off support with a positive 7-day trend, but the medium-term structure remains negative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A sustained reclaim of the $0.004708 immediate resistance triggers momentum buying, pushing price back toward the $0.009256 major resistance seen earlier in the 91-day window.

  • +Continued buy-side dominance (currently 72.7% of 24h volume)
  • +Positive 7-day momentum (+7.8%) extending into a broader reversal
Base Case

Price consolidates between the immediate support ($0.004575) and immediate resistance ($0.004708) as the market digests the recent bounce, with continued high daily volatility (6.5% stdev).

  • No major liquidity or holder-composition changes occur in the near term
  • Trading volume remains low (roughly $9K combined over 24h), limiting decisive breakouts in either direction
Bear Case
Medium

Price fails to hold the $0.004575 immediate support, resuming the 30-day downtrend (-24.1%) and retesting the major support / 91-day low near $0.003171.

  • -Thin $136,732 liquidity amplifying downside price moves
  • -The broader 30-day trend remains net negative despite the recent bounce

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 12, 2026, 08:45 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as provided by the data provider snapshot
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.00468890405983
Market Cap$2.81M
24h Volume$9.0K
Holders903
Liquidity$136.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and whale-transaction data were unavailable for this chain
  • No smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data was available
  • No contract-security audit data was available
  • No per-wallet holder list was available, limiting concentration analysis to an aggregate top-10 percentage

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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