ERA

Caldera Price Today & AI Analysis

ERAEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 21, 2026

Price

$0.0666

+14.86% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe2ad0bf751834f2fbdc62a41014f84d67ca1de2a

Holders

17.8K

Market cap

$66.58M

Liquidity

$4.37K

At a $500M market cap, $ERA would be $0.5000 (7.51x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ERA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 16

No red flags

No red flags so far, though the contract test was not conclusive.

  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about ERA

3 free answers a day

More tokens on Ethereum

Caldera: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-21 04:15 UTC

Holder addresses

18,929

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$39,772.83
How concentrated is Caldera ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 18,929 addresses (2026-07-21 04:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Caldera?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Caldera liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-21 04:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $39,772.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-21 04:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 21, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$18.33M

24h Volume

$12.82K

Liquidity

$39.77K

FDV

—

Holders

18,929

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Caldera (ERA) is a 15.8-month-old Ethereum-based utility token for a modular blockchain infrastructure project that claims over $1B TVL and 17M unique wallets across its rollup ecosystem. At $0.1049 per token, ERA carries an $18.3M market cap but only $39.8K in DEX liquidity, making it structurally illiquid relative to its valuation. The token has surged ~70% in 24 hours on thin volume, but the 31-day holder trend is consistently declining and two of the three largest individual whale wallets received their positions via transfer just days ago, representing significant insider overhang. The security score of 63/100 and highly concentrated supply (top 10 hold 92%) compound the risk profile.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 21, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Backed by a live infrastructure product with claimed $1B+ TVL and 550M transactions — not a purely speculative token
  • Extreme liquidity-to-market-cap mismatch ($39.8K liquidity vs $18.3M market cap) creates both opportunity and severe exit risk
  • Two major whale wallets totaling 31.26% of supply were activated within the last week via transfers, representing fresh insider overhang with no market cost basis

Caldera AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

ERA has surged ~70% in 24 hours and ~60% in the 4-hour window, a move driven by thin liquidity ($39.8K pool) rather than broad market participation — only 46 unique buyers executed that rally. Parabolic moves on shallow liquidity historically mean-revert sharply, and the declining holder base (down 325 over 31 days) provides no organic demand floor to sustain the price. The 60.6% buy pressure is real but the absolute dollar volumes ($7.8K buys vs $5K sells) are too small to signal institutional conviction.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 31-day holder trajectory shows a steady bleed from 18,993 to 18,668 holders — a net loss of 325 wallets with no reversal signal. Combined with a fully diluted valuation of $104.9M against only $39.8K in liquidity and a market cap of $18.3M, the token is structurally illiquid and vulnerable to any meaningful sell pressure from the 35.6% dumpable supply. Without a catalyst that drives genuine new-wallet adoption, the medium-term path of least resistance is lower.

Bullish Factors

  • 60.6% buy pressure over 24 hours with 186 buy transactions vs 119 sell transactions indicates short-term demand exceeds supply at current prices
  • Caldera's described ecosystem metrics (1B+ TVL, 550M transactions, 17M unique wallets) suggest an operational product with real usage, which could attract token demand if awareness grows
  • The 4-hour window shows 156 buys vs 91 sells from 36 unique buyers, suggesting the buying activity is not concentrated in a single wallet

Bearish Factors

  • The 31-day holder timeseries shows a continuous decline from 18,993 to 18,668 holders — a -1.5% net loss over 30 days with no reversal, indicating organic demand is eroding
  • The two largest individual whale wallets (25.04% and 6.22% of supply) were first active on July 15–17, 2025 — days before this analysis — and received their positions via transfer, not market buys, marking them as insider/airdrop recipients who face zero cost basis and maximum incentive to sell
  • Total liquidity of only $39.8K against an $18.3M market cap creates extreme slippage risk; any whale exit from the 35.6% dumpable supply would collapse the price
  • The FDV of $104.9M is 5.7x the current market cap despite 100% of supply already circulating, implying the market is pricing in significant dilution risk or the circulating supply figure is unreliable

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ERA call history

Full track record →

Jul 21bearish
24h-11.0%
7d-29.0%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xe2ad...de2a
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Insider whale dump risk: two wallets holding a combined 31.26% of supply were activated July 15–17, 2025 via transfers with zero cost basis — a single decision to sell would be catastrophic for the $39.8K liquidity pool
  • Liquidity collapse risk: the 0.22% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio means the token's stated market cap is largely theoretical; actual realizable value for most holders is a fraction of the implied price due to slippage
  • Declining holder base: 325 net holders lost over 31 days with no reversal, including 109 lost during a 70% price spike — this signals that even positive price action is not attracting new participants, pointing to structural demand weakness

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour buy/sell ratio (60.6% buys) and transaction count imbalance (186 buys vs 119 sells) reflect genuine short-term buying interest, but the absolute volumes — $7.8K buys and $5K sells — are micro-scale and insufficient to sustain a $18.3M market cap. The spike in activity is concentrated in the 4-hour window (156 of 186 daily buys occurred there), suggesting a coordinated or momentum-driven event rather than sustained organic accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term price action is technically an uptrend given the 70% 24-hour and 60% 4-hour gains, but this move is occurring on a token with no OHLC history available, $39.8K liquidity, and a decelerating buy rate — characteristics of a liquidity-thin pump rather than a sustainable trend. The medium-term context is bearish: the holder base has declined continuously for 31 days, and the token's structural illiquidity means any reversal will be swift and deep.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 70% single-day gain on $12.8K total volume in a $39.8K liquidity pool represents extreme relative momentum. The deceleration from 156 buys in the 4-hour window to 34 buys in the most recent hour signals momentum exhaustion. Without fresh catalysts or significantly larger capital inflows, mean-reversion pressure is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy

60.6%

Sell

39.4%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Total 24-hour volume of $12.8K ($7.8K buys + $5K sells) is concentrated in the 4-hour spike window. The hourly rate has dropped sharply — the 1-hour window shows near-parity between buys and sells (34 vs 30), indicating the volume surge is dissipating. On a $39.8K liquidity pool, even this modest volume level caused a 60%+ price move, underscoring how thin the order book is.

Recent Price Action

Vertical spike: +59.8% in 4 hours followed by deceleration to near-flat in the most recent hour (+0.89% over 5 minutes, -1.19% over 1 hour), consistent with a pump-and-plateau pattern on thin liquidity.

Vertical spikes on thin liquidity pools that decelerate within the same session typically resolve with a partial or full retracement as early buyers take profit and the absence of new demand becomes apparent. The -1.19% 1-hour reading may be the early signal of that reversion.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 70% single-day price move on $12.8K of volume in a $39.8K pool demonstrates extreme price sensitivity. The token can move double-digit percentages on trades of a few hundred dollars, making volatility risk severe for any position size above micro-scale.

  • LiquidityHigh

    At $39.8K total liquidity against an $18.3M market cap (0.22% ratio), ERA is critically illiquid. Exit slippage for any position above a few hundred dollars will be material, and a single whale exit could drain the pool entirely.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a blockchain infrastructure project operating across multiple chains, ERA faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to the broader crypto sector, particularly regarding utility token classification in major jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Insider whale dump risk: two wallets holding a combined 31.26% of supply were activated July 15–17, 2025 via transfers with zero cost basis — a single decision to sell would be catastrophic for the $39.8K liquidity pool
  • Liquidity collapse risk: the 0.22% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio means the token's stated market cap is largely theoretical; actual realizable value for most holders is a fraction of the implied price due to slippage
  • Declining holder base: 325 net holders lost over 31 days with no reversal, including 109 lost during a 70% price spike — this signals that even positive price action is not attracting new participants, pointing to structural demand weakness

Mitigating Factors

  • Caldera's described ecosystem metrics ($1B+ TVL, 550M transactions, 17M unique wallets) suggest a live, operational product with real usage that could drive future token demand if the project gains broader recognition
  • Protocol/contract addresses hold ~57% of the top-10 supply, providing a structural floor that limits the freely circulating dumpable supply to 35.6% rather than the full 92% top-10 concentration figure

Investor Suitability

ERA is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with deep familiarity with micro-cap, low-liquidity tokens who can afford to lose their entire position. Position sizing must be minimal given the slippage constraints. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquidity, or anyone allocating more than a speculative fraction of their portfolio.

ERA presents a binary risk profile: a live infrastructure project with credible ecosystem metrics on one hand, and a critically illiquid token with fresh insider whale overhang and a declining holder base on the other. The near-term risk is dominated by the structural vulnerabilities; the medium-term thesis depends entirely on whether Caldera's ecosystem traction translates into genuine token demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Caldera's $1B+ TVL ecosystem gains mainstream recognition, driving a new wave of token buyers that reverses the holder decline. The Metalayer cross-chain product achieves a major integration or partnership that creates genuine utility demand for ERA, attracting liquidity providers and pushing the liquidity pool to a level that can support the market cap.

  • Successful Metalayer adoption driving cross-chain fee demand for ERA tokens
  • Broader modular blockchain sector rotation attracting capital to interoperability tokens

Base Case

The 70% price spike partially retraces over the next 7–14 days as buy momentum exhausts and no major new catalyst emerges. The token stabilizes at a lower price level with continued slow holder attrition, trading in a thin range on Uniswap v3 until a project-level announcement or broader market event creates a new directional move.

  • Insider whale wallets continue holding in the near term, avoiding a catastrophic liquidity event
  • No major Caldera ecosystem announcement materializes in the next 30 days to drive new wallet adoption

Bear Case

High probability

One or both of the freshly activated insider whale wallets (25.04% and 6.22% of supply) begin selling into the thin $39.8K liquidity pool. Even a partial exit of 5% of their combined holdings would represent ~$275K of sell pressure against a pool that moved 60% on $12.8K of buys — a price collapse of 80%+ is mathematically plausible. The declining holder trend accelerates as retail participants exit.

  • Zero-cost-basis insider whale selling into the post-spike price elevation
  • Continued holder base erosion with no catalyst to attract new buyers reversing the 31-day declining trend

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 21, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-21 04:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.104918209956842756

Market Cap

$18.33M

24h Volume

$12.8K

Holders

18,929

Liquidity

$39,772.83

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (31-day daily timeseries)Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)Smart contract security assessment (63/100 score, verification status)Whale wallet forensics (first-active dates, acquisition method lookup)Smart money realized PnL dataToken fundamentals and project description

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history is available, preventing any swing-based technical level computation or historical volatility analysis
  • The FDV vs market cap discrepancy ($104.9M vs $18.3M with 100% circulating supply) could not be resolved from available data and may indicate a data inconsistency
  • Smart money data shows six wallets with identical PnL figures, suggesting a possible data artifact that limits the reliability of smart money signals
  • Project description metrics ($1B TVL, 550M transactions, 17M wallets) are self-reported and could not be independently verified from the provided data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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