RFD

REFUND Price Today & AI Analysis

RFDEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 10, 2026

Price

$0.051959

+8.03% 24h

Contract

Live
0x955d5c14c8d4944da1ea7836bd44d54a8ec35ba1

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

6.9K

Market cap

$1.96M

Liquidity

$566.91K

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REFUND: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-10 06:16 UTC

Holder addresses

6,859

Top 10 supply share

13.28%

Reported liquidity

$566,910.00
How concentrated is REFUND ownership?
As of 2026-10-10 06:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 13.28% of supply. It reports 6,859 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling REFUND?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-10 06:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $38,219.00 in buys and $1,338.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is REFUND liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +3.54%, from $961,231.03 (2026-10-09 07:00 UTC) to $995,212.22 (2026-10-10 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-10 06:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-09 07:00 UTC$961,231.03
2026-10-09 09:00 UTC$963,223.62
2026-10-09 10:00 UTC$962,084.29
2026-10-09 11:00 UTC$969,858.29
2026-10-09 12:00 UTC$966,037.03
2026-10-09 14:00 UTC$965,301.56
2026-10-09 15:00 UTC$964,048.41
2026-10-09 16:00 UTC$967,375.39
2026-10-09 20:00 UTC$960,612.28
2026-10-09 23:00 UTC$964,572.59
2026-10-10 01:00 UTC$965,675.35
2026-10-10 02:00 UTC$966,887.50
2026-10-10 05:00 UTC$995,212.22

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 10, 2026, 06:16 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.96M

24h Volume

$39.56K

Liquidity

$566.91K

FDV

—

Holders

6,859

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

REFUND (RFD) is an Ethereum token created 40.7 months ago, trading on Uniswap at about $0.00000196 with a $1.96M market cap and 6,859 holders. Its full 1 trillion supply is shown as circulating. Price has trended up steadily over 90 days and sits at the top of its range, but trading activity is very thin. The project description relies on promotional and anonymity-based claims that the data cannot verify.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 10, 2026, 06:16 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Anonymous-founder branding ('BLURR') presented as a decentralization symbol
  • Claimed hyper-deflationary contract and locked liquidity, neither verifiable from the provided data
  • Relatively broad holder base (6,859) for a $1.96M market cap

REFUND AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

RFD closed at $0.000001959, the top of its 91-day range, and is up 5.3% over 7 days and 21.5% over 30 days. The latest daily close jumped from $0.000001846 to $0.000001959, a breakout above the prior $0.000001907 high. The 24h move (+8.0%) is secondary; the multi-window trend is what supports a bullish lean, though price is extended after a sharp final-day candle.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 90-day gain of +58.7% and 30-day gain of +21.5% show a persistent higher-low structure, and price sits at 100% of its range. Daily volatility is a moderate 3.0%, so the trend has been orderly rather than spiky. Continuation depends on new demand, since this uptrend is occurring on thin trading activity.

Bullish Factors

  • Price is at 100% of its 91-day range ($0.000001234 to $0.000001959) with 7d/30d/90d gains of +5.3%/+21.5%/+58.7%
  • Daily volatility of 3.0% suggests a steady, orderly climb rather than a pump-and-dump spike
  • Liquidity of about $567K is roughly 29% of the $1.96M market cap, a fairly sturdy ratio for a micro-cap

Bearish Factors

  • Price is pressing against the computed resistance at $0.000001959 with no higher computed level above it, so there is no structural reference for further upside
  • 24h volume is only about $39.6K across 21 transactions, so the move rests on very few participants
  • Top-10 holders own 13.3%, but without a wallet list we cannot tell whether that share is dumpable
  • Project narrative (anonymous founder, 'hyper-deflationary' and 'genesis whale' claims) is unverified marketing language

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RFD call history

Full track record →

Oct 10bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x955d...5ba1
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Price at the top of its range with only 21 trades in 24h, so a reversal can be sharp
  • Project claims (locked liquidity, deflation, founder status) cannot be verified from the data
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and whale behavior are all uninspected

Trading Insight

bullish

Buy volume dominated in the last 24h ($38,219 vs $1,338), but that comes from only 13 buys and 8 sells. The skew is real, yet with so few trades it can be driven by one or two large orders, so sentiment is moderately bullish rather than strongly so.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Closes rose from $0.000001815 to $0.000001959 over the last 14 days, with one dip to $0.000001800 quickly recovered. The 30d and 90d gains confirm a durable uptrend.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Price at the top of its 91-day range after a roughly 6% final-day gain suggests short-term stretched momentum. No RSI or similar indicator is provided, so this is inferred from range position and the latest candle.

Volume Analysis

Buy

96.6%

Sell

3.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only a 24h snapshot is available, so a volume trend cannot be measured; 24h volume of about $39.6K is light against $567K liquidity. Buying dominated by value.

Recent Price Action

Two weeks of tight consolidation between roughly $0.0000018 and $0.0000019 followed by a breakout daily close at $0.000001959.

Breakouts from consolidation can start new legs higher, but on thin volume they are also prone to failing and retesting the breakout zone.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000001880

Major support

$0.000001234

Immediate resistance

$0.000001959

Major resistance

$0.000001959

Price sits right at the computed resistance, so a hold above it would turn it into support. Immediate support at $0.000001880 is close to current price, while major support at $0.000001234 is the 91-day low, about 37% below, meaning a failed breakout has a wide area to fall through.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

66/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily volatility is 3.0%, moderate for a micro-cap, though thin trading can produce abrupt gaps.

  • LiquidityMedium

    $567K liquidity is decent relative to the $1.96M market cap, but daily volume of about $39.6K and few participants mean exits of size could move price.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top-10 holders own 13.3%, which is modest, but per-wallet classification is unavailable so dumpable supply is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Anonymous-founder, community-token structure with no clear utility sits in a grey regulatory area, as with most meme-style assets.

Key Risks

  • Price at the top of its range with only 21 trades in 24h, so a reversal can be sharp
  • Project claims (locked liquidity, deflation, founder status) cannot be verified from the data
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and whale behavior are all uninspected

Mitigating Factors

  • Liquidity is about 29% of market cap
  • Token has existed for 40.7 months with 6,859 holders

Investor Suitability

Only high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford total loss and who independently verify the contract, liquidity locks and ownership.

RFD shows a consistent 90-day uptrend and a sturdy liquidity-to-market-cap ratio, but the thesis rests on thin trading and unverified project claims. Upside depends on sustained buyers; downside is wide if the breakout fails.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

A confirmed close above $0.000001959 attracts more buyers and extends the 90-day trend into new highs.

  • Breakout holds and resistance flips to support
  • Unique buyer count rises meaningfully above current levels

Base Case

Price consolidates around $0.00000188 to $0.00000196 while the market tests the breakout, with a modest upward bias.

  • Liquidity stays near $567K
  • No major supply or contract event occurs

Bear Case

Medium probability

The breakout fails on thin volume and price retraces through $0.000001880, with risk of a larger decline toward the range low.

  • Low participation cannot sustain the final-day spike
  • Profit-taking after a 58.7% 90-day gain

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 10, 2026, 06:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-10 06:16 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000019588207789

Market Cap

$1.96M

24h Volume

$39.6K

Holders

6,859

Liquidity

$566,910.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Smart-money, deployer and launch-allocation forensics were unavailable
  • 24h trading sample is very small (21 transactions)
  • Project claims in the description are unverified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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