ORX

Ouroboros Price Today & AI Analysis

ORX
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 7, 2026

$0.000607

-16.39%24h
LiveContract:0xd536e7a9543cf9867a580b45cec7f748a1fe11ecChain:EthereumHolders:1.2KMarket cap:$338.56KLiquidity:$12.61K

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Ask Unhosted AI about ORX

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 7, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC
Market Cap

$338.56K

24h Volume

$11.80K

Liquidity

$12.61K

FDV

—

Holders

1.2K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Ouroboros (ORX) is a 22.8-month-old Ethereum-based deflationary token with a self-described buy-and-burn, fee-sharing, and staking model positioned as the hub of the Ouroboros Foundation's DeFi ecosystem. At a market cap of approximately $338,565 and liquidity of just $12,613, it remains a micro-cap asset with very limited trading depth. The token has delivered a 90-day gain of +34.0% from its cycle low but is currently in a short-term correction, sitting at 37% of its 91-day range with a -15.9% 7-day return. Significant data gaps — including no per-wallet holder forensics, no smart-money data, and no contract-security audit — mean the risk profile cannot be fully characterised.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 7, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
100% buy-and-burn deflationary mechanism combined with fee-sharing to stakers, creating a dual incentive for holding
Positioned as the central token for all future DeFi products deployed by the Ouroboros Foundation, giving it potential ecosystem utility beyond a standalone asset
Unique vesting lockup and buyback mechanics designed to create a rapidly expanding and contracting supply cycle

Ouroboros AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

ORX is in a clear short-term downtrend, with the 7-day return at -15.9% and the price sitting at only 37% of its 91-day range. The recent daily close sequence shows a consistent step-down from $0.000771 to $0.000614, with no sign of a reversal. Sell pressure at 54.4% and a net sell volume imbalance ($6,424 vs $5,375) reinforce the near-term bearish bias.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

Despite the near-term weakness, the 90-day return of +34.0% demonstrates that ORX has meaningful upside capacity from its cycle low of $0.0003818. If the token can stabilise near immediate support and the broader deflationary mechanics reduce circulating supply, a recovery toward the $0.001005 major resistance is plausible over a 30–90 day horizon. However, the 30-day return of -9.7% signals that the medium-term recovery thesis requires a catalyst to materialise.

Bullish Factors
  • +90-day return of +34.0% confirms the token has demonstrated meaningful upside from its cycle low of $0.0003818, showing genuine demand exists at lower price levels
  • +Buy transaction count (77) far exceeds sell transaction count (27) over 24 hours, indicating a larger number of participants are entering rather than exiting despite the price decline
  • +Deflationary tokenomics — 100% buy-and-burn mechanics — structurally reduce circulating supply over time, which can create a price floor if buy volume is sustained
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day return of -15.9% and a consistent step-down in daily closes from $0.000771 to $0.000614 confirm an active short-term downtrend with no reversal signal yet
  • -Total liquidity of only $12,613 is extremely thin, meaning even modest sell orders can move the price sharply and amplify downside volatility
  • -The top 10 holders control 72.2% of supply; with per-wallet data unavailable, the risk that concentrated holders are distributing into buy-side demand cannot be ruled out

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ORX call history

Full track record →
Sep 7bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xd536...11ec
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: at $12,613 total liquidity, a single large holder exit or LP withdrawal could collapse the tradeable market entirely, trapping remaining holders with no exit
•Concentration risk without classification: 72.2% top-10 holder concentration with no wallet-level data means the possibility of coordinated distribution by insiders or large holders cannot be ruled out
•Roadmap execution risk: the token's value proposition depends entirely on the Ouroboros Foundation delivering functional DeFi products that generate fee revenue; after 22.8 months, no launched products are evidenced in the available data

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is modestly bearish: sell-side dollar volume ($6,424) exceeds buy-side ($5,375) over 24 hours, and the price has declined -16.4% in that window. However, the asymmetry between buyer count (44 unique buyers) and seller count (11 unique sellers) suggests a small number of larger sellers are driving the price down against a broader but smaller-sized buying base.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Both the 7-day (-15.9%) and 30-day (-9.7%) returns are negative, and the daily close sequence over the past two weeks shows a clear descending staircase from $0.000771 down to $0.000614. The price at 37% of its 91-day range confirms it is closer to the cycle low ($0.0003818) than the cycle high ($0.001005), and there is no technical evidence of a base forming yet.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With 14 consecutive daily closes trending lower and the price sitting near the lower third of its 91-day range, momentum is deeply negative on both short and medium timeframes. The 11.3% daily volatility stdev means oversold conditions can persist or deepen before a reversal, but the proximity to immediate support at $0.0006089 creates a potential technical bounce zone.

Volume Analysis

Buy 45.6%Sell 54.4%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of $11,799 is modest in absolute terms but represents meaningful turnover relative to the $12,613 liquidity pool — nearly matching the entire pool in a single day. This level of volume-to-liquidity ratio amplifies price impact and explains the -16.4% intraday move. Volume distribution (54.4% sell, 45.6% buy) confirms net outflow pressure.

Recent Price Action

Descending sequence of daily closes over the past 14 sessions, with the most recent close at $0.000614 representing the lowest point in the observable window. The price briefly spiked to $0.000902 mid-sequence before resuming the downtrend, suggesting a failed recovery attempt.

A sustained series of lower closes without a higher-low formation is a classic distribution or capitulation pattern. The failed mid-sequence recovery near $0.000902 indicates resistance was encountered well below the major resistance level, which is a bearish structural signal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0006089
Major$0.0003818
Resistance
Immediate$0.0006561
Major$0.001005

Immediate support at $0.0006089 is the nearest OHLC-derived floor and is being tested given the current price of $0.000614 — a close below this level would open a path toward the major support at $0.0003818, which represents the 91-day cycle low. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.0006561 is the first hurdle for any recovery; reclaiming it would be the minimum requirement to shift short-term sentiment. The major resistance at $0.001005 represents the 91-day cycle high and would require a +65% move from current levels.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return standard deviation of 11.3% is extremely high, implying that a one-standard-deviation daily move could erase or add over 11% of value. The 91-day range spans from $0.0003818 to $0.001005 — a 163% spread — confirming that ORX is subject to violent price swings that are unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $12,613 on Uniswap is critically shallow. The 24-hour volume of $11,799 nearly equals the entire liquidity pool, meaning the pool is being turned over almost daily. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage, and a liquidity provider withdrawal could render the token effectively untradeable.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 72.2% of the 557.9 million token supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it is impossible to determine how much of this concentration represents protocol/staking contracts versus individual wallets with dumpable positions. In the absence of that classification, this must be treated as high concentration risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an actual assessment. The complex mechanics described — buy-and-burn, vesting lockups, buybacks, fee distribution — increase the attack surface relative to a simple ERC-20. Independent audit verification is strongly recommended.

Regulatory
Medium

Fee-sharing and staking mechanics may attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify yield-bearing tokens as securities. The Ouroboros Foundation's jurisdiction and regulatory status are unknown from available data.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: at $12,613 total liquidity, a single large holder exit or LP withdrawal could collapse the tradeable market entirely, trapping remaining holders with no exit
  • •Concentration risk without classification: 72.2% top-10 holder concentration with no wallet-level data means the possibility of coordinated distribution by insiders or large holders cannot be ruled out
  • •Roadmap execution risk: the token's value proposition depends entirely on the Ouroboros Foundation delivering functional DeFi products that generate fee revenue; after 22.8 months, no launched products are evidenced in the available data

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has survived 22.8 months without an apparent rug or complete abandonment, which is a positive longevity signal relative to the high failure rate of micro-cap tokens
  • •Fully circulating supply with no locked allocations means there are no scheduled token unlocks that could create sudden sell pressure

Investor Suitability

ORX is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative investors who understand micro-cap DeFi tokens, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have independently verified the contract security and team credibility. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking liquidity, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

ORX presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity built on a deflationary fee-sharing model that is structurally sound in design but unproven in execution at scale. The 90-day +34% return demonstrates that the token can appreciate meaningfully, but the current short-term downtrend, critically thin liquidity, and unverifiable contract security create substantial barriers to a confident investment case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The Ouroboros Foundation launches one or more DeFi products that generate meaningful fee revenue, driving sustained buy volume that activates the burn mechanics at scale. This reduces circulating supply, increases staking yields, and attracts new holders — pushing the price back toward and potentially beyond the $0.001005 cycle high.

  • +Successful DeFi product launch generating verifiable fee revenue and on-chain activity
  • +Sustained buy volume exceeding sell pressure, activating the deflationary burn loop at a meaningful rate
Base Case

ORX consolidates in the $0.0006089–$0.0006561 range near immediate support and resistance, with low volume and no major catalyst in either direction. The deflationary mechanics provide a slow structural tailwind but are insufficient to drive a significant price move without a product launch or broader market catalyst.

  • •No major DeFi product launch occurs in the near term to shift fundamental demand
  • •Liquidity remains at current thin levels without a significant LP withdrawal or addition
Bear Case
Medium

Liquidity continues to thin as larger holders distribute into retail buying interest, the DeFi roadmap fails to materialise or is delayed further, and the price breaks below immediate support at $0.0006089 toward the major support at $0.0003818. A liquidity provider withdrawal could accelerate this scenario significantly.

  • -Continued sell pressure from concentrated top-10 holders distributing into thin liquidity
  • -Absence of a product launch catalyst leaving the token without a fundamental demand driver

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 7, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000606841862552
Market Cap$338.6K
24h Volume$11.8K
Holders1,216
Liquidity$12.6K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history is unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of wallet accumulation or distribution over time
  • •Whale-transaction and individual wallet data are unavailable, making it impossible to classify top-10 holder concentration as protocol contracts versus dumpable individual positions
  • •Contract-security data (audit score, honeypot check, ownership status) is not available from this chain's data provider
  • •Smart-money cohort and profitable-trader data are unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital flows
  • •Launch-transfer forensics and deployer profile data are unavailable, so insider allocation risk at genesis cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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