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Chainalysis Price Today & AI Analysis

CHAINEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

Price

$1.53

+0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0xcf7311fdd92dc2bce069af9de67dea60ec526e2f

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

153

Market cap

$152.77M

Liquidity

$10.60K

At a $500M market cap, $CHAIN would be $5 (3.27x from today’s price)

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Chainalysis: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 07:45 UTC

Holder addresses

153

Top 10 supply share

75.11%

Reported liquidity

$10,598.00
How concentrated is Chainalysis ownership?
As of 2026-10-16 07:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 75.11% of supply. It reports 153 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Chainalysis?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 07:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $0.00 in buys and $0.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Chainalysis liquidity falling?
As of 2026-10-16 07:45 UTC, reported liquidity was $10,598.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 07:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 16, 2026, 07:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$152.77M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$10.60K

FDV

—

Holders

153

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Chainalysis (CHAIN) is an Ethereum token 5 days old, quoted at about $1.53 with a $152.8M market cap and only $10,598 of liquidity. Price rose from $0.0007517 to $1.59 over four days, then flatlined with no trades in the last 24 hours. No description, social links or category data are available, and the name matches a known company without any verified link.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 16, 2026, 07:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme valuation-to-liquidity gap: $152.8M market cap vs $10,598 liquidity
  • Name resembles an established blockchain analytics company with no verified affiliation
  • Top 10 holders hold 75.1% across just 153 holders

Chainalysis AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token went from $0.0007517 to roughly $1.53 in four daily closes and has since printed three identical closes at $1.53 with zero trades in 24h. After a parabolic move, a flat, untraded price is not evidence of stability; with only $10,598 in liquidity, the risk of sharp mean reversion outweighs continuation.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

A roughly 2,000x rise in under a week, 1471.7% daily volatility, a $152.8M market cap backed by about $10.6K of liquidity, and no observed trading activity make the quoted valuation fragile. The skew favors a significant drawdown toward lower levels, though thin liquidity means price can also stay stale.

Bullish Factors

  • Price sits at 96% of its 7-day range ($0.0007513 to $1.6), showing strong momentum from launch.
  • Price has held at $1.53 for three consecutive daily closes, just under the $1.59 resistance, with no observed selling.

Bearish Factors

  • The $152.8M market cap is about 14,400x the $10,598 liquidity, so the valuation cannot be realized by sellers.
  • Zero buys and sells in 24h, 4h and 1h means the $1.53 price is stale and may not be tradable.
  • Top 10 holders control 75.1% of supply, and 100% of supply is listed as circulating.
  • Daily volatility of 1471.7% reflects extreme price instability typical of newly launched tokens.
  • The token is named after an established company (Chainalysis) but has no description, no social links and no category data, so any affiliation is unverified and impersonation is a possible risk.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

CHAIN call history

Full track record →

Oct 16bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xcf73...6e2f
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Valuation is not realizable: $152.8M market cap vs $10,598 liquidity
  • No trading activity in 24h means the quoted price may be stale and exit may be impossible
  • High concentration (75.1% top 10) with unknown holder types
  • Unverified use of a known company's name with no description or social links

Trading Insight

neutral

There were no transactions in the last 24 hours, so the 50/50 buy/sell split is a default and not a signal. The market is inactive at the observed price.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The last three closes are flat at $1.53 after a vertical climb from $0.0007517, so the short-term is sideways, driven by lack of trading. The 7-day window is an uptrend, but it is too short and too extreme to be reliable.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Price at 96% of its 7-day range after a multi-thousand-fold rise signals extreme overextension. No RSI-style indicators are available; this is judged from OHLC range position.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume is zero across 1h, 4h and 24h windows. Earlier volume history is not provided, but the stall in price coincides with trading drying up.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic advance ($0.0007517 → $0.02939 → $0.6650 → $1.59) followed by three flat closes at $1.53.

Parabolic launches followed by stagnation on no volume often precede sharp reversals or indicate an illiquid, unreliable price.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.6650

Major support

$0.0007513

Immediate resistance

$1.59

Major resistance

$1.6

Immediate support at $0.6650 is the prior day's close, about 56% below the current price. Major support at $0.0007513 is the launch low, so a failure there would erase essentially all gains. Resistance at $1.59 and $1.6 sits just above the price, leaving little upside room within the observed range.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation is 1471.7%, and price rose from $0.0007517 to $1.53 within a week.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $10,598 liquidity is tiny relative to the $152.8M market cap; even small sells could move the price drastically, and no trades occurred in 24h.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders hold 75.1% of supply. Wallet-level classification is unavailable, so whether they are contracts or individuals is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The token name resembles an established company, raising possible trademark or impersonation issues; no project information is available to assess further.

Key Risks

  • Valuation is not realizable: $152.8M market cap vs $10,598 liquidity
  • No trading activity in 24h means the quoted price may be stale and exit may be impossible
  • High concentration (75.1% top 10) with unknown holder types
  • Unverified use of a known company's name with no description or social links

Mitigating Factors

  • Full supply is circulating, so there are no scheduled unlocks
  • Price has held steady at $1.53 for three closes with no observed selling

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for investors with very high risk tolerance who can afford a total loss and who independently verify the contract and project legitimacy. Not suitable for most investors.

The data does not support a fundamentals-based thesis: there is no project information, liquidity is extremely thin and the price has been untraded. Any position is speculative and carries the risk of total loss.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Verified project backing emerges, liquidity grows substantially and organic trading supports a price near the $1.53-$1.60 range.

  • Credible disclosure of purpose and team
  • Substantial liquidity additions and broad holder growth

Base Case

Price stays stale near $1.53 with sporadic trades, then reprices lower when meaningful volume arrives.

  • Liquidity remains thin
  • No verified project information emerges

Bear Case

High probability

Any real selling hits thin liquidity, price falls toward the $0.6650 support or lower, and holders cannot exit at quoted prices.

  • Top-10 holders (75.1%) selling into $10.6K liquidity
  • Fading attention after the parabolic launch

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 16, 2026, 07:45 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 07:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.52770704336

Market Cap

$152.77M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

153

Liquidity

$10,598.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 7 days of OHLC history; 7d/30d/90d trend figures unavailable
  • Zero trading activity in 24h, so the current price may not reflect executable prices
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and project information could not be inspected

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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