VUSD

Vetro USD Price Today & AI Analysis

VUSD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 4, 2026

$1.01

-1.61%24h
LiveContract:0xca83dde9c22254f58e771be5e157773212acbac3Chain:EthereumHolders:115Market cap:$494.99KLiquidity:$178.27K

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 4, 2026, 05:31 AM UTC
Market Cap

$494.99K

24h Volume

$24.69K

Liquidity

$178.27K

FDV

—

Holders

115

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Vetro USD (VUSD) is a 5.8-month-old Ethereum token trading at approximately $1.008 with a market cap of roughly $495,000 and total liquidity of $178,270 on Curve. The token's name and near-$1 price suggest an intent to function as a USD-pegged stablecoin, but its 82-day historical range of $0.5257 to $10.33 reveals severe past price instability that is fundamentally incompatible with a reliable peg. With only 115 holders, $24,692 in combined 24-hour volume, and no available project description or security audit data, VUSD is a very small, opaque, and high-risk instrument. Investors should treat the absence of verifiable fundamentals, launch forensics, and contract-security data as material unknowns that significantly elevate risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 4, 2026, 05:31 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Claims stablecoin-like USD peg behavior yet has traded as high as $10.33 and as low as $0.5257 within its 82-day history, a contradiction that demands scrutiny
Extremely small ecosystem: 115 total holders, sub-$500K market cap, and under $180K in liquidity, placing it firmly in micro-cap territory
Deployed on Ethereum and trading on Curve, which are credible infrastructure choices, but no project description or audit data is available to validate the underlying mechanism

Vetro USD AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

VUSD is trading at approximately $1.008, sitting at just 5% of its 82-day range ($0.5257–$10.33), with a 7-day decline of 2.4%. The token appears to be a stablecoin-like instrument that has recently drifted slightly above its $1 peg, but the downward weekly trend and thin liquidity suggest mild downward pressure back toward the $1 immediate support level. The 24-hour sell pressure at 50.6% is marginal noise, but the multi-day trend confirms a soft bearish lean.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Over the 30-day window, VUSD has declined 2.9%, and with no 90-day baseline available, the medium-term picture is shaped by a consistent drift below the $1 level punctuated by brief spikes. The 82-day range reveals a historical high of $10.33 and a low of $0.5257, indicating extreme past volatility that is inconsistent with a stable peg — raising questions about the token's peg mechanism reliability. Without a clear utility description, growing holder base, or smart-money interest, medium-term recovery catalysts are limited.

Bullish Factors
  • +Current price of $1.008 is marginally above the $1.00 immediate support/resistance level, suggesting the peg is holding in the very short term
  • +Buy transaction count (40) significantly outnumbers sell transaction count (11) over 24 hours, indicating more frequent buyer participation even if volumes are roughly balanced
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day price decline of 2.4% and 30-day decline of 2.9% establish a consistent downward trend across both windows
  • -Historical range of $0.5257–$10.33 over 82 days reveals the token has previously lost over 90% of its value from peak, undermining confidence in any peg mechanism
  • -Total liquidity of only $178,270 against a market cap of ~$495,000 means the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 36%, which is thin and exposes holders to significant slippage on any meaningful exit

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

VUSD call history

Full track record →
Sep 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xca83...bac3
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Peg failure risk: VUSD has already traded as low as $0.5257 within its 82-day history, demonstrating that the peg mechanism has broken down before and could do so again, potentially resulting in a ~48% loss from current levels
•Opacity risk: No project description, audit, whitepaper, or collateral disclosure is available — investors cannot verify what backs the token or who controls the minting/burning mechanism
•Liquidity trap risk: With only $178,270 in liquidity and 115 holders, a small number of exits could rapidly exhaust the Curve pool, leaving remaining holders unable to exit at fair value

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour trading data shows near-perfect balance between buy volume ($12,201) and sell volume ($12,491), producing a sentimentScore near zero. However, the asymmetry between buyer count (11 unique buyers) and seller count (8 unique sellers) across 40 buy and 11 sell transactions suggests buyers are making many small purchases while sellers are executing fewer but larger transactions — a pattern worth monitoring.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Both the 7-day (-2.4%) and 30-day (-2.9%) windows show consistent negative returns, establishing a mild but persistent downtrend across both timeframes. The recent daily closes cluster tightly around $0.999–$1.03, with the current price at $1.008 sitting at only 5% of the 82-day range, indicating the token is trading near the lower end of its historical distribution. The 90-day change is unavailable, limiting longer-term trend confirmation.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Price action over the last 14 daily closes shows oscillation between $0.9992 and $1.03 with no sustained directional momentum — the token repeatedly returns to the $1.00 level. Daily volatility of 111.9% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extraordinarily high for a token presenting as a stablecoin, reflecting the historical price extremes rather than current tight-range trading, but it signals that violent moves remain possible.

Volume Analysis

Buy 49.4%Sell 50.6%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of ~$24,692 is consistent with a low-activity micro-cap token. There is no multi-day volume history available to assess a trend, but the current turnover rate of ~5% of market cap per day is low, suggesting limited speculative interest and predominantly organic or routine activity.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a tight mean-reversion pattern around $1.00, with brief excursions to $1.03 followed by returns to $0.999x. This is consistent with a soft-peg mechanism attempting to maintain the $1.00 level, though the mechanism's reliability is unverified.

Mean-reversion around $1.00 in recent sessions suggests the peg is currently functioning within a narrow band, but the historical range to $10.33 and $0.5257 demonstrates that this stability is not guaranteed and has broken down severely in the past.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$1.00
Major$0.5257
Resistance
Immediate$1.00
Major$10.33

The computed immediate support and resistance both sit at $1.00, reflecting the token's current peg-like behavior where $1.00 acts simultaneously as a floor and ceiling in normal conditions. A break below $1.00 toward major support at $0.5257 would represent a ~48% drawdown and signal a peg failure. Major resistance at $10.33 reflects the historical spike high and is not a realistic near-term target given current liquidity and holder dynamics.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 111.9% (annualized standard deviation) is extreme for any token, and especially alarming for one presenting as a stablecoin. The 82-day range of $0.5257 to $10.33 demonstrates that VUSD has experienced both catastrophic depegging below $1 and speculative spikes far above it, making volatility risk very high despite current near-$1 stability.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $178,270 against a market cap of ~$495,000 yields a liquidity ratio of approximately 36%. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will incur meaningful slippage on Curve, and a coordinated exit by top holders could rapidly drain the pool and cause severe price impact.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 25.1% of supply, which is moderate concentration. However, per-wallet data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these are protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual insiders — the true dumpable-supply concentration cannot be assessed, warranting a medium rather than low rating by default.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an actual assessment. The contract has not been independently verified through this analysis, and no audit information is available.

Regulatory
High

USD-pegged stablecoins are under increasing regulatory scrutiny globally, particularly regarding reserve transparency, issuer licensing, and redemption mechanisms. VUSD provides no documentation about its collateral or reserve structure, which creates meaningful regulatory uncertainty if authorities classify it as a payment stablecoin subject to licensing requirements.

Key Risks

  • •Peg failure risk: VUSD has already traded as low as $0.5257 within its 82-day history, demonstrating that the peg mechanism has broken down before and could do so again, potentially resulting in a ~48% loss from current levels
  • •Opacity risk: No project description, audit, whitepaper, or collateral disclosure is available — investors cannot verify what backs the token or who controls the minting/burning mechanism
  • •Liquidity trap risk: With only $178,270 in liquidity and 115 holders, a small number of exits could rapidly exhaust the Curve pool, leaving remaining holders unable to exit at fair value

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has maintained near-$1 pricing across the most recent 14 daily closes, suggesting the peg mechanism is currently functional in low-stress conditions
  • •Deployment on Curve and Ethereum mainnet provides access to established, audited infrastructure even if the token itself lacks documentation

Investor Suitability

VUSD is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant investors who have independently verified the contract, understand the peg mechanism, and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is not appropriate as a stable store of value, a cash equivalent, or a low-risk position in any portfolio context.

VUSD presents as a USD-pegged instrument but lacks the transparency, liquidity depth, and verified peg mechanism required to function reliably as one. The investment thesis is dominated by unknowns: without knowing the collateral model, contract controls, or team identity, any bullish case rests on unverifiable assumptions.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

VUSD successfully establishes itself as a niche stablecoin within the Curve ecosystem, grows its holder base beyond 115, deepens liquidity above $1M, and publishes verifiable collateral disclosures — allowing the peg to hold reliably and the token to gain utility as a trading pair or yield-bearing instrument on Curve.

  • +Successful publication of a credible collateral or algorithmic peg mechanism that attracts institutional or DeFi protocol adoption
  • +Significant liquidity growth on Curve that reduces slippage and enables larger-scale usage
Base Case

VUSD continues to trade in a narrow band around $1.00 with minimal volume and a slowly declining or stagnant holder base, functioning as a low-activity niche instrument on Curve without achieving meaningful adoption or suffering an immediate catastrophic failure.

  • •The peg mechanism continues to function under the current low-volume, low-stress trading conditions
  • •No significant holder exits or external market shocks stress-test the liquidity pool in the near term
Bear Case
Medium

The peg mechanism fails under selling pressure as it has before (evidenced by the $0.5257 historical low), liquidity is drained, and the token depegs permanently — leaving holders with significant losses in a token that was presumed to be stable.

  • -Thin liquidity of $178,270 makes the peg vulnerable to even modest coordinated selling pressure
  • -Complete absence of documentation means there is no verifiable mechanism preventing a repeat of the prior depeg to $0.5257

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 4, 2026, 05:31 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$1.00832433341
Market Cap$495.0K
24h Volume$24.7K
Holders115
Liquidity$178.3K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, size-tier distribution, and individual wallet data were unavailable for this chain, preventing assessment of holder trend, whale behavior, and acquisition patterns
  • •Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable, so large-holder activity and profitable-trader positioning cannot be assessed
  • •Contract-security data is not available on this chain's data provider, meaning reentrancy, ownership, mint/burn controls, and upgrade proxy risks could not be evaluated
  • •No project description, whitepaper, or collateral disclosure was available, making fundamental valuation and peg-mechanism assessment impossible
  • •90-day price change data was unavailable, limiting long-term trend analysis to the 7-day and 30-day windows

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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