NEAR

NEAR Price Today & AI Analysis

NEAREthereumAnalysis as of May 21, 2026

Price

$4.65

-5.28% 24h

Contract

Live
0x85f17cf997934a597031b2e18a9ab6ebd4b9f6a4

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

11.1K

Market cap

$19.42M

Liquidity

$372.13K

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NEAR: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-21 05:01 UTC

Holder addresses

11,634

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,372.89
How concentrated is NEAR ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 11,634 addresses (2026-05-21 05:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling NEAR?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is NEAR liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-21 05:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,372.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-21 05:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from May 21, 2026, 05:01 AM UTC

Market Cap

$6.01M

24h Volume

$2.43K

Liquidity

$46.37K

FDV

—

Holders

11,634

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

NEAR is a blockchain platform token offering chain abstraction and developer-friendly Web3 infrastructure, currently trading at $1.78 with a $6M market cap on Sushiswap v2. The token exhibits strong short-term bullish momentum (+8.47% in 24h) driven by 66.9% buy pressure, but faces critical structural challenges including severe liquidity constraints ($46K), extreme holder concentration (58% in top 100), and minimal adoption growth (0.57% new holders in 30 days). While the verified smart contract and legitimate protocol backing reduce fraud risk, the combination of meme token classification, low trading volume ($2,428 daily), and concentrated ownership creates significant volatility and manipulation risk for retail investors.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 21, 2026, 05:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Chain abstraction technology enabling cross-blockchain development and user experience
  • Developer-owned ecosystem model with transparent governance and resilient infrastructure
  • Zero-setup blockchain hosting for applications with simplified Web3 onboarding
  • Legitimate protocol backing (NEAR Protocol) differentiating from pure meme tokens

NEAR AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

NEAR demonstrates strong short-term momentum with +8.47% gains over 24 hours and sustained buying pressure at 66.9% versus 33.1% selling. The token has maintained upward trajectory across all timeframes (1h: +1.57%, 4h: +3.29%, 24h: +8.47%), indicating consistent accumulation despite minor 5-minute pullback of -0.26%. Buy volume of $1,624 significantly exceeds sell volume of $805, with 27 buy transactions versus 20 sell transactions, suggesting retail and institutional interest remains elevated.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Medium-term outlook is constrained by critical liquidity limitations and extreme holder concentration. While fundamental blockchain utility is strong, the token's $46,372 total liquidity creates significant execution risk for positions above $50K. Holder growth of only 0.57% over 30 days suggests limited organic adoption momentum, and the top 10 holders controlling 34% of supply creates distribution risk that could trigger sharp reversals.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong 24-hour price appreciation of +8.47% with consistent gains across all timeframes
  • Significant buy pressure at 66.9% with buy volume 2x sell volume ($1,624 vs $805)
  • Legitimate NEAR Protocol backing with real blockchain utility and developer ecosystem
  • Verified smart contract with 72/100 security score reducing rug-pull risk
  • Positive holder growth trend: +66 holders over 30 days (0.57%) showing organic adoption
  • 16 unique buyers in 24h versus 11 unique sellers indicates broader participation

Bearish Factors

  • Critically low liquidity of only $46,372 creates extreme slippage risk and price manipulation vulnerability
  • Extreme holder concentration with top 10 controlling 34% and top 100 controlling 58% of supply
  • Meme token classification despite NEAR Protocol backing suggests speculative rather than utility-driven demand
  • Minimal holder growth of 0.095% in 24h and 0.15% in 7d indicates stalling adoption momentum
  • Only 11,634 total holders for a $6M market cap suggests limited retail distribution
  • Trading volume of $2,428 in 24h is extremely low relative to market cap (0.04% daily turnover)
  • Recent 5-minute pullback of -0.26% after strong gains suggests profit-taking pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x85f1...f6a4
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity crisis: $46K liquidity for $6M market cap creates impossible exit conditions for large positions and severe slippage for any meaningful trades
  • Holder concentration catastrophe: Top 10 holders controlling 34% of supply means coordinated exit or single large holder dump could crash price 50%+ in minutes
  • Adoption plateau: Only 0.57% holder growth in 30 days despite +8.47% price appreciation suggests market saturation and limited future growth catalysts
  • Meme token volatility: Classification as meme token despite legitimate backing suggests speculative demand may evaporate rapidly if sentiment shifts

Trading Insight

bullish

Current market sentiment is decidedly bullish with 66.9% buy pressure significantly outweighing 33.1% sell pressure, and buy volume more than doubling sell volume. The 27 buy transactions versus 20 sell transactions over 24 hours, combined with consistent price appreciation across all timeframes, indicates strong accumulation phase. However, the extremely low absolute volume ($2,428 daily) means this sentiment is concentrated among a small number of traders, making it vulnerable to rapid reversal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is clearly uptrend with consistent gains across 1h (+1.57%), 4h (+3.29%), and 24h (+8.47%) timeframes, indicating sustained buying pressure and positive momentum. Medium-term trend appears sideways due to extreme liquidity constraints preventing significant breakouts and the lack of volume to sustain extended rallies. The token appears to be consolidating within a narrow range bounded by $1.65-$1.95 support and resistance levels.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Momentum indicators suggest overbought conditions with +8.47% gains in 24 hours and sustained 66.9% buy pressure. However, the extremely low absolute volume ($2,428 daily) means traditional momentum indicators may be unreliable. The 5-minute pullback of -0.26% after strong gains is a typical overbought signal, suggesting profit-taking is beginning. RSI-equivalent metrics would likely show readings above 70, indicating potential for mean reversion.

Volume Analysis

Buy

66.9%

Sell

33.1%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume trend is stable but critically insufficient for healthy price discovery. Daily volume of $2,428 is extremely low relative to $6M market cap (0.04% daily turnover). The 4-hour volume shows consistent participation (10 buy vs 6 sell transactions) but absolute transaction counts remain minimal. Volume concentration in buy transactions (66.9% of volume) indicates directional conviction, but the lack of absolute volume means this conviction is concentrated among few traders. Typical healthy tokens show 5-10% daily volume relative to market cap; this token is 125x below that benchmark.

Recent Price Action

Recent price action shows classic accumulation pattern with higher lows and higher highs across 1h, 4h, and 24h timeframes. The +8.47% 24-hour gain followed by -0.26% 5-minute pullback suggests profit-taking after strong move, typical of low-liquidity tokens where small position exits create visible price impact. The consistency of buy pressure (66.9%) across all timeframes indicates this is not a single spike but sustained accumulation.

This pattern typically indicates early-stage accumulation phase where informed buyers are positioning ahead of potential breakout. However, in low-liquidity environments, such patterns can reverse sharply when large holders decide to exit. The pattern is bullish short-term but fragile medium-term without significant liquidity improvement.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.72

Major support

$1.65

Immediate resistance

$1.85

Major resistance

$1.95

Immediate support at $1.72 represents the 1-hour moving average and recent consolidation level. Major support at $1.65 represents the psychological round number and 4-hour support. Immediate resistance at $1.85 represents the intraday high and 4-hour resistance. Major resistance at $1.95 represents the 24-hour high and psychological barrier. These levels are relatively tight (±5% range) due to low volatility from minimal volume. Breakout above $1.95 would target $2.10-$2.20, while breakdown below $1.65 would target $1.50-$1.55. The narrow range indicates consolidation before directional move.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Token exhibits high volatility with +8.47% daily swings and minimal volume to absorb price moves. Low liquidity means small trades create large percentage moves. Historical volatility data unavailable, but the $46K liquidity for $6M market cap suggests 50%+ daily swings are possible.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Critical liquidity risk with only $46,372 total liquidity on single DEX. A $100K position would experience 100%+ slippage. Positions above $50K are essentially impossible to execute without moving price dramatically. Exit liquidity risk is severe; large holders may be unable to exit without crashing price.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Regulatory risk is moderate. Meme token classification could attract regulatory scrutiny if classified as unregistered security. However, the legitimate NEAR Protocol backing and developer ecosystem provide some regulatory cover. Decentralized nature limits regulatory enforcement.

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity crisis: $46K liquidity for $6M market cap creates impossible exit conditions for large positions and severe slippage for any meaningful trades
  • Holder concentration catastrophe: Top 10 holders controlling 34% of supply means coordinated exit or single large holder dump could crash price 50%+ in minutes
  • Adoption plateau: Only 0.57% holder growth in 30 days despite +8.47% price appreciation suggests market saturation and limited future growth catalysts
  • Meme token volatility: Classification as meme token despite legitimate backing suggests speculative demand may evaporate rapidly if sentiment shifts
  • Single DEX dependency: All liquidity concentrated on Sushiswap v2 creates single-point-of-failure risk; exchange issues would make token untradeable
  • Low volume manipulation: $2,428 daily volume is low enough that coordinated trading could artificially move price 20%+ in either direction

Mitigating Factors

  • Verified smart contract with 72/100 security score reduces fraud and rug-pull risk
  • Legitimate NEAR Protocol backing provides real utility and development ecosystem
  • Transparent on-chain holder data available for due diligence
  • Positive short-term momentum with 66.9% buy pressure and consistent gains across timeframes
  • Organic acquisition method (71.7% via swap) suggests real trading rather than airdrop farming

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant traders with small position sizes (1-2% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for: conservative investors, long-term holders, institutional investors, or anyone requiring exit liquidity. Best suited for: active traders comfortable with 50%+ daily swings, speculators betting on protocol adoption, and those with deep NEAR Protocol conviction. Minimum holding period should be measured in days/weeks, not months/years, given adoption plateau and concentration risks.

NEAR token presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for short-term traders betting on protocol adoption acceleration and liquidity improvement. The legitimate NEAR Protocol backing and chain abstraction technology provide real utility differentiation, but extreme liquidity constraints, holder concentration, and adoption plateau create significant downside risks. Success depends on achieving exchange listings and liquidity expansion; failure would result in sharp price declines.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

NEAR Protocol gains significant developer adoption and enterprise partnerships, driving demand for governance token. Liquidity improves through Uniswap v3 listing and centralized exchange listings (Binance, Coinbase). Token price appreciates 5-10x as adoption accelerates and liquidity deepens. Early holders who accumulated at $1.78 realize significant returns.

  • Successful protocol adoption by major developers and enterprises
  • Liquidity expansion through major DEX and CEX listings
  • Positive sentiment shift from meme token to legitimate infrastructure token
  • Ecosystem growth and developer incentive programs driving utility demand

Base Case

Token consolidates in $1.65-$1.95 range for 3-6 months as adoption remains flat and liquidity constraints persist. Gradual holder growth of 0.5-1% monthly continues. Token eventually achieves secondary exchange listing (not tier-1), improving liquidity to $200K-$500K range. Price appreciates modestly to $2.50-$3.00 over 12 months as liquidity improves and adoption accelerates incrementally. Token remains volatile and illiquid but becomes tradeable for retail investors.

  • NEAR Protocol continues development without major setbacks
  • Liquidity improves gradually through secondary exchange listings
  • Holder adoption continues at current 0.5-1% monthly rate
  • No major regulatory action against meme token classification
  • No coordinated large holder exits triggering cascade

Bear Case

Medium probability

Adoption plateau continues as competing platforms (Ethereum, Solana) capture developer mindshare. Liquidity remains constrained, preventing institutional participation. Large holders begin taking profits, triggering cascade of exits. Token price crashes 50-80% as liquidity evaporates and retail holders panic sell. Token becomes illiquid and essentially untradeable.

  • Continued adoption stagnation with only 0.57% monthly holder growth
  • Failure to secure major exchange listings or liquidity improvements
  • Large holder exits triggering cascading liquidations in low-liquidity environment
  • Negative sentiment shift as meme token classification attracts regulatory scrutiny

Analysis Details

Generated

May 21, 2026, 05:01 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-21 05:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.782096281568277485

Market Cap

$6.01M

24h Volume

$2.4K

Holders

11,634

Liquidity

$46,372.89

Data Sources

Real-time on-chain transaction data from Ethereum blockchainHolder distribution analytics from blockchain explorerTrading volume and price metrics from Sushiswap v2 DEXSmart contract verification status and security scoringToken supply and circulation data from blockchain

Limitations

  • Analysis based on single DEX (Sushiswap v2) data; token may have additional liquidity on other venues not captured
  • Historical price and volume data unavailable; analysis cannot assess volatility patterns or trend reliability over extended periods
  • Holder identity unknown; cannot distinguish between retail, institutional, and bot holders
  • Social media engagement metrics unavailable; community strength assessment based on channel presence only
  • No information on token emission schedule, vesting, or future supply changes
  • Security score of 72/100 is relative; absolute security level cannot be determined without full smart contract audit
  • Market cap calculation assumes all supply is valued equally; actual distribution may differ
  • Correlation with BTC/ETH estimated but not calculated; actual correlation unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This token carries significant risks including extreme liquidity constraints, holder concentration, and adoption plateau. Investors should conduct independent research, understand their risk tolerance, and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. The author and firm assume no liability for investment losses resulting from this analysis. Cryptocurrency markets are speculative and unpredictable; investors should only risk capital they can afford to lose completely.

Questions about NEAR?