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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

PPOLY
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

$0.074616

+458.97%24h
LiveContract:0xc6259b6fc435bc6bf20c4160c0123030604efdffChain:EthereumHolders:41.1KMarket cap:$46.16KLiquidity:$15.40K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC
Market Cap

$46.16K

24h Volume

$47.02K

Liquidity

$15.40K

FDV

Holders

41.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (PPOLY) is a 26-hour-old ERC-20 trading on Uniswap with a $46,164 market cap/FDV and just $15,396 in liquidity. Its name suggests a link to Polymarket-style prediction markets, but no project description, categorization, or social links were provided, so its actual purpose cannot be verified. Price action has been extremely volatile — a 458.97% 24h gain sits alongside a slight decline on the only two daily closes available — consistent with a brand-new, thinly-traded microcap. Given the token's age, unverifiable fundamentals, and shallow liquidity, this is a highly speculative, high-risk asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 12, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Name references 'Polymarket SPV' but no description, category, or social links substantiate any real-world tie or utility
41,109 holders already recorded despite the token being only 26 hours old
Extremely thin liquidity ($15,396) relative to its $46,164 market cap, magnifying price impact from small trades

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Neutral

The only two available daily closes show a mild -3.7% move ($4.792e-8 → $4.616e-8), while intraday snapshots (1h +14.6%, 4h +72.1%, 24h +459%) point to a violent pump-then-partial-pullback pattern typical of a token barely a day old. With just 26 hours of trading history and only two daily candles to work with, there isn't enough price history to commit to a directional call — the data is genuinely too thin and internally conflicting.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

No 30d or 90d trend data exists because the token launched only 26 hours ago; any medium-term call would be pure speculation. Sustainability will depend on whether the current buy-side interest (59.3% buy pressure) persists once initial speculative flow fades.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy pressure (59.3%, $27,892) exceeds sell pressure (40.7%, $19,131), with more unique buyers (27) than sellers (26)
  • +Short-window transaction skew is increasingly buy-heavy: 7 buys vs 3 sells in the last 4h, and 1 buy vs 0 sells in the last 1h
  • +Current price ($4.616e-8) sits at 56% of the observed 2-day range, well above the period low of $4.916e-9
Bearish Factors
  • -Daily close trend is actually down (-3.7% from $4.792e-8 to $4.616e-8), contradicting the eye-catching 24h % change figure
  • -Total liquidity is extremely thin at $15,396, meaning even moderate-sized trades can move price sharply in either direction
  • -Token is only 26 hours old with no track record, no verifiable description, and no social presence, making it high-risk speculative exposure
  • -Aggregate top-10 holder concentration stands at 57.8% of a 1 trillion token supply, and per-wallet composition cannot be verified

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PPOLY call history

Full track record →
Sep 12neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xc625...fdff
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Extremely young token (26 hours old) with no verifiable track record, description, or team information
Thin liquidity ($15,396) creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price manipulation or liquidity withdrawal
Aggregate top-10 concentration of 57.8% cannot be verified as safe (exchange/protocol) or risky (insider wallets) due to lack of per-wallet data
No security audit or contract verification data available, leaving smart contract risk fully unassessed

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows a modest tilt toward buyers, with 59.3% of volume on the buy side versus 40.7% on the sell side, and this skew has intensified in shorter windows (7 buys vs 3 sells in 4h; 1 buy vs 0 sells in 1h). This suggests short-term speculative buying interest is currently outweighing profit-taking, though on a base of very small transaction counts.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Neutral
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

With only two daily closes available ($4.792e-8 then $4.616e-8, a -3.7% move) and no 7d/30d/90d trend data, there isn't a reliable multi-day trend to characterize as clearly up or down — the daily data is essentially flat-to-slightly-lower despite an enormous 24h percentage change driven by intraday volatility.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Standard momentum oscillators (RSI, MACD, etc.) are not available. The mix of a slightly negative daily-close trend against strongly positive short intraday windows (1h +14.6%, 4h +72.1%) produces no clear overbought or oversold signal from the data provided.

Volume Analysis

Buy 59.3%Sell 40.7%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Buy-side activity has been strengthening across successively shorter windows — 59.3% buy share over 24h, rising to a 7:3 buy:sell transaction ratio over 4h, and 1:0 over the last hour — suggesting short-term buying momentum is building, albeit on a small transaction base.

Recent Price Action

The token appears to have spiked sharply within its first day of trading (period high of $7.915e-8) before pulling back to the current $4.616e-8, which sits at 56% of the observed 2-day range; the two available daily closes show a mild pullback, while very recent hourly data shows renewed upward pressure.

This spike-and-partial-retrace pattern is characteristic of newly launched, thinly liquid tokens where early speculative buying drives an initial parabolic move followed by profit-taking; it is not evidence of a durable trend.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token has moved as much as 458.97% in 24h and 72.12% in 4h, with a 2-day price range spanning $4.916e-9 to $7.915e-8 — an approximately 16x spread — indicating extreme price instability typical of a brand-new microcap.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity is only $15,396 against a $46,164 market cap, meaning even modest trade sizes can cause outsized slippage and price impact, and liquidity could be withdrawn with little warning.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 57.8% of the 1 trillion token supply. Because per-wallet holder data and acquisition history are unavailable, this concentration cannot be confirmed as benign (exchange/protocol wallets) or risky (individual insiders), so it is treated cautiously as an elevated risk for a token this new.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data (audit, verification, ownership/minting controls) is available from this chain's data provider, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than a genuine assessment of the contract's safety.

Regulatory
Medium

The token's name references 'Polymarket SPV,' implying a potential link to prediction markets or a special-purpose financial vehicle; if such a claim is genuine but unregistered, it could carry securities or regulatory exposure, though this cannot be confirmed from the data available.

Key Risks

  • Extremely young token (26 hours old) with no verifiable track record, description, or team information
  • Thin liquidity ($15,396) creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price manipulation or liquidity withdrawal
  • Aggregate top-10 concentration of 57.8% cannot be verified as safe (exchange/protocol) or risky (insider wallets) due to lack of per-wallet data
  • No security audit or contract verification data available, leaving smart contract risk fully unassessed

Mitigating Factors

  • Current 24h trading shows more buy volume ($27,892) than sell volume ($19,131), indicating active two-sided market participation rather than a one-way sell-off
  • A large holder base of 41,109 addresses exists even at this early stage, which may reduce (but does not eliminate) single-wallet dump risk relative to a highly concentrated launch

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who understand microcap/newly-launched token dynamics and can accept the possibility of total capital loss; unsuitable for risk-averse investors or as a core portfolio holding.

PPOLY is a 26-hour-old, thinly liquid microcap with no verifiable project fundamentals; any thesis rests almost entirely on short-term speculative trading dynamics rather than demonstrated utility or adoption. Current data shows mildly bullish buy/sell skew, but the token's youth and data gaps make this a high-risk, low-visibility bet.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

If buy-side momentum continues to build (as seen in the 4h and 1h transaction skew) and the project eventually publishes credible information tying it to a real Polymarket-linked SPV structure, early holders could see continued speculative demand and liquidity growth.

  • +Sustained buy pressure exceeding sell pressure across shrinking time windows
  • +Emergence of verifiable project information, audits, or social presence that reduces uncertainty
Base Case

The token continues to trade with high volatility and low liquidity typical of hour-old launches, with price oscillating sharply around the current level absent any new catalysts or information.

  • No material project information or liquidity growth emerges in the near term
  • Trading remains dominated by a small number of speculative participants (82 transactions/24h)
Bear Case
High

As is common with new, thinly-liquid tokens, the initial speculative pump (up to $7.915e-8 intraday high) fades as early buyers take profit, sell pressure overwhelms the shallow $15,396 liquidity pool, and price declines sharply with high slippage.

  • -Thin liquidity amplifying downside price impact from moderate sell orders
  • -Lack of any verifiable use case, documentation, or community to support demand beyond initial speculation

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 12, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$4.61643760046e-8
Market Cap$46.2K
24h Volume$47.0K
Holders41,109
Liquidity$15.4K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Only two daily OHLC candles exist since the token is 26 hours old, preventing reliable computation of support/resistance levels or multi-day trend confirmation
  • No project description, category, or social links were available, preventing verification of the token's stated purpose

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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