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Tilcayo Price Today & AI Analysis

TILCAYOEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 18, 2026

Price

$0.043832

+367.18% 24h

Contract

Live
0xac62dd6dea6af9a72f360c90316a78ec6de8f999

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

73

Market cap

$38.32K

Liquidity

$10.30K

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since report

report from Sep 18, 2026, 05:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$38.32K

24h Volume

$81.45K

Liquidity

$10.30K

FDV

—

Holders

73

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Tilcayo (TILCAYO) is a brand-new Ethereum token, deployed roughly 5 hours ago and trading on Uniswap with a $38,319 fully diluted valuation and only $10,299 in liquidity. The token has seen a reported +367% move since inception alongside heavy transaction activity (358 trades in 24h), but a -8.9% pullback in the most recent 4-hour window signals fading momentum. With just 73 holders, no project description, no social links, and no security or provenance data available, this token carries the classic risk profile of a very early-stage, unvetted launch.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 18, 2026, 05:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely early-stage token (5 hours old) with no established price history
  • No project description, category, or social presence to evaluate fundamentals
  • High trading activity relative to size but very thin liquidity pool

Tilcayo AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

After an extreme launch-day spike (+367% over the token's ~5-hour life), the 4-hour window shows a -8.9% pullback with sell transactions (26) now outnumbering buys (23) and unique sellers (22) nearly matching unique buyers (19). This reversal in the shortest timeframe suggests the initial pump is losing steam and a short-term correction/consolidation is more likely than a continuation of the parabolic move.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

With only 5 hours of trading history, there is no 7d/30d/90d price data to establish a medium-term trend — this is a genuine data gap, not a balanced signal. Any 30-90 day view for a token this young is speculative and should be treated as low-confidence until a longer price history and holder base develop.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy pressure of 56.2% ($45,756 buy volume vs $35,696 sell volume) with 141 unique buyers versus 87 unique sellers
  • 358 total transactions in under a day for a token with only $38,319 market cap indicates unusually high early trading interest

Bearish Factors

  • 4-hour price change of -8.9% and a flip to more sells (26) than buys (23) suggest the initial pump is already fading
  • Total liquidity of just $10,299 against a $38,319 market cap creates high slippage risk and makes the price highly susceptible to manipulation with small trade sizes
  • Token is only 5 hours old with no price history, no security audit data, and no verifiable holder-acquisition forensics

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TILCAYO call history

Full track record →

Sep 18bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xac62...f999
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extremely young token age (5 hours) with no established trading or holder history to validate sustainability
  • Thin liquidity ($10,299) relative to market cap creates high slippage and vulnerability to large sell orders
  • No security audit, contract verification status, deployer history, or launch-allocation forensics are available, leaving insider/rug risk unverifiable
  • Recent 4-hour price decline (-8.9%) and a shift toward more sell than buy transactions suggest the initial pump may already be reversing

Trading Insight

neutral

24-hour aggregate flow is buy-dominant (56.2% buy pressure, $10,060 net positive flow), but the trend has weakened sharply in the most recent 4-hour window where sell transactions (26) outnumber buys (23). This divergence between the aggregate day and the most recent hours points to cooling momentum rather than sustained accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The only short-term data points available (1h +2.0%, 4h -8.9%) show a token that spiked hard since launch and is now pulling back in the most recent hours. There is no 7d/30d/90d OHLC history since the token is only 5 hours old, so medium-term trend cannot be meaningfully characterized beyond 'undetermined due to lack of history.'

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum indicators cannot be reliably computed without historical OHLC data; the available signal — a 4h decline of -8.9% following the reported 24h +367% move — suggests momentum is cooling from an initial spike rather than being clearly overbought or oversold on a technical basis.

Volume Analysis

Buy

56.2%

Sell

43.8%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24h buy pressure (56.2%) outweighs sell pressure (43.8%) in aggregate, but the 4h window shows sell transactions (26) surpassing buy transactions (23) for the first time, indicating buying intensity is decreasing relative to the token's initial hours of trading.

Recent Price Action

A sharp launch-day rally (+367% reported over the token's ~5-hour life) followed by a -8.9% retracement in the most recent 4 hours, with a marginal +2.0% bounce in the last hour.

This pattern — a steep initial spike followed by a pullback — is common in newly-launched, thin-liquidity tokens and often precedes either a consolidation phase or a deeper retracement as early buyers take profit.

Overall Risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A reported +367% move since launch followed by a -8.9% pullback in the last 4 hours demonstrates extreme price volatility typical of a brand-new, thinly-traded token.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $10,299 is very shallow relative to the $38,319 market cap, meaning even moderate-sized trades can cause significant slippage or price impact.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    The top 10 holders control 23.5% of supply in aggregate; individual wallet classification is unavailable, so this cannot be confirmed as either protocol-held or dumpable whale supply, but the combination of a small 73-wallet holder base and this concentration warrants caution.

  • Smart ContractMedium

    No contract-security or audit data is available from this chain's data provider, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than a genuine security assessment — treat contract risk as unverified.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an unclassified, undocumented ERC-20 token with no disclosed purpose, it carries the generic regulatory uncertainty applicable to speculative new token launches on decentralized exchanges.

Key Risks

  • Extremely young token age (5 hours) with no established trading or holder history to validate sustainability
  • Thin liquidity ($10,299) relative to market cap creates high slippage and vulnerability to large sell orders
  • No security audit, contract verification status, deployer history, or launch-allocation forensics are available, leaving insider/rug risk unverifiable
  • Recent 4-hour price decline (-8.9%) and a shift toward more sell than buy transactions suggest the initial pump may already be reversing

Mitigating Factors

  • 24h buy pressure (56.2%) still modestly exceeds sell pressure, showing net demand has not fully collapsed
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 23.5% is not extreme in isolation, though it cannot be independently verified as non-dumpable

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss; not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation or those unable to closely monitor a fast-moving, newly-launched, thinly-liquid asset.

Tilcayo is a 5-hour-old Uniswap-listed token that has seen an extreme initial price spike alongside high transaction volume, but with no fundamentals, security data, or price history to validate sustainability. Any thesis here is inherently speculative and hinges entirely on short-term trading dynamics rather than project fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued organic buyer interest (currently 56.2% buy pressure) pulls in new holders beyond the current 73-wallet base, sustaining demand and liquidity growth in the pool.

  • Sustained buy-dominant transaction flow
  • Growth in unique holders and liquidity beyond current thin levels

Base Case

Price consolidates with high volatility as the token establishes a genuine trading history over the coming days, with outcomes highly dependent on whether liquidity and holder count grow or stagnate.

  • No major liquidity withdrawal occurs in the near term
  • Holder base either grows meaningfully or trading activity fades toward inactivity

Bear Case

High probability

The launch-day spike proves to be a short-lived liquidity-driven pump; the already-visible 4h reversal (-8.9%, sells outnumbering buys) accelerates into a broader sell-off as early buyers exit a thinly-liquid market.

  • Thin $10,299 liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • Lack of any disclosed utility, community, or security verification to retain holders

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 18, 2026, 05:30 AM UTC

Data Freshness

Real-time on-chain data

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000383194933448

Market Cap

$38.3K

24h Volume

$81.5K

Holders

73

Liquidity

$10.3K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Token is only 5 hours old, so no meaningful 7d/30d/90d price history or OHLC-derived support/resistance levels exist
  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Individual holder wallet classification and launch/deployer forensics could not be inspected, limiting insider-risk assessment to aggregate figures only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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