msUSD

Metronome Synth USD Price Today & AI Analysis

msUSD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 16, 2026

$0.7431

+3.02%24h
LiveContract:0xab5eb14c09d416f0ac63661e57edb7aecdb9befaChain:EthereumHolders:422Market cap:$38.45MLiquidity:$447.29K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC
Market Cap

$38.45M

24h Volume

$75.11K

Liquidity

$447.29K

FDV

Holders

422

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Metronome Synth USD (msUSD) is a token whose name implies a synthetic USD stable-value design, but it currently trades at $0.743 — roughly 26% below an implied $1.00 reference — after swinging between a 90-day low of $0.3264 and a high of $1.02. The contract has been live for 45 months, carries a $38.4M market cap against just $447,294 in total liquidity, and shows 422 holders with the top 10 controlling 70.6% of the 32.38M token supply. Recent price action (7d +13.9%, 30d +6.4%) shows a genuine recovery trend, but the 90-day change of -24.9% confirms the token has not resolved its apparent depeg.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Branded as a synthetic USD asset but trading well off any $1.00 peg, unlike typical stablecoins
45-month contract history predates many current DeFi synthetic-asset projects
Extremely thin on-chain liquidity ($447k) relative to its reported $38.4M market cap

Metronome Synth USD AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

Price has risen 13.9% over the past 7 days and continues to trade just above the computed immediate support of $0.7337. 24h buy volume ($49,189) outpaced sell volume ($25,918) roughly 2:1, and the buy skew intensified further in the last 1h (7 buys vs 1 sell) and 4h (9 buys vs 1 sell) windows, suggesting near-term momentum remains tilted upward.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day change of +6.4% combined with a steady climb in daily closes from $0.4629 to $0.7486 over the last 14 sessions shows an ongoing recovery trend. However, the 90-day change of -24.9% confirms the token remains well below levels earlier in the period, so a full re-test of the $1.02 major resistance would require the recovery to persist for several more weeks rather than being assumed.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price change of +13.9% and 30-day change of +6.4% show a consistent short-to-medium-term uptrend
  • +24h buy volume ($49,189) exceeds sell volume ($25,918), a 65.5%/34.5% split
  • +Buy-side dominance has intensified in the most recent hours: 9 buys vs 1 sell in the last 4h and 7 buys vs 1 sell in the last 1h
Bearish Factors
  • -90-day price change remains -24.9%, and price is still roughly 27% below the period high of $1.02, showing the recovery is incomplete
  • -Total liquidity of just $447,294 is thin relative to the $38.4M market cap, raising slippage risk on larger trades
  • -Top 10 holders control 70.6% of supply with no per-wallet classification available, leaving true concentration risk unresolved

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

msUSD call history

Full track record →
Sep 16bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xab5e...befa
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Token is branded as a synthetic USD asset but trades at $0.743, a roughly 26% deviation from an implied $1.00 peg, with a 90-day low of $0.3264 confirming an unresolved depeg episode
Total liquidity of only $447,294 against a $38.4M market cap creates high slippage risk for trades beyond a few thousand dollars
Top 10 holders control 70.6% of the 32.38M token supply; individual holder classification is unavailable so whale concentration risk cannot be ruled out
No contract-security audit data is available from the provider, so smart contract risk cannot be independently verified

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows buy pressure (65.5%) clearly outweighing sell pressure (34.5%), with 15 buy transactions versus 12 sells and more unique buyers (9) than sellers (6). This buy-side skew has become more pronounced in the shortest windows, pointing to fresh, near-term accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Daily closes have risen steadily from $0.4629 to $0.7486 across the most recent 14 sessions, driving the +13.9% 7-day and +6.4% 30-day gains. This recovery has not yet offset the prior decline captured in the -24.9% 90-day change, meaning the medium-term uptrend is real but incomplete relative to the broader 91-day window.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.8% and a steady, incremental climb in closes (rather than sharp spikes) suggest momentum is positive but not extreme; price sits at 61% of the 91-day range, leaving room to run toward resistance without appearing overbought.

Volume Analysis

Buy 65.5%Sell 34.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The buy/sell transaction skew strengthens moving from the 24h window (15:12) to the 4h window (9:1) and 1h window (7:1), indicating increasing buy-side activity in the most recent hours relative to the daily average.

Recent Price Action

Price has grinded higher over 14 consecutive daily closes from $0.4629 to $0.7486 (+62%), recovering off the 90-day low of $0.3264 but remaining about 27% below the range high of $1.02.

A steady, multi-week grind higher (rather than a sharp spike) is typically associated with gradual re-accumulation following a de-pegging or liquidity event, rather than speculative momentum trading.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.7337
Major$0.3264
Resistance
Immediate$1.02
Major$1.02

Price is currently trading just above the computed immediate support of $0.7337; a break below this level would expose the major support at $0.3264, the 90-day low. On the upside, both immediate and major resistance converge at $1.02, the period high, which likely represents the token's implied peg level and a significant psychological/technical barrier.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Daily volatility of 3.8% and a 91-day range spanning $0.3264 to $1.02 — more than a 3x swing — indicate the token has experienced a historically severe price dislocation, though the current daily volatility level itself is moderate.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $447,294 against a $38.4M market cap (roughly 1.2% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio) means larger trades are likely to face meaningful slippage.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 holders control 70.6% of the 32.38M token supply, a high raw concentration figure, but individual holder classification (protocol/exchange vs. individual whale) is unavailable, so the actual dumpable-supply risk cannot be confirmed either way.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security audit or verification data is available from this chain's provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than a genuine assessment of the contract's safety.

Regulatory
Medium

As a USD-referencing synthetic asset that is currently trading well off its implied peg, msUSD sits in a category (synthetic/algorithmic stablecoins) that has drawn increasing regulatory attention, and a visible depeg event could compound reputational and regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • Token is branded as a synthetic USD asset but trades at $0.743, a roughly 26% deviation from an implied $1.00 peg, with a 90-day low of $0.3264 confirming an unresolved depeg episode
  • Total liquidity of only $447,294 against a $38.4M market cap creates high slippage risk for trades beyond a few thousand dollars
  • Top 10 holders control 70.6% of the 32.38M token supply; individual holder classification is unavailable so whale concentration risk cannot be ruled out
  • No contract-security audit data is available from the provider, so smart contract risk cannot be independently verified
  • Reported market cap ($38.4M) and FDV ($24.06M) are inconsistent given circulating supply equals total supply, suggesting a possible data or pricing discrepancy from the provider

Mitigating Factors

  • The contract has operated for 45 months (since December 2022) without evidence of abandonment in the available data
  • Recent price action shows a sustained recovery trend (+13.9% 7d, +6.4% 30d) off the 90-day low of $0.3264
  • Circulating supply equals total supply, removing unlock/vesting dilution risk

Investor Suitability

Given the unresolved gap to its implied $1.00 reference, thin liquidity, and lack of verifiable contract-security data, msUSD is more suitable for experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand synthetic-asset depeg dynamics than for investors seeking stable, dollar-equivalent exposure.

msUSD is a USD-branded synthetic token currently trading at a substantial discount to its implied $1.00 peg, having recovered from a 90-day low of $0.3264 to $0.7486 but remaining well below the range high of $1.02. The investment case hinges on whether the observed recovery trend continues toward the peg or whether the token settles at a structurally reduced valuation.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Continued buy-side dominance and market recovery push price back toward the $1.02 major resistance, extending the current +13.9% 7-day and +6.4% 30-day trend.

  • +Sustained buy-pressure dominance (65.5% of 24h volume) and intensifying buy skew in the last 1-4 hours
  • +Any protocol-level mechanism that helps close the current ~26% gap to the $1.00 implied reference
Base Case

Price continues to consolidate in the $0.73–$0.85 zone, gradually probing toward the $1.02 resistance without a clear near-term catalyst to fully restore the peg.

  • No major protocol or liquidity event occurs in the near term
  • Current thin-liquidity conditions persist, limiting sharp directional moves in either direction
Bear Case
Medium

The token fails to reclaim its peg and stalls or reverses back toward the $0.3264 major support, reflecting a structurally impaired synthetic asset rather than a temporary dislocation.

  • -90-day performance remains -24.9%, showing the recent recovery has not fully offset the prior collapse
  • -Thin $447,294 liquidity could amplify downside moves if sentiment reverses

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.743059971103
Market Cap$38.45M
24h Volume$75.1K
Holders422
Liquidity$447.3K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security audit data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Per-wallet holder classification is unavailable, limiting concentration-risk precision
  • Smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data was unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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