sUSDe

Staked USDe Price Today & AI Analysis

sUSDeEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 1, 2026

Price

$1.25

+0.03% 24h

Contract

Live
0x9d39a5de30e57443bff2a8307a4256c8797a3497

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

9.6K

Market cap

$1.26B

Liquidity

$48.14M

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Staked USDe: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-01 03:15 UTC

Holder addresses

9,577

Top 10 supply share

76.70%

Reported liquidity

$48,139,795.00
How concentrated is Staked USDe ownership?
As of 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 76.70% of supply. It reports 9,577 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Staked USDe?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $935,202.00 in buys and $1,253,998.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Staked USDe liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +0.94%, from $23,286,048.20 (2026-09-30 05:00 UTC) to $23,505,369.46 (2026-10-01 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-30 05:00 UTC$23,286,048.20
2026-09-30 06:00 UTC$23,218,129.22
2026-09-30 07:00 UTC$23,241,302.41
2026-09-30 08:00 UTC$23,264,088.00
2026-09-30 09:00 UTC$23,264,552.77
2026-09-30 10:00 UTC$23,264,638.15
2026-09-30 11:00 UTC$23,264,667.49
2026-09-30 12:00 UTC$23,269,044.66
2026-09-30 13:00 UTC$23,265,778.57
2026-09-30 14:00 UTC$23,266,029.20
2026-09-30 15:00 UTC$23,313,782.00
2026-09-30 16:00 UTC$23,540,255.43
2026-09-30 17:00 UTC$23,534,621.35
2026-09-30 18:00 UTC$23,534,241.92
2026-09-30 19:00 UTC$23,532,079.35
2026-09-30 20:00 UTC$23,461,937.16
2026-09-30 21:00 UTC$23,462,267.73
2026-09-30 22:00 UTC$23,461,427.12
2026-09-30 23:00 UTC$23,470,379.90
2026-10-01 00:00 UTC$23,474,778.24
2026-10-01 01:00 UTC$23,458,491.66
2026-10-01 02:00 UTC$23,505,369.46

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 1, 2026, 03:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.26B

24h Volume

$2.19M

Liquidity

$48.14M

FDV

—

Holders

9,577

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bearish

Staked USDe (sUSDe) is a liquid staking token for USDe in the Ethena protocol, 34.5 months old, with a $1.26B market cap and 9,577 holders. It trades at $1.25 and appreciates slowly against USD as staking rewards accrue. Price action over 90 days has been very stable, with a +1.2% gain and 0.3% daily volatility. The main uncertainties are the protocol's funding-rate-driven yield and limited visibility into holder composition.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 1, 2026, 03:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Value accrues through the staking contract rather than rebasing, so price rises relative to USDe
  • Yield sourced from derivatives funding rates and backing-asset staking rewards
  • Composable in DeFi while earning yield, with a $1.26B market cap

Staked USDe AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

sUSDe is a yield-bearing staked token whose price rises gradually against USD as rewards accrue. The 7d change is +0.1% and daily volatility is 0.3%, with the last 14 daily closes all at $1.25, so the data shows a flat, range-bound pattern. The 1h (-2.5%) and 4h (-1.5%) dips are on very thin Curve activity (20 transactions in 24h) and are treated as noise rather than a trend.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30d (+0.4%) and 90d (+1.2%) trends are small but consistently positive, matching the token's design, where value accrues relative to USDe through staking rewards. A slow upward drift is the most likely path, not a breakout. The $2.24 period high is far above current levels and likely reflects a data artifact or an earlier pricing regime, so it should not be treated as a realistic target.

Bullish Factors

  • Positive trend across all windows (7d +0.1%, 30d +0.4%, 90d +1.2%) consistent with reward accrual
  • Very low daily volatility of 0.3% over the 91-day window
  • $48.1M of liquidity and a $1.26B market cap indicate an established asset

Bearish Factors

  • Sell-side dominance in 24h trading: 16 sells vs 4 buys, with 57.3% sell pressure
  • Top 10 holders control 76.7% of supply, although holder classification is unavailable
  • Yield depends on derivatives funding rates, which can turn negative and reduce rewards

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

sUSDe call history

Full track record →

Oct 1neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x9d39...3497
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Yield depends on derivatives funding rates, which can fall or turn negative
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration (76.7%) with unknown holder composition
  • Thin observed trading activity (20 transactions in 24h) can exaggerate short-term price moves
  • Contract-security data unavailable for review

Trading Insight

bearish

24h flow leaned toward selling, with $1.25M sold against $0.94M bought across 20 transactions. The sample is small, so it says little about direction. Intraday dips of 1-2.5% likely reflect single trades hitting a Curve pool.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The last 14 daily closes are all $1.25, a flat short-term picture. Over 30d (+0.4%) and 90d (+1.2%) there is a mild upward drift consistent with yield accrual.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 0.3% and a 7d change of +0.1% show no meaningful momentum in either direction. The recent 1h and 4h declines are small and on thin volume.

Volume Analysis

Buy

42.7%

Sell

57.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h volume of about $2.19M is small relative to $48.1M of liquidity. Buy and sell counts are skewed to sellers, but the sample is just 20 trades.

Recent Price Action

Flat consolidation at $1.25 for at least 14 sessions, sitting near the bottom (2%) of a 91-day range of $1.23 to $2.24.

For a yield-accruing token, tight consolidation with a slow upward bias is normal. The apparent low position in the range is driven by the $2.24 high and should not be read as an oversold signal.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.25

Major support

$1.23

Immediate resistance

$1.25

Major resistance

$2.24

Immediate support and resistance coincide at $1.25 because price has barely moved. $1.23 is the major support from the period low. The $2.24 major resistance is the period high and is unlikely to be tested near term.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

38/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility is 0.3% and the 90d change is +1.2%. The main price risk is a depeg or yield compression, not ordinary volatility.

  • LiquidityLow

    $48.1M of liquidity supports sizeable trades, though 24h volume of about $2.19M shows thin activity on the observed venue.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders control 76.7% of supply. Holders are unclassified, so it cannot be determined how much is dumpable versus protocol-held.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Yield-bearing, dollar-linked instruments can attract regulatory scrutiny. No specific regulatory data was provided, so this is a general consideration.

Key Risks

  • Yield depends on derivatives funding rates, which can fall or turn negative
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration (76.7%) with unknown holder composition
  • Thin observed trading activity (20 transactions in 24h) can exaggerate short-term price moves
  • Contract-security data unavailable for review

Mitigating Factors

  • 34.5 months of operating history
  • $48.1M of liquidity and a $1.26B market cap
  • Very low realized volatility (0.3% daily)

Investor Suitability

May suit investors seeking yield-bearing, low-volatility dollar exposure who understand protocol, funding-rate and depeg risks. Not suited to those seeking price appreciation.

sUSDe offers steady, yield-driven appreciation with low price volatility. Returns depend on the continued health of the protocol's funding-rate income, and concentration data warrants caution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Funding rates stay positive and rewards keep accruing, so price continues its gradual climb.

  • Sustained positive funding rates
  • Stable backing and a maintained USDe peg

Base Case

Price continues sideways with a slight upward drift near $1.25, consistent with the +0.4% 30d trend.

  • Reward accrual continues at a similar pace
  • No major peg or protocol event occurs

Bear Case

Low probability

Funding rates compress or turn negative, or confidence in the backing weakens, leading to redemption pressure and a drop toward the $1.23 support or lower.

  • Negative funding environment
  • Large holder exits given 76.7% top-10 concentration

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 1, 2026, 03:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-01 03:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.25032268401

Market Cap

$1.26B

24h Volume

$2.19M

Holders

9,577

Liquidity

$48,139,795.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Trading data reflects a single venue (Curve) and a small 24h sample of 20 transactions
  • The $2.24 period high is unexplained and may distort range-based readings
  • Smart-money data and launch/deployer forensics were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about sUSDe?