CRVUSD

crvUSD Price Today & AI Analysis

CRVUSDEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 20, 2026

Price

$1

-0.33% 24h

Contract

Live
0xf939e0a03fb07f59a73314e73794be0e57ac1b4e

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

94.9K

Market cap

$197.59M

Liquidity

$28.30M

More tokens on Ethereum

ZAMAZAMAZama$0.0876+8.9%MC $218.60MmUSDmUSDMetaMask USD$0.9999-0.0%MC $9.82MENAENAENA$0.2174+8.1%MC $2.19BGGGravity$0.006792-31.3%MC $49.12MSEISEISEI$0.0537+9.0%MC $3.78MUSDSUSDSUSDS$0.9998-0.0%MC $6.58B

crvUSD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-20 22:15 UTC

Holder addresses

94,905

Top 10 supply share

75.82%

Reported liquidity

$28,299,318.00
How concentrated is crvUSD ownership?
As of 2026-09-20 22:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 75.82% of supply. It reports 94,905 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling crvUSD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-20 22:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1,812,930.00 in buys and $1,249,304.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is crvUSD liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +1.69%, from $185,164,239.70 (2026-09-19 23:00 UTC) to $188,293,550.18 (2026-09-20 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-20 22:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-19 23:00 UTC$185,164,239.70
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC$185,320,757.51
2026-09-20 01:00 UTC$184,943,478.36
2026-09-20 02:00 UTC$185,694,887.61
2026-09-20 03:00 UTC$185,321,218.58
2026-09-20 04:00 UTC$185,603,740.75
2026-09-20 05:00 UTC$185,973,240.36
2026-09-20 06:00 UTC$186,218,924.02
2026-09-20 07:00 UTC$186,128,270.57
2026-09-20 08:00 UTC$186,229,807.05
2026-09-20 09:00 UTC$186,220,280.14
2026-09-20 10:00 UTC$186,180,926.99
2026-09-20 11:00 UTC$188,527,559.65
2026-09-20 12:00 UTC$186,142,024.76
2026-09-20 13:00 UTC$186,046,955.67
2026-09-20 14:00 UTC$185,965,340.11
2026-09-20 15:00 UTC$190,449,679.28
2026-09-20 16:00 UTC$187,777,510.01
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC$188,253,184.88
2026-09-20 18:00 UTC$188,357,762.28
2026-09-20 19:00 UTC$188,492,949.28
2026-09-20 20:00 UTC$188,648,278.61
2026-09-20 21:00 UTC$188,243,396.18
2026-09-20 22:00 UTC$188,293,550.18

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$197.59M

24h Volume

$3.06M

Liquidity

$28.30M

FDV

—

Holders

94,905

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bullish

crvUSD is Curve Finance's USD-pegged stablecoin, live for roughly 40.3 months, using the LLAMMA mechanism to gradually convert collateral rather than triggering hard liquidations. It is currently trading at $1.00049 within a well-established $0.9966-$1.05 historical band, backed by $28.3M in on-chain liquidity and used across DeFi as collateral, a liquidity asset, and a trading base pair. Holder data shows 94,905 total holders but a concentrated top 10 controlling 75.8% of supply, and per-wallet labels, security audit scores, and whale/smart-money data are not available from this provider.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • LLAMMA soft-liquidation design allows collateral positions to recover automatically rather than facing instant liquidation
  • Over 40 months of operating history with the price confined to a narrow $0.9966-$1.05 range
  • Deep integration as a base asset across Curve pools and other DeFi lending/liquidity protocols

crvUSD AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

crvUSD's 7d change is a flat +0.1% and the 91-day daily closes have hugged a $0.9993-$1.00 band with only 0.5% daily volatility, showing the peg is holding rather than trending in either direction. The 24h buy/sell volume split (59.2%/40.8%) is too small relative to the $28.3M liquidity pool to shift this stablecoin off its equilibrium.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Both the 30d (+0.0%) and 90d (+0.0%) trends are genuinely flat, which is the expected behavior for a functioning USD-pegged stablecoin rather than a token with directional conviction. Absent a collateral-market shock, crvUSD should continue trading inside its established $0.9966-$1.05 range.

Bullish Factors

  • 91-day price history shows a tight $0.9966-$1.05 range with 0.5% daily volatility, indicating a well-maintained peg over more than three years since the May 2023 contract launch
  • 24h buy pressure is 59.2% ($1,812,930) vs 40.8% sell pressure ($1,249,304), and the most recent 4h window shows 12 unique buyers vs 1 unique seller
  • $28.3M in total liquidity relative to ~$3.06M daily volume (about 11% turnover) supports reasonable trade execution without excessive slippage around the peg

Bearish Factors

  • Current price sits at only 7% of the 91-day range from the $0.9966 low toward the $1.05 high, indicating recent price action has been soft relative to the period's highs
  • Top 10 holders control 75.8% of the 2.1B token supply, and per-wallet classification is unavailable, so dump risk from any of those wallets cannot be ruled out
  • Reported market cap ($197.6M) is inconsistent with price multiplied by circulating supply (~$2.1B, which matches the reported FDV), a data-quality issue that should be independently verified before relying on either figure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

CRVUSD call history

Full track record →

Sep 20neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xf939...1b4e
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • 75.8% top-10 holder concentration with no available per-wallet classification, leaving open the possibility of large coordinated holder actions
  • No contract-security audit data available from this provider, so smart contract risk is effectively unassessed
  • Reported market cap ($197.6M) is inconsistent with price × circulating supply (~$2.1B, matching the reported FDV), a data-quality issue investors should verify independently
  • As with any collateralized stablecoin, extreme stress in underlying collateral markets could push price outside the historical $0.9966-$1.05 band

Trading Insight

bullish

24h flow shows buy volume ($1,812,930) outweighing sell volume ($1,249,304) even though sell transaction count (71) slightly exceeded buy transaction count (64), implying larger average buy sizes. The 4h and 1h windows show a pronounced buy skew (14 buys vs 1 sell, and 5 buys vs 0 sells respectively), though for a stablecoin this reflects short-term liquidity flow rather than directional speculation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

7d (+0.1%), 30d (+0.0%), and 90d (+0.0%) changes are all effectively flat, consistent with a stablecoin holding its peg rather than trending. Daily closes over the recent period have ranged narrowly between $0.9993 and $1.00.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With 0.5% daily volatility and price confined to a tight band, there is no meaningful momentum signal in either direction — the token is behaving as designed for a collateral-backed stablecoin.

Volume Analysis

Buy

59.2%

Sell

40.8%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h volume of $3.06M split 59.2%/40.8% buy/sell represents about 11% turnover of the $28.3M liquidity pool, a stable and unremarkable level that does not suggest unusual accumulation or distribution pressure at the aggregate 24h level.

Recent Price Action

The last 14 daily closes ranged narrowly between $0.9993 and $1.00, with the broader 91-day range spanning $0.9966 to $1.05 and current price sitting near the low end (7% of range).

This tight, low-volatility pattern is typical of a functioning USD-pegged stablecoin; a break and sustained close outside the $0.9966-$1.05 band would be needed to signal a genuine peg dislocation.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.9998

Major support

$0.9966

Immediate resistance

$1.00

Major resistance

$1.05

These OHLC-derived levels bracket the token's peg-maintenance range over the past 91 days; the $0.9966 major support represents the deepest observed dip and would be the critical level to watch for de-peg stress, while $1.05 major resistance marks the highest observed premium.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

38/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility is just 0.5% (stdev of returns), and the 91-day range has been confined to $0.9966-$1.05, typical of a well-functioning stablecoin.

  • LiquidityMedium

    $28.3M in liquidity comfortably covers current daily volume (~$3.06M), but is modest in absolute terms relative to the token's much larger reported FDV/circulating value, which could matter in a large redemption scenario.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 75.8% of supply, but per-wallet classification is unavailable, so it cannot be confirmed whether these are protocol/liquidity contracts or individually-controlled whales — the risk rating reflects this uncertainty rather than confirmed dump risk.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a USD-pegged, on-chain collateralized stablecoin, crvUSD faces evolving global stablecoin regulation around reserve transparency and issuance standards, even though it does not rely on off-chain fiat reserves.

Key Risks

  • 75.8% top-10 holder concentration with no available per-wallet classification, leaving open the possibility of large coordinated holder actions
  • No contract-security audit data available from this provider, so smart contract risk is effectively unassessed
  • Reported market cap ($197.6M) is inconsistent with price × circulating supply (~$2.1B, matching the reported FDV), a data-quality issue investors should verify independently
  • As with any collateralized stablecoin, extreme stress in underlying collateral markets could push price outside the historical $0.9966-$1.05 band

Mitigating Factors

  • Approximately 40.3 months of continuous operation with price contained within a narrow historical band
  • $28.3M in liquidity and 94,905 total holders indicate broad usage and reasonable market depth

Investor Suitability

Best suited for DeFi participants seeking a dollar-denominated collateral or liquidity asset within the Curve ecosystem, rather than investors seeking price appreciation, given crvUSD's design as a stable-value instrument.

crvUSD should be evaluated as a DeFi utility stablecoin rather than a speculative asset; the relevant question is peg reliability and liquidity depth, not directional price movement. Current data shows a stable peg history but limited visibility into holder composition and contract security.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Continued DeFi integration of crvUSD as collateral, liquidity, and a base trading pair increases organic demand, deepening liquidity and reinforcing peg stability near $1.00.

  • Sustained buy-side volume, with 59.2% buy pressure and strong buyer skew in the most recent 4h/1h windows
  • Expanding use across Curve lending markets and other DeFi protocols

Base Case

crvUSD continues trading within its established $0.9966-$1.05 range with minimal net directional movement, functioning as intended as a stable DeFi collateral and liquidity asset.

  • No major collateral-market or protocol-level disruption occurs
  • Liquidity ($28.3M) and holder base (94,905) remain broadly stable near current levels

Bear Case

Low probability

A stress event in underlying LLAMMA collateral or a broader DeFi liquidity shock pushes crvUSD below its $0.9966 major support, triggering redemption pressure and reduced confidence in the peg.

  • 75.8% top-10 holder concentration with unknown wallet composition, which could amplify a shock if any large holders act in concert
  • $28.3M liquidity pool is relatively modest against the token's much larger reported valuation figures

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-20 22:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.00048619119

Market Cap

$197.59M

24h Volume

$3.06M

Holders

94,905

Liquidity

$28,299,318.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution were not available for this chain
  • Whale-transaction records and smart-money cohort data were not available
  • Contract-security audit score and verification status were not available
  • Reported market cap and fully diluted valuation figures show an internal inconsistency in the source data that could not be resolved

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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