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Chainalysis Price Today & AI Analysis

CHAINEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 14, 2026

Price

$1.8

+29.37% 24h

Contract

Live
0x9cebacbc652ecb1439e3666b534a7fcbf1f79fcd

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

143

Market cap

$179.57M

Liquidity

$12.97K

At a $500M market cap, $CHAIN would be $5 (2.78x from today’s price)

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Chainalysis: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-14 12:30 UTC

Holder addresses

143

Top 10 supply share

77.85%

Reported liquidity

$12,973.00
How concentrated is Chainalysis ownership?
As of 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 77.85% of supply. It reports 143 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Chainalysis?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $5,887.00 in buys and $0.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Chainalysis liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -73.30%, from $48,580.93 (2026-10-13 13:00 UTC) to $12,973.14 (2026-10-13 14:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-13 13:00 UTC$48,580.93
2026-10-13 14:00 UTC$12,973.14

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 14, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$179.57M

24h Volume

$5.89K

Liquidity

$12.97K

FDV

—

Holders

143

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Chainalysis (CHAIN) is an Ethereum token 4 days old, trading at about $1.80 with a $179.6M market cap and fully circulating 100M supply. It has no category, description or social links, and shares a name with a known blockchain analytics firm, which I cannot confirm any affiliation with. Liquidity is only $12,973, and the price rose from under $0.001 to $1.8 in four days. Overall it exhibits many hallmarks of a speculative, high-risk newly launched token.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 14, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme price appreciation of roughly 2,400x across 5 daily closes
  • Market cap is about 13,800x the available pool liquidity
  • Name matches a real-world company but no official link, description or socials are provided

Chainalysis AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token is 4 days old and closed at $0.0007517, $0.03330, $0.6260, then $1.8 twice, a roughly 2,400x move in four days that now sits at 100% of its period range. Parabolic moves of this size on a $12,973 liquidity pool historically mean-revert sharply once buying stalls, and the last 4 hours show zero transactions. The flat last two closes and absence of any trading in the last hour suggest momentum has already stopped.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With only 5 days of history, there is no 30d or 90d trend to anchor on. The structure of a vertical advance on thin liquidity, a $179.6M market cap backed by about $13K of pool liquidity, and no identifiable project fundamentals lean toward a bearish medium-term call. Any sustained value would require real utility, deeper liquidity and verifiable information, none of which is currently visible.

Bullish Factors

  • Price closed at $1.8 on the last two days, so the advance has not yet visibly reversed in daily data
  • All 11 24h transactions were buys from 11 unique buyers with no recorded sells, and 143 total holders exist

Bearish Factors

  • Price rose from $0.0007517 to $1.8 in four daily closes and sits at 100% of its range, a classic overextended parabolic profile
  • Market cap of $179.57M versus only $12,973 in liquidity means the valuation is not supported by exit depth; the quoted price may not be realizable
  • Zero transactions in the last 1h and 4h indicates demand has dried up
  • Top 10 holders control 77.9% of supply, and the name 'Chainalysis' with no description or social links could be an impersonation of an established company, which I cannot verify

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

CHAIN call history

Full track record →

Oct 14bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x9ceb...9fcd
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme overextension after a roughly 2,400x rise in four days with trading activity stalling
  • Valuation not supported by liquidity, so exit prices may differ greatly from quoted price
  • Possible name impersonation of a real company with no verifiable affiliation or project information

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h data shows only buys, but the sample is tiny at 11 transactions and $5,887, and activity has stopped in the last 4 hours. The one-sided flow is more a reflection of thin participation than a robust demand signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Daily closes rose sharply from $0.0007517 to $1.8, then held flat at $1.8 on the final two closes, so the short-term trend is up but stalling. Five days is too little history to define a medium-term trend.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Price at 100% of its 5-day range after a roughly 2,400x rise is extremely extended. Formal indicators like RSI can't be reliably computed on 5 candles, but the magnitude indicates overbought conditions.

Volume Analysis

Buy

100%

Sell

0%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume is $5,887 over 24h, with no transactions in the last 4 hours, pointing to fading participation.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic climb over four sessions ($0.00075 → $0.033 → $0.626 → $1.8), followed by a flat close at $1.8.

Vertical advances in newly launched, thinly traded tokens often end in sharp reversals, and the flat close combined with absent trading suggests price discovery has stalled rather than found a stable level.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 1734.7% and a move from $0.00075 to $1.8 in four days.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $12,973 in liquidity versus a $179.6M market cap; selling even a small share of supply would move price drastically and the quoted price likely cannot be realized at size.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders own 77.9% of supply; per-wallet data is unavailable so whether these are dumpable wallets or contracts is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The name matches an established company, which could raise trademark or impersonation concerns; no project information is provided to assess further.

Key Risks

  • Extreme overextension after a roughly 2,400x rise in four days with trading activity stalling
  • Valuation not supported by liquidity, so exit prices may differ greatly from quoted price
  • Possible name impersonation of a real company with no verifiable affiliation or project information

Mitigating Factors

  • 143 holders and 11 unique buyers in 24h show some independent participation
  • No sell transactions in 24h

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced speculators who can tolerate a total loss and who have independently verified the contract. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

The data shows a speculative, newly launched token with a parabolic price rise, thin liquidity and no verifiable fundamentals. The evidence does not support a fundamentals-based thesis.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Liquidity deepens, a legitimate project is verified and demand sustains the $1.8 level.

  • Major liquidity additions
  • Verified project details and community channels

Base Case

Choppy, illiquid trading with a downward bias and large spikes in either direction on small orders.

  • No verified fundamentals emerge near term
  • Liquidity remains shallow relative to market cap

Bear Case

High probability

Momentum stays stalled, liquidity-constrained selling drives sharp mean reversion toward earlier price levels.

  • Zero transactions in the last 4 hours
  • Extreme concentration at 77.9% and thin $13K liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 14, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-14 12:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.795716113

Market Cap

$179.57M

24h Volume

$5.9K

Holders

143

Liquidity

$12,973.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 5 days of price history; no 7d/30d/90d trends or computed support/resistance levels
  • Token genesis, deployer and smart-money data were unavailable, so launch fairness is unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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