xSUSHI

SushiBar Price Today & AI Analysis

xSUSHI
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 5, 2026

$0.3665

+22.08%24h
LiveContract:0x8798249c2e607446efb7ad49ec89dd1865ff4272Chain:EthereumHolders:13.7KMarket cap:$4.21MLiquidity:$100.75K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 5, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC
Market Cap

$4.21M

24h Volume

$11.48K

Liquidity

$100.75K

FDV

Holders

13.7K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

xSUSHI is the liquid staking receipt token for SushiBar, the fee-sharing mechanism of the SushiSwap DEX, and has been live on Ethereum since September 2020 — making it one of the older DeFi primitives at 72 months. The token is yield-bearing by design: as SushiSwap collects trading fees and uses them to buy back SUSHI, each xSUSHI becomes redeemable for a growing quantity of SUSHI, giving it an intrinsic value accrual mechanism beyond pure speculation. At a $4.2M market cap and $100,753 in on-chain liquidity, xSUSHI trades as a micro-cap representation of a mid-tier DEX, with price up +40.5% over 30 days and sitting near its 91-day high. The combination of a legitimate protocol utility, a long track record, and a clear short-term uptrend is offset by thin liquidity and limited on-chain transparency from the current data provider.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 5, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Yield-bearing staking receipt: xSUSHI's value mechanically increases relative to SUSHI as protocol fees accumulate, unlike purely speculative tokens
72-month track record on Ethereum mainnet, predating most DeFi tokens and surviving multiple market cycles
Fully circulating supply with no difference between total and circulating supply (11,487,866 tokens), eliminating unlock-driven sell pressure

SushiBar AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

xSUSHI is trading at $0.3665, sitting at 97% of its 91-day range high of $0.3705, driven by a strong 7-day gain of +21.8%. The token has broken decisively above its recent consolidation zone around $0.30–$0.31, and the immediate resistance at $0.3705 is the only near-term ceiling before price discovery. A clean break above $0.3705 would leave no OHLC-derived resistance overhead within the observed period.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of +40.5% and 90-day gain of +36.2% confirm a sustained uptrend rather than a one-day spike, with the price compressing toward the top of its multi-month range. If xSUSHI clears the $0.3705 resistance, the medium-term path of least resistance is upward into price discovery territory. However, the 4.1% daily volatility means pullbacks to the $0.3144 immediate support remain plausible and would not invalidate the broader trend.

Bullish Factors
  • +Price is at 97% of the 91-day range high ($0.3705), confirming the uptrend is intact and not a mean-reversion bounce from deep lows
  • +The 30-day return of +40.5% outpaces the 90-day return of +36.2%, indicating momentum is accelerating rather than fading
  • +24-hour buy pressure stands at 89.3% ($10,257 buy volume vs. $1,227 sell volume), showing strong near-term demand imbalance
  • +xSUSHI is a yield-bearing staking receipt for SushiBar, meaning its intrinsic value accretes over time as protocol fees buy back SUSHI — it has a fundamental floor mechanism
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of only $100,753 means even modest sell orders can cause outsized price impact, making the current rally fragile
  • -The top 10 holders control 56.5% of supply, and per-wallet classification is unavailable — the concentration risk from potential large sellers cannot be assessed
  • -Price sitting at 97% of the 91-day high with 4.1% daily volatility creates a high probability of a short-term mean-reversion pullback toward $0.3144 immediate support

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

xSUSHI call history

Full track record →
Sep 5bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x8798...4272
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Liquidity risk is the most immediate concern: with only $100,753 in the pool, the 24-hour buy volume of $10,257 already represents ~10% of pool depth, meaning any reversal in buying pressure could cause rapid price deterioration with limited exit liquidity
SushiSwap protocol dependency: xSUSHI's yield and fundamental value are entirely contingent on SushiSwap's trading volume and fee generation — a sustained decline in DEX usage or migration of liquidity to competitors would reduce the accrual rate and undermine the token's value proposition
Concentration uncertainty: 56.5% of supply in the top 10 holders with no wallet-level data means a large, undetected individual holder could exit a significant position with outsized market impact given the thin liquidity

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is strongly bullish, with buy pressure at 89.3% of 24-hour volume and buyers outnumbering sellers more than 4-to-1 in transaction count (113 buys vs. 23 sells). The ratio of 36 unique buyers to 17 unique sellers suggests broad-based demand rather than a single large actor driving the move, though the absolute participant count remains small given the token's micro-cap liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both the short-term (+21.8% over 7 days) and medium-term (+40.5% over 30 days, +36.2% over 90 days) trends are firmly bullish. The daily close sequence shows a base around $0.29–$0.31 for most of the observed period, followed by a sharp breakout to $0.3665 on the most recent close — the highest close in the 91-day dataset. The fact that the 30-day return exceeds the 90-day return confirms that momentum is building, not decelerating.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

With price at 97% of the 91-day range and a +21.8% weekly gain on top of a +40.5% monthly gain, xSUSHI exhibits classic short-term overbought characteristics. The 4.1% daily volatility stdev means a single-day retracement of 5–8% would be statistically normal and would not break the broader uptrend. Momentum is strong but extended, and the proximity to the $0.3705 range high increases the probability of at least a brief consolidation.

Volume Analysis

Buy 89.3%Sell 10.7%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Buy volume is accelerating across timeframes, with the 4-hour window alone accounting for a disproportionate share of 24-hour activity. The 89.3% buy pressure ratio is unusually high and, in the context of a shallow $100K liquidity pool, is the primary mechanical driver of the recent price surge. Sustained volume at this level would be needed to push through the $0.3705 resistance; a volume fade would likely trigger profit-taking.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a prolonged consolidation between $0.29 and $0.32 for 13 sessions, followed by a sharp single-session breakout to $0.3665 — a move of approximately +21% from the prior close of $0.3011. This is a classic compression-then-expansion pattern.

A breakout from multi-week consolidation on elevated buy pressure typically signals the start of a new leg higher, but the proximity to the 91-day high at $0.3705 means the breakout has not yet been confirmed by a close above prior resistance. A daily close above $0.3705 would be a technically significant confirmation; failure to hold above $0.3144 would suggest the breakout was a false move.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.3144
Major$0.2280
Resistance
Immediate$0.3705
Major$0.3705

The immediate support at $0.3144 represents the prior consolidation swing low and is the first meaningful level buyers would need to defend on any pullback. Major support at $0.2280 is the 91-day range low and would represent a full round-trip of the recent rally. Both resistance levels converge at $0.3705 — the 91-day range high — meaning this single level is the critical near-term pivot: a confirmed close above it opens price discovery, while rejection here would likely send price back toward $0.3144.

Overall Risk:
Medium
42/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Daily return volatility of 4.1% (stdev) is moderate for a DeFi token. The 91-day range spans $0.2280 to $0.3705 — a 62% spread — indicating meaningful price swings are normal. The current position at 97% of the range high elevates short-term drawdown risk.

Liquidity
High

Total on-chain liquidity of $100,753 is very shallow for a $4.2M market cap token (liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~2.4%). Any position exceeding a few thousand dollars will face significant slippage, and a coordinated sell of even moderate size could cause a sharp price decline.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 56.5% of supply. Per-wallet classification is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these are protocol contracts, exchange custodians, or individual whales with dumpable positions. This uncertainty warrants a medium rather than low rating.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an assessed rating. The 72-month live history without a known exploit is noted but does not constitute a formal security clearance.

Regulatory
Medium

As a yield-bearing staking token that distributes protocol fee revenue to holders, xSUSHI could attract regulatory scrutiny as a potential unregistered security in certain jurisdictions, particularly given ongoing global regulatory uncertainty around DeFi fee-sharing instruments.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity risk is the most immediate concern: with only $100,753 in the pool, the 24-hour buy volume of $10,257 already represents ~10% of pool depth, meaning any reversal in buying pressure could cause rapid price deterioration with limited exit liquidity
  • SushiSwap protocol dependency: xSUSHI's yield and fundamental value are entirely contingent on SushiSwap's trading volume and fee generation — a sustained decline in DEX usage or migration of liquidity to competitors would reduce the accrual rate and undermine the token's value proposition
  • Concentration uncertainty: 56.5% of supply in the top 10 holders with no wallet-level data means a large, undetected individual holder could exit a significant position with outsized market impact given the thin liquidity

Mitigating Factors

  • 72-month operational history on Ethereum mainnet with no known exploit provides meaningful evidence of contract stability and protocol durability through multiple market cycles
  • Fully circulating supply with no vesting schedules or locked tokens eliminates the risk of sudden supply expansion from insider unlocks

Investor Suitability

xSUSHI may be suitable for DeFi-native investors who already hold SUSHI and seek yield exposure to SushiSwap fee revenue, or for traders with high risk tolerance who are comfortable with thin liquidity and micro-cap volatility. It is not suitable for investors requiring deep liquidity, formal security assurances, or low-volatility exposure.

xSUSHI presents a dual thesis: a mechanically yield-bearing DeFi primitive with a 72-month track record, currently in a confirmed multi-week uptrend with price at the top of its 91-day range. The core risk is that the token's value is entirely dependent on SushiSwap's competitive position in the DEX landscape, and thin liquidity amplifies both upside and downside price moves.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

SushiSwap trading volumes recover or grow, increasing fee buybacks and the xSUSHI/SUSHI exchange rate. The current breakout above the 91-day consolidation range is confirmed by a close above $0.3705, attracting momentum buyers and pushing price into new multi-month highs. The yield-bearing mechanic attracts DeFi yield seekers as broader market conditions improve.

  • +Sustained close above the $0.3705 resistance level confirming the breakout from the 91-day range
  • +Recovery in SushiSwap protocol trading volumes increasing the fundamental fee-accrual rate for xSUSHI holders
Base Case

xSUSHI consolidates near the $0.3144–$0.3705 range after the current breakout attempt, with price action determined primarily by broader DeFi market sentiment and SushiSwap's fee generation. The token maintains its yield-bearing utility but does not attract significant new capital given its micro-cap liquidity constraints.

  • SushiSwap maintains its current level of trading volume and fee generation without significant further market share loss
  • No major protocol-level changes to the SushiBar fee distribution mechanism that would alter xSUSHI's yield characteristics
Bear Case
Medium

The current rally proves to be a low-liquidity pump driven by a small number of buyers in a $100K pool. Buying momentum stalls near the $0.3705 resistance, triggering profit-taking that the thin liquidity cannot absorb, sending price back toward the $0.3144 immediate support or lower. Continued loss of DEX market share by SushiSwap reduces the fundamental yield appeal of xSUSHI.

  • -Thin liquidity ($100,753 pool) making the rally structurally fragile and highly sensitive to any reduction in buy-side flow
  • -SushiSwap's ongoing competition from Uniswap v3/v4 and other DEX aggregators eroding fee revenue and the xSUSHI yield rate

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 5, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.366519817902
Market Cap$4.21M
24h Volume$11.5K
Holders13,662
Liquidity$100.8K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of wallet accumulation or distribution patterns
  • Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable, making it impossible to assess large-holder behavior or profitable-trader positioning
  • Contract-security data (audit scores, vulnerability flags, ownership analysis) was not available from this chain's data provider and has been omitted entirely
  • Per-wallet holder classification was unavailable, preventing accurate assessment of whether the 56.5% top-10 concentration represents dumpable individual whales or non-dumpable protocol/exchange contracts

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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