VANCE

JD Vance Price Today & AI Analysis

VANCE
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 3, 2026

$0.062289

+9.37%24h
LiveContract:0x03402aff31f8f2f5bad0a9702ead1032a3a2811cChain:EthereumHolders:102Market cap:$228.87KLiquidity:$17.13K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 3, 2026, 01:02 PM UTC
Market Cap

$228.87K

24h Volume

$13.47K

Liquidity

$17.13K

FDV

Holders

102

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

VANCE (JD Vance) is a 27.6-month-old Ethereum-based token with no stated utility, trading on Uniswap with a market cap of approximately $228,865 and only $17,133 in liquidity. The token has delivered a notable 30-day return of +55.5% driven by speculative interest, but its micro-cap size, 102-holder base, and razor-thin liquidity pool place it firmly in the highest-risk tier of the market. Per-wallet holder data, smart-money flows, whale transactions, and contract-security assessments are all unavailable, leaving significant blind spots in the risk picture. Investors should treat this as a high-volatility speculative instrument where capital preservation is not guaranteed.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 3, 2026, 01:02 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Political meme token tied to a named public figure, making price action highly sensitive to news cycles rather than on-chain fundamentals
27.6 months of on-chain history provides a longer price record than most meme tokens, with a documented 65-day OHLC range for technical analysis
Extremely low holder count of 102 wallets creates a uniquely concentrated and illiquid market structure

JD Vance AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

VANCE has posted a 7-day gain of +10.8% and currently sits at 66% of its 65-day range, indicating sustained upward momentum rather than a peak. The recent daily close sequence shows a clear staircase pattern from $1.577e-7 to $2.289e-7, with the most recent close marking a new high in the series. Immediate resistance at $2.468e-7 is the next meaningful test; a break above it would open the path toward the major resistance at $3.075e-7.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day return of +55.5% establishes a strong medium-term uptrend that is not yet exhausted, with price still 26% below the 65-day high of $3.075e-7. Daily volatility of 9.2% means the path higher will be choppy, but the structural trend favors continuation as long as the major support at $7.817e-8 remains intact. Sustained buying interest and a positive net flow in the most recent 24-hour window support the medium-term bullish case.

Bullish Factors
  • +30-day price appreciation of +55.5% establishes a clear medium-term uptrend backed by daily OHLC data
  • +Current price at 66% of the 65-day range signals room to run before reaching the $3.075e-7 major resistance
  • +Buy pressure at 53.3% ($7,176 buy volume vs. $6,291 sell volume) shows a modest but positive net inflow over the past 24 hours
  • +Recent daily close sequence (14 closes trending from $1.577e-7 to $2.289e-7) shows a consistent higher-lows pattern
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of only $17,133 means even a modest sell order can cause severe slippage and rapid price collapse
  • -Only 102 holders make the token extremely vulnerable to coordinated exit by a small number of wallets
  • -Daily volatility of 9.2% (stdev of daily returns) implies drawdowns of 15-25% are routine and can erase short-term gains quickly
  • -The token has no described utility, no category classification, and no project description, making it entirely dependent on speculative sentiment

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

VANCE call history

Full track record →
Sep 3bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x0340...811c
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Liquidity removal risk: with only $17,133 in the pool, a single liquidity provider exit could make the token effectively untradeable and strand holders with no exit
Concentration and exit risk: 36.5% of supply held by 10 wallets in a 102-holder ecosystem means a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by a few large holders could collapse the price; per-wallet classification is unavailable to assess whether these are benign protocol addresses
Regulatory and reputational risk: use of a named political figure's identity exposes the token to legal challenges, social media platform bans, or exchange delistings that could eliminate demand overnight

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is modestly bullish, with buy pressure at 53.3% and a slight edge in buy volume ($7,176 vs. $6,291 in sells) over the past 24 hours. However, the absolute transaction counts are very low — 41 total trades from 35 unique participants — indicating this is a thinly traded market where sentiment can reverse on a handful of orders. The 4-hour window shows near-equal buy and sell transaction counts (19 vs. 18), suggesting the recent momentum may be stabilizing.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both the 7-day (+10.8%) and 30-day (+55.5%) windows confirm a sustained uptrend across timeframes. The 14-session daily close sequence shows a clear progression from $1.577e-7 to $2.289e-7 with higher lows established at $1.402e-7, $1.577e-7, and $1.831e-7, confirming the uptrend structure. The current price at 66% of the 65-day range indicates the trend has room to extend before testing the $3.075e-7 ceiling.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

After a sharp 4-hour gain of +31.1%, the most recent 1-hour and 5-minute readings show -7.8% and -1.7% respectively, indicating the token is cooling from an intraday spike. This pullback pattern following a large short-term move is consistent with profit-taking rather than trend reversal, but the 9.2% daily volatility means momentum can shift rapidly in either direction.

Volume Analysis

Buy 53.3%Sell 46.7%

Volume Trend: Stable

The 24-hour volume of ~$13,467 is high relative to the $17,133 liquidity pool (78% ratio), signaling active but thin trading. The concentration of all 19 buy transactions within the 4-hour window suggests volume is episodic rather than continuous, which is typical for low-holder meme tokens responding to external news or social media activity.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a recovery from a mid-period dip to $1.402e-7, followed by a steady climb to the current $2.289e-7, with the most recent close being the highest in the observed window. The intraday pattern shows a +31% spike in the 4-hour window followed by a partial retracement, consistent with a pump-and-partial-retrace structure.

The higher-lows pattern in daily closes is technically constructive and suggests accumulation at each dip. However, the intraday spike-and-retrace pattern is common in low-liquidity tokens and often precedes consolidation or further volatility rather than a clean continuation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$1.901e-7
Major$7.817e-8
Resistance
Immediate$2.468e-7
Major$3.075e-7

The immediate support at $1.901e-7 corresponds to a recent swing low in the daily OHLC series and represents the first meaningful floor if the current pullback deepens. Major support at $7.817e-8 is the 65-day range low and would represent a ~66% drawdown from current price — a realistic scenario given the token's volatility profile. On the upside, immediate resistance at $2.468e-7 is the next swing high to clear; a daily close above it would be technically significant. The major resistance at $3.075e-7 is the 65-day range high and represents the ultimate bull-case target within the observed price history.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 9.2% (stdev) implies annualized volatility exceeding 170%. The intraday range on a single 4-hour candle reached +31%, and the 65-day price range spans from $7.817e-8 to $3.075e-7 — a nearly 4x spread — confirming that large drawdowns are a routine feature of this token.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $17,133 on Uniswap is critically shallow. A 24-hour trading volume of ~$13,467 represents 78% of the entire liquidity pool, meaning individual trades routinely move the price significantly. Any attempt to exit a position of more than a few hundred dollars will incur substantial slippage, and liquidity removal by pool providers could render the token untradeable.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 36.5% of supply across a total base of only 102 holders. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these positions are exchange contracts (non-dumpable) or individual wallets (dumpable). In the absence of that classification, the concentration must be treated as a high risk given the token's illiquid market.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an actual assessment. Investors should independently verify contract verification status, check for mint or pause functions, and review any available audit reports before interacting with this token.

Regulatory
High

Tokens that use the name and likeness of real political figures carry elevated regulatory risk, including potential cease-and-desist actions, securities classification scrutiny, or platform delistings triggered by political sensitivity. The token's association with a sitting U.S. government official adds a layer of legal uncertainty not present in generic meme tokens.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity removal risk: with only $17,133 in the pool, a single liquidity provider exit could make the token effectively untradeable and strand holders with no exit
  • Concentration and exit risk: 36.5% of supply held by 10 wallets in a 102-holder ecosystem means a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by a few large holders could collapse the price; per-wallet classification is unavailable to assess whether these are benign protocol addresses
  • Regulatory and reputational risk: use of a named political figure's identity exposes the token to legal challenges, social media platform bans, or exchange delistings that could eliminate demand overnight

Mitigating Factors

  • The token has survived 27.6 months on-chain without a complete collapse, demonstrating some floor of persistent speculative demand
  • 100% circulating supply eliminates the risk of sudden large token unlocks from team or investor vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment, who can monitor positions continuously given the token's extreme volatility, and who are allocating only a small fraction of their portfolio. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone who cannot afford to lose the full amount invested.

VANCE is a pure speculative play on political sentiment with no underlying utility, making its investment case entirely dependent on news-cycle momentum and the continued relevance of its namesake. The 30-day uptrend of +55.5% and constructive daily close sequence present a technically bullish short-term picture, but the micro-cap structure, thin liquidity, and unverifiable contract security create asymmetric downside risk.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Renewed political media attention around JD Vance drives a wave of retail speculative buying, pushing volume above the current liquidity pool depth and propelling price toward the major resistance at $3.075e-7 — a ~34% gain from current levels. Sustained holder growth beyond 102 wallets would broaden the demand base and reduce single-wallet exit risk.

  • +Positive political news cycle or viral social media moment tied to JD Vance driving speculative retail inflows
  • +Continuation of the established 30-day uptrend with price breaking above the immediate resistance at $2.468e-7 on meaningful volume
Base Case

The token continues to trade in a volatile but range-bound pattern between the immediate support ($1.901e-7) and immediate resistance ($2.468e-7), with episodic volume spikes tied to political news cycles and no sustained trend in either direction. The holder base remains small and the liquidity pool stays shallow, keeping the token in a high-risk, low-liquidity equilibrium.

  • No major liquidity removal event or large-holder exit in the near term
  • Political news cycle remains moderately active but does not generate a viral moment sufficient to drive a new wave of retail buyers
Bear Case
Medium

A large holder exits their position into the thin $17,133 liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of stop-losses and panic selling that drives price back toward the major support at $7.817e-8 — a ~66% drawdown from current levels. Negative political news or regulatory scrutiny of political meme tokens could accelerate this scenario.

  • -Liquidity removal or large-holder exit into a pool too shallow to absorb the sell pressure without catastrophic price impact
  • -Negative political developments or regulatory action targeting tokens using political figures' identities

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 3, 2026, 01:02 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$2.28864851155e-7
Market Cap$228.9K
24h Volume$13.5K
Holders102
Liquidity$17.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing assessment of whether the holder base is expanding or contracting
  • Whale transaction and individual swap records were unavailable, making it impossible to observe large-holder behavior or smart-money flows
  • Contract-security data (audit status, honeypot check, mint/pause functions) was not available on this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • 90-day price change data was unavailable, limiting the long-term trend analysis to the 30-day window
  • No project description, whitepaper, or roadmap was available, making fundamental valuation impossible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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