wQUIL

Wrapped QUIL Price Today & AI Analysis

wQUIL
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 17, 2026

$0.007338

-2.22%24h
LiveContract:0x8143182a775c54578c8b7b3ef77982498866945dChain:EthereumHolders:9.6KMarket cap:$6.62MLiquidity:$78.12K

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Ask Unhosted AI about wQUIL

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$4.86M

24h Volume

$175.01K

Liquidity

$58.31K

FDV

—

Holders

9.7K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Wrapped QUIL (wQUIL) is the ERC-20 bridge representation of QUIL, the native token of Quilibrium — a decentralized internet-layer protocol targeting privacy-preserving cloud services with IoT, storage, and interoperability features. At 26.1 months old with a $4.86M market cap and 9,713 holders, the token has established a real user base but is currently in a severe downtrend, having lost over 55% in the past week alone. Trading liquidity is critically thin at $58,307, amplifying volatility and slippage risk for any meaningful position. The token's broad protocol ambitions and growing holder count provide a fundamental floor, but near-term price action is dominated by selling pressure and the absence of a clear reversal catalyst.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
wQUIL is a wrapped bridge token, meaning its value is directly tied to the Quilibrium L1 protocol's native QUIL — adding bridge/peg risk on top of standard token risk
Quilibrium's privacy-first decentralized cloud positioning differentiates it from generic L1s, targeting API-compatible SDKs for enterprise and developer adoption
Unusually broad category classification (L1, NFT, IoT, storage, interoperability, derivatives, metagovernance) suggests an ambitious multi-vertical protocol roadmap

Wrapped QUIL AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

wQUIL has collapsed 55.9% over the past 7 days and 58.7% over 30 days, with the current price of $0.005757 sitting at just 18% of its 88-day range. The most recent daily close represents a near-halving from the prior session, and sell pressure dominates at 57.1% of 24h volume. A short-term bounce toward immediate resistance is possible given the oversold position, but the structural trend remains firmly bearish.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With both the 7-day (-55.9%) and 30-day (-58.7%) trends deeply negative and no 90-day baseline available, the medium-term trajectory is bearish. The price is already near the lower quartile of its historical range, and without a meaningful catalyst or volume reversal, continued pressure toward the $0.001786 floor is the path of least resistance. Recovery to the $0.02445 major resistance would require a multi-fold rally against the prevailing trend.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base has grown net +93 over 31 days (9,540 → 9,633), indicating continued organic adoption despite the price decline
  • +Recent notable on-chain buys up to $1,192 suggest some participants are actively accumulating at current depressed levels
  • +Top-10 concentration is only 16% of supply, with 55% held by retail — a relatively distributed structure that limits single-actor dump risk
  • +Quilibrium's multi-category positioning (L1, privacy, IoT, interoperability) provides a broad addressable market if protocol adoption accelerates
Bearish Factors
  • -Price has fallen 55.9% in 7 days and 58.7% in 30 days, placing it at just 18% of its 88-day range — a sustained, accelerating downtrend
  • -The largest whale (3.35% of supply, wallet 0x9642b2) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, creating latent sell pressure from a cost-basis-zero holder
  • -Sell pressure accounts for 57.1% of 24h volume ($100K sells vs $75K buys), with sell transactions outnumbering buys in every time window (1h, 4h, 24h)
  • -Liquidity of only $58,307 is extremely shallow relative to a $4.86M market cap, meaning even modest sell orders cause significant price impact

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

wQUIL call history

Full track record →
Jul 17bearish
24h+24.8%
7d+25.4%
30d-8.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x8143...945d
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Bridge integrity risk: wQUIL's value is contingent on the Quilibrium-Ethereum bridge functioning correctly — a bridge exploit or peg failure would be catastrophic for holders regardless of QUIL's underlying value
•Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: the top three individual whales (totaling ~7.76% of supply) acquired positions via transfer/airdrop with no market cost basis, meaning they can sell at any price without realizing a loss — a persistent and asymmetric sell pressure risk against a $58K liquidity pool
•Accelerating price collapse with no OHLC-derived support between $0.005757 and $0.001786: the token has already lost 55.9% in 7 days and sits at 18% of its range with no intermediate technical floor identified

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is bearish, with sell pressure at 57.1% of 24h volume and sell transactions outnumbering buys across all measured windows (1h: 148 sells vs 114 buys; 4h: 184 vs 168; 24h: 185 vs 174). Despite 116 unique buyers versus 90 unique sellers in 24h — suggesting broader but smaller buy participation — the dollar volume skews decisively toward selling, indicating larger average sell sizes.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The daily OHLC series shows a clear and accelerating downtrend: closes declined from $0.01457 to $0.005757 over the 14 most recent sessions, with the final session representing a near-50% single-day collapse. Both the 7-day (-55.9%) and 30-day (-58.7%) returns confirm the medium-term trend is equally bearish, with no sign of base-building or reversal structure in the data.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

At 18% of the 88-day range ($0.001786–$0.02445), wQUIL is deeply oversold on a range-relative basis. Daily volatility of 11.5% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extremely high, meaning the token can move violently in either direction — oversold conditions can produce sharp but short-lived bounces before the trend reasserts.

Volume Analysis

Buy 42.9%Sell 57.1%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Volume spiked dramatically in the most recent 4-hour window, which accounts for nearly all of the 24-hour transaction count. This volume surge accompanied the price collapse, confirming the move is distribution-driven rather than a liquidity vacuum. High volume on down moves is a bearish technical signal.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a steady decline from $0.01457 with a final catastrophic drop to $0.005757 — a pattern consistent with a capitulation or large-holder exit event. Prior sessions showed gradual erosion ($0.01457 → $0.01136 over 13 days) before the terminal flush.

Capitulation-style drops of this magnitude can mark short-term bottoms, but without volume reversal or a clear demand catalyst, they more often represent the acceleration phase of a larger downtrend rather than a definitive floor.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.001786
Major$0.001786
Resistance
Immediate$0.01152
Major$0.02445

The immediate and major support levels converge at $0.001786 — the 88-day range low — meaning there is no intermediate OHLC-derived support between the current price ($0.005757) and the historical floor. Immediate resistance at $0.01152 represents the prior range low from the gradual decline phase; reclaiming this level would be the first technical signal of trend stabilization. Major resistance at $0.02445 is the 88-day high and would require a 4x rally from current levels.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders9,713
24h Change+46
Growth Rate+0.47%

The 31-day trajectory (9,540 → 9,633, net +93) shows genuine but decelerating growth. The fact that holders are still accumulating during a severe price decline suggests either conviction buyers or new entrants attracted by lower prices — however, the deceleration in growth rate (7-day net +32 vs 30-day average of ~3/day) indicates momentum is fading and the token is not attracting new participants at an accelerating pace.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders16%
Top 100 Holders45%
Retail Holders55.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

With 55% of supply held by retail and only 16% in the top 10 wallets, the distribution is healthier than most small-cap tokens. However, the dumpable supply figure of 16.5% — held entirely by individual whales with zero-cost-basis positions (acquired via transfer/airdrop) — is the genuine concentration risk. Against a liquidity pool of only $58,307, even a fraction of this supply hitting the market simultaneously would be devastating to price.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

The largest on-chain swaps in the recent window are modest: buys of $1,192, $1,066, and $981, and sells of $494 and $426. These are retail-scale transactions, not whale movements — the top individual whales (0x9642b2, 0x438d65, 0x8d2231) show no recent indexed DEX activity on this token.

  • •BUY $1,192 by 0x84e03f — largest single swap in the recent window, a retail-scale accumulation at depressed prices
  • •SELL $494 by 0x2c5b09 — largest recent sell, modest in absolute terms but meaningful relative to the thin liquidity pool

The absence of large whale DEX transactions suggests the top holders are neither actively accumulating nor distributing through on-chain swaps at this time. The price collapse appears driven by mid-tier holders rather than the top whales, though the zero-cost-basis whale positions remain a persistent overhang risk.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

Six wallets identified as top profitable traders each show identical realized PnL of +$186 (+34%) across exactly 115 trades each — a statistically anomalous pattern suggesting these may be related wallets or a bot cluster rather than independent smart money actors.

The smart money data is highly suspicious: six wallets with identical PnL (+$186, +34%, 115 trades each) is not a natural distribution of independent traders. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated bot strategy or wash-trading cluster. The absolute profit figures ($186 each) are trivially small relative to the token's market cap, indicating smart money engagement is minimal and the signal value of this data is low.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$58,307.44
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $58,307 total liquidity against a $4.86M market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 1.2% — critically thin. The 24-hour trading volume of ~$175K represents roughly 3x the entire liquidity pool, which directly explains the 50% price decline: repeated pool turnovers with sell-side dominance drain the pool's price support rapidly. Any position larger than a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 11.5% (standard deviation) is extreme — this means a typical day can move the token ±11.5%, and the recent 7-day decline of 55.9% demonstrates that tail events are severe. The 88-day range spans $0.001786 to $0.02445, a 13.7x spread, confirming structural high volatility.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $58,307 against a $4.86M market cap (1.2% ratio) is critically thin. The 24h volume of ~$175K already represents 3x the liquidity pool, and any position above a few hundred dollars will incur meaningful slippage. Exit risk for larger holders is severe.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 16.5%, held by individual whales — several of whom acquired positions via transfer/airdrop at zero cost basis. While the top-10 concentration of 16% is relatively low, the zero-cost-basis nature of the largest whale positions means they face no financial disincentive to sell at any price.

Smart Contract
Medium

The 69/100 security score and the inherent complexity of a bridge/wrapped token architecture elevate smart contract risk above a standard ERC-20. Bridge contracts are historically high-value targets for exploits, and a peg failure would render wQUIL worthless regardless of QUIL's performance.

Regulatory
Medium

Quilibrium's positioning across multiple regulated-adjacent categories (decentralized derivatives, metagovernance, platform utility) creates exposure to evolving crypto regulatory frameworks in multiple jurisdictions. The privacy-first design may attract additional regulatory scrutiny in markets targeting privacy coins and protocols.

Key Risks

  • •Bridge integrity risk: wQUIL's value is contingent on the Quilibrium-Ethereum bridge functioning correctly — a bridge exploit or peg failure would be catastrophic for holders regardless of QUIL's underlying value
  • •Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: the top three individual whales (totaling ~7.76% of supply) acquired positions via transfer/airdrop with no market cost basis, meaning they can sell at any price without realizing a loss — a persistent and asymmetric sell pressure risk against a $58K liquidity pool
  • •Accelerating price collapse with no OHLC-derived support between $0.005757 and $0.001786: the token has already lost 55.9% in 7 days and sits at 18% of its range with no intermediate technical floor identified

Mitigating Factors

  • •100% circulating supply with no vesting unlocks eliminates the most common source of structured sell pressure in early-stage tokens
  • •Verified contract and established community infrastructure (Telegram, Discord, website) with 9,713 real holders indicate the project is not an outright scam or abandoned protocol

Investor Suitability

wQUIL is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with deep familiarity with wrapped/bridge token mechanics, small-cap crypto volatility, and the Quilibrium protocol specifically. It is not appropriate for capital preservation, income-seeking, or risk-averse investors. Any position should be sized to accommodate a total loss scenario.

wQUIL presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity tied to Quilibrium's long-term vision of privacy-preserving decentralized cloud infrastructure. The current price reflects severe near-term selling pressure and thin liquidity rather than a fundamental reassessment of the protocol, but the absence of a clear reversal catalyst and the zero-cost-basis whale overhang make near-term recovery uncertain.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Quilibrium achieves a significant protocol milestone (mainnet launch, major partnership, or developer adoption surge) that drives organic demand for QUIL/wQUIL. The current price at 18% of the 88-day range provides a low entry point, and a recovery to the $0.01152 immediate resistance would represent a ~2x return from current levels. Broader crypto market tailwinds could amplify this move.

  • +Quilibrium protocol adoption milestone driving genuine utility demand for wQUIL
  • +Broader crypto market recovery lifting speculative small-cap L1 tokens
Base Case

wQUIL stabilizes near current levels or drifts slowly toward the $0.001786 support over the next 30-90 days, with thin trading volume and gradual holder attrition. The protocol continues development without a breakout catalyst, and the token trades as a low-liquidity speculative asset with high volatility around a flat-to-declining trend.

  • •No major bridge exploit or protocol failure occurs
  • •Zero-cost-basis whales do not aggressively liquidate their positions simultaneously
Bear Case
High

The current downtrend continues toward the $0.001786 historical floor as zero-cost-basis whales exit into thin liquidity, the holder growth deceleration accelerates into net outflows, and no protocol catalyst materializes. A bridge exploit or peg failure would accelerate this scenario to near-zero.

  • -Zero-cost-basis whale positions (16.5% dumpable supply) selling into $58K liquidity pool
  • -Continued absence of protocol catalysts sustaining the 30-day bearish trend

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.005757457500844352
Market Cap$4.86M
24h Volume$175.0K
Holders9,713
Liquidity$58.3K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (88-day series)
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)
Smart money realized PnL data
Contract security assessment score
Liquidity pool depth metrics

Limitations

  • •No 90-day return data available, limiting full-cycle trend analysis
  • •Smart money data shows statistically anomalous identical PnL across six wallets, reducing its signal reliability
  • •wQUIL's value depends on the Quilibrium L1 native token (QUIL) and bridge mechanics not fully captured in ERC-20 on-chain data alone
  • •Moralis holder tier thresholds are not publicly defined, preventing precise supply-weighted analysis by tier

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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