VANA

Vana Price Today & AI Analysis

VANAEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 15, 2026

Price

$1.11

+3.83% 24h

Contract

Live
0x7ff7fa94b8b66ef313f7970d4eebd2cb3103a2c0

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

972

Market cap

$164.01K

Liquidity

$77.25K

At a $1M market cap, $VANA would be $6.74 (6.10x from today’s price)

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Vana: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-15 05:00 UTC

Holder addresses

904

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$107,451.55
How concentrated is Vana ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 904 addresses (2026-07-15 05:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Vana?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Vana liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-15 05:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $107,451.55. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-15 05:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 15, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$41.55M

24h Volume

$184.20K

Liquidity

$107.45K

FDV

—

Holders

904

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Vana (VANA) is a 19.6-month-old EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain on Ethereum, focused on enabling individuals to tokenize and monetize personal data for AI model training through Data Liquidity Pools and a Proof-of-Contribution mechanism. At $1.35 with a market cap of approximately $41.6M, the token has recovered 17.3% over the past 7 days from a $1.14 low but remains near the bottom of its observed $1.14–$5.42 range. Holder concentration is extreme — the top 10 wallets control 88% of supply, with 47.7% in dumpable individual whale hands — and the 31-day holder trend is declining, pointing to structural distribution pressure beneath the short-term price recovery. The security score of 54/100 and an anomalous 29.89% whale wallet acquired via transfer from a wallet first active in June 2026 add meaningful risk flags that investors must weigh carefully.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 15, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Data Liquidity Pools (DLPs) that allow users to contribute, validate, and tokenize personal datasets for AI training — a novel data-ownership primitive
  • Proof-of-Contribution consensus mechanism designed to ensure data quality and integrity within the network
  • Dual positioning as both an AI infrastructure play and a Layer 1 blockchain, targeting the intersection of two high-narrative crypto sectors

Vana AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

VANA has posted a 7-day gain of +17.3%, recovering from the $1.14 period low and closing at $1.35 — its highest daily close in the 9-day OHLC window. The immediate resistance at $1.38 is the first meaningful hurdle; a clean break above it would open a path toward the $5.42 major resistance, though the token currently sits at only 5% of its full period range, indicating substantial overhead supply. Buy pressure at 52.6% and a net positive 24h flow support the near-term bullish bias.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the short-term bounce, the 31-day holder trajectory shows a net decline of 122 holders (970 → 848), signalling persistent distribution pressure that undermines a sustained medium-term rally. With 30d and 90d price change data unavailable and the token sitting at just 5% of its $1.14–$5.42 range, the structural picture is one of a token that has shed most of its value from peak and has not yet demonstrated the holder accumulation needed to support a durable recovery. The $5.42 major resistance represents a 4× move from current price and is unlikely to be challenged without a significant fundamental catalyst.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price appreciation of +17.3%, with the most recent daily close ($1.35) being the highest in the 9-day window, confirming short-term upward momentum.
  • Buy pressure at 52.6% ($96,889 buy volume vs. $87,308 sell volume over 24h) shows modest but real net demand.
  • Holder growth of +24 wallets in 24h and +30 over 7 days suggests some fresh accumulation at current price levels.
  • The project has a verified contract, active social presence (Twitter, Discord, Website), and a differentiated use case in AI data monetization — a high-narrative sector.

Bearish Factors

  • The 31-day holder trajectory is decisively declining: 970 → 848 holders (net -122), indicating sustained net exit from the token over the past month.
  • Every tracked 'smart money' wallet has realized a -56% loss ($-688 each over 6 trades), meaning the most active traders have been consistently losing money — there is no profitable smart-money cohort supporting the token.
  • 47.7% of supply is held by dumpable individual whale wallets, with the single largest dumpable position at 29.89% held by a wallet first active on 2026-06-03 that received its position via transfer with no DEX swap history — a significant and unexplained insider-allocation risk.
  • The token sits at only 5% of its $1.14–$5.42 period range, meaning it remains near multi-period lows and faces a 4× move just to reach the major resistance.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

VANA call history

Full track record →

Jul 15bullish
24h-1.7%
7d-13.5%
30d-37.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x7ff7...a2c0
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Insider dump risk: The 29.89% whale wallet (0xca840b…) holds its position via transfer with no DEX swap history and a wallet first-active date of 2026-06-03 — this unexplained allocation could be liquidated into the $107K liquidity pool, causing catastrophic price impact.
  • Sustained holder exodus: The 31-day holder trajectory declining from 970 to 848 (-122 net) indicates the token is losing participants faster than it is gaining them, which is a leading indicator of continued price weakness.
  • Smart money losses: All six tracked active traders have realized -56% losses, meaning the most informed market participants have been consistently wrong or have been exiting at a loss — a strong signal of poor price discovery and potential manipulation.

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is marginally bullish, with buy pressure at 52.6% and 112 buy transactions versus 108 sell transactions over 24 hours, but the margin is thin and the unique buyer/seller ratio (32 buyers vs. 16 sellers) suggests a small cohort of sellers is absorbing a larger number of buyers without significant price impact. Activity is low in absolute terms — 220 total transactions from 48 unique participants over 24 hours on a $107K liquidity pool — indicating this is a thinly traded market where individual large orders can move price materially.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 7-day price action shows a clear short-term uptrend: the token bottomed at $1.14, consolidated between $1.21–$1.25, and has now closed at $1.35 — the highest close in the 9-day window. However, with only 9 days of OHLC data available and the token sitting at just 5% of its full $1.14–$5.42 observed range, the medium-term structural picture remains bearish; the token has not recovered meaningful ground from what appears to be a significant prior decline. Daily volatility of 6.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) reflects a high-risk, high-movement asset.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is modestly positive in the short term given the 7-day +17.3% move and the most recent close being the highest in the window, but the token's position at 5% of its period range and the tapering of hourly transaction counts (from a 24h pace of ~9 trades/hour to 11 in the last hour) suggest momentum is not accelerating. The absence of 30d/90d data prevents a fuller momentum assessment.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.6%

Sell

47.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

24-hour volume of ~$184K against $107K in liquidity is elevated relative to pool depth, but the 4-hour window shows only 32 transactions — consistent with a steady but not surging pace. Volume is not confirming a breakout; it reflects routine activity in a thinly traded pool.

Recent Price Action

The 9-day daily close sequence ($1.30 → $1.15 → $1.14 → $1.25 → $1.21 → $1.21 → $1.29 → $1.25 → $1.35) shows a V-shaped recovery from the $1.14 low, with the most recent close breaking above the prior consolidation range of $1.21–$1.29.

A close above the $1.29–$1.30 consolidation zone is a constructive short-term signal, but the pattern is nascent and unconfirmed. The $1.38 immediate resistance is the next meaningful test; a rejection there would suggest the recovery is a dead-cat bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.30

Major support

$1.14

Immediate resistance

$1.38

Major resistance

$5.42

The $1.30 immediate support corresponds to the most recent prior daily close and the top of the prior consolidation range — a break below it would signal the recovery has failed. The $1.14 major support is the 9-day period low and the last line of defense before price discovery lower. The $1.38 immediate resistance is the first overhead level to clear for the uptrend to continue. The $5.42 major resistance represents the period high and is approximately 4× the current price, underscoring how far the token has fallen from its peak and the scale of recovery required to reach prior highs.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

74/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 6.6% (standard deviation) implies annualized volatility exceeding 100%. The token has traded between $1.14 and $5.42 within the observed window — a 375% range — confirming extreme price swings.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total pool liquidity of $107,452 on Uniswap v3 is critically shallow for a $41.6M market cap asset. Orders above ~$5,000 will face meaningful slippage, and a large holder exit could gap the price significantly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a data monetization and AI infrastructure token, Vana operates in a space that may attract regulatory scrutiny around data privacy laws (GDPR, CCPA) and securities classification. The utility token classification provides some protection, but the regulatory landscape for AI data tokens remains unsettled.

Key Risks

  • Insider dump risk: The 29.89% whale wallet (0xca840b…) holds its position via transfer with no DEX swap history and a wallet first-active date of 2026-06-03 — this unexplained allocation could be liquidated into the $107K liquidity pool, causing catastrophic price impact.
  • Sustained holder exodus: The 31-day holder trajectory declining from 970 to 848 (-122 net) indicates the token is losing participants faster than it is gaining them, which is a leading indicator of continued price weakness.
  • Smart money losses: All six tracked active traders have realized -56% losses, meaning the most informed market participants have been consistently wrong or have been exiting at a loss — a strong signal of poor price discovery and potential manipulation.

Mitigating Factors

  • The 44.15% top holder is a protocol/contract (not dumpable), which means nearly half the supply is structurally locked and cannot be sold into the market.
  • The project has a verified contract, 19.6 months of operational history without a reported exploit, and a differentiated use case in the high-growth AI data sector.

Investor Suitability

VANA is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with small-cap, thinly traded crypto assets who can afford to lose their entire investment. The combination of extreme concentration, shallow liquidity, anomalous insider allocation, and declining holder base makes this inappropriate for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized accordingly.

Vana occupies a compelling narrative position at the intersection of AI and Layer 1 infrastructure, with a genuinely differentiated data-ownership use case. However, the on-chain evidence — declining holders, universal smart-money losses, a 29.89% unexplained insider allocation, and $107K in liquidity — presents a risk profile that significantly discounts the fundamental story at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Vana achieves meaningful adoption of its Data Liquidity Pools, with verifiable AI companies paying for access to tokenized datasets. This drives organic demand for VANA tokens, attracts new holders, and reverses the 31-day declining holder trend. A broader AI-sector rally amplifies the narrative premium, pushing price toward the $5.42 major resistance.

  • Demonstrated real-world adoption of Data Liquidity Pools with measurable data contributor and AI buyer activity
  • Reversal of the 31-day holder decline, with sustained weekly holder growth above 5%

Base Case

VANA consolidates in the $1.14–$1.38 range over the medium term, with the short-term recovery stalling at the immediate resistance. The project continues development without a major adoption breakthrough, holder counts stabilize at current levels, and price drifts sideways to slightly lower as the broader market determines fair value for an early-stage AI data infrastructure token.

  • The 29.89% whale wallet remains inactive and does not liquidate its position in the near term
  • No major product milestone or partnership announcement materially changes the fundamental narrative

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 29.89% insider whale liquidates its position into the shallow $107K liquidity pool, triggering a cascade below the $1.14 major support. Continued holder attrition accelerates, and the token fails to attract new participants, resulting in a retest of price discovery lows well below $1.00.

  • Liquidation of the anomalous 29.89% transfer-acquired whale position into insufficient liquidity
  • Continued 31-day holder decline with no fundamental catalyst to reverse the trend

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 15, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-15 05:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.349168023493915625

Market Cap

$41.55M

24h Volume

$184.2K

Holders

904

Liquidity

$107,451.55

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)9-day daily OHLC price history31-day holder trajectory timeseriesWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)Smart money realized PnL dataSmart contract security assessment

Limitations

  • Only 9 days of OHLC data are available, making 30d/90d trend analysis impossible and significantly limiting the reliability of medium-term price forecasts.
  • The anomalous market cap vs. FDV discrepancy ($41.6M vs. $121,350) could not be resolved from available data and may indicate a data feed error or complex supply structure requiring independent verification.
  • The 29.89% whale wallet first-active date of 2026-06-03 is temporally anomalous and could not be fully explained from available data — its true nature and intentions are unknown.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about VANA?