VAR

Variational Price Today & AI Analysis

VAREthereumAnalysis as of Nov 4, 2026

Price

$0.000279

+11584.90% 24h

Contract

Live
0x69ce956a723db57b8f6e5c7285d865702c642cfc

Holders

305

Market cap

$267.54K

Liquidity

$22.91K

At a $1M market cap, $VAR would be $0.001041 (3.74x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is VAR a scam?

Unhosted check · Nov 4

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through

Buy tax

0%

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about VAR

3 free answers a day

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Variational: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-11-04 04:30 UTC

Holder addresses

249

Top 10 supply share

14.91%

Reported liquidity

$21,176.00
How concentrated is Variational ownership?
As of 2026-11-04 04:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.91% of supply. It reports 249 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Variational?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-11-04 04:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $123,876.00 in buys and $102,789.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Variational liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +1098.42%, from $1,767.00 (2026-11-04 00:00 UTC) to $21,176.00 (2026-11-04 04:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-11-04 04:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-11-04 00:00 UTC$1,767.00
2026-11-04 01:00 UTC$3,895.00
2026-11-04 02:00 UTC$9,252.00
2026-11-04 03:00 UTC$15,867.00
2026-11-04 04:00 UTC$21,176.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Nov 4, 2026, 04:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$233.46K

24h Volume

$226.66K

Liquidity

$21.18K

FDV

—

Holders

249

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Variational (VAR) is an Ethereum token trading on Uniswap, 27 hours old, with a market cap of about $233,456 and $21,176 in liquidity. It rose roughly 10,096% in 24h from a near-zero launch price, so the move reflects price discovery rather than a trend. Unhosted's scam check returned NEUTRAL (0/100) with a successful test sell, but this is a warning signal, not a safety guarantee. No project description or category is available.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Nov 4, 2026, 04:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely early stage: 27 hours old with 249 holders
  • Fully circulating supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens, so FDV is close to market cap
  • Social links (Twitter, Telegram, Website) exist, but no description or category is provided

Variational AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token is 27 hours old and its 24h change of roughly +10,096% reflects a launch-day price discovery from a near-zero base, not an established trend. No daily OHLC history exists, so there is no multi-window trend to anchor a continuation call. After a move of this size, mean reversion is statistically more likely than further parabolic gains, especially with only $21,176 in liquidity.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Newly launched, uncategorized tokens with no description and thin liquidity tend to lose most of their launch-spike value as early buyers take profit. Without price history, a project description, or forensic data, there is little evidence to support a sustained uptrend. This is a probabilistic lean, not a certainty.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy volume of $123,876 exceeds sell volume of $102,789 (54.7% buy pressure) over 24h
  • Unique buyers (301) outnumber unique sellers (180), suggesting broad participation
  • Unhosted's test trade showed the token is sellable with a 0% buy tax

Bearish Factors

  • A +10,096% gain in 24h from a tiny base leaves large unrealized profits that can turn into selling
  • Liquidity of $21,176 is only about 9% of the $233,456 market cap, so exits are costly
  • Sell transactions (519) outnumber buy transactions (448) despite higher buy volume, so larger buys are being met by more frequent sells
  • No project description, category, or token type is provided, so there is no fundamental anchor for the valuation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

VAR call history

Full track record →

Nov 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x69ce...2cfc
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme launch-day volatility after a +10,096% 24h move, with retracement risk
  • Thin liquidity of $21,176 makes exits costly and price easily manipulated
  • No project description, category, or team information to support valuation
  • Deployer, launch allocation, and whale forensics are unavailable, so insider risk could not be evaluated

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy volume leads sell volume modestly (54.7% vs 45.3%), but transaction counts tilt toward sells (519 vs 448). That combination suggests a balanced, high-churn market rather than decisive accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The token is up sharply over 1h (+113.9%) and 24h (+10,096%), but this is launch price discovery rather than a confirmed trend. No daily history exists to assess a medium-term direction, so it is treated as undetermined.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A four-figure percentage gain in one day is extreme by any measure, and classic indicators such as RSI would almost certainly read overbought. The 5-minute change of +0.75% shows momentum has slowed at the current price.

Volume Analysis

Buy

54.7%

Sell

45.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

Total 24h volume is about $226,665 against $21,176 in liquidity, a turnover of roughly 10x liquidity. That is high and typical of speculative launch trading, though a longer history is needed to judge direction.

Recent Price Action

A vertical launch spike from a near-zero base, now consolidating, with the latest 5-minute move at +0.75%.

Vertical launch moves are often followed by sharp retracements as early buyers realize gains, though some tokens do hold a portion of gains if liquidity and demand deepen.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A +10,096% move in 24h and +113.9% in the last hour indicate extreme volatility that can reverse just as fast.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $21,176 supports a $233,456 market cap, so even modest sells could move price significantly.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top-10 holders own 14.9% in aggregate, but per-wallet data is unavailable so dumpable supply cannot be assessed. Launch-wallet shares read 0.00%, which may mean untracked.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Unclassified, anonymous-launch tokens carry general regulatory uncertainty, and no project or team information is available to assess it.

Key Risks

  • Extreme launch-day volatility after a +10,096% 24h move, with retracement risk
  • Thin liquidity of $21,176 makes exits costly and price easily manipulated
  • No project description, category, or team information to support valuation
  • Deployer, launch allocation, and whale forensics are unavailable, so insider risk could not be evaluated

Mitigating Factors

  • Unhosted's scam check was NEUTRAL with a successful test sell and 0% buy tax
  • Top-10 aggregate concentration of 14.9% is moderate, and 301 unique buyers participated in 24h

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance participants who can afford a total loss and who verify the contract independently. Not appropriate for conservative investors.

VAR is a 27-hour-old token whose value rests entirely on short-term speculative demand. Without a described purpose, price history, or forensic data, the risk-reward is unfavorable and the evidence is thin.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Liquidity and holder count expand, the team discloses a credible purpose, and price holds a meaningful part of its launch gains.

  • Substantial liquidity additions beyond $21,176
  • Verifiable project information and growing organic participation

Base Case

Volatile, declining-biased trading with sharp swings as launch interest fades, and liquidity staying thin.

  • No major new catalyst or disclosure emerges
  • Trading volume gradually declines from launch-day levels

Bear Case

High probability

Early buyers take profit, volume fades, and price retraces heavily on thin liquidity.

  • Large unrealized gains following a +10,096% move
  • Shallow liquidity relative to market cap amplifying sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Nov 4, 2026, 04:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-11-04 04:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000243046308271

Market Cap

$233.5K

24h Volume

$226.7K

Holders

249

Liquidity

$21,176.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment, a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • No OHLC history exists, so no support or resistance levels or multi-window trends could be computed
  • Deployer, launch genesis, and smart-money data were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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