reUSD

Resupply USD Price Today & AI Analysis

reUSD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

$1.02

+2.27%24h
LiveContract:0x57ab1e0003f623289cd798b1824be09a793e4becChain:EthereumHolders:433Market cap:$47.68MLiquidity:$789.18K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 12, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
Market Cap

$47.68M

24h Volume

$33.41K

Liquidity

$789.18K

FDV

Holders

433

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Resupply USD (reUSD) is an 18-month-old, CDP-backed decentralized stablecoin currently trading at $1.017 on Curve, a modest 1.7% premium to its intended $1.00 peg. Its 91-day OHLC history shows a tight $0.9856-$1.03 range with low daily volatility (0.7%), consistent with typical stablecoin behavior, punctuated by a recent two-day rally that pushed price to the top of that range. Trading activity is very thin (only 5 transactions and $33,410 of volume in the last 24h) against a $789,178 liquidity pool and a $47.68M market cap, and 71.0% of the 47.04M token supply sits with the top 10 holders, though wallet identities cannot be classified from available data.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 12, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Dynamic borrow-rate design pegged to half the lending rate, half the risk-free rate, or 2%, whichever is greater
Emissions directed at insurance pool, voting incentives, and borrowers in proportion to revenue generated
CDP collateral is itself yield-bearing (deployed into other lending markets such as Curve Lend and Fraxlend), rather than idle collateral

Resupply USD AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

reUSD closed the last two sessions at $0.9947 and $1.02 after trading in a tight $0.9900-$0.9910 band for roughly two weeks, pushing it to the top of its 91-day range (66th percentile) and right into the computed resistance zone at $1.03. The 7-day change of +2.7% confirms this is a genuine short-term uptrend rather than 24h noise, and 79.1% buy-side volume share adds modest confirmation, though the move is occurring on very thin absolute volume.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

30d (+2.9%) and 90d (+2.8%) changes are consistent with the 7d trend, indicating a steady, if shallow, grind higher off the $0.9856 major low rather than a one-off spike. However, as a stablecoin designed to track $1.00, sustained trading above the $1.03 resistance would be atypical and could invite peg-arbitrage flows that cap or reverse further gains.

Bullish Factors
  • +7d/30d/90d trends are all positive and consistent (+2.7%/+2.9%/+2.8%), unlike a noisy single-day move
  • +24h buy volume ($26,414) outweighs sell volume ($6,996) by roughly 3.8x, a 79.1% buy-pressure share
  • +Price has climbed from major support of $0.9856 to the resistance zone near $1.03 over the observed 91-day window
Bearish Factors
  • -reUSD is a stablecoin; trading 1.7% above the $1.00 target peg at $1.017 represents a premium that arbitrage mechanisms typically compress, creating reversion risk toward $1.00
  • -Total 24h transaction count is only 5 (3 buys, 2 sells) with just 2 unique buyers and 2 unique sellers, too thin to establish reliable price discovery
  • -Pool liquidity of $789,178 is small relative to the $47.68M market cap (~1.7%), so any moderately sized trade could move price sharply

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

reUSD call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x57ab...4bec
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Thin liquidity ($789,178) relative to the $47.68M market cap increases slippage risk for larger trades
Top 10 wallets hold 71.0% of supply with identities unclassified, leaving concentration risk unresolved
Only 5 transactions and 2 unique buyers/sellers occurred in the last 24h, meaning current pricing reflects a very small sample of market activity
Current price of $1.017 sits ~1.7% above the $1.00 target peg; reversion via arbitrage or redemption is a structural risk for any premium in a stablecoin

Trading Insight

bullish

The 24h order flow shows a clear buy-side tilt (79.1% buy vs 20.9% sell pressure), aligning with the multi-day price rally toward $1.02. However, the signal is weak in statistical terms given only 5 total trades and 2 unique participants on each side, so this should be read as directional bias rather than strong conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

All three trend windows are positive and mutually consistent (7d +2.7%, 30d +2.9%, 90d +2.8%), and the daily close series shows the price breaking out of a roughly two-week $0.9900-$0.9947 consolidation into the current $1.02 print. This is a genuine multi-day uptrend rather than a 24h anomaly.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Momentum indicators are not conventionally overbought/oversold for a stablecoin, but price sitting at 66% of the 91-day range and directly at the $1.03 resistance/major-resistance level suggests limited room for further upside before encountering historical selling or arbitrage pressure.

Volume Analysis

Buy 79.1%Sell 20.9%

Volume Trend: Stable

24h volume of $33,410 (79.1% buy, 20.9% sell) is small in absolute terms and consistent across the 1h/4h/24h windows in participant count (1-2 unique buyers/sellers each), indicating persistently thin but directionally buy-skewed activity rather than a volume spike or decline.

Recent Price Action

Price held a tight $0.9900-$0.9947 band for roughly two weeks before a sharp two-session rally to $1.02, moving from mid-range toward the top of the 91-day range (66th percentile).

A late breakout on very low volume (only 5 trades in 24h) is a pattern that can reflect either the start of a genuine demand shift or a thin-market anomaly that reverses once larger participants or arbitrageurs re-engage; the stablecoin nature of reUSD makes the latter more likely.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.9908
Major$0.9856
Resistance
Immediate$1.03
Major$1.03

Price has risen from the 91-day major support of $0.9856 to test the immediate/major resistance at $1.03, which coincide at this token's observed cycle high. For a stablecoin, sustained closes above $1.03 would be unusual and would likely attract redemption or arbitrage flows pulling price back toward the $1.00 peg and the $0.9908 immediate support.

Overall Risk:
Medium
47/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Low

Daily volatility is just 0.7% (standard deviation of daily returns) and the 91-day range spans only $0.9856-$1.03, typical of a functioning stablecoin peg mechanism rather than a speculative asset.

Liquidity
Medium

Total liquidity of $789,178 is roughly 1.7% of the $47.68M market cap, and 24h volume of only $33,410 across 5 trades signals a shallow, low-turnover market where larger orders could face meaningful slippage.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 71.0% of the 47.04M supply across 433 holders, a high raw concentration figure; however, per-wallet classification (protocol/treasury vs. individual whale) is unavailable, so the risk is rated medium to reflect elevated concentration without confirmed dumpable-whale evidence.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security audit or scoring data is available for this chain, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than an evidence-based assessment of the smart contract's safety.

Regulatory
Medium

Decentralized, CDP-backed stablecoins operate in an evolving global regulatory environment (e.g., stablecoin-specific frameworks under discussion in multiple jurisdictions); decentralization may reduce single-entity enforcement risk but does not eliminate broader regulatory uncertainty facing the stablecoin category.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($789,178) relative to the $47.68M market cap increases slippage risk for larger trades
  • Top 10 wallets hold 71.0% of supply with identities unclassified, leaving concentration risk unresolved
  • Only 5 transactions and 2 unique buyers/sellers occurred in the last 24h, meaning current pricing reflects a very small sample of market activity
  • Current price of $1.017 sits ~1.7% above the $1.00 target peg; reversion via arbitrage or redemption is a structural risk for any premium in a stablecoin
  • No contract-security audit data is available, leaving smart contract risk unassessed

Mitigating Factors

  • 18-month operating history with price consistently contained within a narrow $0.9856-$1.03 band, suggesting the peg mechanism has functioned without a severe de-peg event to date
  • Total supply equals circulating supply with virtually no gap to fully diluted valuation, removing near-term dilution as a distinct risk factor

Investor Suitability

This token may suit DeFi-native users seeking exposure to a yield-bearing, CDP-backed stablecoin ecosystem (e.g., via Curve Lend/Fraxlend) who understand smart contract and protocol-level risk. It is less suitable for investors seeking a strictly $1.00-pegged, high-liquidity stablecoin or for those needing to execute large trade sizes without price impact.

reUSD is a CDP-backed stablecoin currently trading at a modest premium to its $1.00 target, supported by a consistent multi-window uptrend but constrained by thin liquidity and very low transaction counts. It is best framed as a DeFi utility/yield instrument rather than a speculative trading asset.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Growing integration and usage on Curve Lend and Fraxlend expands organic borrow/lend demand for reUSD, sustaining the current buy-side pressure (79.1% of 24h volume) and consistent 7d/30d/90d uptrend.

  • +Expanding CDP borrow demand tied to the protocol's revenue-based emissions design directing rewards to active borrowers
  • +Persistent buy-side order flow dominance in recent 24h trading
Base Case

Price continues to oscillate in a tight band near its peg, similar to the $0.9856-$1.03 range observed over the past 91 days, with the CDP mechanism gradually correcting supply-demand imbalances over time.

  • No major protocol shock (collateral de-peg, smart contract exploit, or liquidity crisis) occurs
  • Curve pool arbitrage and redemption mechanics continue to function as designed, anchoring price near $1.00 over the medium term
Bear Case
Medium

The current $1.017 premium to peg proves unsustainable in a thin market ($789,178 liquidity, only 5 trades/24h), and arbitrage or redemption activity pulls price back toward $1.00 or below, while the unclassified 71% top-10 concentration remains an unresolved overhang.

  • -Peg-arbitrage mechanics typically compress premiums in stablecoin systems, risking a reversal from $1.017 toward $1.00
  • -Shallow liquidity depth means even moderate selling from concentrated holders could produce outsized price impact

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 12, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$1.01724870812
Market Cap$47.68M
24h Volume$33.4K
Holders433
Liquidity$789.2K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security scoring were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Trading activity sample size is extremely small (5 transactions, 2 unique buyers/sellers in 24h), limiting statistical confidence in sentiment and momentum conclusions
  • Top-10 holder concentration (71.0%) cannot be attributed to specific wallet types (protocol/treasury vs. individual whale) due to lack of per-wallet classification data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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