stkAAVE

Staked Aave Price Today & AI Analysis

stkAAVEEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 18, 2026

Price

$133.36

+17.29% 24h

Contract

Live
0x4da27a545c0c5b758a6ba100e3a049001de870f5

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

19.2K

Market cap

$331.90M

Liquidity

$58.03K

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Movement since report

report from Sep 18, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$331.90M

24h Volume

$39.87K

Liquidity

$58.03K

FDV

—

Holders

19,157

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

stkAAVE (Staked Aave) is a 71.8-month-old Ethereum ERC-20 token trading at $133.28 with a $331.9 million market cap, currently near the top of its 91-day trading range after a 79.9% 90-day rally. Despite the mature contract age and a broad base of 19,157 holders, the token's on-chain liquidity is only $58,035, and 24h trading volume is almost entirely sell-side. This combination of a long uptrend, a large market cap, and extremely thin liquidity is the defining feature of this token's current risk profile.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 18, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Named 'Staked Aave' (stkAAVE), suggesting a staking-related derivative product, though no official description confirms its exact mechanics
  • Long operating history of 71.8 months since contract creation, unusual longevity relative to most newly-launched tokens
  • Market cap ($331.9M) vastly exceeds available on-chain liquidity ($58,035), a stark liquidity-to-valuation mismatch

Staked Aave AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

stkAAVE has rebounded sharply from a $119.07 low four sessions ago to $133.28, now trading right at the computed immediate resistance of $134.15. The multi-day recovery pattern within a broader 7-day gain of +7.6% supports a bullish near-term bias, though the move is occurring on extremely thin volume.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The medium-term trend is unambiguously bullish, with the token up 42.9% over 30 days and 79.9% over 90 days, currently sitting at 85% of its 91-day trading range. A sustained break above the immediate resistance of $134.15 would be needed to challenge the major resistance/91-day high of $144.12.

Bullish Factors

  • 90-day price gain of +79.9% and 30-day gain of +42.9% indicate a sustained uptrend
  • Recent daily closes show a rebound from $119.07 to $133.28 over the last four sessions, holding just under resistance
  • Price sits at 85% of its 91-day range, reflecting persistent buyer interest over the period

Bearish Factors

  • 24h volume is 100% sell-side ($39,864 sold vs. just $3 bought) across 11 sell transactions from 10 unique sellers versus 1 buy transaction
  • Total liquidity of $58,035 is extremely shallow relative to the $331.9M market cap, making price highly susceptible to distortion from small trades
  • Price is testing immediate resistance ($134.15) directly below the 91-day high ($144.12), a zone where prior rallies may have stalled

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

stkAAVE call history

Full track record →

Sep 18bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x4da2...70f5
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($58,035) relative to a $331.9M market cap creates high slippage risk and susceptibility to price distortion from relatively small trades
  • 24h trading is heavily sell-skewed (100% sell pressure, $39,864 sold vs. $3 bought across 11 sells and just 1 buy), suggesting distribution pressure even as price rose 17.3%
  • No contract-security or audit data is available from the current provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • Price is testing immediate resistance at $134.15 after a 79.9% 90-day rally, raising the risk of a pullback if follow-through buying does not materialize

Trading Insight

bearish

24-hour trading data shows an overwhelming sell skew — $39,864 in sell volume against only $3 in buy volume — despite the token's price rising 17.3% over the same window. This divergence, occurring in a $58,035 liquidity pool, points to price action driven by thin order books rather than broad-based buying demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

stkAAVE has climbed 7.6% over the last 7 days, 42.9% over 30 days, and 79.9% over 90 days, placing the current price at 85% of its 91-day range of $71.22-$144.12. Recent daily closes show a rebound from a $119.07 low to $133.28 over the past four sessions, reinforcing the broader uptrend.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

With price sitting at 85% of its 91-day range after a 79.9% 90-day advance and testing immediate resistance at $134.15, momentum indicators implied by the price structure suggest the rally is stretched and vulnerable to a pause or pullback.

Volume Analysis

Buy

0%

Sell

100%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24h combined volume of approximately $39,867 is minimal relative to market cap, and is entirely concentrated on the sell side (100% sell pressure vs. 0% buy pressure), suggesting fading participation despite the recent price strength.

Recent Price Action

Price fell from $133.88 to a local low of $119.07 over roughly ten sessions before rebounding sharply to $133.28 over the last three closes, forming a V-shaped recovery just under the immediate resistance of $134.15.

Such a sharp bounce off a local low within a larger uptrend can indicate renewed buying interest, but the coincident 100% sell-side skew in 24h volume suggests this bounce has not yet been confirmed by genuine buy-side participation.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$132.73

Major support

$71.22

Immediate resistance

$134.15

Major resistance

$144.12

Price is currently pinned between immediate support at $132.73 and immediate resistance at $134.15, a tight zone reflecting recent consolidation after the rebound. A sustained break above $134.15 would target the 91-day high of $144.12, while a drop below $132.73 risks a retracement toward deeper support near $71.22.

Overall Risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility is 4.8% (stdev), and the token has ranged from $71.22 to $144.12 over 91 days (a 79.9% 90-day move), with the 24h period alone showing a 17.3% swing — indicative of a market where thin liquidity can amplify price moves sharply.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $58,035 against a $331.9M market cap and equivalent FDV is extremely shallow, meaning even moderate trade sizes can cause significant slippage or price distortion.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 41.5% of the 2,488,769 supply. Individual wallet identities/labels are unavailable, so this cannot be confirmed as concentrated whale risk versus protocol or exchange holdings, but the aggregate figure justifies a moderate rating.

  • Smart ContractMedium

    No contract-security data (audit status, verification, exploit checks) is available from this chain's data provider, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than a specific assessment of the code.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a token associated by name with staking mechanics in the Aave DeFi ecosystem, it may be subject to evolving regulatory treatment of staking-derivative and DeFi governance-linked products in various jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($58,035) relative to a $331.9M market cap creates high slippage risk and susceptibility to price distortion from relatively small trades
  • 24h trading is heavily sell-skewed (100% sell pressure, $39,864 sold vs. $3 bought across 11 sells and just 1 buy), suggesting distribution pressure even as price rose 17.3%
  • No contract-security or audit data is available from the current provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • Price is testing immediate resistance at $134.15 after a 79.9% 90-day rally, raising the risk of a pullback if follow-through buying does not materialize

Mitigating Factors

  • The contract has a 71.8-month operating history on Ethereum with no described security incident in the available data
  • A broad base of 19,157 holders suggests distribution beyond a narrow speculative group

Investor Suitability

May be appropriate for experienced participants familiar with the Aave ecosystem who can tolerate high slippage and thin-liquidity execution risk; unsuitable for large position sizes or investors who require reliable exit liquidity.

stkAAVE trades at $133.28, up 79.9% over 90 days and sitting just below immediate resistance at $134.15, but its $58,035 liquidity pool and 100% sell-skewed 24h volume introduce significant execution risk. The multi-month trend supports a constructive medium-term view, tempered materially by the fragility of a very thin market.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

A confirmed breakout above the immediate resistance of $134.15 extends the existing 90-day uptrend toward the major resistance/91-day high of $144.12, supported by renewed buy-side demand.

  • Sustained 30d/90d momentum (+42.9%/+79.9%)
  • Renewed buy-side flow reversing the current 100% sell-skew

Base Case

Price consolidates in a tight band between the $132.73 support and $134.15/$144.12 resistance levels amid very low overall trading volume, with occasional sharp moves driven by individual trades rather than sustained directional shifts.

  • Liquidity remains near the current $58,035 level
  • No major catalysts emerge from the broader Aave ecosystem in the near term

Bear Case

Medium probability

Persistent sell-side dominance combined with the extremely thin $58,035 liquidity pool triggers a reversal below immediate support at $132.73, opening a path toward the deeper $71.22 major support.

  • Continuation of the 1-buyer-vs-10-seller imbalance seen in 24h data
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying any downside move

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 18, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC

Data Freshness

Real-time on-chain data

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$133.357234866

Market Cap

$331.90M

24h Volume

$39.9K

Holders

19,157

Liquidity

$58.0K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • 24h trading activity consisted of only 12 total transactions, limiting the statistical reliability of short-term sentiment readings
  • No official project description was available, limiting confidence in fundamental/use-case claims

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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