GNO

Gnosis Token Price Today & AI Analysis

GNO
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

$115.96

-1.28%24h
LiveContract:0x6810e776880c02933d47db1b9fc05908e5386b96Chain:EthereumHolders:20.2KMarket cap:$1.16BLiquidity:$7.51K

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Ask Unhosted AI about GNO

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from May 2, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$394.09M

24h Volume

$357.83K

Liquidity

$92.56K

FDV

—

Holders

19.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Gnosis Token (GNO) is the governance and utility token for the Gnosis ecosystem, which operates a Layer 1 blockchain network alongside infrastructure projects and venture capital initiatives focused on decentralized finance. Trading at $149.09 with a $394M market cap, GNO exhibits strong short-term momentum (+18.59% in 24h) but faces critical structural challenges including extreme liquidity constraints ($92.6K on Uniswap v3) and severe holder concentration (64% in top 10 holders). The token's value proposition is tied to ecosystem adoption and governance participation, but current market conditions suggest it trades primarily on DEXs with limited institutional infrastructure.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 2, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Operational Layer 1 blockchain (Gnosis Chain) with real transaction throughput and ecosystem activity
Integrated venture capital arm (GnosisVC) providing strategic positioning in Web3 development
Focus on payments infrastructure and accessibility rather than speculation, aligning with Ethereum values
Established governance structure with token holders participating in protocol decisions

Gnosis Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

GNO shows strong short-term momentum with +18.59% gains over 4 hours and 24 hours, supported by positive buy pressure of 51.9% and $185.9M in buy volume versus $172M in sell volume. The recent 5-minute pullback of -8.43% appears to be profit-taking within an established uptrend rather than trend reversal. However, the extremely low liquidity of $92.6K relative to trading volume creates significant volatility risk.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

Medium-term outlook is constrained by severe liquidity limitations and extreme holder concentration (64% in top 10 holders). While the Gnosis ecosystem fundamentals remain solid with its Layer 1 network and infrastructure focus, the token faces distribution headwinds as large holders may take profits. Price discovery will be heavily influenced by ecosystem adoption metrics and whether retail holder growth (currently +0.38% in 24h) accelerates.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong 4-hour and 24-hour price momentum at +18.59% with sustained buy pressure of 51.9%
  • +Positive net flow with $185.9M buy volume exceeding $172M sell volume by $13.9M (7.5% net inflow)
  • +Established Layer 1 blockchain with real ecosystem (Gnosis Chain, Studios, VC arm) providing fundamental utility
  • +Holder growth of 76 new holders in 24h indicates continued retail interest despite concentration
  • +Verified smart contract with 67/100 security score provides baseline safety assurance
  • +Market cap of $394M suggests institutional awareness despite low DEX liquidity
Bearish Factors
  • -Critically low liquidity of only $92.6K on Uniswap v3 creates extreme slippage risk and price manipulation vulnerability
  • -Severe holder concentration with top 10 holders controlling 64% of supply creates massive distribution risk and potential for coordinated selling
  • -Buy transaction count (178) only slightly exceeds sell count (204) despite higher buy volume, suggesting fewer but larger sell orders
  • -Unique sellers (103) exceed unique buyers (75) by 27%, indicating more distribution pressure than accumulation
  • -5-minute pullback of -8.43% suggests profit-taking momentum may reverse recent gains
  • -Fully diluted valuation of $1.49B versus market cap of $394M indicates significant dilution risk if vesting schedules unlock
  • -Limited retail holder base with only 356 holders under $1K position size suggests weak retail support

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x6810...6b96
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration (64% in top 10) creates systemic risk of coordinated selling or forced liquidations that could crash the price
•Critical liquidity shortage ($92.6K DEX liquidity) creates execution risk for retail traders and vulnerability to price manipulation
•Modest holder growth (0.38% in 24h) indicates limited retail adoption and weak community foundation to support price appreciation
•Overbought conditions (+18.59% in 24h) combined with high profit-taking risk suggest current rally may reverse sharply

Trading Insight

bullish

Current market sentiment is moderately bullish with buy pressure of 51.9% and net positive volume flow of $13.9M. However, sentiment is tempered by the concerning divergence between transaction counts (more sellers than buyers) and volume (more buy volume than sell volume), suggesting larger institutional or whale buyers are offsetting numerous smaller retail sellers. The extreme illiquidity means sentiment can shift rapidly with minimal capital.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

Short-term trend is clearly uptrend with +18.59% gains over 4 hours and 24 hours, supported by positive buy pressure and volume. However, the medium-term trend appears sideways given the extreme holder concentration and limited retail participation, suggesting the current rally may be a temporary spike rather than a sustained trend. The 5-minute pullback of -8.43% indicates the uptrend is facing resistance and profit-taking.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Momentum indicators suggest overbought conditions with +18.59% gains in 24 hours and 51.9% buy pressure. The rapid ascent combined with the 5-minute pullback suggests momentum may be exhausting. However, the positive net volume flow and whale accumulation suggest underlying strength. Overbought conditions typically precede consolidation or pullback rather than immediate reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.9%Sell 48.1%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Volume trend shows significant increase with $357.8M in 24-hour combined volume. However, this must be contextualized against the $92.6K DEX liquidity, indicating most volume occurs on centralized exchanges or other venues. The buy volume of $185.9M exceeding sell volume of $172M by 7.5% indicates net accumulation. The increasing volume trend supports the uptrend but the extreme illiquidity on Uniswap v3 means price discovery is unreliable.

Recent Price Action

Recent price action shows a sharp rally of +18.59% over 4 hours followed by a 5-minute pullback of -8.43%, creating a classic bull-flag or consolidation pattern. The rally appears to have been driven by concentrated buying (higher buy volume despite fewer buy transactions), followed by profit-taking from retail sellers.

This pattern typically indicates a temporary consolidation within an uptrend, suggesting the rally may resume after profit-taking is exhausted. However, the extreme illiquidity means the pattern could reverse rapidly if sentiment shifts. The pattern is more consistent with whale-driven accumulation than organic retail buying.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$137.00
Major$130.00
Resistance
Immediate$160.00
Major$175.00

Immediate support at $137 represents the 24-hour low and is critical for maintaining the uptrend. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a reversal. Major support at $130 represents a psychological level and potential capitulation point. Immediate resistance at $160 represents the 24-hour high and is where profit-taking is likely to intensify. Major resistance at $175 represents a 17.4% gain from current levels and would require sustained buying to overcome. The wide range between support and resistance ($137-$175) reflects the extreme volatility caused by low liquidity.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders19,904
24h Change+76
Growth Rate+0.38%

Holder growth is minimal at 0.38% in 24 hours, indicating the token is not experiencing rapid retail adoption despite the recent price rally. The 76 new holders in 24 hours is modest and suggests the rally is driven by existing holders rather than new entrants. The stable trend indicates the token has reached a plateau in retail adoption, which limits upside potential unless ecosystem adoption accelerates significantly.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders64%
Top 100 Holders68%
Retail Holders32.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

Holder concentration is critically high with top 10 holders controlling 64% of supply and top 100 holders controlling 68%. This means only 32% of supply is held by retail investors (19,804 holders), creating extreme distribution risk. The concentration ratio of 64% for top 10 is well above healthy standards (typically <30%) and indicates the token is controlled by a small group of entities. This creates several risks: (1) coordinated selling could crash the price, (2) price discovery is unreliable, (3) retail investors have minimal influence, (4) the token is vulnerable to regulatory action targeting large holders. The fact that 68% is held by top 100 holders means only 19,804 retail holders share 32% of supply, averaging 0.0016% per holder.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Accumulating

Whale activity shows selective accumulation with net positive volume flow of $13.9M despite more sell transactions than buy transactions. This suggests whales are buying on dips while retail sellers exit, a classic accumulation pattern. The 20 whale holders (>$1M positions) represent only 0.1% of holders but control 64% of supply, indicating extreme concentration.

  • •Net inflow of $13.9M over 24 hours indicates whale accumulation despite retail selling pressure
  • •Buy volume of $185.9M exceeding sell volume by $13.9M suggests large orders are driving the rally
  • •Unique sellers (103) exceeding unique buyers (75) indicates whales are selectively buying while retail sellers are numerous but smaller

Whale activity indicates accumulation sentiment with whales using retail selling pressure as an opportunity to accumulate. This pattern typically precedes price appreciation but can reverse if sentiment shifts. The fact that whales are accumulating despite the token's extreme illiquidity suggests they have conviction in the ecosystem fundamentals. However, the concentration risk means whale sentiment can shift rapidly, creating sudden price movements.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Early buyers appear to be holding positions with selective accumulation on dips. The net positive volume flow and whale accumulation pattern suggest early buyers are confident in medium-term prospects. However, the modest holder growth (0.38% in 24h) indicates early buyers are not aggressively recruiting new participants.

Smart money confidence is medium based on whale accumulation patterns, but profit-taking risk is high given the +18.59% rally in 24 hours. The overbought conditions and 5-minute pullback suggest early buyers may be taking profits, which could trigger a cascade of selling if momentum breaks. The extreme illiquidity means profit-taking could be severe relative to the capital involved.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$92,562.73
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Liquidity is critically shallow with only $92.6K available on Uniswap v3, creating severe slippage risk and price manipulation vulnerability. For context, a $1M trade would experience approximately 1,000%+ slippage on this liquidity pool. The extreme illiquidity indicates most GNO trading occurs on centralized exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken, etc.) or OTC markets. This creates several issues: (1) price discovery is unreliable on DEXs, (2) retail traders face severe execution risk, (3) the token is vulnerable to flash loan attacks or manipulation, (4) arbitrage opportunities exist between venues but are difficult to execute due to slippage. The $357.8M in 24-hour volume against $92.6K liquidity indicates volume is 3,865x the available liquidity, suggesting most volume occurs off-chain or on centralized exchanges.

Overall Risk:
High
72/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

GNO exhibits high volatility with +18.59% gains in 24 hours followed by -8.43% pullback in 5 minutes. The extreme illiquidity ($92.6K DEX liquidity) amplifies volatility, with small trades creating large percentage moves. Historical volatility is likely 80%+ annualized based on recent price action.

Liquidity
High

Critical liquidity risk with only $92.6K available on Uniswap v3 against $357.8M in 24-hour volume. This 3,865x ratio indicates most trading occurs off-chain or on centralized exchanges. Retail traders face severe slippage risk, and the token is vulnerable to liquidity crises if centralized exchange liquidity dries up.

Concentration
Critical

Extreme concentration risk with top 10 holders controlling 64% of supply. This creates single-point-of-failure risk if large holders coordinate selling or experience forced liquidations. The concentration is well above healthy standards and represents the token's primary risk factor.

Smart Contract
Low

Smart contract risk is low with verified contract and 67/100 security score. No critical vulnerabilities have been identified. However, the extreme illiquidity creates vulnerability to flash loan attacks despite contract security.

Regulatory
Medium

Regulatory risk is moderate given the token's governance and DeFi utility. The extreme holder concentration creates regulatory vulnerability if authorities target large holders. The multi-category classification (20+ categories) may create regulatory ambiguity about the token's primary purpose.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration (64% in top 10) creates systemic risk of coordinated selling or forced liquidations that could crash the price
  • •Critical liquidity shortage ($92.6K DEX liquidity) creates execution risk for retail traders and vulnerability to price manipulation
  • •Modest holder growth (0.38% in 24h) indicates limited retail adoption and weak community foundation to support price appreciation
  • •Overbought conditions (+18.59% in 24h) combined with high profit-taking risk suggest current rally may reverse sharply
  • •Fully diluted valuation of $1.49B versus market cap of $394M indicates potential dilution risk if ecosystem incentives unlock supply
  • •Multi-category classification across 20+ categories suggests unclear focus and potential regulatory ambiguity

Mitigating Factors

  • •Functional Layer 1 blockchain (Gnosis Chain) with real ecosystem provides fundamental value beyond speculation
  • •Verified smart contract and 67/100 security score indicate technical soundness
  • •Established governance structure and venture capital arm provide strategic positioning
  • •Net positive volume flow ($13.9M inflow) and whale accumulation suggest institutional confidence
  • •Fixed supply of 10M tokens eliminates dilution risk from vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

GNO is suitable for sophisticated investors with high risk tolerance who believe in the Gnosis ecosystem's long-term potential and can tolerate 50%+ price swings. The token is NOT suitable for: (1) retail investors seeking stable returns, (2) traders without experience with illiquid assets, (3) investors with short time horizons, (4) those seeking diversified exposure to DeFi. The extreme concentration and illiquidity make this a high-conviction, high-risk investment appropriate only for experienced crypto investors.

Gnosis Token represents a high-risk, high-conviction bet on the Gnosis ecosystem's ability to become a significant Layer 1 blockchain and DeFi infrastructure provider. The token's value is primarily driven by ecosystem adoption and governance participation rather than speculation, but current market conditions (extreme concentration, illiquidity, overbought technicals) create significant near-term downside risk despite medium-term fundamental strength.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Gnosis Chain achieves significant adoption as a Layer 1 alternative to Ethereum, with transaction volume and ecosystem growth accelerating. GNO token captures value through governance participation, staking rewards, and ecosystem incentives. Retail adoption increases, reducing holder concentration and improving liquidity. The token appreciates to $250-400 as ecosystem fundamentals improve and market cap expands to $2.5-4B.

  • +Gnosis Chain transaction volume and ecosystem adoption metrics accelerate
  • +Institutional adoption of Gnosis infrastructure increases through partnerships
  • +Retail holder base expands, reducing concentration risk and improving liquidity
  • +Broader DeFi sector experiences bull market, lifting all Layer 1 tokens
  • +Governance participation and staking rewards create token utility beyond speculation
Base Case

Gnosis Token consolidates in the $120-160 range over the next 3-6 months as the ecosystem develops incrementally. Holder concentration gradually improves as retail adoption increases, but remains elevated. Liquidity slowly improves as centralized exchange listings expand. The token appreciates modestly to $180-220 over 12 months as ecosystem fundamentals improve, but underperforms broader DeFi sector due to concentration and liquidity constraints.

  • •Gnosis Chain achieves steady but not exceptional adoption growth
  • •Holder concentration gradually improves from current 64% to 50-55% over 12 months
  • •DEX liquidity remains constrained but centralized exchange liquidity improves
  • •Broader crypto market experiences moderate bull market with 50-100% gains for top Layer 1s
  • •No major regulatory action or ecosystem failures occur
Bear Case
Medium

Gnosis Chain fails to achieve significant adoption relative to competing Layer 1s (Arbitrum, Optimism, Polygon). Large holders take profits, triggering a cascade of selling that crashes the price to $80-100. The extreme illiquidity amplifies the decline, with retail investors experiencing severe slippage. The token becomes a cautionary tale of concentration risk and illiquidity.

  • -Gnosis Chain adoption stalls relative to competing Layer 1 blockchains
  • -Large holders coordinate selling or experience forced liquidations
  • -Retail holder base continues to decline, worsening concentration
  • -Broader crypto market enters bear phase, reducing risk appetite
  • -Regulatory action targets large holders or governance structure

Analysis Details

GeneratedMay 2, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data with 24-hour trading metrics
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$149.086338218660699795
Market Cap$394.09M
24h Volume$357.8K
Holders19,904
Liquidity$92.6K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data from Ethereum mainnet
Holder distribution analytics from blockchain explorers
Trading volume metrics from Uniswap v3 and aggregated DEX data
Smart contract analysis and security scoring
Price performance data across multiple timeframes
Liquidity depth analysis from DEX pools

Limitations

  • •Analysis is limited to Uniswap v3 DEX data; most GNO trading likely occurs on centralized exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken) where data is not available
  • •Holder distribution data reflects on-chain positions only; true beneficial ownership may differ due to exchange wallets and custodial arrangements
  • •Price prediction confidence is limited by extreme illiquidity and concentration, which create unpredictable price movements
  • •Historical volatility data is unavailable; volatility estimates are based on recent price action only
  • •Ecosystem adoption metrics (Gnosis Chain transaction volume, TVL) are not included in this analysis; fundamental value assessment is limited
  • •Regulatory environment and potential policy changes are not quantified
  • •Competitor analysis is qualitative rather than quantitative

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell GNO tokens. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky, with potential for total loss of capital. The extreme holder concentration, illiquidity, and technical overbought conditions create significant downside risk in the near term. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, understand the risks, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. This analysis reflects data as of the timestamp provided and may become outdated as market conditions change.

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