ALIEN

Alien Pepe by Matt Furie Price Today & AI Analysis

ALIENEthereumAnalysis as of May 8, 2026

Price

$0.041421

+0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0x3b352205c07d7a09170ee66d3b19348a64b64480

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

111

Market cap

$14.21K

Liquidity

$6.17K

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Alien Pepe by Matt Furie: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-08 07:30 UTC

Holder addresses

242

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$26,083.59
How concentrated is Alien Pepe by Matt Furie ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 242 addresses (2026-05-08 07:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Alien Pepe by Matt Furie?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Alien Pepe by Matt Furie liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-08 07:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $26,083.59. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-08 07:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from May 8, 2026, 07:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$75.30K

24h Volume

$78.28K

Liquidity

$26.08K

FDV

—

Holders

242

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Alien Pepe is an unverified meme token on Ethereum with a market cap of $75,301 and critically shallow liquidity of $26,083. While it has experienced explosive 164.3% gains in 24 hours with growing holder participation (42 new holders in 24h), the token exhibits severe structural risks including extreme holder concentration (46% in top 10 holders, 98% in top 100), an unverified smart contract, and a security score of only 64/100. The token's association with Matt Furie provides brand recognition, but without fundamental utility, verified security, or significant liquidity, it remains a high-risk speculative asset vulnerable to rapid collapse.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 8, 2026, 07:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Matt Furie brand association (Pepe creator) provides cultural recognition in meme coin community
  • Recent explosive growth with 164.3% 24-hour gains attracting retail attention
  • Growing holder base with 21% 7-day growth suggesting expanding community interest

Alien Pepe by Matt Furie AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Despite strong 24-hour gains of 164.3%, the token shows critical warning signs: extreme volatility with a -1.37% drop in just 5 minutes, dangerously shallow liquidity of only $26,083, and a market cap of just $75,301. The parabolic price action typical of meme tokens suggests unsustainable momentum that historically precedes sharp corrections. Early profit-taking is evident with 44.8% sell pressure offsetting 55.2% buy pressure.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Over 30-90 days, this token faces structural headwinds that outweigh short-term momentum. The extreme holder concentration (106 whales holding the majority of supply), unverified contract, and lack of fundamental utility create a high probability of continued distribution by early holders. Without significant community growth, exchange listings, or utility development, the token will likely experience sustained downward pressure as liquidity providers exit.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong 24-hour buy volume of $43,238 vs $35,036 sell volume (55.2% buy pressure) indicates current buyer enthusiasm
  • Holder growth of 42 new holders in 24 hours (17% growth) and 52 holders in 7 days (21% growth) shows expanding community
  • 155 buy transactions vs 105 sell transactions in 24 hours suggests more buyers than sellers participating
  • 101 unique buyers vs 74 unique sellers indicates broader participation than concentrated whale activity
  • Associated with Matt Furie (creator of Pepe), providing brand recognition and potential community support

Bearish Factors

  • Critically shallow liquidity of only $26,083 creates extreme slippage risk and price manipulation vulnerability
  • Extreme holder concentration with 106 whales controlling the majority of supply and top 10 holders owning 46% of all tokens
  • Unverified smart contract with security score of only 64/100 indicates potential security vulnerabilities
  • Market cap of just $75,301 is extremely small and prone to rapid collapse from modest sell pressure
  • Parabolic 164.3% 24-hour gain is unsustainable and historically precedes 70-90% corrections in meme tokens
  • Top 100 holders control 98% of supply, leaving only 2% for retail investors - extreme distribution risk
  • No project description available suggests lack of development or communication from team
  • Rapid 5-minute decline of -1.37% despite overall uptrend indicates volatility and potential whale distribution

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x3b35...4480
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration (46% in top 10) creates massive dump risk - coordinated whale selling could crash price 50%+ immediately
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($26,083) means even modest sell orders cause severe slippage and potential liquidity crises
  • Unverified smart contract with 64/100 security score could contain hidden functions, rug pull mechanisms, or other exploits
  • Parabolic 164.3% 24-hour gain is unsustainable and historically precedes 70-90% corrections in meme tokens

Trading Insight

neutral

Current market sentiment is cautiously bullish in the short term but masked by significant structural risks. Buy volume exceeds sell volume by 10.4 percentage points, and unique buyers (101) outnumber unique sellers (74) by 27%, suggesting retail enthusiasm. However, the extreme volatility (-1.37% in 5 minutes despite overall uptrend) and shallow liquidity indicate this sentiment is fragile and could reverse rapidly with modest selling pressure.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Short-term price action shows a strong uptrend with 164.3% 24-hour gains, but this is a parabolic move characteristic of unsustainable meme token rallies. The medium-term trend is likely downtrend as the token has no fundamental support and relies entirely on speculative momentum. The -1.37% 5-minute decline suggests the uptrend is already showing signs of exhaustion despite the overall positive 24-hour performance.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The token is severely overbought with 164.3% 24-hour gains, 106.2% 4-hour gains, and 71.1% 1-hour gains. This level of acceleration is unsustainable and typically precedes sharp reversals. The recent -1.37% 5-minute decline indicates momentum is already beginning to reverse. In low-liquidity tokens like this, overbought conditions can lead to 50-80% corrections within hours.

Volume Analysis

Buy

55.2%

Sell

44.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume is increasing into the rally, with transaction counts accelerating from 1-hour (231 total) to 4-hour (241 total) to 24-hour (260 total). This acceleration is concerning because it suggests retail FOMO buying at peak prices. Typically, volume should decrease as price rises in healthy trends, but here it's increasing, indicating speculative mania rather than institutional accumulation.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic rally with accelerating gains: 71.1% (1h) → 106.2% (4h) → 164.3% (24h), followed by immediate -1.37% reversal in 5 minutes. This is classic meme token behavior where retail FOMO drives prices up rapidly, followed by whale profit-taking.

This pattern indicates the rally is driven by retail FOMO rather than fundamental value discovery. The immediate reversal suggests whales are already distributing positions. Historical precedent shows such patterns typically result in 70-90% corrections within 1-7 days as momentum exhausts.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00005000

Major support

$0.00002000

Immediate resistance

$0.00010000

Major resistance

$0.00020000

Immediate support at $0.00005000 represents the 5-minute low. If this breaks, the next major support is $0.00002000 (approximately 73% below current price). Immediate resistance at $0.00010000 represents recent highs. The extreme volatility and shallow liquidity mean these levels can be broken with minimal volume, making them unreliable for trading decisions.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token exhibits extreme volatility with 164.3% 24-hour gains followed by -1.37% 5-minute declines. This level of volatility is typical of micro-cap meme tokens and can result in 50-80% corrections within hours. The shallow liquidity amplifies volatility, making price swings unpredictable and severe.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of only $26,083 is critically low and creates severe slippage risk. A $5,000 sell order could cause 10-20% price slippage. The shallow liquidity makes it nearly impossible for retail investors to exit positions without significant losses. Liquidity crises could occur with minimal selling pressure.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Meme tokens face increasing regulatory scrutiny, particularly regarding securities laws and market manipulation. The extreme concentration and potential for pump-and-dump schemes could attract regulatory attention. Regulatory action could result in exchange delistings or legal consequences for token holders.

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration (46% in top 10) creates massive dump risk - coordinated whale selling could crash price 50%+ immediately
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($26,083) means even modest sell orders cause severe slippage and potential liquidity crises
  • Unverified smart contract with 64/100 security score could contain hidden functions, rug pull mechanisms, or other exploits
  • Parabolic 164.3% 24-hour gain is unsustainable and historically precedes 70-90% corrections in meme tokens
  • Only 2% of supply held by retail investors means retail has zero influence on price direction
  • No fundamental utility or value proposition - token value depends entirely on speculative momentum
  • Potential for pump-and-dump scheme where early holders (whales) distribute to late retail buyers at peak prices
  • Regulatory risk from potential securities violations or market manipulation concerns

Mitigating Factors

  • Association with Matt Furie (Pepe creator) provides brand recognition and potential community support
  • Growing holder base (17% 24-hour growth) suggests expanding community interest
  • Token operates on established Uniswap v2 protocol rather than custom smart contract
  • Public contract address allows for manual security review by community members

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for experienced cryptocurrency traders with high risk tolerance and capital they can afford to lose completely. It is NOT suitable for: retail investors seeking stable returns, long-term investors, risk-averse investors, or anyone investing money they cannot afford to lose. The extreme risks and speculative nature make this a high-risk speculation rather than an investment.

Alien Pepe is a high-risk meme token experiencing parabolic price action driven by retail FOMO and brand association with Matt Furie. While short-term momentum is positive, the token faces critical structural risks including extreme holder concentration, shallow liquidity, unverified smart contract, and lack of fundamental utility. The investment thesis is speculative momentum play rather than fundamental value investment, with high probability of significant losses for retail buyers entering at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Alien Pepe gains significant social media virality, attracts major exchange listings (Coinbase, Kraken), and develops a strong community similar to DOGE or SHIB. The Matt Furie brand association drives mainstream adoption, and the token becomes a recognized meme coin with sustained community support. Price could reach $0.001-$0.01 if market cap grows to $1B-$10B.

  • Viral social media campaigns and celebrity endorsements
  • Major exchange listings providing liquidity and accessibility
  • Development of utility or community features differentiating from other meme tokens
  • Sustained bull market in cryptocurrency sector driving meme coin demand

Base Case

Alien Pepe experiences a 50-70% correction from current prices within 1-4 weeks as whale profit-taking overwhelms retail buying. The token stabilizes at a lower price point with reduced trading volume and community interest. It remains a micro-cap meme token with minimal liquidity and limited adoption, eventually fading into obscurity as new meme tokens capture retail attention. Price settles in the $0.00001-$0.00005 range.

  • Whale holders begin distributing positions within 1-2 weeks
  • Retail FOMO momentum exhausts as price fails to reach new highs
  • No major exchange listings or partnerships materialize
  • Broader cryptocurrency market remains neutral to slightly bearish
  • Community interest wanes as token fails to deliver on speculative promises

Bear Case

High probability

Whale holders distribute positions to retail buyers, causing price to collapse 70-90% within days to weeks. The lack of fundamental utility and shallow liquidity make the token unsustainable. Regulatory concerns about pump-and-dump schemes lead to exchange delistings. The token becomes abandoned with minimal trading volume and eventually worthless.

  • Whale profit-taking and distribution to retail buyers at peak prices
  • Exhaustion of retail FOMO momentum and reversal to downtrend
  • Regulatory action against meme tokens or this specific token
  • Broader cryptocurrency market downturn reducing speculative demand
  • Liquidity crisis as early holders attempt to exit simultaneously

Analysis Details

Generated

May 8, 2026, 07:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-08 07:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000075301817844268

Market Cap

$75.3K

24h Volume

$78.3K

Holders

242

Liquidity

$26,083.59

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data from Ethereum blockchainHolder distribution analytics and whale trackingTrading volume metrics from Uniswap v2Smart contract analysis and security scoringPrice performance data across multiple timeframesTransaction count and unique buyer/seller analysis

Limitations

  • Limited historical price data - token appears to be very recent with only 24-hour performance data available
  • No access to social media metrics, community size, or engagement data beyond presence of social links
  • No information on project team, development roadmap, or future plans
  • Security score of 64/100 is based on limited criteria - full security audit not available
  • Market cap and liquidity are extremely small, making price predictions less reliable than larger tokens
  • Meme tokens are inherently unpredictable and subject to sudden sentiment shifts not captured in on-chain data
  • No access to whale wallet histories or intentions - distribution sentiment is inferred from price action

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Alien Pepe is a micro-cap meme token with extreme risks including potential total loss of investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, understand the risks, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and firm assume no responsibility for investment losses resulting from this analysis.

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