RDWon

Redwire (Ondo Tokenized) Price Today & AI Analysis

RDWon
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 16, 2026

$10.78

+0.58%24h
LiveContract:0x3a16af9ef328d087cc781053a2a2a27549ae6768Chain:EthereumHolders:74Market cap:$524.60KLiquidity:$228.27K

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Ask Unhosted AI about RDWon

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 16, 2026, 09:30 PM UTC
Market Cap

$524.60K

24h Volume

$119.07K

Liquidity

$228.27K

FDV

—

Holders

74

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Redwire (Ondo Tokenized) [RDWon] is a 6.3-month-old Ethereum token trading at $10.78 with a circulating supply of 21,180.98 tokens and total liquidity of $228,272. Price has fallen 21.8% over 30 days and 46.0% over 90 days, sitting near the bottom of its 91-day trading range, while 24h trading is almost entirely one-sided (98.9% sell volume) across a very small pool of just 74 holders. No verified project description, security audit, or contract-verification data is available, so fundamental and safety claims cannot be independently confirmed.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 16, 2026, 09:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bearish
Name suggests tokenized exposure to Redwire via an Ondo-style wrapper, though this cannot be verified from the data provided
Fully circulating supply (no locked/unreleased tokens) removes future dilution as a risk factor
Extremely small holder base (74 wallets) with 91.1% concentration in the top 10

Redwire (Ondo Tokenized) AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

24h trading was dominated by sellers, with sell volume of $117,816 versus just $1,255 in buys (98.9% sell pressure) across only 9 total transactions and a single unique buyer. Price is hovering just below the computed immediate resistance of $10.85 after a small bounce off recent lows, but the extreme sell-side skew in a thin order book suggests limited follow-through and risk of rejection back toward support.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day (-21.8%) and 90-day (-46.0%) trends are both firmly negative, and the current price sits at only 23% of the 91-day range ($8.04–$19.97), indicating the token remains in a broad downtrend rather than a base-building phase. Absent a shift in order flow, the path of least resistance continues to point toward the major support at $8.04.

Bullish Factors
  • +Recent daily closes show a short bounce from $10.46 to $10.78 over the last three sessions, holding above the computed immediate support of $10.62
  • +Circulating supply equals total supply (21,180.98 tokens), so there is no future token-emission dilution overhang
Bearish Factors
  • -24h sell volume ($117,816) outweighs buy volume ($1,255) by nearly 94:1, with only 1 buy transaction versus 8 sell transactions
  • -90-day price change of -46.0% with price sitting at just 23% of the $8.04–$19.97 range signals a sustained downtrend, not a bottoming pattern
  • -Total liquidity of only $228,272 combined with near-zero buy-side participation raises the risk of sharp slippage on any meaningful sell order

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RDWon call history

Full track record →
Sep 16bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x3a16...6768
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme 24h sell-side dominance (98.9% of volume, 8 sells vs. 1 buy) suggests active distribution pressure that price has not yet fully reflected
•Sustained multi-window downtrend (-2.5% 7d, -21.8% 30d, -46.0% 90d) with price at only 23% of its 91-day range shows no confirmed bottom
•High supply concentration (91.1% in top 10 wallets among just 74 holders) creates outsized price-impact risk if any large holder exits
•Thin liquidity ($228,272) and near-zero verified fundamentals (no description, no security score) leave limited due-diligence basis for investors

Trading Insight

bearish

24h order flow is heavily one-sided toward selling, with sell pressure at 98.9% versus 1.1% buy pressure, and only one unique buyer against three unique sellers. This kind of imbalance in an illiquid, low-transaction-count market points to distribution rather than accumulation, despite the flat/slightly positive 24h price print.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The 7-day change of -2.5% is mild, but it sits on top of a much steeper 30-day decline of -21.8% and a 90-day decline of -46.0%, confirming the token remains in a broader downtrend even as it consolidates in a tight $10.46–$11.30 band over the most recent sessions. The recent uptick from $10.46 to $10.78 looks like a minor bounce within a larger downward structure rather than a reversal.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With price at only 23% of its 91-day range ($8.04–$19.97) and down 46.0% over 90 days, momentum indicators would typically flag oversold conditions; the recent 3-session bounce off $10.46 is consistent with a short-term relief move within a longer downtrend rather than a confirmed trend change.

Volume Analysis

Buy 1.1%Sell 98.9%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

24h volume is almost entirely sell-driven ($117,816 sold vs. $1,255 bought) across just 9 transactions, and shorter windows (1h, 4h) show even fewer trades, indicating a market with very low and shrinking two-sided participation.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes have oscillated between roughly $10.36 and $11.30 over the recent period, dipping to a local low of $10.46 before recovering to $10.72 and $10.78 in the last two sessions.

This pattern resembles range-bound consolidation after a sharp prior decline (90d: -46.0%), with the recent bounce testing the immediate resistance at $10.85 — a break above would be needed to signal a shift away from the dominant downtrend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$10.62
Major$8.04
Resistance
Immediate$10.85
Major$19.97

Price ($10.78) is currently trapped between immediate support at $10.62 and immediate resistance at $10.85, a narrow band that reflects the low-volume consolidation of recent days. A decisive break below $10.62 would open the way toward the major support at $8.04 (consistent with the 90-day downtrend), while reclaiming levels toward the major resistance of $19.97 would require a substantial reversal in both price and sell-dominated volume.

Overall Risk:
High
79/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 6.2% and a 90-day decline of 46.0% from a range high of $19.97 to the current $10.78 indicate substantial price swings and a sustained downward move.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $228,272 combined with only 9 total transactions in 24 hours and a near-total sell-volume skew (98.9%) means larger trades could face significant slippage and price impact.

Concentration
High

The top 10 wallets hold 91.1% of the 21,180.98-token supply across only 74 total holders, meaning a small number of wallets control the vast majority of the float.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security or audit data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than a confirmed assessment of the contract's safety.

Regulatory
Medium

The token's name implies a tokenized-asset structure referencing an underlying equity, which — if accurate — could carry securities-related regulatory scrutiny; however, this cannot be confirmed from the data provided, so the risk level reflects general uncertainty rather than a verified structure.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme 24h sell-side dominance (98.9% of volume, 8 sells vs. 1 buy) suggests active distribution pressure that price has not yet fully reflected
  • •Sustained multi-window downtrend (-2.5% 7d, -21.8% 30d, -46.0% 90d) with price at only 23% of its 91-day range shows no confirmed bottom
  • •High supply concentration (91.1% in top 10 wallets among just 74 holders) creates outsized price-impact risk if any large holder exits
  • •Thin liquidity ($228,272) and near-zero verified fundamentals (no description, no security score) leave limited due-diligence basis for investors

Mitigating Factors

  • •Circulating supply equals total supply, removing future emission-based dilution as a risk factor
  • •91 days of continuous OHLC data provide at least a baseline technical record for monitoring price behavior

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can tolerate thin liquidity, wide bid/ask impact, and concentrated ownership; not appropriate for investors seeking verified fundamentals, audited contracts, or stable liquidity conditions.

RDWon is a thinly-traded, highly concentrated small-cap token currently in a confirmed multi-month downtrend, with 24h order flow showing near-total sell dominance. Any thesis here rests almost entirely on technical levels and order-flow shifts, since fundamental, security, and holder-growth data are largely unavailable.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A shift back toward net buying volume and a reclaim of the immediate resistance at $10.85 could open a retracement toward higher levels within the 91-day range, with the major resistance at $19.97 as a distant upside reference.

  • +Reversal of the current 98.9% sell-volume skew toward sustained net buying
  • +Renewed sector-wide interest in tokenized real-world-asset products
Base Case

Absent a clear catalyst, price likely continues to consolidate in the narrow $10.62–$10.85 band seen in recent sessions, reflecting the low transaction volume and lack of decisive directional flow.

  • •Trading activity remains thin (single-digit daily transactions)
  • •No major shift in the current sell-dominated order flow
Bear Case
Medium

Continued sell-side dominance and the ongoing 90-day downtrend (-46.0%) could push price down through the immediate support at $10.62 toward the major support at $8.04.

  • -Persistent heavy sell pressure (98.9% of 24h volume) with minimal offsetting buy demand
  • -High supply concentration (91.1% top-10) increasing the impact of any large holder exit

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 16, 2026, 09:30 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$10.7772217954
Market Cap$524.6K
24h Volume$119.1K
Holders74
Liquidity$228.3K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • •Smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data was not available, so no early-buyer or informed-money assessment could be made
  • •Extremely low transaction counts (single digits across 1h/4h/24h windows) limit statistical confidence in short-term volume and sentiment readings
  • •No verified project description, audit, or documentation was available to confirm the token's claimed purpose or structure

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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