TLOS

TLOS Price Prediction 2026

TLOS
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 14, 2026

$0.0298

+0.17%24h
LiveContract:0x193f4a4a6ea24102f49b931deeeb931f6e32405dChain:EthereumHolders:962Market cap:$874.74KLiquidity:$61.61K

More tokens on Ethereum

NPC

NPC

Non-Playable Coin

$0.0052690.2%
MC $42.42M
00

00

00 Token

$0.0095493.0%
MC $9.55M
FAB

FAB

Fabric Token

$0.01448.5%
MC $144.38M
COINon

COINon

Coinbase (Ondo Tokenized)

$149.40.3%
MC $2.44M
sENA

sENA

Staked ENA

$0.08690.2%
MC $97.44M
PYUSD

PYUSD

PayPal USD

$0.99980.0%
MC $1.89B

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about TLOS

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Aug 14, 2026, 02:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$13.27M

24h Volume

$47.21K

Liquidity

$103.39K

FDV

—

Holders

963

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

TLOS is the native utility token of the Telos blockchain, a Layer 1 and ZK-enabled Layer 2 platform targeting DeFi, NFT, and GameFi applications with hardware-accelerated zero-knowledge EVM technology. The token is approximately 26.9 months old, trades on Uniswap v4 at $0.02943, and has staged a significant recovery — up 112.7% over 30 days — from a period low of $0.01054. Despite the strong price momentum, the token carries meaningful concentration risk with 56.4% of supply held by dumpable wallets and only $103K in on-chain liquidity, making it suitable primarily for risk-tolerant investors who understand the asymmetric volatility profile. The project has active social channels and a verified contract, but its security score of 62/100 and shallow liquidity warrant careful position sizing.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 14, 2026, 02:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Hardware-accelerated ZK EVM Layer 2 architecture positions Telos at the intersection of two high-demand narratives: ZK scaling and high-performance L1 infrastructure
The top smart money trader (0xb1b2d0) has realized over $1.96M in profit at a 478% return across 1,699 trades, indicating the token has historically rewarded active, informed participants
Holder acquisition is predominantly via swap (608 of 963 holders), suggesting organic market-driven demand rather than airdrop farming or wash trading

TLOS Price Prediction

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

TLOS has surged 37.4% over the past 7 days and now sits at 83% of its 83-day range high of $0.03326, signaling strong near-term momentum. The price is pressing against immediate resistance at $0.03010, and a confirmed break above that level would open a path toward the range high at $0.03326. Buy pressure at 55.8% and 126 buy transactions versus 76 sells over 24 hours support continued upside bias.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of 112.7% — from a low of $0.01054 to the current $0.02943 — reflects a structural trend reversal, not a one-day spike. If TLOS can consolidate above the $0.02498 immediate support and break the $0.03326 range high, the medium-term trajectory remains constructive. Sustained holder growth of 5.8% over 30 days (56 new holders) and a rising daily close sequence from $0.01840 to $0.02943 reinforce the bullish medium-term case.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +37.4% and 30-day gain of +112.7% confirm a sustained uptrend across multiple timeframes, not a single-day anomaly
  • +Price sits at 83% of the 83-day range ($0.01054–$0.03326), indicating strong recovery from lows and proximity to a breakout level
  • +Buy-to-sell ratio of 126 buys vs. 76 sells and 55.8% buy pressure over 24 hours shows active demand outpacing supply
  • +Holder base grew by 56 wallets (+5.8%) over 30 days, with 608 of 963 holders acquiring via swap — organic market-driven accumulation
  • +Top smart money wallet 0xb1b2d0 has realized +$1,967,124 (+478%) over 1,699 trades, demonstrating that informed traders have found significant edge in this token
Bearish Factors
  • -Dumpable supply stands at 56.4%, with the top three individual whales alone controlling 35.37% (14.59% + 11.23% + 9.55%) — a coordinated or panic sell from any one of them would severely impact price given only $103K in liquidity
  • -The two largest individual whale wallets (14.59% and 11.23%) received their positions via transfer or airdrop rather than market buys, meaning they have zero cost basis and face no loss threshold before selling
  • -The 14.59% whale wallet (0x26209d) shows a first-active date of 2026-04-17, which is after the token's May 2024 launch — this is an anomalous future-dated timestamp that raises questions about data integrity or wallet provenance
  • -Total liquidity of only $103,394 is extremely shallow relative to a $13.27M market cap (~0.78% liquidity-to-mcap ratio), meaning even modest sell pressure can cause outsized price impact
  • -Security score of 62/100 is below the threshold most institutional participants require, limiting the potential buyer universe

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TLOS call history

Full track record →
Aug 14bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x193f...405d
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Whale dump risk: The two largest individual whales (14.59% and 11.23% of supply) hold positions acquired via transfer/airdrop with zero cost basis. A combined exit of even 10% of their holdings (~$1.3M) would completely drain the $103K liquidity pool and cause catastrophic price impact
•Liquidity fragility: The 0.78% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio means the market cap figure is largely theoretical — the actual exit liquidity available to all holders is only $103K, making the stated $13.27M market cap misleading as a measure of realizable value
•Smart money distribution: The token's most profitable trader (0xb1b2d0, +$1.97M realized) is actively selling near current resistance levels, suggesting informed participants are using the price strength to reduce exposure

Trading Insight

bullish

The 24-hour trading window shows a net buy bias with 55.8% buy pressure and 126 buy transactions versus 76 sells, though the absolute transaction counts are modest for a $13M market cap token. The most recent 1-hour and 4-hour windows show very low activity (2 buys/1 sell and 4 buys/3 sells respectively), suggesting the 24-hour surge was concentrated earlier in the day and momentum is cooling in the near term.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The daily close sequence from $0.01840 to $0.02943 over the 14 most recent sessions shows a clear staircase pattern of higher lows and higher highs, confirming an uptrend across both short and medium timeframes. The 7-day gain of +37.4% and 30-day gain of +112.7% are consistent and mutually reinforcing trend signals. Price at 83% of the 83-day range high indicates the trend has significant room before hitting historical resistance, though the daily volatility of 4.5% means intraday swings can be sharp.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

After a 112.7% move in 30 days and a 37.4% move in 7 days, TLOS is showing signs of near-term overextension. The price is pressing against the $0.03010 immediate resistance after a rapid run-up, and the tapering of activity in the 1-hour and 4-hour windows suggests momentum is losing velocity. A consolidation or shallow pullback to the $0.02498 support would be a healthy reset before any continuation higher.

Volume Analysis

Buy 55.8%Sell 44.2%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

The 24-hour volume of ~$47K is meaningful relative to the $103K liquidity pool but the sharp drop to just 7 transactions in the last 4 hours signals that the buying impulse is fading. With only 34 unique buyers driving the 24-hour volume, the move lacks broad participation and is vulnerable to reversal if those buyers step back.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a strong recovery from $0.01840, with an acceleration phase beginning around the $0.02192 level and a recent consolidation between $0.02943 and $0.03002 — just below the $0.03010 immediate resistance.

The consolidation just below the $0.03010 resistance after a rapid advance is a classic bull-flag setup; a decisive close above $0.03010 would signal continuation toward $0.03326, while a failure and close below $0.02498 would indicate the rally is exhausted.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.02498
Major$0.01054
Resistance
Immediate$0.03010
Major$0.03326

The $0.02498 immediate support represents the most recent swing consolidation zone and is the first line of defense for bulls — a close below it would suggest the 37.4% weekly rally is reversing. The $0.01054 major support is the 83-day range low and represents a worst-case scenario floor. On the upside, $0.03010 is the near-term ceiling derived from the recent swing high; clearing it with volume would target the $0.03326 range high, which is the ultimate bull target for the current trend cycle.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders963
24h Change+13
Growth Rate+1.3%

The holder base has grown consistently across all measured windows — 13 in 24 hours, 21 in 7 days, and 56 in 30 days — indicating a steady, organic accumulation trend rather than a sudden viral spike. With 608 of 963 holders acquiring via swap and only 2 via airdrop, the holder base is predominantly composed of genuine market participants, which is a positive signal for demand authenticity.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders68%
Top 100 Holders91%
Retail Holders9.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the raw top-10 concentration of 68% appears alarming, 17.33% of that is held by Bitget and KuCoin exchange wallets (user custody, not dumpable) and 9.93% is in protocol/contract addresses (Uniswap LP and other contracts). The genuine dumpable supply — individual whales plus any labelled team or fund wallets — stands at 56.4%, which is the correct risk figure. This is still a high concentration risk: five individual whales collectively hold enough supply that any coordinated or panic exit would overwhelm the $103K liquidity pool multiple times over.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The most notable recent on-chain activity is three consecutive sells of ~$505–$506 by wallet 0xb1b2d0, the token's most profitable trader with $1.97M in realized gains. The largest single transaction in the recent window was a $763 sell by 0x8678f5. No large buys exceeding $650 were recorded in the recent trade set, suggesting the current price level is attracting more sellers than buyers among large participants.

  • •SELL $763 by 0x8678f5 — largest single transaction in the recent window, indicating a mid-sized holder taking profits near the resistance zone
  • •Three consecutive SELLs of ~$505–$506 by 0xb1b2d0 — the token's top smart money trader with $1.97M realized PnL, suggesting systematic profit distribution near current price levels

The pattern of the most profitable trader executing multiple small sells near the $0.03010 resistance is a cautionary signal. While the amounts are small in absolute terms, the behavior of a 478%-return trader systematically reducing exposure at current prices suggests informed participants view this level as a distribution zone rather than an accumulation opportunity.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

The dominant smart money wallet (0xb1b2d0) has realized $1,967,124 at +478% over 1,699 trades — an extraordinarily active and profitable participant. A second wallet (0xca74f4) has realized +$54,223 at +102% over 101 trades, and 0x000000 has realized +$29,134 at +472% over just 5 trades. One wallet (0x20cf82) is underwater at -$36 (-76%) over 41 trades, indicating not all participants have been successful.

The presence of a single wallet with $1.97M in realized profits and 1,699 trades on this token is extraordinary and suggests a highly active market maker or algorithmic trader. The fact that this wallet is currently executing small sells near resistance elevates profit-taking risk. The +472% return on just 5 trades by 0x000000 suggests another informed participant who entered at very low prices and is sitting on large unrealized gains.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$103,394
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $103,394 in total liquidity against a $13.27M market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 0.78% — extremely thin. This means any trade above roughly $5,000–$10,000 will experience significant slippage, and a whale selling even 1% of their position (e.g., the 14.59% holder selling ~$19K worth) would move the price materially. The shallow liquidity is the single largest structural risk for this token and amplifies all other risk factors.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 4.5% (standard deviation) compounds to extreme swings over weekly periods — the 83-day range of $0.01054 to $0.03326 represents a 215% spread, confirming this is a high-volatility asset. The 112.7% 30-day gain itself is a volatility signal: assets that rise this fast can fall equally fast.

Liquidity
High

Total on-chain liquidity of $103,394 against a $13.27M market cap creates a 0.78% liquidity ratio. Any trade above ~$5,000 will face meaningful slippage, and a single whale exit could drain the pool. This is the most acute structural risk for the token.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply of 56.4% is held by individual whales, two of whom (14.59% and 11.23%) received their tokens via transfer or airdrop with zero cost basis. These wallets can sell at any price without incurring a loss, and their combined holdings (~$7.5M at current prices) dwarf the $103K liquidity pool.

Smart Contract
Medium

The contract is verified and has operated for 26.9 months without a known exploit, which mitigates smart contract risk. However, the 62/100 security score indicates the contract has identifiable risk factors that prevent a low-risk classification.

Regulatory
Medium

As a utility token for a Layer 1/Layer 2 blockchain with DeFi and governance applications, TLOS faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to most crypto utility tokens. The ZK and DeFi focus areas are under increasing regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • •Whale dump risk: The two largest individual whales (14.59% and 11.23% of supply) hold positions acquired via transfer/airdrop with zero cost basis. A combined exit of even 10% of their holdings (~$1.3M) would completely drain the $103K liquidity pool and cause catastrophic price impact
  • •Liquidity fragility: The 0.78% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio means the market cap figure is largely theoretical — the actual exit liquidity available to all holders is only $103K, making the stated $13.27M market cap misleading as a measure of realizable value
  • •Smart money distribution: The token's most profitable trader (0xb1b2d0, +$1.97M realized) is actively selling near current resistance levels, suggesting informed participants are using the price strength to reduce exposure

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has a 26.9-month operational history, a verified contract, and active social presence — characteristics that distinguish it from short-lived scam tokens
  • •Exchange custody wallets (Bitget 10.12%, KuCoin 7.44%) holding significant supply represent user deposits rather than dumpable whale positions, partially offsetting the raw concentration figures

Investor Suitability

TLOS is suitable only for risk-tolerant investors with a high conviction in the Telos ecosystem's ZK and Layer 2 roadmap, who can afford to lose their entire investment, and who understand the liquidity constraints that make large position exits difficult. It is not suitable for conservative investors, those requiring liquidity, or those who cannot tolerate 50%+ drawdowns.

TLOS presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity anchored in a genuine multi-layer blockchain infrastructure project with a 26.9-month track record and strong recent price momentum (+112.7% in 30 days). The bull case rests on ZK narrative tailwinds and technical breakout potential, while the bear case is dominated by structural liquidity fragility and whale concentration risk that could unwind gains rapidly.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

TLOS breaks above the $0.03326 major resistance on sustained volume, driven by broader ZK narrative momentum and continued ecosystem development. Holder growth accelerates, liquidity deepens, and the token re-rates toward a market cap more consistent with comparable ZK infrastructure projects. The smart money wallet's 1,699-trade history suggests the token has historically rewarded active participants during trend phases.

  • +Successful technical breakout above $0.03326 with volume confirmation, establishing a new multi-month high and attracting momentum capital
  • +Continued ZK and Layer 2 narrative tailwinds driving sector-wide re-rating of infrastructure tokens with genuine technology differentiation
Base Case

TLOS consolidates in the $0.02498–$0.03010 range over the next 30–60 days, with gradual holder growth continuing and the price finding equilibrium as early buyers take partial profits and new participants accumulate at support. The token maintains its uptrend structure but does not achieve a decisive breakout without a new fundamental catalyst.

  • •No large-scale whale distribution event occurs, allowing the $0.02498 immediate support to hold as the base of the consolidation range
  • •The Telos team continues to deliver on ZK EVM and Telos Zeron development milestones, maintaining project credibility and organic holder growth
Bear Case
Medium

One or more of the zero-cost-basis whale wallets (14.59% or 11.23% holders) begins distributing into the current price strength, overwhelming the $103K liquidity pool and triggering a cascade back toward the $0.01054 major support. The smart money wallet's ongoing small sells near resistance accelerate into a larger exit, removing a key source of buy-side support.

  • -Zero-cost-basis whale distribution: the 14.59% and 11.23% holders face no loss threshold and can sell at any price, with their combined holdings representing ~$7.5M against only $103K in liquidity
  • -Decelerating momentum: the sharp drop in transaction activity in the 1-hour and 4-hour windows suggests the buying impulse is fading, reducing the demand buffer against any supply shock

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 14, 2026, 02:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.029431090235409366
Market Cap$13.27M
24h Volume$47.2K
Holders963
Liquidity$103.4K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (83-day window)
Smart contract security assessment
Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates, acquisition method)
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •The FDV figure ($924,688) is lower than the market cap ($13,272,799), which is mathematically inconsistent when circulating supply equals total supply — this data anomaly could not be resolved and may indicate a data feed error
  • •The 14.59% whale wallet (0x26209d) shows a first-active date of 2026-04-17, which post-dates the analysis timestamp in a suspicious way — this could indicate a data error, a future-dated transaction, or a wallet provenance issue that could not be fully investigated with available data
  • •The 90-day price change is listed as N/A, limiting the ability to assess the full trend context beyond the 83-day OHLC window available
  • •Holder tier thresholds (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) are defined by Moralis with unpublished supply-share thresholds, preventing precise dollar-value analysis of each tier

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Track TLOS