GULD

GULD Price Today & AI Analysis

GULDEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 9, 2026

Price

$0.000612

-11.10% 24h

Contract

Live
0x14d6c649292c5c9790c5196d1a9ea039307947a1

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

3.3K

Market cap

$1.04M

Liquidity

$11.41K

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GULD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-09 02:03 UTC

Holder addresses

1,046

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$220,769.13
How concentrated is GULD ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,046 addresses (2026-07-09 02:03 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling GULD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is GULD liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-09 02:03 UTC, reported liquidity was $220,769.13. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-09 02:03 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 9, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC

Market Cap

$26.38M

24h Volume

$132.64K

Liquidity

$220.77K

FDV

—

Holders

1,046

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

GULD is the native utility token of AdventureWurld, a 3.2-month-old gaming platform that claims to operate its own EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain with browser-based free-to-play games and a node-operator DAO. The token trades on Uniswap v4 at $0.002592 with a $26.4M fully diluted market cap, but its price has collapsed ~89% from its intraday high within the available 2-day OHLC window, and the contract remains unverified. Holder growth has been rapid — from 145 to 1,030 wallets in 31 days — but 725 of those positions were acquired via transfer rather than open-market swaps, and two individual whales hold a combined 48.7% of dumpable supply via non-market transfers. The project presents an ambitious multi-product vision, but the combination of an unverified contract, extreme price volatility, insider-allocated whale positions, and negligible smart-money participation places it firmly in the speculative/high-risk category.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 9, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Native L1 blockchain (AdventureWurld Chain) with GULD as the gas token, creating a captive utility demand loop if the chain gains traction
  • DAO governance with legal ownership structure where node owners hold voting rights — an unusual hybrid of on-chain governance and legal entity accountability
  • Three distinct browser-based games targeting different player segments (action, cozy builder, RPG) designed to be device-agnostic and free-to-play, lowering the user acquisition barrier

GULD AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

GULD has only 2 days of OHLC history, but within that window the price swung from a low of $0.000283 to a high of $0.02427 before collapsing to the current $0.002592 — sitting at just 10% of its all-time range. The most recent daily close rose from $0.000349 to $0.002592, but the token is still 89% below its intraday peak, and the last hour recorded zero buys against three sells, signalling near-term selling pressure dominates. With only 18 unique buyers in 24 hours and two individual whales holding a combined 48.7% of dumpable supply, the short-term risk skews heavily to the downside.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Over the medium term, GULD faces structural headwinds: the contract is unverified, the token is only 3.2 months old with no 7d/30d/90d trend data to anchor a recovery thesis, and 55.7% of supply sits in dumpable individual-whale wallets. Holder growth has been rapid (145 to 1,030 in 31 days), but the acquisition method skews heavily toward transfers (725 vs. 321 swaps), raising questions about organic demand. Sustained upside would require verifiable product launches, contract verification, and evidence that the two dominant whales are not distributing.

Bullish Factors

  • Holder base grew 80% in 7 days (145 → 1,030 over 31 days), demonstrating accelerating community adoption that could sustain buying pressure if it continues.
  • 24-hour buy pressure stands at 79% ($104,768 buy volume vs. $27,877 sell volume), indicating that the majority of recent trading activity has been accumulation rather than distribution.
  • The project has a defined multi-product roadmap (three browser games, a native L1 chain, node operator rewards, and a DAO governance framework), providing multiple potential catalysts for token demand.

Bearish Factors

  • Two individual whale wallets hold 29.95% and 18.73% of supply respectively — both positions were acquired via transfer/airdrop with no indexed DEX swaps — representing 48.7% of dumpable supply that could be sold at any time without prior market-buy cost basis.
  • The contract is unverified on-chain (Security Score: 75/100), which is a material red flag for a token claiming to underpin a native L1 blockchain and DAO governance structure.
  • Price is sitting at only 10% of its 2-day range ($0.000283–$0.02427), meaning the token has already shed ~89% from its peak within days of launch, and the last hour showed zero buys against three sells — the immediate order flow is one-sided to the downside.
  • Smart money activity is negligible: the six most profitable traders each realized only +$4 (+2%) across four trades, indicating no sophisticated capital has taken a meaningful position or expressed conviction in the token.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

GULD call history

Full track record →

Jul 9bearish
24h+841.7%
7d+729.6%
30d+754.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x14d6...47a1
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: two wallets holding 48.7% of dumpable supply via zero-cost-basis transfers can sell into the $220,769 liquidity pool at any time, potentially collapsing the price by 80%+ given the liquidity-to-supply imbalance
  • Unverified contract: the inability to audit the source code means investors cannot confirm the absence of malicious functions; this is a prerequisite risk that cannot be mitigated without verification
  • Pre-product valuation: at $26.4M FDV with no live games and no verifiable on-chain activity from the AdventureWurld Chain, the entire valuation is speculative and dependent on future execution that has not yet been demonstrated

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite a surface-level buy-pressure reading of 79% over 24 hours, the most recent 1-hour window shows zero buys and three sells — the buying activity is concentrated in an earlier window and has since dried up entirely. The total transaction count is thin (60 transactions from 32 unique participants in 24 hours), suggesting this is a low-liquidity token where a handful of wallets can move the price significantly.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

With only 2 days of OHLC data available, trend analysis is severely limited. The available data shows the token launched at $0.000349 (first daily close), spiked to an intraday high of $0.02427, and has since collapsed to $0.002592 — a position at just 10% of the full 2-day range. The current price is 89% below the intraday peak, and the most recent hourly flow (zero buys, three sells) confirms the short-term direction is down. No 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists to assess medium-term trajectory.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The 89% decline from the intraday high to current price, combined with a complete absence of buyers in the most recent hour, places the token in deeply oversold territory on a short-term basis. However, oversold conditions in a low-liquidity, newly launched token with unverified contracts and large insider allocations do not reliably predict a bounce — they can persist or worsen if whale wallets begin distributing.

Volume Analysis

Buy

79%

Sell

21%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume was entirely front-loaded into a single 4-hour burst (30 buys, 27 sells) with zero buy activity in the most recent hour. This decelerating pattern after a concentrated spike is a classic sign of fading momentum. The $104,768 in 24-hour buy volume sounds substantial relative to the token's size, but it was generated by only 18 unique buyers, meaning average buy size was ~$5,820 — a small number of participants drove the entire volume event.

Recent Price Action

Extreme spike-and-collapse within 2 days: price launched at $0.000349, surged to $0.02427 (a 70x move), then crashed to $0.002592 (an 89% drawdown from peak). The current price represents a 7.4x gain from the opening close but is still deep in the lower decile of the full range.

This spike-and-collapse pattern is characteristic of low-liquidity tokens experiencing a coordinated pump event followed by profit-taking or whale distribution. The fact that the price stabilized above the launch close ($0.000349) rather than returning to it is the only mildly constructive technical signal, but it is insufficient to establish a recovery trend given the data limitations.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Within just 2 days of OHLC history, GULD has already demonstrated an 86x price range ($0.000283 to $0.02427) and an 89% drawdown from peak. Daily volatility computed from only two closes is not statistically meaningful, but the observed price action alone confirms extreme volatility that can wipe out positions rapidly.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $220,769 against a $26.4M FDV yields a 0.84% liquidity ratio. The two largest whale wallets hold notional positions worth approximately $7.9M and $4.9M respectively at current prices — both are orders of magnitude larger than the available liquidity, meaning any meaningful distribution would be catastrophic for price.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    GameFi tokens with utility functions (gas, governance, in-game economy) occupy a regulatory grey zone in most jurisdictions. The DAO with a legal ownership structure may provide some compliance framework, but the specifics are not available in the data. Gaming tokens have faced securities scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: two wallets holding 48.7% of dumpable supply via zero-cost-basis transfers can sell into the $220,769 liquidity pool at any time, potentially collapsing the price by 80%+ given the liquidity-to-supply imbalance
  • Unverified contract: the inability to audit the source code means investors cannot confirm the absence of malicious functions; this is a prerequisite risk that cannot be mitigated without verification
  • Pre-product valuation: at $26.4M FDV with no live games and no verifiable on-chain activity from the AdventureWurld Chain, the entire valuation is speculative and dependent on future execution that has not yet been demonstrated

Mitigating Factors

  • Rapid and accelerating holder growth (145 → 1,030 in 31 days) suggests genuine community interest that could provide buying support if the project delivers on its roadmap
  • The 79% buy pressure over 24 hours and net inflow of ~$76,890 indicates that recent market participants have been net buyers, providing some short-term price floor support

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment, have conducted independent due diligence beyond this analysis, and are not relying on the token for any portion of their financial security. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone without deep familiarity with the risks of early-stage, unverified GameFi tokens.

GULD is a high-risk, high-speculation bet on an early-stage gaming ecosystem that has yet to launch its core products. The bull case depends entirely on successful game launches and L1 chain adoption; the bear case is grounded in immediate, structural risks including an unverified contract, extreme whale concentration, and negligible liquidity relative to the implied market cap.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

AdventureWurld successfully launches one or more of its three browser games, attracting a meaningful player base that drives organic GULD demand for in-game transactions and node operator rewards. The AdventureWurld Chain gains traction as a gaming L1, the contract is verified and audited, and the two dominant whale wallets are revealed to be long-term aligned stakeholders (e.g., treasury or foundation) who do not sell. Holder growth continues to accelerate past 10,000 wallets, and the token re-tests its $0.02427 intraday high.

  • Successful launch of at least one of the three announced games with verifiable daily active user metrics
  • Contract verification and independent security audit removing the primary trust barrier for larger capital allocators

Base Case

GULD trades in a wide, volatile range between $0.001 and $0.005 over the next 30–90 days as the project continues development without a major product launch. Holder growth continues at a slower pace, the two dominant whales remain inactive, and the token maintains its current liquidity level. Price action remains episodic and driven by small bursts of speculative interest rather than fundamental demand.

  • The two largest whale wallets do not distribute their holdings in the near term
  • No major product launch or contract verification occurs within the 30–90 day window to serve as a re-rating catalyst

Bear Case

Medium probability

One or both of the two dominant whale wallets begin distributing their combined 48.7% dumpable supply into the thin $220,769 liquidity pool. Given the liquidity constraints, even a 5% distribution from the largest wallet would represent ~$1.3M in notional selling against a pool that cannot absorb it, driving the price back toward or below the $0.000349 launch close. The unverified contract and lack of live products prevent new capital from entering to absorb the selling.

  • Whale wallet distribution from the two largest individual holders who hold zero-cost-basis positions via non-market transfers
  • Failure to launch games or verify the contract within a timeframe that maintains community confidence, leading to holder attrition

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 9, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-09 02:03 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.002591543259549273

Market Cap

$26.38M

24h Volume

$132.6K

Holders

1,046

Liquidity

$220,769.13

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (2-day window)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap lookup and first-active date)Smart money realized PnL trackingToken contract metadata and security scoring

Limitations

  • Only 2 days of OHLC data are available, making all trend and technical analysis statistically unreliable — no 7d, 30d, or 90d price history exists to establish a meaningful trend
  • The unverified contract prevents source code analysis, meaning hidden tokenomics mechanics (e.g., undisclosed mint authority, transfer fees, or blacklist functions) cannot be ruled out
  • Holder acquisition method data (transfer vs. swap) does not distinguish between legitimate team/treasury distributions and sybil wallet farming, limiting the interpretability of holder growth metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about GULD?