蝴蝶传奇

蝴蝶传奇 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶传奇BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 26, 2026

Price

$0.000230

-60.81% 24h

Contract

Live
0xf87927192e54294be4748b271a8d61f309597777

Holders

1.0K

Market cap

$230.18K

Liquidity

$22.03K

More tokens on BNB Chain

蝴蝶传奇: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-26 14:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,022

Top 10 supply share

6.12%

Reported liquidity

$22,032.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶传奇 ownership?
As of 2026-09-26 14:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 6.12% of supply. It reports 1,022 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶传奇?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-26 14:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $117,387.00 in buys and $105,591.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶传奇 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -8.71%, from $24,148.62 (2026-09-26 12:00 UTC) to $22,045.63 (2026-09-26 14:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-26 14:17 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-26 12:00 UTC$24,148.62
2026-09-26 13:00 UTC$21,952.23
2026-09-26 14:00 UTC$22,045.63

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 26, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC

Market Cap

$230.18K

24h Volume

$222.98K

Liquidity

$22.03K

FDV

—

Holders

1,022

24h

Loading trading activity…

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

蝴蝶传奇 (Butterfly Legend) is a 2-hour-old BNB Chain meme token trading on PancakeSwap with a $230,182 market cap and only $22,032 of liquidity. The token has already fallen 60.81% from its highs in its first hours of trading, while marketing itself as a 'chain game' with a 1% buy/sell tax funding dividends, buyback-and-burn, and in-game reward payouts. Given the extreme youth of the contract, thin liquidity, unverifiable tokenomics claims, and unavailable security data, this sits at the highest-risk end of the token spectrum typical of newly launched BSC meme coins.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 26, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Combines meme-coin mechanics with a claimed 'chain game + play-to-cash-out' model paying rewards in BNB/USDT
  • Multi-part 1% transaction tax split three ways: 0.4% holder dividend, 0.2% buyback/burn, 0.4% game-reward pool
  • Extremely early-stage: only 2 hours old with 1,022 holders already onboarded

蝴蝶传奇 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Price has fallen 60.81% over the observed 4h/24h window (identical figures because the token has only existed for 2 hours) and is still down 19.26% over the last hour. The lone positive reading is a 8.92% bounce in the last 5 minutes, which is noise-level and not sufficient to offset the dominant multi-hour downtrend.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With the token only 2 hours old, there is no 30d/90d price history to assess a genuine medium-term trend — the very short life of this contract itself is a bearish input, since new meme launches on BSC with sub-$25k liquidity have a high statistical failure/abandonment rate. Absent any confirmed roadmap execution or liquidity growth, the base case is continued distribution pressure rather than recovery.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume ($117,387) slightly exceeds sell volume ($105,591), a 52.6%/47.4% split that shows buyers are still marginally more active than sellers in raw dollar terms
  • 1,022 holders have already accumulated in the token's first 2 hours, indicating some organic attention despite the price collapse

Bearish Factors

  • Price is down 60.81% over the 4h/24h window with no OHLC-confirmed reversal signal
  • Total liquidity of only $22,032 against a $230,182 market cap means even modest net selling can move price sharply, which is consistent with the crash already observed
  • 1,027 unique sellers versus 774 unique buyers in 24h shows more distinct wallets are exiting than entering
  • Contract is only 2 hours old with no security assessment available, placing it firmly in the highest-risk category of newly launched tokens

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶传奇 call history

Full track record →

Sep 26bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xf879...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no established trading or holder history to validate any of its claimed mechanics
  • Price has already collapsed over 60% from its initial trading levels, and thin liquidity of $22,032 makes further sharp moves likely in either direction
  • No contract-security, smart-money, or whale-wallet data is available to corroborate or refute the project's claims, leaving investors reliant solely on self-reported marketing language
  • Complex three-way transaction tax (dividend/burn/game-reward) increases the attack surface and dependency on the contract behaving exactly as described

Trading Insight

bearish

24h buy/sell dollar volume is nearly balanced (52.6% buy vs 47.4% sell), but this modest edge has not stopped a 60.81% price collapse, which points to thin liquidity amplifying the price impact of net selling far beyond what raw volume shares suggest. Transaction counts show more unique sellers (1,027) than buyers (774), reinforcing that a larger number of distinct wallets are exiting than entering.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The only price history available (4h/24h, identical because the token is 2 hours old) shows a 60.81% decline, with the 1h window also down 19.26%. There is no 30d/90d OHLC data because the contract did not exist that long ago, so 'medium-term' trend here is inferred purely from the severity and persistence of the initial drawdown.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

A cumulative decline of over 60% in a matter of hours, followed by a small 8.92% uptick in the last 5 minutes, is consistent with an oversold bounce attempt rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.6%

Sell

47.4%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Roughly 41% of the entire 4h buy-transaction count and 38% of sell-transaction count occurred within just the most recent hour, showing trading activity is accelerating rather than cooling off as the price falls.

Recent Price Action

A sharp, near-vertical decline of over 60% from launch levels within the first few hours, punctuated by a small short-term bounce

This pattern is typical of new meme-token launches where initial speculative buying is quickly overwhelmed by early-holder profit-taking against thin liquidity, often preceding either a stabilization at a much lower base or a continued slide toward liquidity exhaustion

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has already fallen 60.81% from its highs within hours of launch, with a further -19.26% in the last hour alone — extreme volatility typical of brand-new low-liquidity meme launches.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of just $22,032 against a $230,182 market cap means trades of even modest size can move the price sharply, and there is no guarantee liquidity will remain in the pool given the contract's 2-hour age.

  • ConcentrationLow

    The aggregate top-10 holder share of 6.1% is low on its face, though this cannot be cross-checked against individual wallet identity, labeling, or acquisition method since no per-wallet holder list is available.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The project's description references dividends tied to 'U.S. stocks' and cash-out mechanics redeemable for BNB/USDT, language that could attract securities-related regulatory scrutiny in some jurisdictions, though this is not a legal determination.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no established trading or holder history to validate any of its claimed mechanics
  • Price has already collapsed over 60% from its initial trading levels, and thin liquidity of $22,032 makes further sharp moves likely in either direction
  • No contract-security, smart-money, or whale-wallet data is available to corroborate or refute the project's claims, leaving investors reliant solely on self-reported marketing language
  • Complex three-way transaction tax (dividend/burn/game-reward) increases the attack surface and dependency on the contract behaving exactly as described

Mitigating Factors

  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration of 6.1% is relatively low, reducing (on paper) the risk of a single-wallet dump, though this cannot be fully verified without a per-wallet breakdown
  • 24h buy transaction count (1,720) modestly exceeds sell transaction count (1,272), showing continued gross buyer interest despite the price decline

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who can accept the possibility of total capital loss; not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation or those unable to independently verify the project's unaudited claims.

蝴蝶传奇 is an extremely early-stage (2-hour-old) BNB Chain meme/GameFi token that has already suffered a severe 60%+ price decline on thin liquidity, with none of its claimed dividend, burn, or play-to-earn mechanics independently verifiable from available data. Any thesis here is necessarily speculative given the near-total absence of security, whale, and smart-money data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the buyback/burn and dividend mechanics function as described and the game component attracts genuine users, the token could stabilize and rebuild value from current depressed levels, aided by continued gross buy-side transaction activity (1,720 buys in 24h).

  • Verified delivery of the described game and reward-redemption mechanics
  • Sustained or growing liquidity beyond the current $22,032

Base Case

Continued high volatility with no clear directional resolution in the immediate term, most likely settling into a much lower price base than the initial launch level as speculative interest fades.

  • No new liquidity or credible catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

The token continues to bleed value as early holders exit into thin liquidity, consistent with the 1,027 unique sellers already outnumbering 774 unique buyers in the first 24 hours, potentially culminating in liquidity withdrawal or abandonment typical of short-lived meme launches.

  • Persistent net wallet-level selling pressure
  • Absence of any security audit or verifiable tokenomics enforcement
  • Extremely shallow liquidity pool relative to market cap

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 26, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-26 14:17 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000230181761861

Market Cap

$230.2K

24h Volume

$223.0K

Holders

1,022

Liquidity

$22,032.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction data, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC-derived support/resistance levels could be computed, so all price targets were omitted rather than estimated
  • The token is only 2 hours old, so there is no 7d/30d/90d price or holder trend to validate medium-term projections

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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