TMC

TREASURE META COIN Price Today & AI Analysis

TMC
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

$0.045080

+37.69%24h
LiveContract:0xdac46f778892006248dbcc05f838d2692bafffffChain:BNB ChainHolders:3.6KMarket cap:$50.80KLiquidity:$13.33K

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Ask Unhosted AI about TMC

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 21, 2026, 09:35 PM UTC
Market Cap

$49.87K

24h Volume

$14.69K

Liquidity

$23.34K

FDV

—

Holders

3.4K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

TREASURE META COIN (TMC) is a 10-day-old BNB Chain token with a $49,871 market cap, no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence — the bare minimum of a speculative micro-cap launch. The price has declined in every observable daily session, losing 59.7% in 7 days and sitting at just 6% of its 10-day trading range, signaling a token in active distribution from early buyers to late retail entrants. Holder growth has been rapid (0 to 3,392 in 10 days) but is decelerating sharply, with only 29 new holders added in the last 24 hours versus 608 in the prior 7 days. The deployer profile — a wallet 37 days old with no prior deployments and unknown funding source — raises meaningful rug-risk concerns that investors must weigh carefully.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 21, 2026, 09:35 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Extremely rapid holder onboarding (0 to 3,392 in 10 days) relative to its micro-cap size, suggesting aggressive community or bot-driven distribution
Unusually low dumpable supply (24%) despite a 44% top-10 concentration, because the two largest holders are a protocol contract and a burn address rather than individual whales
Smart money participants have realized gains of up to +467% on this token, indicating early-entry traders extracted significant value — likely at the expense of later buyers

TREASURE META COIN AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

TMC has collapsed 59.7% over the past 7 days, with the current price of $0.00004987 sitting at just 6% of its 10-day trading range — a clear sign of sustained selling pressure, not a temporary dip. The daily close sequence shows an unbroken staircase lower from $0.0001468 to $0.00004987 over 10 consecutive sessions, with no technical base yet formed. Sell pressure dominates at 56.8% of 24h volume, and recent notable trades are predominantly sells, reinforcing the downtrend.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 10 days of price history, no 30d or 90d trend data exists, but the entire observable price trajectory is a steep decline from a launch-day high of $0.0002533 to current levels — an 80%+ drawdown from peak. The token has no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no established utility narrative to catalyze a reversal. Unless significant new demand enters, the path of least resistance remains downward toward major support at $0.00003706.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew from 0 to 3,392 in 10 days, with 608 new holders added in the last 7 days alone, indicating ongoing retail discovery despite the price decline
  • +Smart money wallet 0x43d6b6… holds 2.00% of supply with a realized gain of +$2,540 (+467%) at an average buy price of $0.00001185 — well below current price — suggesting at least one informed participant accumulated early and remains profitable
  • +Dumpable supply is only 24% of total supply, as the largest single holder (23.37%) is a protocol/contract and the second largest (8.82%) is a burn address, limiting the pool of wallets capable of a coordinated dump
  • +Buy transaction count (322) significantly exceeds sell transaction count (179) over 24h, showing more individual participants are buying than selling even as sell volume dominates in dollar terms
Bearish Factors
  • -Price has declined in every single daily close over the 10-day observable history, falling from $0.0001468 to $0.00004987 — a 66% drop from the first recorded close and 80%+ from the $0.0002533 all-time high
  • -The contract is unverified, the project has no description, no social links, and is categorized as 'Uncategorized' — there is no identifiable fundamental value proposition to support the price
  • -Total liquidity is only $23,341 against a $49,871 market cap, a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~47%, meaning even modest sell orders will cause severe slippage and accelerate price decline
  • -The deployer wallet (0xfc9b9a6e…) was first active just 37 days before launch, has zero prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, and was funded by an unknown source — a classic disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • -Recent notable trades are overwhelmingly sells ($270, $128, $97, $97) versus buys ($99, $52), and the 4h and 1h transaction windows show near-zero activity, indicating momentum has stalled at depressed levels

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TMC call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-20.5%
7d+15.1%
30d—
Jul 21bearish
24h-21.3%
7d+11.9%
30d—
Jul 12bearish
24h-18.7%
7d-33.5%
30d-78.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xdac4...ffff
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull / exit scam risk: The deployer wallet is 37 days old, has no prior deployment history, was funded from an unknown source, and the project has zero public accountability — all hallmarks of a disposable deployer that may abandon the project or drain liquidity
•Liquidity collapse risk: With only $23,341 in liquidity, a single coordinated exit by 2-3 of the 8 individual whale wallets (collectively holding ~11.5% of supply) could exhaust the pool and render remaining positions unsellable at any meaningful price
•Information asymmetry risk: Smart money wallets have already extracted over $18,000 in realized profits from this token while retail holders — many of whom bought at prices 2-5x higher than current — are sitting on significant unrealized losses with no project narrative to justify holding

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite more buy transactions (322) than sell transactions (179) in the past 24 hours, sell volume ($8,348) meaningfully exceeds buy volume ($6,339), producing a net outflow and confirming that sellers are moving larger positions while buyers are accumulating in smaller increments. Activity has collapsed to near-zero in the 1h and 4h windows (1 buy and 1 sell each in the last hour), suggesting the token has entered a low-liquidity lull following its sharp decline.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Every daily close in the 10-day observable history has been lower than or equal to the prior session, with the sequence running from $0.0001468 down to $0.00004987 — a textbook sustained downtrend with no consolidation phase. The 7-day loss of 59.7% and the price sitting at just 6% of the 10-day range confirm that sellers have been in complete control since the token's early-day peak. No medium-term data exists beyond 10 days, but the entire observable history is bearish.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With price at 6% of its 10-day range and daily volatility at 18% (standard deviation of daily returns), the token is deeply oversold on a relative basis. However, in low-liquidity micro-caps with no fundamental floor, oversold conditions can persist or worsen rather than mean-revert, so oversold status alone is not a buy signal here.

Volume Analysis

Buy 43.2%Sell 56.8%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

The collapse in transaction activity from 501 transactions in 24h to 27 in 4h to just 2 in 1h indicates volume is drying up rapidly as the price decline matures. Decreasing volume in a downtrend can signal seller exhaustion, but with only $23,341 in liquidity, even small sell orders can push price to major support at $0.00003706.

Recent Price Action

Ten consecutive lower daily closes from $0.0001468 to $0.00004987, with the steepest single-day drops occurring in the most recent sessions (from $0.0001138 to $0.00006904 to $0.00004987), indicating accelerating selling pressure in the final days.

Accelerating declines in the final sessions of a downtrend often precede either a capitulation bottom or a complete collapse to near-zero; the absence of any consolidation candle makes a technical reversal difficult to time with confidence.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00004799
Major$0.00003706
Resistance
Immediate$0.00006771
Major$0.0002533

Immediate support at $0.00004799 is just 3.8% below current price and represents the nearest OHLC-derived floor; a breach would likely accelerate selling toward major support at $0.00003706 (the 10-day range low). On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.00006771 is the first level where prior sellers are likely to re-emerge, while major resistance at $0.0002533 — the 10-day high — is 408% above current price and would require a complete sentiment reversal to reach.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders3,392
24h Change+29
Growth Rate+0.85%

Holder growth has decelerated sharply: the 31-day trajectory peaked at 3,789 holders before declining to 3,392, and the 24h addition of only 29 holders (0.85%) versus 608 in the prior 7 days signals that the initial retail discovery wave is fading. The net holder count being below the 31-day peak confirms some early participants have already fully exited their positions.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders44%
Top 100 Holders69%
Retail Holders31.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 44% of supply, the two largest positions are a protocol/contract (23.37%) and a burn address (8.82%) — neither of which can sell. The genuine dumpable supply from individual whales and identifiable insiders is 24%, which is moderate rather than critical. The top 100 holding 69% leaves only 31% with retail, meaning price discovery is still heavily influenced by a small number of active wallets.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

Recent notable on-chain swaps are dominated by sells: $270 (0x811b86…), $128 (0xec6cd5…), $97 (0xfc2175…), $97 (0xe27d4c…) versus buys of $99 (0x8c2abc…) and $52 (0x503030…). All transactions are small in absolute dollar terms, consistent with a micro-cap in low-liquidity distribution.

  • •SELL $270 by 0x811b86… — the largest single trade in the recent window, representing ~0.54% of total daily sell volume
  • •SELL $128 by 0xec6cd5… — second largest trade, further confirming net sell-side pressure from larger participants

The largest recent trades are all sells, and no single buy exceeds $99, reinforcing the distribution narrative where holders with larger positions are exiting into thin retail demand. The small absolute sizes reflect the token's micro-cap liquidity constraints.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

The most profitable smart money wallet (0xac6fcd…) realized +$5,168 (+233%) over 49 trades; 0xfeebf2… realized +$4,401 (+256%) over 9 trades; and 0x43d6b6… realized +$2,540 (+467%) over 18 trades. These gains were extracted primarily during the token's early high-price phase and represent capital that has already left the token.

Smart money participants have collectively extracted over $18,000 in realized profits from a token with a current market cap of only $49,871 — a significant extraction relative to token size. The high realized PnL percentages (up to +467%) confirm these wallets bought early and sold into the initial price spike, leaving later buyers holding depreciated positions. The presence of profitable smart money is not a bullish signal here; it is evidence that informed capital has already rotated out.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$23,340.79
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $23,341 in total liquidity against a $49,871 market cap, the liquidity-to-mcap ratio is approximately 47% — which sounds reasonable until you consider that a single $2,000 sell order would represent ~8.6% of the liquidity pool and cause severe price impact. Any whale attempting to exit even a 1% position (worth ~$499 at current prices) would face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated exit by multiple whales could be catastrophic for price.

Overall Risk:
Very High
87/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 18% (standard deviation) and a 59.7% loss in 7 days place TMC in the extreme volatility tier. The 10-day range spans from $0.00003706 to $0.0002533 — a 583% spread — meaning the token can lose or gain multiples of its current value within days.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $23,341 is critically thin for a $49,871 market cap token. Any position larger than a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage on entry or exit, and a coordinated sell by multiple whale wallets could drain the pool and crash the price to near-zero.

Concentration
Medium

Although the top 10 holders control 44% of supply, the two largest positions (23.37% protocol/contract and 8.82% burn address) are non-sellable. Genuine dumpable supply from individual whales is 24%, which is moderate. The 8 individual whales in the top 10 each hold between 1.00% and 2.25%, limiting single-actor dump risk.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified, meaning its source code has not been published or audited. Hidden functions such as unlimited minting, owner-only transfer restrictions, or fee manipulation cannot be excluded. The deployer's disposable-wallet profile compounds this risk.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or business structure, TMC faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to anonymous micro-cap tokens. No specific regulatory action is identified, but the lack of transparency increases exposure to potential enforcement in jurisdictions with strict token issuance rules.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull / exit scam risk: The deployer wallet is 37 days old, has no prior deployment history, was funded from an unknown source, and the project has zero public accountability — all hallmarks of a disposable deployer that may abandon the project or drain liquidity
  • •Liquidity collapse risk: With only $23,341 in liquidity, a single coordinated exit by 2-3 of the 8 individual whale wallets (collectively holding ~11.5% of supply) could exhaust the pool and render remaining positions unsellable at any meaningful price
  • •Information asymmetry risk: Smart money wallets have already extracted over $18,000 in realized profits from this token while retail holders — many of whom bought at prices 2-5x higher than current — are sitting on significant unrealized losses with no project narrative to justify holding

Mitigating Factors

  • •The burn address holding 8.82% of supply and the protocol/contract holding 23.37% together remove 32.19% of total supply from any potential sell pressure, providing a structural floor on circulating supply
  • •Holder growth trajectory (0 to 3,392 in 10 days) demonstrates genuine retail interest, and the high buy transaction count (322 vs 179 sells in 24h) shows continued demand even during the price decline

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in micro-cap speculation, fully understand the risks of unverified contracts and anonymous deployers, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

TMC is a high-risk speculative micro-cap with no verified fundamentals, an unbroken 10-day downtrend, and a deployer profile consistent with disposable-wallet launches. The only credible bull case rests on continued retail discovery and a potential project announcement; the bear case — continued decline toward the $0.00003706 major support or complete liquidity drain — is supported by the preponderance of current data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The project team publishes a credible whitepaper or product announcement, social channels are established, and the rapid holder growth (which peaked at 3,789) resumes — drawing new capital that absorbs the 24% dumpable supply and pushes price back toward the $0.00006771 immediate resistance and potentially the $0.0002533 all-time high.

  • +Resumption of accelerating holder growth beyond the 3,789 peak, driven by a credible project narrative or viral community growth
  • +Smart money re-entry: wallet 0x43d6b6… (avg buy $0.00001185, still profitable) adding to its 2.00% position would signal informed conviction in a recovery
Base Case

TMC continues its gradual decline toward the $0.00003706 major support over the next 2-4 weeks as early buyers complete their distribution into residual retail demand, eventually stabilizing at a low-activity micro-cap with minimal trading volume and a small loyal holder base — neither recovering to prior highs nor collapsing to zero in the near term.

  • •The deployer does not actively drain liquidity, allowing the token to trade passively at depressed levels
  • •No new project announcement or marketing catalyst emerges to reignite retail interest
Bear Case
High

The project is abandoned or the deployer drains liquidity, the unverified contract is exploited or rug-pulled, and the price collapses through major support at $0.00003706 toward near-zero — leaving the majority of the 3,392 holders with total losses.

  • -Deployer wallet forensics (37 days old, zero prior deployments, unknown funding) are consistent with a disposable deployer pattern where abandonment is the most common outcome
  • -Smart money has already extracted $18,000+ in realized profits, suggesting informed participants view the token as a completed trade rather than a long-term hold

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 21, 2026, 09:35 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000049870718420072
Market Cap$49.9K
24h Volume$14.7K
Holders3,392
Liquidity$23.3K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (10-day window)
Smart contract deployment and deployer wallet forensics
Token genesis and initial allocation transfer records
Smart money realized PnL data
Notable recent on-chain swap data
Whale wallet behavioral analytics

Limitations

  • •Only 10 days of price history are available, making medium and long-term trend analysis statistically unreliable — all trend conclusions are based on a very short and potentially unrepresentative window
  • •The unverified contract means hidden tokenomic mechanisms (fees, minting, blacklists) cannot be assessed, and the security score of 70/100 should be treated as a lower-bound estimate of risk rather than a reliable safety indicator
  • •No project description, team information, or social presence is available, making fundamental valuation impossible — this analysis is entirely quantitative and on-chain behavioral

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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