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Derive Price Today & AI Analysis

DRVBNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

Price

$0.069330

+4570.94% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe2661e6e8f51280ed50ad6562baa9f3f87a1b474

Holders

10.5K

Market cap

$932.98K

Liquidity

$137.86K

At a $10M market cap, $DRV would be $0.050000 (10.7x from today’s price)

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Derive: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 01:46 UTC

Holder addresses

10,484

Top 10 supply share

31.42%

Reported liquidity

$137,860.00
How concentrated is Derive ownership?
As of 2026-10-16 01:46 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 31.42% of supply. It reports 10,484 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Derive?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 01:46 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $348,590.00 in buys and $230,702.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Derive liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +267.50%, from $37,513.28 (2026-10-15 10:00 UTC) to $137,860.01 (2026-10-16 01:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 01:46 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-15 10:00 UTC$37,513.28
2026-10-15 11:00 UTC$42,540.75
2026-10-15 12:00 UTC$51,652.59
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC$57,361.89
2026-10-15 14:00 UTC$66,590.74
2026-10-15 15:00 UTC$77,306.69
2026-10-15 16:00 UTC$85,825.35
2026-10-15 17:00 UTC$95,226.97
2026-10-15 18:00 UTC$97,048.45
2026-10-15 19:00 UTC$106,791.94
2026-10-15 20:00 UTC$106,604.64
2026-10-15 21:00 UTC$120,775.31
2026-10-15 22:00 UTC$122,847.38
2026-10-15 23:00 UTC$128,284.19
2026-10-16 00:00 UTC$129,033.82
2026-10-16 01:00 UTC$137,860.01

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 16, 2026, 01:46 AM UTC

Market Cap

$932.98K

24h Volume

$579.29K

Liquidity

$137.86K

FDV

—

Holders

10,484

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

Derive (DRV) is a BNB Chain token trading on PancakeSwap, 16 hours old, at about $9.33e-7 with a market cap of $932,975. Price has surged over 4,500% in 24h from a period low of $1.997e-8, on $579,292 of combined trading volume. No description, category or social links are available, and the full 1 trillion supply is shown as circulating. This is an extremely early and speculative asset with limited verifiable information.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 16, 2026, 01:46 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Only 16 hours old, with just two daily candles of history
  • 10,484 holders already, with the top 10 holding 31.4% of supply
  • Fully circulating 1 trillion token supply with FDV equal to market cap

Derive AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

DRV is only 16 hours old and has risen from a period low of $1.997e-8 to $9.330e-7, with the latest daily close ($9.330e-7) above the prior close ($8.089e-7). Buy-side activity (60.2% of 24h volume) and the 4h and 1h gains support continued momentum for now. However, the price sits at 100% of a two-day range after a parabolic move, so a sharp mean reversion is a serious risk.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Parabolic launch spikes of this magnitude on a 16-hour-old token with $137,860 liquidity typically retrace as early buyers take profit. There is no 30d or 90d history, so this call rests on the extreme extension from the range low and thin liquidity rather than on a multi-month trend.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy volume of $348,590 exceeded sell volume of $230,702 over 24h (60.2% buy share), showing net demand during the move.
  • Buy transactions (557) outnumbered sells (411), with 243 unique buyers versus 239 unique sellers.
  • Price continued higher in the 4h (+43.8%) and 1h (+15.8%) windows, so the move had not stalled at the time of data capture.

Bearish Factors

  • The 24h change of roughly +4,571% leaves price at 100% of its two-day range, an extreme extension with no established support base.
  • Liquidity of $137,860 against a $932,975 market cap (about 14.8%) means large sells can move price sharply.
  • Unique sellers (239) nearly match unique buyers (243), so a large group of participants is already exiting or taking profit.
  • No project description, social links or category data is available, so there is no identifiable fundamental support for the valuation.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

DRV call history

Full track record →

Oct 16bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xe266...b474
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Parabolic price extension on a 16-hour-old token raises the probability of sharp retracement.
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap increases slippage and exit risk.
  • No project information, social presence, contract-security or launch-forensic data is available, so insider allocation and contract risks are unknown.

Trading Insight

bullish

Order flow leans toward buyers at 60.2% of volume, and the 4h and 1h windows both show more buyers than sellers. The relatively balanced unique buyer and seller counts suggest active two-way trading rather than one-sided accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Price rose from $8.089e-7 to $9.330e-7 across the two available daily closes after starting from a low of $1.997e-8. With no 7d, 30d or 90d data, a medium-term trend cannot be established and is marked sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 4,571% 24h gain, plus +43.8% in 4h and +15.8% in 1h, is extremely stretched. No RSI or similar indicator is available, but the magnitude of the move signals overbought conditions and elevated pullback risk.

Volume Analysis

Buy

60.2%

Sell

39.8%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only a 24h snapshot is available, so a true volume trend cannot be derived. Transaction counts per hour appear steady across the 1h and 4h windows, with buys consistently exceeding sells.

Recent Price Action

Vertical, parabolic advance from launch with price at the top of its two-day range and the most recent daily close higher than the previous one.

Vertical launch moves often reflect initial price discovery on thin liquidity and are frequently followed by sharp, volatile retracements, though continuation is possible if demand persists.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 4,571% 24h move and a range from $1.997e-8 to $9.330e-7 in two days shows extreme volatility in both directions.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $137,860 of liquidity against a $932,975 market cap leaves a thin pool, so larger trades can cause significant slippage and exits may be costly.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    The top 10 hold 31.4% in aggregate, but wallet identities are unavailable, so the dumpable portion is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Unclassified token with no identifiable project team or stated use case; regulatory treatment of such assets varies by jurisdiction.

Key Risks

  • Parabolic price extension on a 16-hour-old token raises the probability of sharp retracement.
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap increases slippage and exit risk.
  • No project information, social presence, contract-security or launch-forensic data is available, so insider allocation and contract risks are unknown.

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy volume exceeded sell volume over 24h (60.2% buys).
  • A broad holder base of 10,484 and 243 unique buyers in 24h.

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who can afford to lose their entire position and who will independently verify the contract before trading.

DRV is a launch-phase momentum token with strong early demand but no verifiable fundamentals, thin liquidity and extreme extension. Any thesis rests on short-term flow rather than project quality.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Demand persists, liquidity grows and the token consolidates above recent levels as new buyers arrive.

  • Continued net buying above the current 60.2% buy share
  • Liquidity growth that reduces slippage risk

Base Case

Highly volatile trading with a likely pullback from the launch spike, followed by range-bound action if liquidity and interest hold.

  • Launch-phase momentum fades as is typical for newly listed tokens
  • No major positive information or catalysts emerge in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

Early buyers take profit and thin liquidity amplifies a steep retracement, erasing a large portion of the launch gains.

  • Price at 100% of its range after a 4,571% 24h rise
  • Near-equal unique buyers and sellers (243 vs 239) showing active distribution

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 16, 2026, 01:46 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 01:46 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$9.32974646084e-7

Market Cap

$933.0K

24h Volume

$579.3K

Holders

10,484

Liquidity

$137,860.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis.
  • Only two days of OHLC history exist, so no 7d, 30d or 90d trends or key levels could be computed.
  • Deployer, launch-allocation and smart-money data were unavailable, so insider risk is unknown rather than assessed as clean.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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