领头羊

Bellwether Price Today & AI Analysis

领头羊BNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

Price

$0.000867

-15.74% 24h

Contract

Live
0x589f84b19933c1a8edac82a37ed329b327f97777

Holders

32.5K

Market cap

$866.83K

Liquidity

$48.65K

At a $10M market cap, $领头羊 would be $0.010000 (11.5x from today’s price)

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Bellwether: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 02:46 UTC

Holder addresses

32,535

Top 10 supply share

7.59%

Reported liquidity

$48,654.00
How concentrated is Bellwether ownership?
As of 2026-10-16 02:46 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 7.59% of supply. It reports 32,535 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Bellwether?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 02:46 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $61,069.00 in buys and $65,638.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Bellwether liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -5.21%, from $56,026.94 (2026-10-15 03:00 UTC) to $53,109.62 (2026-10-16 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 02:46 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-15 03:00 UTC$56,026.94
2026-10-15 04:00 UTC$55,558.65
2026-10-15 05:00 UTC$53,630.58
2026-10-15 06:00 UTC$53,932.96
2026-10-15 07:00 UTC$55,593.95
2026-10-15 08:00 UTC$54,454.91
2026-10-15 09:00 UTC$53,868.85
2026-10-15 10:00 UTC$56,864.26
2026-10-15 11:00 UTC$57,924.01
2026-10-15 12:00 UTC$59,600.67
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC$59,035.50
2026-10-15 14:00 UTC$62,508.86
2026-10-15 15:00 UTC$63,719.49
2026-10-15 16:00 UTC$60,439.07
2026-10-15 17:00 UTC$60,147.99
2026-10-15 18:00 UTC$59,946.75
2026-10-15 19:00 UTC$59,957.56
2026-10-15 20:00 UTC$59,971.71
2026-10-15 21:00 UTC$59,585.46
2026-10-15 22:00 UTC$58,363.09
2026-10-15 23:00 UTC$58,384.86
2026-10-16 00:00 UTC$57,982.01
2026-10-16 01:00 UTC$56,062.48
2026-10-16 02:00 UTC$53,109.62

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 16, 2026, 02:46 AM UTC

Market Cap

$866.83K

24h Volume

$126.71K

Liquidity

$48.65K

FDV

—

Holders

32,535

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

Bellwether (symbol 领头羊) is a 13-day-old token trading on PancakeSwap (BNB Chain) at about $0.000867 with an $866,831 market cap and 1 billion fully circulating supply. It spiked from near $0.0001 to a $0.003409 high and has since lost most of the gain, down 57.5% over 7 days. No project description or category data is available, so the thesis rests on price action alone.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 16, 2026, 02:46 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Very young token (13 days old) with a 98% daily volatility profile
  • 32,535 holders with only 7.6% in the top 10 (aggregate figure only)
  • Thin liquidity ($48,654) relative to market cap, with no description or category provided

Bellwether AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Bellwether is down 57.5% over 7 days and has stepped down from a $0.002007 close to $0.0008669 across the last five daily closes, with each close lower than the one before. Price sits at 25% of its 14-day range and is testing the $0.0007725 immediate support. The 24h move of -15.7% is secondary to this multi-day lower-high sequence.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 14-day history shows a spike from roughly $0.00012 to a $0.003409 high, followed by a sustained retracement. With 98% daily volatility and no 30d or 90d history, the pattern resembles a post-spike unwind, and a full retrace toward the pre-spike base is a real possibility. A bullish reversal would require reclaiming $0.001029 and holding it.

Bullish Factors

  • Buyers outnumber sellers on activity: 1,523 buy transactions vs 727 sell transactions in 24h, with 491 unique buyers vs 377 unique sellers
  • Top 10 holders control only 7.6% of supply, a low aggregate concentration figure across 32,535 holders
  • The 5-minute change is +0.51%, a tentative stabilization at support, though too small to be a signal on its own

Bearish Factors

  • 7d change of -57.5% and five consecutive lower daily closes from $0.002007 to $0.0008669
  • Dollar sell volume ($65,638) exceeds buy volume ($61,069) despite more buy transactions, implying larger average sell size
  • Liquidity of only $48,654 against an $866,831 market cap (about 5.6%) makes exits costly
  • The major support at $0.000006668 is about 99% below the current price, so there is no nearby structural floor beneath $0.0007725

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

领头羊 call history

Full track record →

Oct 16bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x589f...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Continued downside: price is testing $0.0007725 with no nearby structural support beneath it
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap magnifies slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown contract properties, launch allocation, and deployer history mean hidden risks cannot be ruled out

Trading Insight

bearish

Dollar-weighted flow leans to sellers (51.8% sell vs 48.2% buy), even though transaction counts favor buys. The multi-day downtrend matters more than the intraday readings, and the 1h (-9.4%) and 4h (-15.4%) declines continue it.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Price has made lower daily closes from $0.002007 to $0.0008669 and is down 57.5% over 7 days. Only 14 days of data exist, so the medium-term read is provisional, but price is well below the $0.003409 peak.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

After a sharp multi-day decline, price is in the lower quarter of its 14-day range (25%). Oversold conditions in a low-liquidity token can persist, and with 98% daily volatility, a bounce is possible but unconfirmed.

Volume Analysis

Buy

48.2%

Sell

51.8%

Volume Trend

Stable

Transaction counts skew toward buys across 24h, 4h, and 1h windows, but dollar volume is slightly net negative. No earlier volume history is provided, so a volume trend cannot be established beyond this snapshot.

Recent Price Action

A rapid rise from about $0.00012 to above $0.002 over a few days, a peak near $0.003409, then stepwise lower closes.

Spike-and-retrace patterns in young, low-liquidity tokens often reflect speculative momentum fading, and further downside is common until a base forms.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0007725

Major support

$0.000006668

Immediate resistance

$0.001029

Major resistance

$0.003409

Price is testing the $0.0007725 immediate support, and a close below it would expose a large gap down to the $0.000006668 major support, the 14-day low. Resistance at $0.001029 is the most recent prior close, and the $0.003409 major resistance is the 14-day high.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation is 98%, with a 57.5% decline over 7 days and a range from $0.000006668 to $0.003409.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $48,654 liquidity is about 5.6% of market cap, so larger orders can cause significant slippage and exits are difficult.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top 10 holders hold 7.6% in aggregate, but wallets are unclassified and per-wallet data is unavailable, so this is a limited read.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Uncategorized speculative token with no disclosed project or issuer; regulatory treatment varies by jurisdiction.

Key Risks

  • Continued downside: price is testing $0.0007725 with no nearby structural support beneath it
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap magnifies slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown contract properties, launch allocation, and deployer history mean hidden risks cannot be ruled out

Mitigating Factors

  • Wide holder base of 32,535 with a low aggregate top-10 share of 7.6%
  • Active two-sided trading with 491 unique buyers and 377 unique sellers in 24h

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss and understand thin-liquidity token mechanics.

The trend is bearish after a spike-and-retrace, with thin liquidity and missing fundamentals. Broad holder distribution and active buying are the main offsets.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Price holds $0.0007725, reclaims $0.001029 on a daily close, and retests higher levels as buyers keep absorbing sells.

  • Continued buy-side participation (1,523 buys vs 727 sells in 24h)
  • Liquidity growth that reduces slippage

Base Case

Choppy, volatile trading between $0.0007725 and $0.001029 with a downward bias, and a meaningful chance of breaking lower.

  • No new catalyst or disclosed fundamentals emerge
  • Liquidity stays near current levels

Bear Case

High probability

Support at $0.0007725 fails and price continues retracing toward the pre-spike base, with limited liquidity amplifying the move.

  • Five consecutive lower daily closes and 57.5% weekly loss
  • Net dollar outflow and thin $48,654 liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 16, 2026, 02:46 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 02:46 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000866830664064

Market Cap

$866.8K

24h Volume

$126.7K

Holders

32,535

Liquidity

$48,654.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 14 days of OHLC history; no 30d or 90d trend
  • Launch genesis, deployer, and smart-money data unavailable
  • Project description and category not provided

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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