羊必火

羊必火 Price Today & AI Analysis

羊必火
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 8, 2026

$0.0632

+53.32%24h
LiveContract:0xc839b8f4f6ded0cae5531a603b78ede6ca677777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:11.1KMarket cap:$12.64MLiquidity:$394.06K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 羊必火

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 8, 2026, 04:32 AM UTC
Market Cap

$12.64M

24h Volume

$405.57K

Liquidity

$394.06K

FDV

—

Holders

11.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

羊必火 (contract 0xc839...7777) is an 18-day-old BEP-20 token trading on PancakeSwap with a current price of $0.0632 and a market cap of approximately $12.6M against a fully diluted valuation of $63.2M. The token's description identifies it as FlapTaxTokenV2, a configurable-tax ERC20 with anti-farming mechanisms, time-dependent tax rates, dynamic liquidation thresholds, and integrations with external TaxProcessor and Dividend contracts. It has posted a remarkable +172.8% gain over the past 7 days, though this must be weighed against extreme concentration (top 10 holders at 93.6%), shallow liquidity ($394K), and the complete absence of contract security, whale transaction, and smart-money data. The token is uncategorized with no established use case beyond its tax-distribution mechanics, and its very short history makes any medium-term assessment highly speculative.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 8, 2026, 04:32 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Configurable tax architecture with anti-farming protection, time-dependent tax rates, and a dynamic liquidation threshold — features described in the contract as FlapTaxTokenV2
External TaxProcessor and Dividend contract integrations designed to route tax revenue into dividend distributions for holders
Extreme supply concentration with top 10 holders at 93.6% of the 1 billion total supply, which is fully circulating with no lock or vesting data available

羊必火 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

The token has surged +172.8% over the past 7 days and currently sits at 96% of its 19-day range high of $0.06584, signaling strong upward momentum. The daily close sequence shows a consistent staircase pattern from $0.01705 to $0.06321, with no meaningful pullback yet. Buy pressure at 59.5% and 857 buy transactions versus 327 sell transactions in the past 24 hours confirm active demand, though the proximity to the range high introduces near-term resistance risk.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 19 days of price history, 30d and 90d trend data are unavailable, making medium-term projection inherently speculative. The token's 16.7% daily volatility and a fully diluted valuation of $63.2M against $394K in liquidity create a structurally fragile setup — a modest sell wave could compress price sharply. The top 10 holders controlling 93.6% of supply represents a critical overhang that could dominate any medium-term price direction.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price appreciation of +172.8% with a consistent daily close staircase from $0.01705 to $0.06321 demonstrates sustained directional momentum rather than a single-day spike
  • +Buy-to-sell transaction ratio of 857:327 (2.6:1) and 583 unique buyers versus 216 unique sellers in 24 hours indicate broad-based demand, not concentrated accumulation
  • +Net buy volume dominance of $241,233 vs $164,341 in sells (59.5% buy pressure) confirms positive order flow over the full 24-hour window
Bearish Factors
  • -Price sits at 96% of the 19-day range high ($0.06584), leaving minimal upside before hitting the only computed resistance level, which also doubles as the major resistance
  • -Top 10 holders control 93.6% of total supply; per-wallet data is unavailable so dumpable concentration cannot be assessed, but the aggregate figure alone represents a structural overhang risk
  • -FDV of $63.2M against only $394K in liquidity implies a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~0.6%, meaning even modest large-holder exits could cause severe price dislocations given the shallow pool depth

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

羊必火 call history

Full track record →
Sep 8bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xc839...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme supply concentration: top 10 holders at 93.6% with no per-wallet classification available — a coordinated exit by even one or two large holders could collapse the price given the $394K liquidity pool
•Parabolic price action (+172.8% in 7 days) with price at 96% of the 19-day range high creates severe mean-reversion risk; the token has no historical support structure between $0.04980 and $0.00003881
•Complex configurable-tax contract with external integrations (TaxProcessor, Dividend) has not been audited or security-scored by available data providers, leaving smart contract exploit risk unquantified

Trading Insight

bullish

Current trading sentiment is bullish based on a 2.6:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio and 59.5% buy pressure over 24 hours, with 583 unique buyers indicating distributed demand rather than a single actor. However, the sentiment score is moderated to 42 (out of 100) because the token is trading at 96% of its all-time range high, creating asymmetric risk for new entrants. The 4-hour window (242 buys vs 97 sells) and 1-hour window (64 buys vs 26 sells) show consistent but gradually decelerating buy dominance.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The 14-candle daily close sequence (oldest to newest: $0.01705 → $0.06321) shows an unbroken uptrend with only one minor dip on day 8 ($0.02192 vs prior $0.02317) before resuming higher. The 7-day gain of +172.8% is the primary trend signal, and the price sitting at 96% of the 19-day range high confirms the uptrend remains intact. Medium-term trend is also classified as uptrend given this is the entirety of available history, though 30d and 90d data are unavailable to validate sustainability.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

With price at 96% of the 19-day range high and a 16.7% daily volatility standard deviation, the token is exhibiting overbought characteristics. The parabolic acceleration in recent closes — from $0.03633 to $0.03769 to $0.05245 to $0.06321 over four consecutive days — represents a steepening rate of change that historically precedes either a breakout above resistance or a mean-reversion pullback. The 4-hour +18.3% move adds to the overbought signal.

Volume Analysis

Buy 59.5%Sell 40.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The 24-hour volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 1.0x ($405,574 volume vs $394,062 liquidity) indicates high turnover relative to pool depth. The buy pressure at 59.5% has been consistent across the 24h, 4h, and 1h windows, suggesting the volume trend is not a single-candle anomaly. However, the absolute liquidity base is shallow, meaning volume figures can be amplified by relatively small order sizes.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic staircase advance over 14 daily candles from $0.01705 to $0.06321, with the most recent four candles showing accelerating gains (+66%, +4%, +39%, +21% approximately). The current price of $0.06321 is within 4% of the all-time range high of $0.06584.

Parabolic advances of this nature in low-liquidity tokens frequently resolve in one of two ways: a breakout above the range high that attracts momentum buyers and extends the move, or a sharp reversal once buying exhaustion sets in near the resistance ceiling. The proximity to $0.06584 makes the next 24-48 hours a critical inflection point.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.04980
Major$0.00003881
Resistance
Immediate$0.06584
Major$0.06584

The immediate support at $0.04980 represents the most recent OHLC swing low and is the first meaningful floor if buying pressure fades — a retracement here would represent approximately a 21% drawdown from current price. The major support at $0.00003881 is the 19-day absolute low, reflecting the token's launch-era price and serving as a worst-case structural floor. Both the immediate and major resistance converge at $0.06584, the 19-day range high — this level has not been broken and represents the sole overhead target; a confirmed close above it would be technically significant given it is the only resistance in the dataset.

Overall Risk:
Very High
85/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 16.7% (standard deviation) is extremely elevated. The token has moved from $0.00003881 to $0.06584 within 19 days — a range of over 1,600x — and a 4-hour candle recently posted +18.3%. This level of volatility makes position sizing and stop-loss management exceptionally difficult.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $394,062 against a market cap of $12.6M yields a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 3.1%. The 24-hour trading volume of $405,574 already exceeds the total liquidity pool, indicating that even moderate sell orders will face significant slippage. Large exits by top holders could drain the pool rapidly.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 93.6% of the 1 billion total supply. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it is impossible to determine how much of this is held in protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or dumpable individual positions. Given this uncertainty, concentration risk must be rated high by default — the aggregate figure alone represents a structural threat to price stability.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. The contract description references complex mechanics including configurable tax rates, external contract integrations (TaxProcessor, Dividend), and migration state support — each of which introduces potential attack surface. Independent audit is strongly recommended.

Regulatory
Medium

Tokens with built-in tax mechanisms and dividend distribution features may attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify dividend-paying instruments as securities. The token is uncategorized and operates on BNB Chain without disclosed jurisdiction or legal structure, adding regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme supply concentration: top 10 holders at 93.6% with no per-wallet classification available — a coordinated exit by even one or two large holders could collapse the price given the $394K liquidity pool
  • •Parabolic price action (+172.8% in 7 days) with price at 96% of the 19-day range high creates severe mean-reversion risk; the token has no historical support structure between $0.04980 and $0.00003881
  • •Complex configurable-tax contract with external integrations (TaxProcessor, Dividend) has not been audited or security-scored by available data providers, leaving smart contract exploit risk unquantified

Mitigating Factors

  • •100% of supply is already circulating, eliminating the risk of future token unlocks or vesting cliff events that commonly suppress price
  • •Consistent buy pressure (59.5%) across multiple time windows (24h, 4h, 1h) with 583 unique buyers suggests distributed demand rather than a single actor manufacturing volume

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand the risks of very young, unaudited, highly concentrated tokens on decentralized exchanges. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those investing capital they cannot afford to lose, or those seeking stable or income-generating assets. Any position should be sized accordingly given the extreme volatility and liquidity constraints.

羊必火 presents a high-risk, high-reward speculative setup driven by a strong 7-day momentum trend (+172.8%) and consistent buy pressure, but structurally undermined by extreme supply concentration (93.6% top-10), shallow liquidity ($394K), an unaudited complex-tax contract, and only 18 days of price history. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether momentum can sustain a breakout above the $0.06584 resistance ceiling or whether the parabolic advance exhausts near the range high.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token breaks above the $0.06584 resistance with sustained volume, attracting momentum traders and broader attention. The dividend distribution mechanics generate holder retention incentives, the 11,087-holder base continues to grow, and liquidity deepens — supporting a move toward a higher price discovery phase with no overhead resistance in the dataset.

  • +Confirmed daily close above $0.06584 resistance on elevated volume, establishing a new range high and triggering momentum-following behavior
  • +Liquidity pool growth reducing slippage risk and enabling larger position entries from participants currently deterred by the shallow pool
Base Case

The token consolidates near the $0.05000-$0.06584 range over the near term as early buyers take partial profits into the buy pressure. Price oscillates with high daily volatility (16.7% stdev) without a decisive breakout or collapse, gradually building a support base — though medium-term direction remains highly uncertain given the 18-day history and missing fundamental data.

  • •Top-10 holders do not execute large coordinated exits in the near term, allowing the liquidity pool to absorb organic sell pressure
  • •Buy pressure from the current 583 unique daily buyers is sustained at sufficient levels to offset profit-taking from early holders who entered near the $0.01705-$0.02000 range
Bear Case
High

Price fails to break $0.06584 resistance and reverses from the overbought 96%-of-range position. One or more of the top-10 holders (controlling 93.6% of supply) begins distributing into the thin $394K liquidity pool, causing rapid price compression. The token retraces toward the $0.04980 immediate support and potentially further toward the major support at $0.00003881 if selling accelerates.

  • -Top-10 concentration of 93.6% with unclassified wallet types means any large holder exit into a $394K pool would cause disproportionate price impact
  • -Parabolic 7-day advance with no consolidation period leaves no established support structure between $0.04980 and the $0.00003881 launch-era low

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 8, 2026, 04:32 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.0632089536652
Market Cap$12.64M
24h Volume$405.6K
Holders11,087
Liquidity$394.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and individual whale transaction data were unavailable from this chain's data provider — concentration and whale behavior assessments are based solely on the aggregate top-10 percentage
  • •Contract security scoring, audit status, and contract verification data were unavailable for this chain, making smart contract risk assessment an uninformed default
  • •Token is only 18 days old with no 30d or 90d price history, severely limiting medium-term trend analysis and price target reliability
  • •Smart-money cohort (profitable trader) data was unavailable, so early buyer positioning and profit-taking risk could not be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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