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羊头→Flap首个托底协议模板 Price Today & AI Analysis

羊头
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 26, 2026

$0.006686

-6.29%24h
LiveContract:0xbc118beaa1c84c4a404f96349e50285718467777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:12.9KMarket cap:$6.69MLiquidity:$140.80K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 羊头

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 26, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC
Market Cap

$7.54M

24h Volume

$103.81K

Liquidity

$254.62K

FDV

—

Holders

6.7K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

This is a 3.1-month-old BNB Chain token with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence, yet it has delivered a 90-day return of +29,252.6% driven by a structurally tight float — 54.78% of supply is permanently burned and 23.74% sits in a PinkSale contract. The holder base has grown from roughly 2,042 to 5,496 wallets over 31 days with accelerating momentum, and current price sits at 94% of the 90-day range high near $0.008044 resistance. The token carries very high risk due to an unverified contract, extreme daily volatility of 48.4%, and a complete absence of verifiable fundamentals, making it suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with strict position sizing.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 26, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
54.78% of total supply is held in a burn address, creating one of the tightest effective floats relative to nominal supply seen in micro-cap tokens
90-day price appreciation of +29,252.6% with price currently at 94% of the range high, placing it among the highest-momentum tokens on BNB Chain by this metric
Holder growth of +47% in 30 days with an accelerating trajectory suggests organic wallet adoption is outpacing typical pump-and-dump distribution patterns

羊头→Flap首个托底协议模板 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

The 7-day gain of +253% and a 30-day gain of +1,318.8% place the token in a powerful uptrend, with the current price sitting at 94% of its 90-day range high. Buy pressure at 67.5% over the past 24 hours and accelerating holder growth from 2,042 to 5,496 over 31 days reinforce near-term bullish momentum. The immediate resistance at $0.008044 is the next logical test; a clean break would open price discovery territory.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 90-day return of +29,252.6% and a holder base that has grown 47% in 30 days signal sustained demand accumulation rather than a single-day pump. With 54.78% of supply permanently burned and only ~0.76% of supply held by identifiable individual whales, the float is structurally tight, which amplifies upside moves if buying continues. However, the 48.4% daily volatility means sharp mean-reversion drawdowns are equally probable within any broader uptrend.

Bullish Factors
  • +90-day price appreciation of +29,252.6% with the current price at 94% of the 90-day range high, indicating sustained structural demand rather than a single spike
  • +54.78% of total supply is held in a labelled burn address, permanently removing it from circulation and creating a structurally tight float that amplifies price moves
  • +Holder base grew from 2,042 to 5,496 over 31 days (+169%) with the trajectory described as accelerating, reflecting genuine new-wallet adoption
  • +24-hour buy/sell ratio of 67.5%/32.5% across 826 buy vs. 436 sell transactions shows clear net buying conviction over the period
  • +Smart money wallet 0x96c01c achieved +$7,465 realized PnL (+674%) over 65 trades, and 0x952bcd achieved +$6,289 (+475%) over 20 trades, confirming profitable active traders are still engaged
Bearish Factors
  • -The contract is unverified (Security Score 65/100), meaning the code has not been publicly audited and hidden mint, pause, or fee functions cannot be ruled out
  • -Daily volatility of 48.4% (standard deviation of daily returns) means a 40-50% single-day drawdown is statistically within one standard deviation of normal behavior
  • -Smart money wallet 0x16329d lost $6,545 (-93%) over 37 trades and 0xf83206 lost $2,648 (-62%) over 82 trades, showing that active traders on the wrong side face near-total loss
  • -No project description, no social links, and a Chinese-language token name with no verifiable utility make fundamental valuation impossible and exit liquidity dependent entirely on speculative momentum
  • -The PinkSale contract holds 23.74% of supply; while classified as a protocol contract, any vesting unlock or liquidity event from that position could introduce significant sell pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

羊头 call history

Full track record →
Jul 26bullish
24h+5.8%
7d+75.4%
30d+29.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xbc11...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Unverified smart contract with no public source code — owner-privileged functions enabling rug-pull mechanics (mint, blacklist, fee drain) cannot be excluded, representing existential capital risk
•Extreme daily volatility of 48.4% combined with shallow liquidity ($254,617) means a moderate sell event could trigger a cascade that moves price 30-50% in minutes with no meaningful support until the $0.00001502 major support level
•Complete absence of project documentation, team identity, and social presence makes it impossible to assess whether the token has any sustainable value driver beyond speculative momentum, which can reverse without warning

Trading Insight

bullish

The 24-hour trading session shows clear buy-side dominance with 826 buy transactions versus 436 sells and $70,110 in buy volume against $33,703 in sell volume, a 2:1 buy-to-sell volume ratio. However, the 4-hour and 1-hour windows show near-parity between buyers and sellers (99 buys vs. 96 sells in 4h; 65 vs. 64 in 1h), suggesting the early-session momentum is fading into equilibrium at current price levels near resistance.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The daily OHLC series shows a clear step-change acceleration: closes moved from $0.001404 at the start of the visible window to $0.007542 at the most recent close, with the sharpest leg occurring in the last two sessions ($0.003847 → $0.007477 → $0.007542). The 7-day gain of +253% and 30-day gain of +1,318.8% confirm both short- and medium-term uptrends are intact, though the 48.4% daily volatility means individual sessions can produce violent reversals within the broader trend.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Price sitting at 94% of the 90-day range high ($0.008044) after a +29,252.6% 90-day move and a +25.7% single 4-hour candle places momentum firmly in overbought territory by any standard measure. The convergence of buy and sell transactions in the most recent hourly data reinforces that buying pressure is losing its edge at current levels.

Volume Analysis

Buy 67.5%Sell 32.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The 24-hour buy volume of $70,110 against $33,703 in sell volume represents a healthy 2:1 buy-to-sell ratio, but the intraday deceleration visible in the 4-hour and 1-hour transaction parity suggests the volume surge is concentrated earlier in the session. Total 24-hour volume of approximately $103,813 against $254,617 in liquidity represents a 40.8% liquidity turnover ratio — high, indicating active price discovery but also elevated slippage risk for larger orders.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close series shows a base-building phase ($0.001404–$0.002137), a first leg up ($0.004306), a consolidation/pullback ($0.003601–$0.003847), and then a sharp breakout to new highs ($0.007477–$0.007542) in the final two sessions.

This two-leg structure with a consolidation between legs is characteristic of sustained momentum rather than a single-session pump. However, the second leg has brought price to within 6.6% of the 90-day high ($0.008044), and without a new catalyst, resistance at that level is likely to produce at least a short-term pause or pullback.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.007479
Major$0.00001502
Resistance
Immediate$0.008044
Major$0.008044

The immediate support at $0.007479 is the most recent swing low from the OHLC data and sits just 0.8% below current price — an extremely thin cushion that makes stop-loss placement difficult without accepting significant gap risk. The immediate and major resistance both converge at $0.008044, the 90-day range high; a confirmed close above this level would represent a breakout into price discovery with no historical overhead supply. The major support at $0.00001502 reflects the 90-day range low and is effectively a worst-case scenario floor, not a near-term trading level.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders6,704
24h Change+473
Growth Rate+7.1%

Adding 473 net new holders in a single day (+7.1%) on top of a 31-day trajectory that grew the base from 2,042 to 5,496 wallets signals genuine demand expansion. The accelerating growth classification means the rate of new wallet additions is increasing, not plateauing — a structurally positive signal for sustained price support, though it also means more potential sellers entering the ecosystem.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders83%
Top 100 Holders92%
Retail Holders8.0%
Concentration Risk:
Low

While the raw top-10 concentration of 83% appears alarming, proper classification reveals that 54.78% is in a burn address (permanently non-dumpable) and 23.74% is in a PinkSale protocol contract (not a discretionary seller). The three individual whales in the top 10 hold a combined 0.76% of supply. Retail holds ~8% of supply across the remaining holder base. Concentration risk from dumpable individual wallets is therefore low, though the PinkSale contract's 23.74% position warrants monitoring for any vesting or unlock events.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swap was a $2,040 buy by wallet 0x17ba81, followed by a $1,339 sell by 0x63602f and two sells totaling $1,090 by 0xd1e891. The largest single transaction is a modest $2,040 buy, indicating no single whale is moving the market with outsized orders.

  • •BUY $2,040 by 0x17ba81 — the largest single recent swap, representing a modest accumulation at current price levels
  • •SELL $1,339 by 0x63602f and two sells totaling $1,090 by 0xd1e891 — the same wallet executing multiple sells suggests measured profit-taking rather than panic distribution

Recent notable trades are all sub-$2,100, which is small relative to $254,617 in liquidity. The mixed buy/sell pattern among recent large transactions is consistent with normal price discovery rather than coordinated whale dumping or accumulation. The absence of any multi-thousand-dollar sell orders is a mild positive for near-term price stability.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Mixed — two wallets show strong realized gains (0x96c01c: +$7,465/+674% over 65 trades; 0x952bcd: +$6,289/+475% over 20 trades) while two show near-total losses (0x16329d: -$6,545/-93% over 37 trades; 0xf83206: -$2,648/-62% over 82 trades).

The smart money cohort is deeply bifurcated: the two profitable wallets have realized gains of +674% and +475% respectively, suggesting they entered early and have been actively trading. However, the two loss-making wallets lost 93% and 62% of their capital, indicating that timing and direction matter enormously in this token. The profitable wallets' continued activity (65 and 20 trades respectively) suggests they have not fully exited, which is a mild bullish signal, but their accumulated gains also represent latent profit-taking pressure.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$254,617
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $254,617 in total liquidity against a $7.54 million market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 3.4% — shallow by any standard. A $103,813 single-day trading volume represents 40.8% of the liquidity pool turning over in 24 hours, which creates meaningful slippage for orders above a few thousand dollars. Any position size above approximately $5,000–$10,000 would likely move the price materially, making this token unsuitable for institutional-scale entries or exits.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 48.4% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extreme — this implies a typical daily move of nearly half the token's value in either direction. The 90-day range spans from $0.00001502 to $0.008044, a 535x range, confirming that catastrophic drawdowns are part of this token's historical behavior.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $254,617 against a $7.54 million market cap yields a 3.4% liquidity ratio. Orders above $5,000–$10,000 will incur material slippage, and a coordinated sell event could drain the pool rapidly given the 40.8% daily volume-to-liquidity turnover rate.

Concentration
Low

Despite 83% of supply in the top 10 holders, 54.78% is permanently burned and 23.74% is in a PinkSale protocol contract. Individual whale wallets in the top 10 hold a combined 0.76% of supply, making discretionary whale dumping risk low. The PinkSale position is the primary concentration uncertainty.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not publicly available), preventing independent audit of owner-privileged functions. A security score of 65/100 is below the threshold typically considered safe for significant capital allocation. Hidden mint, fee, or blacklist functions cannot be ruled out.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain token with no verifiable jurisdiction, team identity, or registered entity, this token operates in a regulatory gray zone. Increased scrutiny of unregistered token offerings in major jurisdictions could affect trading access or exchange listings.

Key Risks

  • •Unverified smart contract with no public source code — owner-privileged functions enabling rug-pull mechanics (mint, blacklist, fee drain) cannot be excluded, representing existential capital risk
  • •Extreme daily volatility of 48.4% combined with shallow liquidity ($254,617) means a moderate sell event could trigger a cascade that moves price 30-50% in minutes with no meaningful support until the $0.00001502 major support level
  • •Complete absence of project documentation, team identity, and social presence makes it impossible to assess whether the token has any sustainable value driver beyond speculative momentum, which can reverse without warning

Mitigating Factors

  • •54.78% of supply is permanently burned and on-chain verifiable, creating structural float scarcity that provides a genuine demand amplification mechanism
  • •Holder base growth of +47% in 30 days with an accelerating trajectory suggests distributed adoption rather than a single coordinated pump, reducing the probability of a single-actor exit event

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire position, use strict position sizing (small percentage of portfolio), and actively monitor on-chain activity. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those without crypto trading experience, or anyone allocating capital they cannot afford to lose entirely.

The investment thesis for this token is purely momentum-driven: a structurally tight float (54.78% burned), accelerating holder growth, and a +29,252.6% 90-day trend create conditions where incremental buying demand has outsized price impact. However, the complete absence of verifiable fundamentals, an unverified contract, and extreme volatility mean the thesis collapses entirely if momentum reverses.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token breaks above the $0.008044 90-day range high on sustained volume, entering price discovery territory. Continued holder growth beyond 6,704 wallets and the tight effective float (450M tokens) amplify each new buyer's price impact. Smart money wallets with unrealized gains continue holding rather than distributing, and the PinkSale contract's 23.74% remains locked, preventing supply shock.

  • +Breakout above $0.008044 resistance with volume confirmation triggering momentum-chasing buying from new participants
  • +Sustained holder growth trajectory maintaining the 29-47% monthly growth rate seen over the past 30 days
Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.006000–$0.008044 range as the momentum surge from the recent 4-hour +25.7% move digests. Holder growth continues at a moderate pace, and the token trades as a high-volatility speculative asset without a confirmed fundamental catalyst. The 48.4% daily volatility produces multiple 20-40% swings in both directions within this range over the next 30-90 days.

  • •The PinkSale contract's 23.74% position remains locked or is distributed gradually rather than in a single event
  • •No adverse smart contract event occurs and the token continues trading on its current exchange without delisting or liquidity removal
Bear Case
Medium

Price fails to break $0.008044 resistance and reverses sharply given the overbought momentum state. The PinkSale contract's 23.74% position unlocks or is redistributed, flooding the market with supply. Smart money wallets with +474-674% unrealized gains begin systematic profit-taking, and the shallow $254,617 liquidity pool cannot absorb the sell pressure, triggering a cascade toward the $0.003601–$0.003847 consolidation zone or lower.

  • -Profit-taking by smart money wallets holding +474% to +674% unrealized gains into the resistance zone at $0.008044
  • -Any adverse event related to the unverified contract (owner action, exploit, or PinkSale unlock) triggering rapid holder exit through shallow liquidity

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 26, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.007542122464130618
Market Cap$7.54M
24h Volume$103.8K
Holders6,704
Liquidity$254.6K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (90-day window)
Smart contract security assessment
Smart money realized PnL data
Notable recent on-chain swap data
31-day holder trajectory timeseries

Limitations

  • •The smart contract is unverified — source code analysis is unavailable, making it impossible to assess owner-privileged functions, fee structures, or potential exploit vectors with certainty
  • •No project documentation, whitepaper, team identity, or social presence exists to support fundamental valuation; all analysis is based purely on on-chain mechanics and price history
  • •The token name and symbol contain Chinese characters with no English translation provided in the data, limiting contextual interpretation of the project's stated purpose

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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