蝴蝶宝藏

蝴蝶宝藏 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶宝藏BNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 10, 2026

Price

$0.001009

+46.51% 24h

Contract

Live
0x8b99e444b818d5ca55427501584b15aadd027777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

962

Market cap

$536.28K

Liquidity

$51.02K

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蝴蝶宝藏: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-10 07:15 UTC

Holder addresses

962

Top 10 supply share

4.54%

Reported liquidity

$51,022.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶宝藏 ownership?
As of 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 4.54% of supply. It reports 962 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶宝藏?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $63,505.00 in buys and $54,695.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶宝藏 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +23.04%, from $41,463.62 (2026-10-09 08:00 UTC) to $51,017.58 (2026-10-10 07:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-09 08:00 UTC$41,463.62
2026-10-09 09:00 UTC$41,671.30
2026-10-09 10:00 UTC$41,863.67
2026-10-09 11:00 UTC$41,380.20
2026-10-09 12:00 UTC$40,974.51
2026-10-09 13:00 UTC$40,751.29
2026-10-09 14:00 UTC$40,882.82
2026-10-09 15:00 UTC$40,780.49
2026-10-09 16:00 UTC$41,037.77
2026-10-09 17:00 UTC$40,862.55
2026-10-09 18:00 UTC$40,859.87
2026-10-09 19:00 UTC$40,860.53
2026-10-09 21:00 UTC$40,865.72
2026-10-09 22:00 UTC$40,890.53
2026-10-10 00:00 UTC$40,945.86
2026-10-10 01:00 UTC$40,671.32
2026-10-10 02:00 UTC$40,726.37
2026-10-10 03:00 UTC$38,899.32
2026-10-10 04:00 UTC$38,730.31
2026-10-10 05:00 UTC$40,174.20
2026-10-10 06:00 UTC$52,218.57
2026-10-10 07:00 UTC$51,017.58

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 10, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$536.28K

24h Volume

$118.20K

Liquidity

$51.02K

FDV

—

Holders

962

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

蝴蝶宝藏 is a BNB Chain meme token launched on the Flap platform and traded on PancakeSwap. It is 3.5 months old, with a market cap of $536,276 and $51,022 in liquidity. Its creator-supplied description promises a nightly lottery funded by a 5% slippage and a ticket-burn mechanism. Price has risen enormously since launch but fell 20.9% over the last 7 days.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 10, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Claimed lottery-style 'treasure' mechanic: 5% of trade slippage goes into a prize pool, with nightly draws and 120 winners
  • Claimed deflationary ticket system: 1,000 tokens per ticket, burned in full
  • Claimed 20% of winnings auto-bought and burned on claim (all mechanics are unverified, creator-supplied claims)

蝴蝶宝藏 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The 7-day change is -20.9%. Daily closes peaked at $0.001275 and later dipped to $0.0006327 before the latest close of $0.001009, so the rebound has not yet reclaimed that peak. The +46.5% 24h move is a snapshot and is not the basis of this call. Price is sitting just under immediate resistance at $0.001056, where a failed breakout would favor a retest of support.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30d (+10977%) and 90d (+9071%) gains come from a near-zero launch base ($0.000006051 low) and are not a sustainable run-rate. The 7d trend has turned negative, the $0.001647 high has not been retested, and daily volatility is 195.3%. Meme-style tokens with this profile tend to fade as the initial attention cycle ends, unless participation keeps growing.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions outnumbered sells 1,141 to 184 over 24h, with 269 unique buyers against 132 unique sellers
  • Price at $0.001009 sits at 61% of the 91-day range and is still far above the early-launch lows
  • Top-10 holders hold only 4.5% of supply across 962 holders, which suggests broad dispersion at the aggregate level

Bearish Factors

  • The 7-day return is -20.9% and the $0.001647 high was not retested
  • Average sell size (~$297) is much larger than average buy size (~$55), so sell volume is almost as high as buy volume (46.3% vs 53.7%) despite far fewer sell transactions
  • Liquidity of $51,022 is only about 9.5% of the $536K market cap, which makes price highly sensitive to exits
  • Daily volatility of 195.3% implies large drawdowns are routine

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶宝藏 call history

Full track record →

Oct 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x8b99...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme volatility with a 7d drawdown of 20.9% after a parabolic launch
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap, with a risk of slippage and difficult exits
  • Lottery and burn mechanics are unverified, creator-supplied claims and depend on continued trading volume
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and contract security could not be inspected

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell volume are nearly balanced ($63.5K vs $54.7K), so net buying is modest. Transaction counts favor buyers heavily, but the many small buys are offset by fewer, larger sells. Short-term activity is accelerating, with 883 buys in the last hour.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The 7d change of -20.9% points to a short-term downtrend after the $0.001275 daily-close peak. Over roughly the last two weeks, closes have oscillated between $0.0006327 and $0.001275, which looks like a consolidation after the parabolic launch phase.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Price sits at 61% of the 91-day range, so it is neither extremely high nor low within the range. Intraday momentum is positive (+65.5% over 4h), but this is a short-window move in a very volatile asset and is not decisive.

Volume Analysis

Buy

53.7%

Sell

46.3%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Of 1,141 buys in 24h, 1,070 occurred in the last 4h and 883 in the last hour, so activity is accelerating. Buy volume is $63.5K against $54.7K of sells.

Recent Price Action

A parabolic launch run to roughly $0.001647, then a consolidation with lower highs and a sharp dip to $0.0006327 before a rebound to $0.001009.

Rebounds into prior resistance after a lower high often stall unless volume expands. A close above $0.001056 would be the first sign of strength.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0009565

Major support

$0.000006051

Immediate resistance

$0.001056

Major resistance

$0.001647

Price is trading between immediate support and resistance, a narrow band. The major support is the launch-phase low, so a break below the immediate support has no nearby cushion until much lower levels. The major resistance is the 91-day high.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility is 195.3%, and price moved +65.5% in 4h and -20.9% over 7d.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $51,022 of liquidity against a $536K market cap means larger orders can move price a lot, and exits may be costly.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top-10 holders own 4.5% of supply at the aggregate level, but wallets are unclassified and per-wallet data is unavailable.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    A ticket-and-prize mechanic funded by trading fees may resemble a lottery, which some jurisdictions regulate. This is a general consideration and not a legal finding.

Key Risks

  • Extreme volatility with a 7d drawdown of 20.9% after a parabolic launch
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap, with a risk of slippage and difficult exits
  • Lottery and burn mechanics are unverified, creator-supplied claims and depend on continued trading volume
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and contract security could not be inspected

Mitigating Factors

  • Low aggregate top-10 concentration (4.5%)
  • Token has traded for 3.5 months with 962 holders

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, risk-tolerant traders who can afford to lose their entire position. It is not suitable for conservative or long-term investors.

This is a speculative meme token with a lottery-style narrative. The trend is negative on a 7-day view, and unverified mechanics and thin liquidity make risk very high.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Lottery participation grows, burn activity builds, and price breaks above $0.001647 on rising liquidity.

  • Sustained nightly participation and buy-backs
  • Liquidity growth that supports larger volume

Base Case

Price remains volatile and range-bound around $0.0006 to $0.0013, with a bias toward lower highs.

  • Volume remains driven by speculative bursts
  • Liquidity stays thin relative to market cap

Bear Case

Medium probability

Attention fades, prize pools shrink, and price loses $0.0009565 and retraces toward the mid-range closes near $0.0006327 or lower.

  • Larger sellers exiting into thin liquidity
  • Declining trading volume that reduces lottery appeal

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 10, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-10 07:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.00100892774624

Market Cap

$536.3K

24h Volume

$118.2K

Holders

962

Liquidity

$51,022.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Smart-money, token genesis and deployer forensics were unavailable
  • Project mechanics come from the creator's own description and are not independently verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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