ALOY

ALOY Price Today & AI Analysis

ALOYBNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 28, 2026

Price

$0.001372

+1373.60% 24h

Contract

Live
0x883aada3aff161b6aa8e033d58b66a1458ed7777

Holders

665

Market cap

$1.21M

Liquidity

$62.77K

At a $10M market cap, $ALOY would be $0.0113 (8.26x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ALOY a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 28

Watch insiders

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, but wallets from the launch still hold 74% of the supply.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through, minus a 4% tax

Buy tax

3%

Sell tax

4%

Launch wallets hold

74%7 snipers, 5 insiders still holding

Creator holds

0.05%
  • Wallets linked to the creator hold a large share.
  • Wallets linked to the creator have sold.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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ALOY: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-28 07:15 UTC

Holder addresses

641

Top 10 supply share

79.31%

Reported liquidity

$60,041.00
How concentrated is ALOY ownership?
As of 2026-10-28 07:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 79.31% of supply. It reports 641 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling ALOY?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-28 07:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $236,437.00 in buys and $191,282.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ALOY liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -7.94%, from $65,222.00 (2026-10-28 06:00 UTC) to $60,041.00 (2026-10-28 07:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-28 07:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-28 06:00 UTC$65,222.00
2026-10-28 07:00 UTC$60,041.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 28, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.15M

24h Volume

$427.72K

Liquidity

$60.04K

FDV

—

Holders

641

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

ALOY is a BNB Chain meme-style community token trading on PancakeSwap, 1 hour old, at $0.0013005 with a $1.15M market cap and $60,041 liquidity. It jumped about 1,297% in its first hour on 2,490 transactions. Unhosted's scam check returns NEUTRAL (15/100) with insider-heavy and insider-dumped warnings, and the test sell succeeded with 3% buy and 4% sell taxes. The structure is highly speculative and dominated by launch-linked wallets.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 28, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Community-alliance narrative with claimed offline offices and 'partner' networks, mostly unverified in the data
  • Declared slippage mechanism: 3% buy, 4% sell, confirmed by the test trade
  • Claimed allocation of 30% incentives, 30% burn and 40% LP dividends, not independently verifiable here

ALOY AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

ALOY is 1 hour old, and the entire +1,296.79% move is the token's first-hour price discovery, not a trend. With no OHLC history, the call rests on structure: 73.95% of supply sits in 5 launch-linked insider wallets and the scam check reports creator-linked wallets have already sold. A thin $60,041 liquidity pool against a $1.15M market cap makes a sharp retracement more likely than continuation, and the -4.61% 5-minute move already hints at fading momentum.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Medium-term survival depends on whether insider holders keep their supply untouched and whether liquidity grows. The 'buy 3%, sell 4%' slippage mechanism and the stated burn/dividend features are unverified marketing claims, and the 30-90 day outlook leans bearish given the extreme insider share and the very short history.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure is 55.3% ($236,437 buys vs $191,282 sells), with 876 unique buyers against 406 unique sellers in the first hour.
  • Unhosted's test trade showed a sell succeeded, with taxes of 3% on buys and 4% on sells, so the token was sellable at the time of the test.
  • The project describes an offline community network and a 30% burn / 30% incentive / 40% LP dividend design, which could support demand if actually implemented.

Bearish Factors

  • Unhosted's scam check flags insider-heavy holdings: 5 insider wallets hold 73.95% of supply, and top-10 holders hold 79.3%.
  • The scam check also reports that wallets linked to the creator have sold, a sign that early supply is already being distributed.
  • Liquidity of $60,041 is about 5% of the $1,147,523 market cap, so large sells could move price sharply.
  • A +1,296.79% first-hour move is a classic launch spike with no history to indicate where a stable price might form.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ALOY call history

Full track record →

Oct 28bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x883a...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Insider wallets hold 73.95% of supply, and a coordinated exit could collapse price against thin liquidity.
  • Creator-linked wallets have already sold, per Unhosted's scam check.
  • First-hour +1,296.79% spike makes a sharp reversal a realistic outcome.
  • Marketing claims (burn, dividends, offline offices) are unverified.

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy volume modestly exceeds sell volume at 55.3% versus 44.7%, but this is a first-hour window where launch hype dominates. The ratio is not a reliable signal this early, especially with creator-linked wallets already selling.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

No daily price history exists, so trend classification is not meaningful. The only data is a single first-hour spike of +1,296.79%, followed by a -4.61% 5-minute dip.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A near 13x first-hour gain is extreme by any measure, and no RSI or other indicators can be computed without history. Qualitatively, momentum is stretched and prone to mean reversion.

Volume Analysis

Buy

55.3%

Sell

44.7%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume history is unavailable because all windows show identical first-hour figures. Turnover of about $427,719 against $60,041 liquidity is very high, which signals speculative activity.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike with a small pullback in the last 5 minutes.

Vertical first-hour moves on thin liquidity often reflect price discovery and are frequently followed by sharp retracements, though outcomes vary.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A +1,296.79% first-hour move and a -4.61% 5-minute reversal show extreme volatility with no price history to anchor it.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $60,041 liquidity versus a $1.15M market cap means large sells can cause heavy slippage on top of the 4% sell tax.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders own 79.3%, and 5 insider wallets hold 73.95% per Unhosted's scam check, with creator-linked wallets already selling.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Marketing built around 'partners' and dividend-like LP rewards across a large offline network could attract regulatory scrutiny in some jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Insider wallets hold 73.95% of supply, and a coordinated exit could collapse price against thin liquidity.
  • Creator-linked wallets have already sold, per Unhosted's scam check.
  • First-hour +1,296.79% spike makes a sharp reversal a realistic outcome.
  • Marketing claims (burn, dividends, offline offices) are unverified.

Mitigating Factors

  • Test sell succeeded with sub-10% taxes
  • Creator wallet holds only 0.05% and snipers just 0.19%

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who can afford a total loss. Not appropriate for conservative investors.

ALOY is a one-hour-old community meme token with strong early buying but severe insider concentration and thin liquidity. The risk profile outweighs the evidence for sustained demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community marketing sustains buying, liquidity deepens and insiders hold, allowing price to stabilize after the launch spike.

  • Continued new buyers beyond the first hour
  • Insider wallets keeping positions untouched

Base Case

Volatile, declining price as launch momentum fades and early participants take profits, with liquidity remaining thin.

  • Launch hype decays without verified utility
  • Insider supply remains an overhang on price

Bear Case

High probability

Insider wallets distribute into thin liquidity, triggering a steep drawdown as buyers exit.

  • 73.95% insider supply with creator-linked wallets already selling
  • Liquidity of only $60,041 against a $1.15M market cap

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 28, 2026, 07:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-28 07:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.00130050653061

Market Cap

$1.15M

24h Volume

$427.7K

Holders

641

Liquidity

$60,041.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment, a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • No OHLC history exists because the token is only 1 hour old, so key levels and price targets are omitted
  • Smart-money, deployer and launch-transfer forensics were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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