金蝶圣甲

金蝶圣甲 Price Today & AI Analysis

金蝶圣甲BNB ChainAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

Price

$0.0386

-4.75% 24h

Contract

Live
0x4f0c550bfe484f957d5c7dd26f9a630a92a17777

Holders

17.7K

Market cap

$38.58M

Liquidity

$320.80K

At a $100M market cap, $金蝶圣甲 would be $0.1000 (2.59x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is 金蝶圣甲 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 16

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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金蝶圣甲: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 13:00 UTC

Holder addresses

1,510

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$478,410.57
How concentrated is 金蝶圣甲 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,510 addresses (2026-07-18 13:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 金蝶圣甲?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 金蝶圣甲 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-18 13:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $478,410.57. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 13:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 18, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC

Market Cap

$30.54M

24h Volume

$1.70M

Liquidity

$478.41K

FDV

—

Holders

1,510

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

金蝶圣甲 is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence. Its genesis structure transferred 80% of the 1 billion token supply directly to a single wallet (0x267d20…) and 20% to another (0x3e8683…), both first active on launch day — a pattern consistent with coordinated insider pre-allocation. Despite a 1,665% price surge and $1.7M in 24-hour trading volume, the token's risk profile is extreme: 96.1% of supply is dumpable, the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet, and no fundamental value proposition has been disclosed. Retail participants account for only ~2% of supply.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 18, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme supply concentration: a single insider wallet controls 80% of all tokens, received via direct transfer at genesis with no market purchase
  • Launched 1 hour ago with no contract verification, no description, and no social links — complete information opacity
  • Deployer wallet funded by an unlabelled source with zero prior deployments, matching a disposable-deployer rug-risk pattern

金蝶圣甲 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already surged 1,665% since launch — a classic pump pattern driven by insider pre-allocation rather than organic price discovery. With 80% of supply held by a single wallet that received its position via direct transfer at genesis (not a market buy), the risk of a catastrophic dump is extreme. The 56.7% buy pressure from retail participants is insufficient to absorb a coordinated exit by the top holder.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Without a verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no identifiable utility, there is no fundamental basis for sustained price appreciation over 30–90 days. The genesis structure — where 80% of supply was transferred directly to a single wallet at launch — is a textbook setup for a rug pull or coordinated exit. Unless the top whale wallet is locked or burned (no evidence of this), medium-term price survival is highly unlikely.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong initial retail demand: 1,548 unique buyers and 2,887 buy transactions within the first hour, indicating broad early interest
  • Net positive trading flow: $967,003 in buy volume versus $737,374 in sell volume (56.7% buy pressure) shows more capital entering than exiting so far
  • Holder base grew from 5 to 1,510 within 1 hour, reflecting rapid organic adoption at the retail level

Bearish Factors

  • Single wallet (0x267d20…) holds 80% of total supply, received via direct transfer at genesis — not a market buy — representing a dumpable position worth ~$24.4M at current price
  • Contract is unverified, there is no project description, no social links, and no stated utility — the token is entirely opaque to investors
  • All three top whale wallets (80%, 12.75%, 1.52%) were first active on 2026-07-18, the same day as launch, strongly suggesting coordinated insider/sybil allocation
  • Deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions — a disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • 96.1% of supply is classified as dumpable (held by individual wallets with no lock or protocol constraint), meaning virtually the entire float can be sold at any time

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

金蝶圣甲 call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bearish
24h-11.3%
7d+31.6%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x4f0c...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: the 80% holder (0x267d20…) received 800 million tokens via direct transfer at genesis, has never executed a DEX swap, and can sell the entire position at any time against a $478K liquidity pool — a single exit would likely reduce the price to near zero
  • Unverified contract: without source code verification, hidden functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation) cannot be excluded, and any such function could be triggered without warning
  • Zero fundamental value: no project description, no utility, no team disclosure, no social presence, and no roadmap means there is no non-speculative reason to hold this token beyond momentum trading

Trading Insight

neutral

Retail sentiment appears superficially bullish with 56.7% buy pressure and 1,548 unique buyers, but this must be read against the backdrop of a 1,665% launch pump and overwhelming insider supply concentration. The notable recent trades are all small (largest is a $1,492 sell), indicating that the dominant whale positions have not yet moved — the real sentiment test will come when the 80% holder decides to act.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term price action shows a violent uptrend — a 1,665% move in one hour — but this is entirely a launch pump with no OHLC history to establish legitimate trend structure. Medium-term, the structural conditions (unverified contract, 96.1% dumpable supply, no fundamentals) strongly favor a reversion. Launch pumps of this magnitude on insider-concentrated tokens historically resolve to the downside once early retail momentum fades.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 1,665% gain in a single hour on a token with no verified contract or utility is by any measure an extreme overbought condition. There are no RSI or MACD readings available given the absence of OHLC history, but the magnitude of the move relative to the token's age and fundamentals implies severe overextension.

Volume Analysis

Buy

56.7%

Sell

43.3%

Volume Trend

Increasing

All volume was generated in the first hour of trading, making trend assessment impossible. The $1.7M combined volume in 60 minutes is high relative to the $478,410 liquidity pool, implying significant price impact per trade and elevated slippage risk for larger exits.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch pump: price rose 1,665% within the first hour of trading from a near-zero base, driven entirely by retail market buys against a pre-allocated insider supply.

Vertical launch pumps of this scale on tokens with concentrated insider pre-allocation are a well-documented precursor to sharp reversals. The pattern indicates price is not reflecting organic value discovery but rather the mechanics of a thin liquidity pool being hit by retail buy orders.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

97/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 1,665% price move in 1 hour on a token with no OHLC history and no fundamental anchor represents extreme volatility. The shallow liquidity pool amplifies price swings in both directions.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The $478K liquidity pool against a $30.5M market cap (1.6% ratio) means large exits will cause severe slippage. The 80% whale's position alone is worth ~$24.4M — 51x the available liquidity.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    Tokens with no disclosed issuer, no utility, no verified contract, and a launch structure consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme face elevated regulatory scrutiny in most jurisdictions. Participants may have limited legal recourse in the event of a rug pull.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: the 80% holder (0x267d20…) received 800 million tokens via direct transfer at genesis, has never executed a DEX swap, and can sell the entire position at any time against a $478K liquidity pool — a single exit would likely reduce the price to near zero
  • Unverified contract: without source code verification, hidden functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation) cannot be excluded, and any such function could be triggered without warning
  • Zero fundamental value: no project description, no utility, no team disclosure, no social presence, and no roadmap means there is no non-speculative reason to hold this token beyond momentum trading

Mitigating Factors

  • Deployer wallet is 747 days old (first active 2024-07-01), suggesting it is not a freshly created throwaway — though this does not eliminate rug risk
  • Active retail trading with 1,548 unique buyers and net positive inflow of ~$229K indicates genuine market interest exists, which could sustain short-term price action if insider wallets remain dormant

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced traders who fully understand the risks of newly launched, unverified tokens with extreme insider concentration, are prepared to lose their entire investment, and are actively monitoring on-chain activity for signs of insider selling. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their position.

The investment thesis for 金蝶圣甲 is almost entirely speculative and structurally unfavorable. The token's genesis design — with 80% of supply pre-allocated to a single insider wallet, an unverified contract, and no disclosed utility — creates a risk/reward profile that is asymmetrically negative for retail participants. The only viable bull case depends on insider wallets remaining dormant long enough for momentum to sustain the price.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Insider wallets (particularly the 80% holder) remain dormant for an extended period, retail momentum continues to drive buying, and the project team (if one exists) discloses a legitimate use case and verifies the contract — allowing the token to establish a genuine community and price floor.

  • Continued retail buying momentum from the 1,548+ unique buyers already engaged
  • Voluntary insider supply lock or burn by the 80% whale, which would dramatically reduce dump risk

Base Case

The token experiences a gradual price decline as early retail buyers take profits and the initial launch momentum fades, with the price stabilizing at a fraction of its launch-pump high before eventually losing liquidity as trading interest dissipates — unless a rug pull accelerates the decline.

  • Insider wallets do not immediately dump but gradually reduce positions over days to weeks
  • No legitimate project fundamentals emerge to provide a non-speculative price floor

Bear Case

High probability

The 80% insider wallet (0x267d20…) begins selling its 800 million token position against the $478K liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of retail stop-losses and panic selling that collapses the price by 90%+ within hours. This is the base expectation for tokens with this genesis structure.

  • 96.1% dumpable supply with no on-chain lock or vesting — insiders face zero structural barrier to exiting
  • Unverified contract and zero disclosed fundamentals provide no reason for insiders to hold long-term

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 18, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 13:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.030674394318083439

Market Cap

$30.54M

24h Volume

$1.70M

Holders

1,510

Liquidity

$478,410.57

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)Token genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral analysisSmart contract metadata

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history exists (token is 1 hour old), making technical analysis and price target computation impossible
  • Unverified smart contract prevents analysis of tokenomics mechanics, fee structures, or hidden functions
  • No project description, team disclosure, or social presence means fundamental analysis is based entirely on on-chain structural signals
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. This token exhibits multiple characteristics associated with high-risk speculative launches including extreme supply concentration, an unverified contract, and no disclosed fundamentals. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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