TOSHI

Toshi Price Today & AI Analysis

TOSHI
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 28, 2026

$0.000128

-3.19%24h
LiveContract:0x6a2608dabe09bc1128eec7275b92dfb939d5db3fChain:BNB ChainHolders:18.6KMarket cap:$565.16KLiquidity:$96.74K

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Ask Unhosted AI about TOSHI

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Apr 28, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC
Market Cap

$76.82M

24h Volume

$60.76K

Liquidity

$533.30K

FDV

—

Holders

17.5K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Toshi is a meme token on the Base chain, inspired by Coinbase co-founder Brian Armstrong's cat and Bitcoin's Satoshi Nakamoto, with a current price of $0.0001826 and a market cap of $76.8M despite an FDV of $600,630, highlighting potential data discrepancies. It operates in the volatile memecoin category with strong social presence but faces risks from high holder concentration and low retail participation. Currently, it exhibits stable trading with slight buy dominance, positioning it as a speculative asset in the meme ecosystem.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Unique naming tying into crypto history and Coinbase lore
Deployment on Base chain for low-fee transactions
Community-driven meme appeal with social links

Toshi AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

Toshi shows mild positive price momentum with a 0.83% increase over 24 hours and buy pressure at 51.4%, indicating slight accumulation amid stable trading volumes. However, the negligible holder growth and high supply concentration could cap upside if selling pressure increases. Overall, short-term price action suggests potential for modest gains if buying continues.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

In the medium term, Toshi's performance as a meme token will likely hinge on community engagement and broader market sentiment, with limited fundamental drivers. Positive catalysts could drive hype-based rallies, but high concentration risks persistent volatility. Expect sideways trading unless external factors like Base chain adoption boost visibility.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure at 51.4% exceeding sell pressure, indicating net inflow
  • +Positive 24-hour price change of 0.83% with increasing 4-hour gains of 0.66%
Bearish Factors
  • -Extremely high supply concentration with top 10 holders owning 97%, risking dumps
  • -Minimal holder growth at 0.023% in 24 hours, suggesting limited new interest

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x6a26...db3f
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
•Data inconsistencies between market cap and FDV undermine reliability
•Lack of utility exposes it to fading meme hype

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment leans bullish with buy pressure at 51.4% slightly outweighing sells, reflecting modest accumulation. Trading patterns show balanced activity with more buys than sells in recent hours, but overall volumes are low at $60,759 total in 24 hours. This suggests cautious optimism among traders, potentially driven by meme hype.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Neutral
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

Short-term trend is sideways with minimal price fluctuation (0% in 5 minutes, 0.83% in 24 hours), reflecting consolidation after minor gains. Medium-term remains sideways due to low holder growth and stable volumes, lacking strong directional momentum. This pattern is common in meme tokens awaiting external catalysts.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Momentum is neutral as price changes are small and incremental, with no signs of overbought conditions from rapid rallies or oversold from dumps, based on the gradual 0.66% 4-hour increase.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.4%Sell 48.6%

Volume Trend: Stable

Volume trends are stable with 24-hour total at $60,759 and a buy/sell split showing consistent but low activity, which may indicate waning interest unless catalyzed by news.

Recent Price Action

Consolidation with minor upward drift

This pattern typically indicates accumulation phases in low-volume assets, potentially leading to breakouts if volume increases.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00018
Major$0.00017
Resistance
Immediate$0.00019
Major$0.00020

Immediate support at $0.00018 aligns with recent lows, providing a buffer against minor dips, while major support at $0.00017 could hold during sell-offs. Resistance levels at $0.00019 and $0.00020 may cap gains unless buy volume surges, significant for meme tokens prone to hype-driven breaks.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders17,483
24h Change+4
Growth Rate+0.023%

Holder trends show stability with minimal growth, suggesting the token is not attracting significant new users, which could limit long-term adoption but indicates retention among existing holders.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders97%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

The extreme concentration with top 100 holders owning 100% of supply and retail at ~0% poses critical risks of manipulation and illiquidity, as price could plummet on whale sells, far exceeding typical meme token standards where top 10 often hold 20-50%.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

Limited visible movements with stable transaction counts

  • •Balanced buy/sell in 24 hours with no dominant large trades
  • •Slight net buy from 321 buys vs 324 sells

Whale activity indicates holding patterns, as unique sellers (114) nearly match buyers (117), suggesting no mass distribution yet, which could support price but warns of potential dumps.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Early buyers via swaps and airdrops are likely still positioned, given low sell-off

Smart money behavior suggests low confidence in immediate upside, with high profit-taking risk due to concentration, implying potential for quick exits on positive news.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$533,297.47
Depth:
Moderate
Slippage Risk:
Medium

Liquidity at $533K provides moderate depth for a meme token, reducing extreme slippage for small trades but potentially high for larger ones, implying safer trading for retail but risks during volatility spikes.

Overall Risk:
High
75/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Meme tokens like Toshi are prone to extreme price swings based on sentiment, as seen in low volume and minor daily changes.

Liquidity
Medium

Liquidity of $533K supports moderate trading but could lead to slippage in high-volume scenarios.

Concentration
High

Top 10 holders own 97%, risking massive dumps and price manipulation.

Smart Contract
Low

Verified contract and 85/100 score indicate low exploit risk.

Regulatory
Medium

As a memecoin, it faces potential scrutiny in evolving crypto regulations, especially on Base.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
  • •Data inconsistencies between market cap and FDV undermine reliability
  • •Lack of utility exposes it to fading meme hype

Mitigating Factors

  • •Moderate liquidity provides some stability
  • •Active social presence for community support

Investor Suitability

Suitable for high-risk tolerant speculators interested in meme tokens, not for conservative investors

Toshi presents a speculative opportunity in the memecoin space, leveraging its unique narrative for potential hype-driven gains, but high risks from concentration and volatility temper expectations. Bull case relies on community growth, while bear case involves whale dumps. Base case anticipates sideways trading with occasional pumps.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Significant price rally driven by viral social media campaigns and Base ecosystem growth

  • +Increased holder growth beyond current 0.023%
  • +Broader memecoin market bull run
Base Case

Stable sideways movement with minor fluctuations around current levels

  • •Continued slight buy pressure
  • •No major market disruptions
Bear Case
High

Price decline due to whale profit-taking and fading interest

  • -Top holder sells given 97% concentration
  • -Low volume leading to liquidity dries

Analysis Details

GeneratedApr 28, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000182595389646260
Market Cap$76.82M
24h Volume$60.8K
Holders17,483
Liquidity$533.3K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data
Holder distribution analytics
Trading volume metrics
Smart contract analysis

Limitations

  • •Potential data inconsistencies (e.g., market cap vs FDV)
  • •Lack of long-term historical data for trends

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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