Sarira

舍利子Sarira Price Today & AI Analysis

Sarira
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

$0.052663

+1.90%24h
LiveContract:0x3764bd17684a89ac982fb656e6d0e70b74357777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.1KMarket cap:$2.66KLiquidity:$2.46K

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Ask Unhosted AI about Sarira

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 21, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$185.17K

24h Volume

$77.54K

Liquidity

$37.57K

FDV

—

Holders

1.3K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

舍利子Sarira (Sarira) is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 6 hours ago with a 1 billion token fixed supply, currently priced at $0.0001899 and a $185K market cap. The token has no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a security score of 49/100, placing it firmly in the speculative micro-cap category with significant rug-risk indicators. A single wallet received 48% of supply via a direct genesis transfer and has not executed any DEX swaps, representing the dominant near-term price risk. The launch-day 315% price spike, shallow $37.6K liquidity pool, and deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet collectively paint a high-risk profile that warrants extreme caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 21, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extreme insider concentration: one wallet received 480M tokens (48%) directly at genesis with zero market-buy history, an unusually large single-entity allocation even by micro-cap standards
Airdrop-dominant holder base: 608 of 1,325 holders (45.9%) received tokens for free, creating a structurally sell-biased holder distribution from day one
Deployer forensics show a disposable-deployer pattern: wallet funded by an unlabelled source with no prior contract deployments, first active 750 days ago but dormant until this launch

舍利子Sarira AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Sarira is only 6 hours old and has already posted a 315% launch-day spike, a pattern almost universally followed by sharp mean-reversion on micro-cap tokens with no verified contract and a single whale holding 48% of supply. The 4h and 24h price change are identical, confirming the entire price history is a single launch candle with no sustained follow-through. With 61.2% of supply in dumpable wallets and the dominant whale's position acquired via transfer rather than market buys, sell pressure is the primary near-term risk.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no smart-money participation data, there is no identifiable fundamental catalyst to sustain price above launch levels over a 30–90 day horizon. The holder trajectory data shows a declining trend signal despite the token being only hours old, and 608 of 1,325 holders received their tokens via airdrop rather than purchasing them, suggesting a large cohort with zero cost basis who face no friction to sell. Survival beyond the initial hype window would require organic community formation and liquidity growth that are not yet evidenced.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure is 56.1% of 24h volume ($43,488 buys vs $34,054 sells), indicating more capital entering than exiting in the opening hours
  • +887 buy transactions vs 425 sell transactions in 24h shows a 2:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio, reflecting early retail enthusiasm
  • +377 unique buyers vs 230 unique sellers suggests broad initial interest rather than a narrow group recycling trades
Bearish Factors
  • -The dominant whale at address 0x55e679… holds 48.02% of total supply and received it via a direct transfer at genesis — not a market buy — giving them a zero cost basis and maximum incentive to sell into any price strength
  • -Dumpable supply stands at 61.2% across individual whales and labelled wallets, meaning more than three-fifths of all tokens could be sold without any protocol or exchange custody friction
  • -Contract is unverified (security score 49/100), no project description exists, and there are no social links — the absence of any verifiable project identity is a primary rug-risk indicator
  • -608 of 1,325 holders (45.9%) acquired tokens via airdrop, creating a large zero-cost-basis cohort with no financial commitment to the project
  • -The deployer wallet 0xe2ce6ab8… was first funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…) and had zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, consistent with a disposable-deployer pattern used in short-lived token launches
  • -Total liquidity is only $37,570 against a $185K market cap — a market-cap-to-liquidity ratio above 4:1 means even modest sell orders will cause severe slippage

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Sarira call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-97.8%
7d-98.7%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x3764...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Insider dump risk: wallet 0x55e679… holds 480M tokens (48% of supply) received at genesis with zero cost basis and has never sold — their first DEX swap could instantly collapse the price given the $37.6K liquidity pool
•Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, no project description, no social presence, and a disposable-deployer forensic profile collectively represent a high-probability rug scenario
•Airdrop sell pressure: 608 of 1,325 holders received tokens for free and face no financial loss from selling at any price, creating persistent structural sell pressure with no natural floor

Trading Insight

neutral

Raw transaction counts lean bullish (887 buys vs 425 sells, 56.1% buy pressure by volume) but this reflects launch-day FOMO rather than sustained conviction, and the sentiment score is tempered heavily by the structural sell overhang from insider-allocated wallets. The 1h window shows 125 buys and 62 sells, suggesting momentum is still positive but decelerating relative to the initial burst.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 315% launch-day price appreciation, but this is a single launch candle with no prior price history — it reflects initial price discovery, not a sustained trend. The medium-term outlook is bearish because the structural conditions (unverified contract, 61.2% dumpable supply, zero-cost-basis insider whale) that typically precede sharp post-launch corrections are all present. Without OHLC history, no meaningful support or resistance levels can be identified.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 315% move in the first 4–6 hours of a token's life with no fundamental backing, no verified contract, and a dominant insider whale represents extreme overbought conditions by any measure. The deceleration visible in the 1h data (125 buys vs 887 in the full 4h window) suggests the initial momentum burst is already fading.

Volume Analysis

Buy 56.1%Sell 43.9%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

All 887 buy and 425 sell transactions occurred within the first 4 hours of launch (4h and 24h counts are identical), and the 1h window shows only 125 buys and 62 sells — a sharp deceleration. This declining transaction rate in the most recent hour suggests the launch-day FOMO wave is subsiding, which historically precedes price consolidation or reversal on micro-cap tokens.

Recent Price Action

Single-candle launch spike of 315% with no prior price history, followed by a slight 1h pullback of -2.35% and a minor 5-minute recovery of +2.84%, indicating early volatility stabilization at elevated levels.

Post-launch spikes of this magnitude on unverified, no-description tokens with insider-allocated supply almost universally resolve to the downside once the initial buyer cohort is exhausted. The -2.35% 1h move after the spike is an early signal of selling pressure emerging.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,325
24h Change+1,325
Growth Rate+100%

All 1,325 holders were acquired within the last 6 hours, so the 100% 24h growth figure simply reflects the token's existence. More meaningfully, the holder trajectory data classifies the trend as declining despite the token being hours old, suggesting early holders are already exiting or redistributing — a bearish signal for a token this young.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders68%
Top 100 Holders92%
Retail Holders8.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

Concentration risk is critical. After classifying the top 10 holders, the protocol/contract (10%) and burn address (1.41%) are non-dumpable, but the remaining individual whales account for approximately 56.6% of supply in the top 10 alone. The computed dumpable supply figure of 61.2% — wallets that can freely sell — is the operative risk metric. Retail holders control only 8% of supply, meaning price discovery is entirely at the mercy of insider wallet decisions.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

The six largest recent on-chain swaps are all sub-$500: three sells ($456 by 0x087b27…, $371 by 0x6e549d…, $236 by 0x6469a1…) and three buys ($234 by 0x6469a1…, $227 by 0xd590c3…, $227 by 0x0e1c4d…). The dominant 48% whale (0x55e679…) has not executed any DEX swaps, meaning their position remains entirely intact.

  • •SELL $456 by 0x087b27… — largest single swap recorded, still a micro-sized trade relative to the $185K market cap
  • •SELL $371 by 0x6e549d… — second-largest trade, part of a pattern of small retail-scale sells in the post-launch window

The absence of any large whale swap is a double-edged signal: it means the 48% insider has not yet sold, but it also means the most consequential price event — their first sell — has not yet occurred. All recorded notable trades are retail-scale ($227–$456), confirming that price action so far has been driven by small participants, not the wallets that actually control supply.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token; no profitable-trader cohort has been identified.

Smart-money data is unavailable for Sarira. Given the token is only 6 hours old with no smart-money cohort identified, profit-taking risk is assessed as high by default — the only wallets with unrealized gains are the insider-allocated addresses with zero cost basis, who face no loss scenario regardless of when they sell.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$37,570.47
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $37,570 in total liquidity against a $185K market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 20% — shallow by any standard. A sell order of even $5,000–$10,000 would cause significant price impact and slippage. If the 48% whale were to begin selling even a fraction of their 480M tokens, the liquidity pool would be overwhelmed and price could collapse rapidly.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 315% price move in 6 hours on a $185K market cap token with $37.6K liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. The shallow liquidity pool means any meaningful sell order will cause outsized price impact, and the 48% insider whale's first sell could be a catastrophic single event.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $37,570 against a $185K market cap creates a 4:1 market-cap-to-liquidity ratio. Exiting even a modest position of $5,000–$10,000 would incur severe slippage, and a coordinated sell from the 48% whale would effectively drain the pool.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply is 61.2% — held by individual whales and labelled wallets that can sell freely. The single largest wallet holds 48.02% with a zero cost basis from a genesis transfer. This is among the highest concentration risk profiles possible for a newly launched token.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (security score 49/100), meaning the source code cannot be audited for hidden functions such as mint, pause, blacklist, or excessive transfer tax. The deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior deployment history, raising the probability of a disposable contract designed for a short-lived scheme.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain micro-cap with no documented utility, Sarira faces the same general regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto tokens. No specific regulatory targeting is evident, but the lack of project identity makes compliance assessment impossible.

Key Risks

  • •Insider dump risk: wallet 0x55e679… holds 480M tokens (48% of supply) received at genesis with zero cost basis and has never sold — their first DEX swap could instantly collapse the price given the $37.6K liquidity pool
  • •Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, no project description, no social presence, and a disposable-deployer forensic profile collectively represent a high-probability rug scenario
  • •Airdrop sell pressure: 608 of 1,325 holders received tokens for free and face no financial loss from selling at any price, creating persistent structural sell pressure with no natural floor

Mitigating Factors

  • •The deployer wallet is 750 days old (first active 2024-07-01), which is atypical for a purely disposable wallet and suggests some prior on-chain history, though no prior deployments were found in its first 100 transactions
  • •Buy pressure has exceeded sell pressure in the opening hours (56.1% buy vs 43.9% sell by volume), indicating some genuine market demand exists at current prices

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand the risks of unverified micro-cap tokens, can afford to lose 100% of any capital deployed, and are capable of monitoring on-chain whale wallet activity in real time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position.

Sarira presents a classic high-risk micro-cap launch profile: a 315% opening spike, a dominant insider whale with zero cost basis, an unverified contract, and no project fundamentals. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative momentum trading, with the bear case substantially more probable than the bull case given the structural insider overhang.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The project team verifies the contract, publishes a roadmap and social channels, and the 48% whale demonstrates long-term holding behavior — allowing organic community growth to absorb the airdrop sell pressure and push price toward new highs above the launch spike

  • +Contract verification and project documentation publication that legitimizes the token and attracts new buyers
  • +The dominant whale choosing to hold or lock their position, removing the primary dump risk from the market
Base Case

The token experiences a typical micro-cap post-launch fade: initial FOMO subsides, airdrop recipients gradually sell their free tokens, and price drifts 60–80% below the launch spike over the next 7–30 days, stabilizing at a much lower market cap if any community forms around it

  • •The 48% whale does not immediately dump but gradually distributes over weeks, preventing an instant collapse
  • •No contract verification or project development occurs, keeping the token in speculative micro-cap territory with no fundamental support
Bear Case
High

The 48% insider whale begins selling into the thin $37.6K liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of stop-losses and panic sells from the 608 zero-cost-basis airdrop holders, collapsing the price by 80–95% from current levels within days

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider allocation of 480M tokens with no documented lock-up or vesting schedule
  • -Unverified contract enabling potential hidden functions (mint, blacklist, tax) that could be activated against buyers

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 21, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is approximately 6 hours old
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000189923319558047
Market Cap$185.2K
24h Volume$77.5K
Holders1,325
Liquidity$37.6K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tiers)
Trading volume metrics (24h and 4h windows)
Smart contract security assessment (score: 49/100)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap history lookup)
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists (token is 6 hours old), making all technical price level analysis impossible and trend analysis based solely on the single launch candle
  • •Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, preventing any assessment of informed trader positioning
  • •Unverified contract means hidden tokenomic mechanics (taxes, minting, blacklists) cannot be ruled out and may invalidate any price or holder analysis
  • •Token name, description fields, and holder labels are treated as untrusted data per analysis protocol — no instruction-like content was detected in the data block

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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