果蝇

永生果蝇 Price Today & AI Analysis

果蝇
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

$0.000360

+642.97%24h
LiveContract:0x2b90bb9683383b6a1440e116309ba0187ef67777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.2KMarket cap:$359.59KLiquidity:$28.74K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 15, 2026, 06:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$359.59K

24h Volume

$727.88K

Liquidity

$28.74K

FDV

Holders

1.2K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

永生果蝇 (果蝇) is a Binance Smart Chain token that launched roughly 1 hour ago and is trading on PancakeSwap at $0.00035959, with a $359,589 market cap and only $28,740 in liquidity. In its first hour it has already seen 9,176 transactions from a combined 2,060 buyers and 1,503 sellers, alongside a reported +642.97% move that reflects the entire trading history to date rather than an established trend. No project description, security score, genesis forensics, or holder-growth history are available, leaving substantial unknowns around the token's purpose and safety.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 15, 2026, 06:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extremely fresh launch (~1 hour old) with unusually high initial transaction volume (9,176 trades)
Chinese-language meme branding ('永生果蝇' / 'Eternal Fruit Fly') with no stated utility or description
Twitter and Website links present, but no verifiable community engagement data

永生果蝇 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token is roughly 1 hour old, and the identical +642.97% figures shown across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows are a data artifact of measuring from launch rather than a confirmed multi-period trend. With sell transaction count (4,667) exceeding buy transaction count (4,509) and liquidity of only $28,740 against a $359,589 market cap, the parabolic launch move looks fragile and prone to a sharp pullback as early buyers take profit.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

There is no 30-90 day (or even multi-day) price or holder-growth history for this token, since it launched approximately one hour ago. Any medium-term directional call would be speculation rather than data-driven, so we treat this as genuinely undetermined until more trading history accumulates.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy volume ($373,062) slightly exceeds sell volume ($354,814), giving 51.3% buy pressure
  • +Unique buyers (2,060) outnumber unique sellers (1,503) in the first hour of trading
  • +1,172 holders have already accumulated within the token's first hour, and top-10 concentration (19.7%) is moderate rather than extreme
Bearish Factors
  • -Sell transaction count (4,667) exceeds buy transaction count (4,509) despite fewer unique sellers, hinting at concentrated or bot-driven selling
  • -Liquidity of $28,740 is only ~8% of the $359,589 market cap, meaning even moderate sell orders can move price sharply
  • -The +642.97% move is identical across the 1h/4h/24h windows purely because the token is ~1 hour old, not evidence of sustained momentum
  • -Genesis allocation and deployer history could not be inspected, so insider or pre-seeded holdings cannot be ruled out

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

果蝇 call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x2b90...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

The token is only ~1 hour old with no multi-day trading or holder-growth history to validate sustainability
Liquidity of $28,740 is thin relative to the $359,589 market cap, exposing traders to high slippage and price manipulation risk
Genesis allocation and deployer wallet forensics could not be inspected, so insider pre-allocation and dump risk cannot be ruled out
The reported +642.97% move across all windows is a single launch-pump event, not a confirmed trend, and such moves on new BSC tokens frequently reverse sharply

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell activity are nearly balanced (51.3% buy pressure vs. 48.7% sell pressure), which is typical of a high-churn launch phase rather than a clear directional consensus. The slightly higher sell transaction count relative to buy transactions, despite more unique buyers than sellers, suggests some sellers are executing multiple smaller trades.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term 'uptrend' reflects the token's single parabolic launch move rather than a confirmed multi-period trend, since the token has only traded for about 1 hour and all reported windows (1h/4h/24h) collapse to the same launch-to-now figure. No medium-term trend can be established given the complete absence of daily OHLC history.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A +642.97% move within the token's first hour of existence is an extreme, likely unsustainable momentum spike typical of new low-liquidity token launches rather than a measured accumulation phase.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.3%Sell 48.7%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Total 24h volume ($727,876 combined buy+sell) represents the token's entire trading history to date; buy pressure (51.3%) and sell pressure (48.7%) are nearly balanced, indicating high churn without a clear one-sided volume trend yet.

Recent Price Action

A single sharp parabolic move immediately following contract deployment, with identical percentage changes reported across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows because the token has existed for only about 1 hour.

This pattern is characteristic of a launch-driven pump rather than an established trend, and such moves on new, thinly-liquid tokens frequently reverse sharply once early buyers begin taking profit.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A +642.97% price move within the token's first hour of trading reflects extreme volatility typical of brand-new, thinly-traded tokens, with no historical stability to draw on.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $28,740 against a $359,589 market cap (roughly 8%) is shallow, meaning moderate-sized trades can cause significant price slippage in either direction.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 holders control 19.7% of supply, a moderate figure, but individual wallet identities and acquisition methods are unavailable, so insider or coordinated holdings cannot be fully assessed.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security or audit data is available for this chain, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than a confirmed assessment of the contract's safety.

Regulatory
Low

As a small, unclassified meme-style token with no stated financial-product features, near-term direct regulatory scrutiny appears limited, though this could change with scale or exchange listings.

Key Risks

  • The token is only ~1 hour old with no multi-day trading or holder-growth history to validate sustainability
  • Liquidity of $28,740 is thin relative to the $359,589 market cap, exposing traders to high slippage and price manipulation risk
  • Genesis allocation and deployer wallet forensics could not be inspected, so insider pre-allocation and dump risk cannot be ruled out
  • The reported +642.97% move across all windows is a single launch-pump event, not a confirmed trend, and such moves on new BSC tokens frequently reverse sharply

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy volume ($373,062) modestly exceeds sell volume ($354,814), showing net demand at this snapshot in time
  • 1,172 holders and a moderate 19.7% top-10 concentration suggest distribution is not extremely narrow for such a new launch

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept a total loss of capital; unsuitable for conservative, long-term, or risk-averse investors given the token's extreme newness and data gaps.

永生果蝇 is a brand-new BSC meme-style token that has already posted an extreme first-hour price spike on thin liquidity, with essentially no track record, security verification, or genesis transparency to evaluate. Any thesis here is necessarily speculative and should weight the high probability of volatility and reversal against the small chance of continued momentum.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Viral social attention and continued net buy pressure (currently 51.3%) sustain demand, drawing in new holders beyond the current 1,172 and pushing liquidity and market cap higher.

  • +Sustained buy-volume dominance over sell volume
  • +Growing holder count and social engagement via the token's Twitter and Website
Base Case

The token experiences continued extreme volatility in both directions over the coming days, typical of freshly launched, thinly-liquid tokens, with a meaningful retracement from the initial pump likely absent a sustained increase in liquidity and genuine holder growth.

  • No significant liquidity injection occurs in the near term
  • No verified security audit or credible project information emerges to change risk perception
Bear Case
High

The parabolic first-hour pump reverses sharply as early buyers and any undisclosed insiders (genesis allocation unknown) take profit against thin $28,740 liquidity, driving a fast price collapse.

  • -Shallow liquidity relative to market cap amplifies downside moves
  • -Sell transaction count already exceeds buy transaction count despite fewer unique sellers

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 15, 2026, 06:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000359588788977
Market Cap$359.6K
24h Volume$727.9K
Holders1,172
Liquidity$28.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • The token is only ~1 hour old, providing no multi-day OHLC history to confirm a genuine price trend
  • No OHLC data was available to compute technical support/resistance levels
  • Genesis allocation, deployer wallet, and smart-money cohort forensics could not be inspected

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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