AST

ast.fun Price Today & AI Analysis

ASTBNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 29, 2026

Price

$0.000209

-9.30% 24h

Contract

Live
0x265b3982ea730748100947f52561a4eab54affff

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

15.1K

Market cap

$208.91K

Liquidity

$35.59K

At a $1M market cap, $AST would be $0.001000 (4.79x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Ask Unhosted AI about AST

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

More tokens on BNB Chain

OWLOWLOwlto$0.001430-6.7%MC $828.7KBCHBCHBitcoin Cash Token$268.92-4.5%MC $25.95MLOTLOTLeague of Traders$0.005730-1.6%MC $5.73MUSDT.zUSDT.zTether USD Bridged ZED20$0.000135-6.3%MC $3.72M中国羊中国羊中国羊$0.049430-10.9%MC $94.3K币安人生币安人生币安人生$0.5209-9.7%MC $520.94M

ast.fun: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-29 14:45 UTC

Holder addresses

2,007

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,917.00
How concentrated is ast.fun ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,007 addresses (2026-08-29 14:45 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ast.fun?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ast.fun liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,917.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Loading price chart…

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Movement since report

report from Aug 29, 2026, 02:45 PM UTC

Market Cap

$181.31K

24h Volume

$3.21M

Liquidity

$46.92K

FDV

—

Holders

2,007

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

AST (ast.fun) is a 24-hour-old token on BNB Chain, described as 'memecoins paired with leveraged positions' powered by the Aster platform. It launched with explosive activity — over 43,000 transactions and $3.2M in combined volume in its first day — but the price has since retreated sharply from a session high of $0.0009619 to $0.0001813, sitting at just 18% of its launch range. The token carries significant structural risks: an unverified contract, a disposable-deployer profile, insider genesis allocations to wallets that have already taken profit, and thin liquidity of under $47,000. While the trading volume and holder count demonstrate genuine market interest, the token is firmly in speculative territory with a very high risk profile.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 29, 2026, 02:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Concept of pairing memecoins with leveraged positions via the Aster platform on BNB Chain — a niche that blends speculative meme culture with derivatives mechanics
  • Exceptionally high launch-day trading velocity: 43,317 transactions from 13,062 unique participants within 24 hours, indicating viral initial distribution
  • Insider genesis allocation pattern: at least four wallets received direct token transfers from the deployer proxy before public trading, with two of those wallets appearing among the top smart-money earners

ast.fun AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

AST is only 24 hours old and has already shed 14% in the past 4 hours after an initial launch spike that pushed the price to a session high of $0.0009619. The current price of $0.0001813 sits at just 18% of the 2-day range, indicating the token has given back the vast majority of its launch-day gains and is trending toward the range floor. With notable recent trades dominated entirely by sells and the 1-hour and 4-hour windows both deeply negative, short-term momentum is clearly to the downside.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With only 2 days of price history, no 7d/30d/90d trend data, an unverified contract, a deployer wallet just 11 days old with no prior deployments, and insider-allocated supply visible in the genesis transfers, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The token's survival beyond the initial hype window will depend entirely on whether the Aster platform delivers real utility and whether the team sustains liquidity — neither of which is evidenced yet. The 25.3% dumpable supply held by individual whales represents a persistent overhead selling risk.

Bullish Factors

  • Exceptional launch-day trading activity: 43,317 total transactions (23,430 buys vs 19,887 sells) from 6,775 unique buyers signals broad initial market interest
  • Smart money traders have realized significant profits — 0x5a7168 booked +$7,016 (+181%) and 0x8bf1a8 booked +$5,549 (+1,572%) — confirming that early participants found genuine exit liquidity
  • Buy pressure remains marginally dominant at 50.2% of 24h volume ($1.61M buys vs $1.60M sells), indicating the market has not yet tipped into net distribution
  • Holder base of 2,007 wallets accumulated entirely through market swaps (2,004 of 2,007 via swap) in a single day, suggesting organic demand rather than airdrop inflation

Bearish Factors

  • Price has collapsed 14.2% in the past 4 hours and 5.3% in the past hour, with the current price at only 18% of the 2-day range ($0.00001389–$0.0009619), indicating the post-launch pump has largely unwound
  • All six of the largest recent on-chain swaps are sells (ranging from $92 to $347), with no significant buy-side whale transactions visible in the notable trades data
  • Genesis transfers reveal that 0x5c9520 distributed ~197M tokens (19.7% of supply) directly to four wallets — including 0x5a7168 and 0x01bbfd, who are also top smart-money earners — before any public trading, creating an insider allocation that has already been partially monetized
  • The deployer wallet (0x90a0f259) is only 11 days old, has zero prior contract deployments, and was funded by an unknown source — a classic disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • Two of the top individual whale wallets (0xfe7355 at 2.14% and 0xa28f40 at 2.10%) acquired their positions via transfer rather than market buys, meaning they received supply at zero cost and face no loss threshold before selling
  • Total liquidity of $46,917 against a $181,312 market cap yields a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~26%, meaning even modest sell pressure can cause severe slippage

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

AST call history

Full track record →

Aug 29bearish
24h—
7d+1339.5%
30d+222.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x265b...ffff
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Insider exit risk: Genesis allocations to 0x5a7168 and 0x01bbfd (who have already realized $7,016 and $4,667 respectively) and two zero-cost-basis whale wallets (0xfe7355, 0xa28f40) holding 4.24% of supply via transfer create a structural overhang of supply that was never purchased at market prices
  • Rug/abandonment risk: The deployer's 11-day-old wallet with zero prior deployments and unknown funding source is a textbook disposable-deployer pattern; if the team abandons the project, the unverified contract provides no on-chain recourse for holders
  • Liquidity collapse risk: With only $46,917 in liquidity and dumpable supply nearly equal to pool size, a coordinated exit by 2-3 whale wallets could drain liquidity entirely, leaving remaining holders unable to exit at any meaningful price

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite marginally positive 24h buy pressure (50.2%), the intraday trend has turned decisively bearish with the 4-hour window down 14.2% and the 1-hour window down 5.3%. The recent notable trades are exclusively sells, and the ratio of sell transactions to buy transactions has been improving for sellers in the shorter windows (459 sells vs 743 buys in 4h, 191 sells vs 378 buys in 1h), suggesting the initial buyer cohort is rotating out.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

With only two daily closes available ($0.0001540 on day 1, $0.0001813 on day 2), the token shows a modest day-over-day uptick of +17.7% in closing price, but the intraday structure tells a different story: the session high of $0.0009619 has been followed by a sustained decline to $0.0001813, placing the current price at just 18% of the full 2-day range. The 4-hour (-14.2%) and 1-hour (-5.3%) price changes confirm active downward momentum. No 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists given the token's age.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The token has declined approximately 81% from its 2-day high of $0.0009619 to the current $0.0001813, and the pace of decline is accelerating in shorter timeframes (-8.2% in 5 minutes, -5.3% in 1 hour, -14.2% in 4 hours). While this magnitude of drawdown from a launch spike can create short-term oversold bounces, the structural bearish factors (insider selling, thin liquidity, unverified contract) mean oversold conditions alone are not a reliable buy signal here.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.2%

Sell

49.8%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Launch-day volume of $3.2M combined (17x+ the market cap) is characteristic of a viral memecoin debut. The 4-hour transaction count of 1,202 represents roughly 2.8% of the 24-hour total, implying a sharp deceleration from the launch peak. Declining volume alongside declining price is a bearish continuation signal, as it suggests the buyer base is exhausting rather than accumulating.

Recent Price Action

Post-launch spike and sustained retracement: price surged to $0.0009619 at or near launch, then declined continuously to the current $0.0001813 — an 81% drawdown from peak within 24 hours. The two daily closes ($0.0001540 → $0.0001813) suggest the token found a temporary floor near $0.000139 (the 2-day low) before stabilizing, but intraday momentum remains negative.

This pattern — sharp launch spike followed by rapid mean reversion — is the canonical memecoin launch trajectory. It typically indicates that early/insider holders used the initial hype to distribute supply to retail buyers. Stabilization above the range low ($0.00001389) would be the first prerequisite for any recovery thesis.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has already demonstrated an ~81% drawdown from its 2-day high ($0.0009619) to current price ($0.0001813) within 24 hours, with a 2-day range spanning from $0.00001389 to $0.0009619 — a 69x spread. This extreme intraday volatility makes position sizing and risk management extremely difficult.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $46,917 is shallow relative to the $181,312 market cap (25.9% ratio). The dumpable supply of 25.3% (~$45,850) nearly equals total pool liquidity, meaning whale exits could cause catastrophic price impact. Trades above a few hundred dollars face significant slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an uncategorized token on BNB Chain with a leveraged-memecoin concept, AST may attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify leveraged crypto products as securities or derivatives. The anonymous team structure adds regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Insider exit risk: Genesis allocations to 0x5a7168 and 0x01bbfd (who have already realized $7,016 and $4,667 respectively) and two zero-cost-basis whale wallets (0xfe7355, 0xa28f40) holding 4.24% of supply via transfer create a structural overhang of supply that was never purchased at market prices
  • Rug/abandonment risk: The deployer's 11-day-old wallet with zero prior deployments and unknown funding source is a textbook disposable-deployer pattern; if the team abandons the project, the unverified contract provides no on-chain recourse for holders
  • Liquidity collapse risk: With only $46,917 in liquidity and dumpable supply nearly equal to pool size, a coordinated exit by 2-3 whale wallets could drain liquidity entirely, leaving remaining holders unable to exit at any meaningful price

Mitigating Factors

  • The 75/100 security score and the absence of honeypot flags in automated scanning suggest the contract does not contain the most obvious malicious mechanics
  • High launch-day trading volume ($3.2M) and 2,007 organic swap-acquired holders demonstrate genuine market interest that could sustain a community if the platform delivers

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in high-risk, short-duration memecoin speculation, can afford to lose their entire position, and have the technical skills to monitor on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

AST presents a high-risk, high-volatility speculative opportunity built on the Aster platform's memecoin-leveraged-position concept. The token has demonstrated real market demand in its first 24 hours but carries severe structural risks including insider allocations, an unverified contract, a disposable-deployer profile, and thin liquidity. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether the Aster platform delivers a functional product and whether the team maintains liquidity and transparency.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Aster platform launches a working product that genuinely pairs memecoin speculation with leveraged positions, attracting a sustained user base on BNB Chain. The team verifies the contract, builds community credibility, and the 2,007-holder base grows organically. Price recovers from the current 18%-of-range position toward the mid-range, representing a potential 3-5x from current levels.

  • Verified, audited smart contract that demonstrates no malicious mechanics and builds institutional confidence
  • Aster platform product launch with demonstrable user traction and trading volume on the leveraged memecoin mechanism

Base Case

AST follows the typical memecoin trajectory: high initial excitement fades, volume decelerates, price stabilizes at a fraction of the launch high (likely in the $0.00005–$0.00015 range), and the token persists as a low-liquidity speculative asset with a small but stable holder base. The Aster platform may launch eventually but fails to achieve mainstream traction.

  • The contract does not contain malicious mechanics and the team does not execute an outright rug pull
  • Liquidity remains above a minimum functional threshold ($10,000–$20,000) as the team has an incentive to maintain the trading environment

Bear Case

High probability

The deployer and insider-allocated wallets continue distributing their zero-cost-basis supply into any price recovery, liquidity drains below a functional threshold, and the token enters a death spiral toward the 2-day low of $0.00001389 or lower. The unverified contract is abandoned or exploited, leaving holders with illiquid, near-worthless positions.

  • Continued sell pressure from the 25.3% dumpable supply, particularly the zero-cost-basis whale wallets that have no financial incentive to hold
  • Failure to verify the contract or deliver a working product within the critical first-week attention window, causing holder attrition and volume collapse

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 29, 2026, 02:45 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-29 14:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000181254225374572

Market Cap

$181.3K

24h Volume

$3.21M

Holders

2,007

Liquidity

$46,917.00

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)Smart contract deployment and genesis transfer forensicsWhale wallet behavioral analysisSmart money realized PnL dataDaily OHLC price history (2-day window)

Limitations

  • Only 2 days of price history are available, making trend analysis and price target derivation statistically unreliable — no 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists
  • The contract is unverified, preventing direct code audit; all security assessments are based on behavioral and metadata signals rather than source code review
  • No independent verification of the Aster platform's product claims, team identity, or roadmap is possible from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about AST?