PEPE

Pepe Price Prediction 2026

PEPE
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 12, 2026

$0.052672

-0.06%24h
LiveContract:0x25d887ce7a35172c62febfd67a1856f20faebb00Chain:BNB ChainHolders:80.9KMarket cap:$1.19MLiquidity:$16.67K

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Ask Unhosted AI about PEPE

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Aug 12, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC
Market Cap

$1.13B

24h Volume

$16.30K

Liquidity

$41.60K

FDV

—

Holders

86.7K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

This is the BNB Chain deployment of PEPE ($PEPE), a meme coin built around the iconic Pepe the Frog internet meme, now 39.3 months old with a market cap of approximately $1.13 billion. The token launched with no presale, no taxes, burnt liquidity, and a renounced contract — structural features that reduce rug-pull risk and have contributed to its longevity in the meme-coin space. However, the token is currently in a sustained downtrend (-31.1% over 90 days), trading at just 28% of its 90-day range, with 24-hour sell pressure dominating at 55%. Despite falling price, the holder base has grown ~4,703 wallets over 30 days, suggesting a segment of the market is accumulating at lower levels.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 12, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bearish
One of the most recognisable meme-coin brands globally, leveraging the Pepe the Frog cultural phenomenon with 39+ months of market survival
Structurally clean launch mechanics — no presale, renounced contract, burnt LP — which are rare among meme coins and reduce insider extraction risk
Large and growing holder base of 86,749 wallets with 59% of supply held by retail, indicating genuine community distribution rather than whale-dominated ownership

Pepe Price Prediction

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

PEPE on BNB Chain is in a clear short-term downtrend, with the 7-day decline of -6.5% accelerating into the most recent daily close at $0.000002689 — the lowest close in the 14-day series. Price sits at only 28% of its 90-day range, indicating sustained selling pressure rather than a temporary dip. The sell-to-buy transaction ratio of 525:219 over 24 hours reinforces near-term bearish momentum.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 90-day trend of -31.1% with only a marginal -1.0% 30-day decline suggests the token is in a slow bleed rather than a sharp correction, with no structural reversal yet visible in the daily closes. Price remains well below the 90-day high of $0.000004124 and would need to reclaim the $0.000002789 immediate resistance and then $0.000004124 major resistance to shift the medium-term bias. Without a broad meme-coin sentiment catalyst or BNB Chain ecosystem tailwind, the path of least resistance remains downward.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew +5.2% over 7 days and +5.4% over 30 days, adding ~4,703 net holders — a sign of ongoing organic accumulation despite falling price
  • +The 1-hour and 4-hour transaction windows show buy transactions outpacing sells (42 buys vs 15 sells in 1h; 73 buys vs 51 sells in 4h), suggesting very short-term buying interest is picking up
  • +Price is sitting just $0.000000004 above the computed immediate support of $0.000002685, meaning downside to the next major level is limited in percentage terms from current price
  • +Token is 39.3 months old with a verified contract, renounced ownership, and burnt LP — structural rug-pull risk is minimal for a token of this age and setup
Bearish Factors
  • -The 90-day trend of -31.1% is the dominant signal: price has lost nearly a third of its value over the quarter with no confirmed base formation
  • -24-hour sell pressure stands at 55% with sell volume of $8,965 outpacing buy volume of $7,330, and unique sellers (437) vastly outnumber unique buyers (112) — distribution is broad-based
  • -The most recent daily close at $0.000002689 is the lowest in the 14-day close series, confirming the short-term downtrend has not yet found a floor
  • -Whale wallet 0x2bd8e7 (1.00% of supply) has an average buy price of $0.000006720 — more than 2.5x the current price — representing a deeply underwater position that could generate sustained sell pressure if the holder capitulates

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PEPE call history

Full track record →
Aug 12bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x25d8...bb00
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Critically shallow liquidity ($41,600 on-chain) means price discovery is fragile — a relatively small coordinated sell could push price through the immediate support at $0.000002685 toward the major support at $0.000002137, a ~20.5% drop
•The 90-day downtrend of -31.1% with no confirmed reversal signal means momentum is working against holders; meme coins in sustained downtrends can enter prolonged bear phases lasting many months
•Whale wallet 0x2bd8e7 (1.00% of supply) is deeply underwater at an average buy of $0.000006720 — more than 2.5x current price — and has made 12 trades with no realised profit, representing a potential capitulation seller if sentiment deteriorates further

Trading Insight

bearish

The 24-hour trading picture is net bearish: sell volume exceeds buy volume by roughly $1,635, and unique sellers (437) outnumber unique buyers (112) by nearly 4:1, indicating broad-based distribution rather than a concentrated sell-off. However, the intraday trend is improving — the 1-hour window shows 42 buys versus only 15 sells, hinting at short-term stabilisation near the immediate support level.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Both the 7-day (-6.5%) and 90-day (-31.1%) trends are negative, with the 14-day daily close series showing a peak at $0.000002914 on day 4 and a consistent decline to the current $0.000002689 — the series low. The 30-day change of -1.0% is the only near-flat window, but it sits within a larger bearish structure rather than representing genuine consolidation.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With price at 28% of the 90-day range ($0.000002137–$0.000004124) and the most recent close being the lowest in the 14-day series, momentum indicators would likely read oversold. Daily volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a meme coin, suggesting the downtrend is grinding rather than panicking — which can extend oversold conditions longer than expected.

Volume Analysis

Buy 45%Sell 55%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of ~$16,298 is low in absolute terms and concentrated in small retail trades (largest notable trade was $235). The sell-to-buy volume ratio of 55:45 is not extreme, but the 4:1 seller-to-buyer wallet ratio indicates many small holders are exiting. Volume does not show a climactic spike that would signal exhaustion of selling pressure.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close series shows a brief consolidation plateau between $0.000002821 and $0.000002867 (days 8–13) followed by a breakdown to $0.000002689 on the most recent close — a classic support-break pattern.

A break below a multi-day consolidation range typically signals continuation of the prevailing trend. The immediate support at $0.000002685 is now the critical level; a daily close below it would open the path toward the major support at $0.000002137.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000002685
Major$0.000002137
Resistance
Immediate$0.000002789
Major$0.000004124

The immediate support at $0.000002685 is just below the current price of $0.000002689 — the token is effectively testing this level right now. A sustained break below it would expose the major support at $0.000002137, representing a further ~20.5% downside. On the upside, reclaiming $0.000002789 (immediate resistance) is the minimum requirement to neutralise the short-term bearish bias, while $0.000004124 (the 90-day high) represents the full bull-case recovery target — a 53% move from current levels.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders86,749
24h Change-426
Growth Rate-0.49%

Despite the single-day dip of -426 holders, the 7-day and 30-day trajectories of +4,500 and +4,703 holders respectively confirm a growing holder base. This divergence between falling price and rising holder count over 30 days is a constructive on-chain signal, suggesting new wallets are entering at lower prices rather than the community uniformly exiting.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders21%
Top 100 Holders41%
Retail Holders59.0%
Concentration Risk:
Low

Of the 21% held by the top 10 wallets, 12.58% sits in protocol/contract addresses (including 10.48% in an unspecified protocol contract and 2.10% in PancakeSwap) that cannot be sold as market dumps. The genuine dumpable supply from individual whales is 11.4% — a low figure for a meme coin. With 59% of supply in retail hands and the top 100 holding only 41%, this token has achieved meaningful decentralisation over its 39-month lifespan.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest notable recent trades are all sub-$250 in size: a $235 sell by 0x6cd1b8, a $74 buy by 0x8fd081, and multiple sells in the $52–$65 range by 0xf9b6a1 and 0xe0a28b. These are retail-scale transactions, not whale movements.

  • •SELL $235 by 0x6cd1b8 — largest single trade in the recent window, still retail-scale
  • •Three consecutive sells totalling ~$159 by wallet 0xf9b6a1 — suggests a single retail holder systematically exiting their position

Whale wallet data shows two of the three tracked individual whales (0x1051c8 at 2.51% and 0x5b242a at 1.70%) each have only 1 trade on record with $0 realised PnL, suggesting they acquired their positions early (average buys of $0.000001145 and $0.000001645 respectively) and have not sold — they are sitting on unrealised gains and appear to be long-term holders. The third whale (0x2bd8e7, 1.00%) is underwater at an average buy of $0.000006720 and has made 12 trades with $0 realised PnL, indicating active but unprofitable trading.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader analytics can be cited.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. The two largest individual whales (0x1051c8 and 0x5b242a) bought at prices well below current levels ($0.000001145 and $0.000001645 vs current $0.000002689) and have not realised any PnL, suggesting they are holding rather than distributing — but this is whale wallet intel, not a smart-money cohort signal.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$41,600.39
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Total on-chain liquidity of $41,600 is extremely thin relative to the $1.13 billion market cap — a ratio of roughly 0.004%. This means even modest-sized trades will cause significant price impact. The $235 largest recent trade already represents 0.56% of total liquidity. Any whale attempting to exit their position (e.g., 0x1051c8 holding 2.51% of supply) would face severe slippage and would likely need to use aggregators or OTC routes to avoid crashing the price.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day range of $0.000002137 to $0.000004124 represents a 93% spread from low to high, and the token has already declined 31.1% over 90 days — typical meme-coin volatility that can accelerate in either direction without warning.

Liquidity
High

On-chain liquidity of $41,600 is critically thin relative to the $1.13 billion market cap. Any position larger than a few hundred dollars will face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated exit by even mid-tier holders could cause disproportionate price impact.

Concentration
Low

Dumpable supply from individual whales is only 11.4%, with the two largest individual whale wallets (0x1051c8 at 2.51% and 0x5b242a at 1.70%) showing no sell activity. The majority of the top-10 supply sits in non-dumpable protocol and exchange contracts. Retail holds 59% of supply.

Smart Contract
Low

The contract is verified, ownership is renounced, and LP is burnt — the three primary smart-contract risk vectors for meme coins are mitigated. The 73/100 security score reflects this relatively clean setup.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme coin with no utility and explicit acknowledgement of no intrinsic value, PEPE could face regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify speculative tokens as unregistered securities or gambling instruments. BNB Chain's regulatory environment adds an additional layer of jurisdictional uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • •Critically shallow liquidity ($41,600 on-chain) means price discovery is fragile — a relatively small coordinated sell could push price through the immediate support at $0.000002685 toward the major support at $0.000002137, a ~20.5% drop
  • •The 90-day downtrend of -31.1% with no confirmed reversal signal means momentum is working against holders; meme coins in sustained downtrends can enter prolonged bear phases lasting many months
  • •Whale wallet 0x2bd8e7 (1.00% of supply) is deeply underwater at an average buy of $0.000006720 — more than 2.5x current price — and has made 12 trades with no realised profit, representing a potential capitulation seller if sentiment deteriorates further

Mitigating Factors

  • •Structural launch integrity (renounced contract, burnt LP, no presale) eliminates the most common meme-coin failure modes and has already been validated by 39.3 months of survival
  • •Growing holder base (+4,703 over 30 days) despite falling price suggests a price floor is forming through organic accumulation, reducing the probability of a complete collapse

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme-coin dynamics, can afford to lose their entire position, and are not relying on this asset for financial planning. The low liquidity makes it unsuitable for any position size that cannot be exited quickly at small scale.

PEPE on BNB Chain is a structurally sound but fundamentally speculative meme coin in a sustained downtrend, with its primary investment case resting on brand recognition and community resilience rather than utility. The bear case is supported by the dominant 90-day trend; the bull case depends on a meme-cycle revival that lifts the entire category.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A renewed meme-coin market cycle — triggered by broader crypto market appreciation or a viral cultural moment — drives retail FOMO into Pepe-branded tokens. The growing holder base (+5.2% in 7 days) provides a foundation of accumulation, and a reclaim of the $0.000002789 immediate resistance could trigger momentum buying toward the $0.000004124 90-day high, representing a ~53% gain from current levels.

  • +Broad meme-coin market revival driven by retail speculation in a risk-on crypto environment
  • +Continued holder base growth converting into buying pressure that absorbs the current sell-side overhang
Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000002137–$0.000002789 range over the next 30–90 days, with the growing holder base providing a floor while the absence of a macro catalyst prevents a meaningful recovery. The token survives but underperforms the broader crypto market.

  • •No major meme-coin market catalyst emerges in the near term
  • •The two large underwater-but-holding whale wallets (0x1051c8 and 0x5b242a) continue to hold rather than sell
Bear Case
High

The 90-day downtrend continues as retail holders capitulate, the immediate support at $0.000002685 fails, and price grinds toward the major support at $0.000002137 — a further ~20.5% decline. Thin liquidity amplifies any sell-side pressure, and the underwater whale (0x2bd8e7) adds to selling if they decide to exit.

  • -Continuation of the -31.1% 90-day downtrend with no structural catalyst to reverse it
  • -Critically thin on-chain liquidity ($41,600) amplifying price impact of even modest sell orders

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 12, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data with 90-day historical OHLC
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000002689055785659
Market Cap$1.13B
24h Volume$16.3K
Holders86,749
Liquidity$41.6K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
90-day daily OHLC price history
Whale wallet behavioural intel (realised PnL, trade history, wallet age)
Smart contract security assessment
Notable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • •Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, limiting insight into the behaviour of the most profitable traders on this token
  • •The exchange is listed as 'Unknown', which prevents analysis of centralised exchange order book depth or cross-exchange arbitrage dynamics
  • •The FDV figure of $1,176,110 appears inconsistent with the $1.13 billion market cap and may reflect a data feed error; it has been excluded from the analysis
  • •Liquidity data reflects on-chain DEX pools only; any centralised exchange liquidity is not captured

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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