都踏马得来

都踏马得来 Price Prediction 2026

都踏马得来
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 26, 2026

$0.000824

-34.60%24h
LiveContract:0x04125f069597a132ea40054397e6b6564b3b7777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:9.4KMarket cap:$824.45KLiquidity:$44.49K

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Movement since reportreport from Jun 26, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$663.07K

24h Volume

$254.93K

Liquidity

$71.01K

FDV

Holders

699

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

都踏马得来 is an 11-hour-old BNB Chain token with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence, currently trading at $0.000663 after a 1,469% 24-hour surge. The token launched with 1 billion total supply, of which 30.66% was immediately sent to a burn address and 200 million tokens were allocated to a separate wallet at genesis. With a $663K market cap, $71K in liquidity, and 699 holders, it exhibits the classic profile of a speculative micro-cap launch pump. The deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet, multiple top holders received supply via transfer rather than market purchases, and all tracked active traders are currently at a loss — collectively pointing to very high risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJun 26, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Extreme launch-day price appreciation of 1,469% in 24 hours with the price sitting at 86% of its all-time range high
30.66% of total supply permanently burned at genesis, reducing circulating float but not eliminating insider distribution risk
Deployer wallet (725 days old) funded by an unlabelled source with zero prior contract deployments, fitting a first-time or disposable deployer pattern

都踏马得来 Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token is only 11 hours old and has surged 1,469% in 24 hours, placing its current price at 86% of its 2-day range high of $0.0007613. Such parabolic moves in newly launched, unverified tokens almost universally resolve with sharp mean-reversion as early recipients and insiders distribute. The 1-hour transaction data already shows sell transactions (251) slightly outpacing buy transactions (244), signalling the momentum is beginning to flip.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The 43.9% dumpable supply held by individual whales — several of whom received tokens via transfer rather than market buys — represents a persistent overhead distribution risk. Without any fundamental catalyst or community development, sustained price appreciation beyond the initial launch pump is unlikely.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong 24-hour buy pressure at 55.1% ($140,544 buy volume vs. $114,385 sell volume) shows net inflows are still positive over the full day window.
  • +30.66% of supply is held in a burn address, permanently removing it from circulation and reducing effective dumpable float.
  • +Holder count grew from 0 to 699 in under 11 hours, indicating rapid organic or viral adoption in the immediate term.
Bearish Factors
  • -The token is 11 hours old with an unverified contract (security score 56/100) and no project description, social links, or identifiable team — hallmarks of a disposable launch.
  • -The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was first funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…) and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, fitting a disposable-deployer pattern with elevated rug risk.
  • -Two top individual whales (0x74dd36… holding 3.00% and 0xd06721… holding 1.92%) acquired their positions via transfer rather than market buys, indicating insider pre-allocation rather than open-market conviction.
  • -Every tracked 'smart money' wallet on this token has realized a loss of -$24 (-23%) across 3 trades each, meaning even the most active traders are underwater — there is no profitable smart-money signal here.
  • -The 1-hour window shows sell transactions (251) now exceeding buy transactions (244) with more unique sellers (168) than buyers (136), suggesting the intraday momentum has already reversed.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

都踏马得来 call history

Full track record →
Jun 26bearish
24h-48.7%
7d-36.3%
30d-50.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x0412...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, and multiple insiders holding large zero-cost-basis positions create a high-probability scenario for a coordinated exit
Liquidity drain: with only $71K in the pool, a sell of $30K-$50K (achievable by any top-5 individual whale) would cause catastrophic slippage and potentially drain the pool
Wash trading signal: the identical -$24 / -23% / 3-trade loss profile across all six tracked active wallets is statistically improbable and suggests artificial volume inflation, which could evaporate suddenly

Trading Insight

bearish

While the full 24-hour window still shows a net buy bias (55.1% buy pressure), the most recent 1-hour data reveals a sentiment reversal: sell transactions now outnumber buys (251 vs. 244) and unique sellers exceed unique buyers (168 vs. 136). This intraday deterioration after a 1,469% pump is a classic distribution signal, where early recipients begin offloading into retail demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

With only two daily closes available ($0.0002217 → $0.0006631), the short-term trend is technically an uptrend, but this reflects the launch pump rather than sustained directional momentum. The current price at 86% of the 2-day range high ($0.0007613) means the token is near its all-time high with limited historical context. Medium-term trend is classified as sideways given the absence of any 7d, 30d, or 90d data.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 1,469% 24-hour gain placing the price at 86% of the all-time range high is a textbook overbought condition. The intraday shift in the 1-hour window — where sells now exceed buys — reinforces that momentum is exhausting. Without a pullback and consolidation, the risk of a sharp reversion toward the range low ($0.00004204) is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy 55.1%Sell 44.9%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

The 4-hour window recorded 904 total transactions, while the 1-hour window recorded 495 — if the 1-hour rate were sustained, it would imply roughly 1,980 transactions per 4 hours, but the actual 4-hour figure is lower, suggesting volume peaked earlier in the day and is now declining. Decreasing volume into a price near its all-time high is a bearish divergence.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic launch pump: price moved from a 2-day low of $0.00004204 to a high of $0.0007613, with the current price of $0.0006631 sitting 13% below the intraday high — suggesting the peak may already be in.

Parabolic moves in newly launched, unverified micro-cap tokens with insider pre-allocations historically resolve with 70-95% drawdowns as early holders distribute into retail demand. The 13% pullback from the high within the first trading day is an early warning sign.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders699
24h Change+699
Growth Rate+100%

The entire holder base of 699 wallets was established within the token's 11-hour existence, so the 100% growth figure is simply the launch cohort. There is no pre-existing holder trajectory to assess trend quality. The mix of 445 swap-acquired and 254 transfer-acquired holders is the more meaningful signal, with the high transfer ratio suggesting coordinated pre-distribution.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders56%
Top 100 Holders81%
Retail Holders19.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 holds 56% of supply, 30.66% sits in a burn address (non-dumpable) and 10% is in a PinkSale protocol contract (non-dumpable). Stripping these out, the genuine dumpable supply is 43.9%, held across individual whale wallets. This is a high concentration risk: a coordinated exit by the top individual holders could collapse the price against $71K in liquidity.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent swap was a $722 SELL by 0xdc9ebc…, followed by a $358 BUY and $322 BUY. All notable trades are small relative to the $71K liquidity pool, indicating no single large whale has yet executed a major exit via the open market.

  • SELL $722 by 0xdc9ebc… — the largest single swap recorded, a sell-side move
  • BUY $358 by 0x443117… and BUY $322 by 0xa34261… — the two largest buy-side swaps, both modest in size

Whale wallets holding 3.00% and 1.92% of supply received their positions via transfer and have not executed any indexed DEX swaps, meaning they are currently holding — but their acquisition method (transfer, not market buy) means they have zero cost basis from open-market purchases, making any sale price pure profit and lowering their incentive to hold long-term.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

All six tracked active traders (0x5789bc…, 0x14b5e5…, 0xcff159…, 0xb5abfe…, 0x8d063c…, 0x21088f…) have each realized exactly -$24 (-23%) across 3 trades. The uniformity of these losses across six wallets is statistically anomalous and may indicate these are coordinated wash-trade or bot wallets rather than independent smart money.

There is no profitable smart money signal on this token. The most active traders are all underwater by identical amounts, which is a red flag suggesting possible artificial trading activity rather than genuine price discovery. Smart money confidence is low.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$71,012.03
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With $71K in liquidity against a $663K market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 10.7%. This is shallow: a coordinated sell of even 5-10% of the dumpable supply (~$33K-$66K) would cause severe slippage and could drain a significant portion of the pool. Traders attempting to exit large positions will face substantial price impact.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 1,469% 24-hour price move on an 11-hour-old token with only 2 daily candles of history represents extreme volatility. The price range from $0.00004204 to $0.0007613 — an 18x spread — in under 2 days illustrates the magnitude of potential drawdowns.

Liquidity
High

$71K in total liquidity against a $663K market cap means the pool can be significantly impacted by moderate-sized sells. Any exit by a holder with even 1-2% of supply could cause 10-20%+ slippage depending on pool depth.

Concentration
High

43.9% of supply is held by individual whales with zero or negligible cost basis (acquired via transfer at genesis). A coordinated or sequential exit by these wallets would overwhelm the $71K liquidity pool.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (security score 56/100), meaning hidden functions such as mint, pause, or blacklist cannot be excluded. This is the single highest-severity risk factor for any token.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain micro-cap with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or use case, the token faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. No specific regulatory red flags beyond the general environment are identifiable.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, and multiple insiders holding large zero-cost-basis positions create a high-probability scenario for a coordinated exit
  • Liquidity drain: with only $71K in the pool, a sell of $30K-$50K (achievable by any top-5 individual whale) would cause catastrophic slippage and potentially drain the pool
  • Wash trading signal: the identical -$24 / -23% / 3-trade loss profile across all six tracked active wallets is statistically improbable and suggests artificial volume inflation, which could evaporate suddenly

Mitigating Factors

  • 30.66% of supply is permanently burned, reducing the maximum possible dump volume
  • The deployer wallet is 725 days old rather than freshly created, providing marginal evidence against a purely disposable throwaway account

Investor Suitability

This token is unsuitable for the vast majority of investors. Only highly experienced DeFi traders with a strict maximum-loss tolerance, deep understanding of launch-pump dynamics, and the ability to monitor positions in real time should consider any exposure — and only with amounts they can afford to lose entirely.

都踏马得来 is a high-risk speculative micro-cap with no verified fundamentals, an unverified contract, and strong indicators of insider pre-allocation. The investment thesis is almost entirely momentum-driven, with the bear case substantially outweighing the bull case given the token's age, structure, and on-chain forensics.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Viral social media attention — particularly on Chinese-language platforms given the token name — drives a second wave of retail inflows, pushing the price toward or above the $0.0007613 all-time high. The 30.66% burn reduces sell pressure enough that the remaining float appreciates further.

  • +Unexpected viral spread on Chinese social media platforms driving new retail demand
  • +Deployer or affiliated team announcing a credible project or use case that attracts sustained buying
Base Case

The initial launch pump exhausts retail buying interest within 24-72 hours. Price consolidates briefly before declining 60-85% as early transfer recipients gradually distribute. The token joins the long tail of abandoned BNB Chain micro-caps with no ongoing development.

  • No new fundamental catalyst or viral event emerges to sustain demand beyond the launch window
  • Insider wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated exit, resulting in a slow bleed rather than an instant collapse
Bear Case
High

Insider whale wallets (holding 43.9% dumpable supply at zero cost basis) begin distributing into the remaining retail demand, collapsing the price toward the range low of $0.00004204 — a potential 94% drawdown from current levels. The unverified contract may also be exploited or abandoned.

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider wallets executing transfers to exchanges or direct pool sells as retail momentum fades
  • -Unverified contract containing a hidden function (mint, rug, or blacklist) that is triggered by the deployer

Analysis Details

GeneratedJun 26, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000663067198974129
Market Cap$663.1K
24h Volume$254.9K
Holders699
Liquidity$71.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)
Smart contract security assessment
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Smart money realized PnL tracking
Daily OHLC price history (2-day window)

Limitations

  • Only 2 daily OHLC candles exist, making all technical trend analysis statistically unreliable — no 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data is available
  • The token's name, symbol, and description fields are controlled by the deployer and treated as untrusted data; no independent verification of any project claims is possible
  • The identical loss profile across all six tracked smart money wallets is anomalous and may indicate data artifacts or wash trading, limiting the reliability of smart money signals

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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