幸运蝴蝶

蝴蝶首发王炸机制 Price Today & AI Analysis

幸运蝴蝶BNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 20, 2026

Price

$0.047878

+59.73% 24h

Contract

Live
0x20b178e02f05beafc4e613c95aa476635a217777

Holders

477

Market cap

$78.12K

Liquidity

$13.68K

At a $1M market cap, $幸运蝴蝶 would be $0.001008 (12.8x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is 幸运蝴蝶 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 20

Watch insiders

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, but wallets from the launch still hold 11% of the supply.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through, minus a 3% tax

Buy tax

3%

Sell tax

3%

Launch wallets hold

11%13 snipers, 18 bundlers still holding

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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蝴蝶首发王炸机制: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-20 10:30 UTC

Holder addresses

436

Top 10 supply share

18.35%

Reported liquidity

$11,239.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶首发王炸机制 ownership?
As of 2026-10-20 10:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 18.35% of supply. It reports 436 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶首发王炸机制?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-20 10:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $41,981.00 in buys and $42,417.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶首发王炸机制 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -0.07%, from $11,278.35 (2026-10-20 09:00 UTC) to $11,270.70 (2026-10-20 10:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-20 10:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-20 09:00 UTC$11,278.35
2026-10-20 10:00 UTC$11,270.70

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$52.93K

24h Volume

$84.40K

Liquidity

$11.24K

FDV

—

Holders

436

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

蝴蝶首发王炸机制 (幸运蝴蝶) is a 1 hours old token trading on PancakeSwap (BNB Chain) at about $0.0000533 with a market cap of $52,932 and $11,239 in liquidity. Its project description is image-only and it has no category data. Unhosted's scam check returns NEUTRAL (0/100) with a successful test sell and 3% taxes, but this is a warning signal rather than a safety guarantee. Early trading is active, but price is falling over the last hour.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely new launch (1 hours old) with no price history
  • Active early participation: 436 holders and 455 unique buyers in 24h
  • Launch wallets still hold sizeable supply: snipers 8.58%, bundlers 10.34%

蝴蝶首发王炸机制 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token is only 1 hours old, so no daily OHLC history exists and any trend call rests on intraday data. Price has slipped -13.97% over 1 hour and -7.45% over 5 minutes, which outweighs the +8.13% 4h/24h figure (identical because the token is new). Selling momentum is accelerating at the latest readings.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Brand-new, uncategorized micro-cap tokens with $11,239 in liquidity and no project description beyond an image tend to lose activity once initial launch interest fades. Launch-wallet holdings (snipers 8.58%, bundlers 10.34%) add overhang. With no multi-week price history, this is a low-conviction call.

Bullish Factors

  • Buyers outnumber sellers on activity: 455 unique buyers vs 299 unique sellers and 1,257 buys vs 762 sells in 24h
  • The Unhosted test trade shows the token is sellable, with 3% buy and 3% sell tax

Bearish Factors

  • Price fell -13.97% in the last hour and -7.45% in 5 minutes, showing fading momentum
  • Sell volume ($42,417) slightly exceeds buy volume ($41,981) despite more buy transactions, so average sells are larger than average buys
  • Snipers hold 8.58% and bundlers 10.34% of supply, a combined ~18.9% that could be sold into thin liquidity
  • Liquidity of $11,239 against a $52,932 market cap is shallow

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

幸运蝴蝶 call history

Full track record →

Oct 20bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x20b1...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Very thin liquidity ($11,239) can cause heavy slippage and make exits difficult
  • Launch wallets (snipers 8.58%, bundlers 10.34%) could sell into the thin market
  • No price history, so trends and support levels are unestablished
  • Deployer, genesis and per-wallet holder data are unavailable, so insider risk cannot be ruled out

Trading Insight

bearish

Volume is balanced (49.7% buy / 50.3% sell) but the last hour shows a sharp pullback of -13.97%. Transaction counts favor buys, yet dollar volume does not, suggesting larger sellers are active.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Intraday readings turned negative with -13.97% over 1 hour and -7.45% over 5 minutes. No daily history exists, so the medium-term trend cannot be established and is marked sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

No RSI or similar indicators can be computed without OHLC data. The +8.13% 24h gain is overshadowed by sharp negative 1h and 5m moves, indicating weakening momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy

49.7%

Sell

50.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume is nearly evenly split ($41,981 buy vs $42,417 sell). About half of all 24h transactions came in the last hour, but without prior periods, a trend cannot be confirmed.

Recent Price Action

Initial launch gain followed by a pullback of nearly 14% within the last hour.

Early retracements are common for new launches as initial buyers take profit, but a 1-hour-old token has too little history to read this as a reliable pattern.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price moved -13.97% in one hour and -7.45% in five minutes for a token only 1 hours old.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Only $11,239 in liquidity against a $52,932 market cap makes exits costly and price easily moved.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders own 18.3%, while snipers (8.58%) and bundlers (10.34%) add launch-wallet overhang; individual holders are unclassified.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Uncategorized speculative token with unclear purpose; a name referencing a lucky mechanism may attract scrutiny in some jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Very thin liquidity ($11,239) can cause heavy slippage and make exits difficult
  • Launch wallets (snipers 8.58%, bundlers 10.34%) could sell into the thin market
  • No price history, so trends and support levels are unestablished
  • Deployer, genesis and per-wallet holder data are unavailable, so insider risk cannot be ruled out
  • 3% buy and sell taxes add friction

Mitigating Factors

  • Test sell succeeded and the scam check showed no flagged reasons
  • Top 10 holders hold only 18.3% in aggregate
  • 436 holders and balanced buy/sell volume show active two-way trading

Investor Suitability

Only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss and understand launch-phase token dynamics. Not suitable for conservative investors.

This is a 1-hour-old micro-cap with active early trading but shallow liquidity, a fading short-term price, and no verifiable fundamentals. The thesis is purely speculative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Organic buying continues, liquidity grows, and launch-wallet holders hold, allowing the price to extend beyond the initial launch gain.

  • Growing liquidity and sustained unique buyers
  • Launch wallets not distributing

Base Case

Volatile, gradually declining trading as launch activity cools, with sharp swings in both directions.

  • No identifiable catalysts beyond social channels
  • Liquidity stays low relative to market cap

Bear Case

High probability

Launch interest fades, sniper and bundler wallets sell into thin liquidity, and price declines sharply.

  • Negative 1h and 5m momentum continuing
  • Shallow $11,239 liquidity amplifying sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-20 10:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000533333362778

Market Cap

$52.9K

24h Volume

$84.4K

Holders

436

Liquidity

$11,239.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment, a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • No OHLC price history exists for this 1-hour-old token, so no key levels were computed
  • Deployer, launch-allocation and per-wallet holder data were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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