superOETHb

Super OETH Price Today & AI Analysis

superOETHbBaseAnalysis as of Aug 6, 2026

Price

$2,570.97

-2.48% 24h

Contract

Live
0xdbfefd2e8460a6ee4955a68582f85708baea60a3

Chain

Base

Holders

19.4K

Market cap

$37.03M

Liquidity

$3.54M

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Super OETH: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-06 11:15 UTC

Holder addresses

19,354

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$12,624,535.34
How concentrated is Super OETH ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 19,354 addresses (2026-08-06 11:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Super OETH?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Super OETH liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-06 11:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $12,624,535.34. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-06 11:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 6, 2026, 11:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$28.38M

24h Volume

$1.10M

Liquidity

$12.62M

FDV

—

Holders

19,354

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bearish

Super OETH (superOETHb) is a 24.2-month-old liquid staking token deployed on Base by Origin Protocol, designed to layer L2 incentive yield on top of standard ETH staking returns to deliver above-market APYs. At a current price of $1,900.22 and a market cap of $28.4M, it occupies a niche within the DeFi/LST sector with $12.6M in liquidity — a notably healthy liquidity-to-market-cap ratio. The 30-day trend of +7.3% is constructive, though the 7-day pullback of -1.0% and heavily skewed sell pressure (63.9%) suggest near-term consolidation. Holder concentration is high on paper (88% in top 10), but the majority is held in protocol and exchange contracts; genuine dumpable supply from individual whales stands at 37.2%, which warrants monitoring.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 6, 2026, 11:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • First 'supercharged' LST on Base that stacks L2 incentive yield on top of OETH's existing ETH staking yield
  • Exceptionally deep liquidity relative to market cap (~44%), reducing slippage and supporting price stability for a token of this size
  • Backed by Origin Protocol's established DeFi infrastructure, with a verified contract and a 76/100 security score

Super OETH AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The 7-day trend is -1.0% and the most recent daily closes show a pullback from the $1,960 peak toward the $1,867–$1,900 range, with the current price sitting just above immediate support at $1,897.79. The 24-hour sell pressure of 63.9% and a sell-to-buy volume ratio of roughly 1.77:1 reinforce near-term downside bias. A breach of $1,897.79 would expose the next meaningful cluster around the mid-range, with major support far below at $1,509.74.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day trend of +7.3% is the dominant multi-window signal, with price sitting at 83% of its 60-day range ($1,509.74–$1,977.55), indicating sustained upward momentum over the medium term. The token's yield-bearing LST mechanics on Base provide a structural demand driver as long as L2 incentive programs remain active. A reclaim of the $1,915.28 immediate resistance and a push toward the $1,977.55 major resistance would confirm continuation of the 30-day uptrend.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price appreciation of +7.3% establishes a clear medium-term uptrend, with price at 83% of the 60-day range high
  • Deep liquidity pool of $12.6M relative to a $28.4M market cap (~44% liquidity-to-mcap ratio) supports price stability and reduces slippage risk
  • Supercharged LST design on Base captures L2 incentive yield on top of standard ETH staking returns, creating a structural demand driver beyond speculative interest
  • 19,354 total holders with 30-day net growth of +37 holders indicates a slowly expanding, organic user base

Bearish Factors

  • 7-day trend of -1.0% combined with a sell-to-buy volume ratio of 1.77:1 ($700K sells vs. $395K buys) signals near-term distribution pressure
  • Only 8 unique buyers in the last 24 hours and 1 unique buyer in the last 4 hours reveals extremely thin demand-side participation
  • Six of the largest recent on-chain swaps are all sub-$402 sells by a single wallet (0xd0d088), indicating the most active trader is a net seller
  • 37.2% of supply is held by dumpable individual whale wallets, with the largest (0xa5ca4d at 18.84%) showing zero realized PnL across 4 trades — position intent is unclear

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

superOETHb call history

Full track record →

Aug 6bearish
24h-0.1%
7d-0.3%
30d+28.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xdbfe...60a3
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Whale concentration risk: three individual wallets hold 29.31% of dumpable supply with unclear acquisition cost basis — a coordinated or single-wallet exit could move price significantly on a $28.4M market cap token
  • L2 incentive dependency: the 'supercharged' yield advantage is contingent on Base's incentive programs remaining active and competitive; a reduction in Base incentives would erode the core value proposition and likely trigger depositor outflows
  • Thin buyer base: only 8 unique buyers in 24 hours and 1 in the last 4 hours indicates fragile demand-side liquidity — any sustained selling pressure from whales could overwhelm available buyers

Trading Insight

bearish

Current market sentiment is moderately bearish, driven by a 63.9% sell pressure ratio and sell volume ($700K) nearly doubling buy volume ($395K) over the past 24 hours. Participation is extremely thin — only 8 unique buyers and 22 unique sellers transacted in 24 hours — suggesting this is not broad-based selling but rather a small number of wallets reducing exposure.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The short-term trend is a mild downtrend: the 7-day return is -1.0% and recent daily closes have pulled back from the $1,960 peak to the $1,867–$1,900 range. The medium-term trend remains an uptrend, anchored by the 30-day gain of +7.3% and the price sitting at 83% of the 60-day range, well above the $1,509.74 period low. The divergence between the 7-day and 30-day signals suggests a healthy consolidation within a broader uptrend rather than a trend reversal.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.1% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for an LST, reflecting the token's ETH-correlated nature. Price has oscillated between $1,845 and $1,960 over the recent 14-day close sequence without a decisive directional break, placing momentum in neutral territory — neither overbought near the $1,977.55 major resistance nor oversold near the $1,509.74 major support.

Volume Analysis

Buy

36.1%

Sell

63.9%

Volume Trend

Stable

24-hour volume of approximately $1.1M ($395K buys + $700K sells) is modest relative to the $12.6M liquidity pool (~8.7% daily turnover), suggesting the token is not experiencing unusual volume spikes. The sell-heavy skew (63.9%) is the primary concern, but the bot-dominated 4-hour window (2 unique wallets, 153 transactions) inflates transaction counts without reflecting genuine market breadth.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes trace a peak-and-pullback pattern: a run from $1,858 to $1,960, followed by a retracement to $1,845, and a partial recovery to the current $1,900. Price is now consolidating just above the immediate support of $1,897.79 and below the immediate resistance of $1,915.28 — a tight $17.49 range.

This tight consolidation between $1,897.79 and $1,915.28 after a failed attempt to hold above $1,960 is a classic post-peak compression. A break above $1,915.28 would signal renewed buying interest toward the $1,977.55 major resistance; a break below $1,897.79 would open a deeper retracement with no computed intermediate support before $1,509.74.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1,897.79

Major support

$1,509.74

Immediate resistance

$1,915.28

Major resistance

$1,977.55

The $17.49 gap between immediate support ($1,897.79) and immediate resistance ($1,915.28) reflects the tight consolidation zone the token is currently trading in. A confirmed close above $1,915.28 targets the 60-day high at $1,977.55. The major support at $1,509.74 — the 60-day period low — is 20.5% below current price, underscoring that a breakdown would be severe; there are no computed intermediate swing lows to cushion a fall.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

38/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily return volatility of 3.1% is moderate. For an ETH-correlated LST, this is higher than expected for a pure staking token, reflecting the additional price discovery layer from L2 incentive yield variability. The 60-day range of $1,509.74–$1,977.55 represents a 31% spread, confirming meaningful price risk despite the yield-bearing nature.

  • LiquidityLow

    With $12.6M in liquidity against a $28.4M market cap (~44% ratio), liquidity depth is exceptional for a token of this size. Even large position exits would face minimal slippage, and the risk of a liquidity-driven price collapse is low under normal market conditions.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    LSTs that accrue yield may face regulatory scrutiny as securities in certain jurisdictions, particularly following ongoing SEC actions against staking products. Origin Protocol's DeFi positioning does not fully insulate superOETHb from this risk.

Key Risks

  • Whale concentration risk: three individual wallets hold 29.31% of dumpable supply with unclear acquisition cost basis — a coordinated or single-wallet exit could move price significantly on a $28.4M market cap token
  • L2 incentive dependency: the 'supercharged' yield advantage is contingent on Base's incentive programs remaining active and competitive; a reduction in Base incentives would erode the core value proposition and likely trigger depositor outflows
  • Thin buyer base: only 8 unique buyers in 24 hours and 1 in the last 4 hours indicates fragile demand-side liquidity — any sustained selling pressure from whales could overwhelm available buyers

Mitigating Factors

  • Deep liquidity pool of $12.6M (~44% of market cap) provides a structural buffer against price manipulation and large-exit slippage
  • Origin Protocol's established DeFi track record (OUSD, OETH) and verified contract reduce the probability of an outright rug or protocol failure

Investor Suitability

Best suited for ETH-native DeFi investors who understand LST mechanics, are comfortable with Base L2 smart contract risk, and are seeking yield-enhanced ETH exposure rather than speculative upside. Not suitable for investors unfamiliar with DeFi protocols, those requiring high liquidity for large positions, or those with low risk tolerance for smart contract exploits.

Super OETH presents a yield-enhanced ETH holding strategy for Base-native DeFi participants, with a constructive 30-day trend (+7.3%) and deep liquidity supporting the medium-term bull case. The primary risks are L2 incentive sustainability and latent whale concentration, which cap the upside probability and require ongoing monitoring.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Base L2 incentive programs expand or are renewed, driving higher APYs that attract new depositors and grow the 19,354 holder base meaningfully. ETH price appreciation lifts the LST floor, and the 30-day uptrend extends toward and beyond the $1,977.55 major resistance. Origin Protocol expands superOETHb to additional L2s as described in the project roadmap, broadening the addressable market.

  • Sustained or expanded Base L2 incentive programs maintaining above-market APY
  • Broader ETH bull market lifting LST valuations and increasing yield-seeking capital inflows

Base Case

SuperOETHb continues to trade in the $1,845–$1,977 range established over the past 60 days, with the 30-day uptrend gradually moderating as L2 incentives stabilize. Holder count grows slowly (+0.19%/month), and the token maintains its position as a niche but functional yield-bearing LST on Base without a major catalyst in either direction.

  • Base L2 incentive programs remain active at current levels without significant expansion or reduction
  • No major smart contract exploit or protocol failure in the OETH/superOETHb stack

Bear Case

Medium probability

Base reduces L2 incentives, compressing superOETHb's yield advantage over standard LSTs like stETH. One or more of the large individual whale wallets (combined 29.31% dumpable supply) begins distributing into the thin buyer base (8 unique buyers/day), causing a price breakdown below the $1,897.79 immediate support and potentially testing the $1,509.74 major support — a 20.5% drawdown from current levels.

  • Reduction or elimination of Base L2 incentive programs eroding the yield premium
  • Large whale wallet exit into a thin buyer market causing cascading price decline

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 6, 2026, 11:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-06 11:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1900.218907356968657041

Market Cap

$28.38M

24h Volume

$1.10M

Holders

19,354

Liquidity

$12,624,535.34

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, contract 0xdbfefd2e8460a6ee4955a68582f85708baea60a3)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)60-day daily OHLC price history with computed swing high/low key levelsWhale wallet behavioral forensics (realized PnL, acquisition method, first-active date)Notable recent on-chain swap dataToken fundamentals and security assessment (contract verification, security score)

Limitations

  • Smart-money (profitable-trader cohort) data is unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital positioning
  • 90-day price history is unavailable, limiting the ability to assess the full medium-term trend context
  • Whale wallet cost basis for the two largest individual holders (0xa5ca4d, 0x3ea228) cannot be determined from available data — both show $0 realized PnL and $0 average buy price, suggesting transfer-based acquisition with no on-chain swap history
  • No social or community metrics are available, preventing sentiment analysis beyond on-chain signals

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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