OVPP

OpenVPP Price Today & AI Analysis

OVPPBaseAnalysis as of Jul 2, 2026

Price

$0.001876

-4.81% 24h

Contract

Live
0x8c0d3adcf8ce094e1ae437557ec90a6374dc9bdd

Chain

Base

Holders

8.7K

Market cap

$1.53M

Liquidity

$162.94K

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OpenVPP: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-02 15:01 UTC

Holder addresses

4,701

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$426,847.22
How concentrated is OpenVPP ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 4,701 addresses (2026-07-02 15:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling OpenVPP?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is OpenVPP liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-02 15:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $426,847.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-02 15:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 2, 2026, 03:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$4.08M

24h Volume

$239.95K

Liquidity

$426.85K

FDV

—

Holders

4,701

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

OpenVPP (OVPP) is a 6-month-old DePIN utility token on Base (chain 0x2105) positioning itself as infrastructure for a decentralized global electric grid, trading at $0.005015 with a market cap of approximately $4.08M. The token has experienced a severe 30-day price decline of -17.3% and a simultaneous collapse in its holder base from 7,392 to 4,701 over 31 days, signalling broad investor disengagement. Concentration risk is structurally low despite 40% of supply in the top 10, as the majority of those positions are protocol contracts and an exchange wallet rather than dumpable individual whales. The project retains meaningful liquidity (~$427K) and a reasonable security score (82/100), but must demonstrate real-world DePIN traction to reverse the prevailing bearish trend.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 2, 2026, 03:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • DePIN positioning targeting the decentralized energy grid sector — a niche with genuine long-term infrastructure demand but very early-stage adoption
  • Low genuine dump risk: only 9.4% of supply is held by wallets capable of selling into the market, despite superficially high top-10 concentration
  • Deployed on Base (Aerodrome DEX) with $427K liquidity, providing above-average depth for a sub-$5M market cap token

OpenVPP AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Despite a 21.6% single-day price spike, the 7-day trend is -7.6% and the 30-day trend is -17.3%, confirming a persistent downtrend. The current price of $0.005015 sits at only 6% of the 76-day trading range ($0.003838–$0.02209), indicating the token remains deeply depressed relative to its historical highs. The 4-hour sell transaction count (561) significantly outpacing buys (379) reinforces near-term distribution pressure.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day holder trajectory shows a net loss of 2,691 holders (from 7,392 to 4,701), a -36% contraction in the holder base that signals sustained disengagement rather than a temporary dip. With the price sitting at 6% of its historical range and no 90-day OHLC data available to confirm a longer-term floor, the medium-term path of least resistance remains downward unless fundamental catalysts materialize. A recovery toward the major resistance at $0.02209 would require a near 4.4x move from current levels, which is unlikely without a significant shift in adoption metrics.

Bullish Factors

  • The 24-hour buy volume ($126,842) exceeds sell volume ($113,113), producing a 52.9% buy pressure ratio and a net inflow of ~$13,729 — the first sign of demand absorption after a prolonged decline.
  • Dumpable supply is only 9.4% of total tokens: the top 10 holders are dominated by protocol/contract addresses and a labelled MEXC exchange wallet, meaning the concentrated top-10 (40%) does not translate into genuine dump risk.
  • Liquidity of $426,847 is substantial relative to the $4.08M market cap (~10.5% liquidity-to-mcap ratio), providing meaningful depth for a token of this size.
  • Security score of 82/100 with a verified contract reduces smart-contract exploit risk and signals a degree of technical diligence.

Bearish Factors

  • The 31-day holder timeseries shows a net loss of 2,691 holders (-36%), a structural exodus that reflects declining conviction across the investor base.
  • Price sits at just 6% of the 76-day range ($0.003838–$0.02209), meaning the token has surrendered 94% of its range from peak — a hallmark of a token in a deep downtrend, not a consolidation.
  • The 7-day return is -7.6% and the 30-day return is -17.3%, confirming multi-timeframe bearish momentum that a single-day bounce has not reversed.
  • The top whale holding 1.00% of supply (wallet 0x01932b…) received its position via transfer or airdrop — not a market buy — and the wallet was first active on 2026-04-16, suggesting a relatively recent insider-style allocation with no demonstrated market conviction.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

OVPP call history

Full track record →

Jul 2bearish
24h+3.1%
7d-12.6%
30d-50.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x8c0d...9bdd
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Structural holder exodus: the loss of 2,691 holders (-36%) in 31 days is the single largest risk signal — it indicates the project has not retained its initial user base and may struggle to attract new participants without a demonstrable product milestone
  • Price sitting at 6% of its 76-day range with a -17.3% 30-day return: the token is in a confirmed multi-week downtrend with no technical evidence of a base formation, and the current bounce may be a relief rally rather than a reversal
  • Transfer/airdrop-heavy acquisition profile: with 6,496 holders receiving tokens via transfer and 367 via airdrop, a large portion of the holder base holds tokens at near-zero cost basis, creating persistent latent sell pressure that can suppress any price recovery

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour trading window shows a marginal net-buy bias (52.9% buy pressure, $13,729 net inflow) across 2,537 total transactions, but the 4-hour and 1-hour windows tell a different story: sell transactions are running at roughly 1.5x buy transactions in both shorter windows, suggesting the daily inflow is fading. The broad participation — 603 unique buyers and 578 unique sellers over 24 hours — indicates distributed retail activity rather than a single actor driving the day's 21.6% move.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14-day daily close sequence ($0.006813 → $0.005015) shows a clear staircase of lower closes, with only minor bounces before resuming the decline. Both the 7-day (-7.6%) and 30-day (-17.3%) returns confirm the downtrend across timeframes. The current price at 6% of the 76-day range ($0.003838–$0.02209) underscores how far the token has fallen from its historical peak, with no technical evidence of a base formation yet.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With the price sitting at 6% of its 76-day range and a sequence of 10 consecutive lower daily closes before the most recent two-day bounce, momentum indicators would register deeply oversold conditions. The 8.0% daily volatility (standard deviation of daily returns) means sharp relief rallies — like today's 21.6% move — are statistically normal within a downtrend and do not by themselves signal a reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.9%

Sell

47.1%

Volume Trend

Stable

The 24-hour volume of ~$240K represents roughly 5.9% of market cap, which is healthy turnover for a token of this size and suggests genuine market participation. However, the intraday shift — sell transactions dominating the 4-hour (561 vs. 379) and 1-hour (381 vs. 263) windows — indicates the buying impulse that drove the daily spike is fading, and volume is rotating toward distribution.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a prolonged decline from $0.006813 to a trough of $0.003958, followed by a two-day recovery to $0.005015. This is a classic oversold bounce pattern: a sharp relief rally after an extended sell-off, occurring within an established downtrend.

Oversold bounces within downtrends frequently retrace 38–50% of the prior decline before resuming lower. The immediate resistance at $0.005420 (the prior swing high in the recent close sequence) is the first meaningful test of whether this bounce has legs or is simply a dead-cat recovery.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.004713

Major support

$0.003838

Immediate resistance

$0.005420

Major resistance

$0.02209

The immediate support at $0.004713 represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is the first line of defense if the current bounce fails; a break below it would likely accelerate toward the major support at $0.003838, which is the 76-day range low. On the upside, the immediate resistance at $0.005420 aligns with a recent daily close high and is the key level bulls must reclaim on a closing basis to signal any trend shift. The major resistance at $0.02209 — the 76-day range high — is 4.4x above current price and represents a long-term recovery target that would require a fundamental re-rating of the project.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 8.0% (standard deviation) is high by any measure, implying a roughly 16% two-standard-deviation daily move is statistically plausible. The 76-day range spans $0.003838 to $0.02209 — a 5.75x spread — confirming extreme price swings are a feature of this token's trading history.

  • LiquidityMedium

    The $426,847 liquidity pool on Aerodrome provides a 10.5% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio, which is adequate for retail-sized trades. However, the largest recent swaps were sub-$1,000, suggesting that orders above $5,000–$10,000 would incur meaningful slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a DePIN utility token operating in the energy infrastructure sector, OVPP may face regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify utility tokens as securities or that regulate energy market participants. The global nature of the 'Internet of Energy' thesis increases cross-jurisdictional regulatory exposure.

Key Risks

  • Structural holder exodus: the loss of 2,691 holders (-36%) in 31 days is the single largest risk signal — it indicates the project has not retained its initial user base and may struggle to attract new participants without a demonstrable product milestone
  • Price sitting at 6% of its 76-day range with a -17.3% 30-day return: the token is in a confirmed multi-week downtrend with no technical evidence of a base formation, and the current bounce may be a relief rally rather than a reversal
  • Transfer/airdrop-heavy acquisition profile: with 6,496 holders receiving tokens via transfer and 367 via airdrop, a large portion of the holder base holds tokens at near-zero cost basis, creating persistent latent sell pressure that can suppress any price recovery

Mitigating Factors

  • Low genuine dump risk (9.4% dumpable supply) means the concentrated top-10 holdings are structurally locked in protocol contracts and an exchange wallet, reducing the probability of a coordinated large-holder sell-off
  • 100% circulating supply eliminates future token unlock events as a source of dilution pressure, and the verified contract with an 82/100 security score reduces the probability of a technical exploit

Investor Suitability

OVPP is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with a long-term thesis on DePIN energy infrastructure who can withstand 8%+ daily volatility and the possibility of further significant drawdowns. It is not appropriate for capital preservation strategies or investors without a high tolerance for illiquidity at larger position sizes.

OpenVPP is a speculative DePIN bet on decentralized energy grid infrastructure, currently trading deep in a downtrend with a shrinking holder base. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether the project can demonstrate real-world network growth that converts the 'Internet of Energy' narrative into verifiable on-chain utility demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The DePIN energy sector gains mainstream traction, and OpenVPP announces verifiable device integrations or energy grid partnerships that drive genuine utility demand for OVPP. The holder exodus stabilizes and reverses, buy pressure sustains above 55%, and the price reclaims the immediate resistance at $0.005420 before targeting the $0.02209 historical high over a 90-day horizon.

  • Demonstrable DePIN network growth with publicly verifiable energy device onboarding metrics
  • Sustained reversal of the holder trajectory, with weekly holder growth exceeding 2% for multiple consecutive weeks

Base Case

OVPP consolidates in the $0.003838–$0.005420 range over the next 30–60 days as the holder base stabilizes at a lower level. Price action remains choppy with high daily volatility (8%), and the token trades as a speculative DePIN option awaiting a product catalyst.

  • The major support at $0.003838 holds as a floor, preventing a complete collapse of the price structure
  • No major product announcement or partnership materializes in the near term to catalyze a directional breakout

Bear Case

High probability

The holder exodus continues, the current oversold bounce fails at the immediate resistance of $0.005420, and the price retests the major support at $0.003838. If that level breaks, the token enters price discovery below its 76-day range low with no technical floor, potentially losing 50%+ from current levels.

  • Continued holder attrition as transfer/airdrop recipients exit zero-cost-basis positions into any price strength
  • Failure to demonstrate real-world DePIN traction, leaving the token as a narrative-only asset in a competitive sector

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 2, 2026, 03:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-02 15:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.005014823489732777

Market Cap

$4.08M

24h Volume

$240.0K

Holders

4,701

Liquidity

$426,847.22

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome DEX, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)76-day daily OHLC price history31-day holder trajectory timeseriesWhale wallet forensics and DEX swap historySmart contract security assessmentNotable recent trade data (real on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • No 90-day price history is available, limiting the ability to assess the full trend cycle and identify longer-term support/resistance levels
  • Smart-money (top profitable trader cohort) data is unavailable for OVPP, preventing assessment of early-buyer profit-taking risk or informed accumulation signals
  • The DePIN energy sector is nascent and lacks comparable on-chain benchmarks, making relative valuation and adoption-rate comparisons difficult

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about OVPP?