WARP

Warplet Price Today & AI Analysis

WARPBaseAnalysis as of Sep 3, 2026

Price

$0.067738

+1.29% 24h

Contract

Live
0xd9159ad2d5fe625cd1f54f4d328fb19cb5262b07

Chain

Base

Holders

45.5K

Market cap

$66.92K

Liquidity

$19.21K

At a $1M market cap, $WARP would be $0.041156 (14.9x from today’s price)

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Warplet: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-03 05:02 UTC

Holder addresses

45,512

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$22,442.00
How concentrated is Warplet ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 45,512 addresses (2026-09-03 05:02 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Warplet?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Warplet liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-03 05:02 UTC, reported liquidity was $22,442.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-03 05:02 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 3, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC

Market Cap

$77.42K

24h Volume

$4.27K

Liquidity

$22.44K

FDV

—

Holders

45,512

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

Warplet (WARP) is a Base-chain token approximately 14.5 months old, self-described as the official Farcaster mascot, though this claim is unverifiable from on-chain data alone. With a market cap of $77,425 and only $22,442 in liquidity, it is a micro-cap speculative asset with extremely limited trading depth. The token is currently in a clear short-term downtrend, having fallen 27.2% over 7 days and sitting at just 8% of its 89-day price range. The top 10 holders control 74.5% of supply, and per-wallet holder data is unavailable, making concentration risk difficult to fully assess.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 3, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Claims association with the Farcaster social protocol ecosystem as its official mascot — a narrative-driven value proposition that is entirely dependent on community belief and cannot be verified on-chain
  • Unusually large holder count (45,512) relative to its micro-cap market cap of $77,425, suggesting broad but very shallow distribution
  • 14.5-month token age provides a longer operational history than most micro-cap memecoins, though this has not translated into liquidity depth or price stability

Warplet AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

WARP has declined 27.2% over the past 7 days, with the daily close series showing a consistent staircase lower from $0.000001302 to $0.0000008952 over the last 14 sessions. The current price sits at just 8% of the 89-day range, indicating the token is trading near the lower extreme of its historical band with no technical sign of reversal yet.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day gain of +14.4% is encouraging on paper, but the 7-day trend of -27.2% has already erased a large portion of that move, and the price is now compressing toward the lower end of the range. Without a meaningful catalyst to reverse the selling momentum, the path of least resistance over the next 30–90 days remains downward, with major support at $6.747e-7 as the key level to watch.

Bullish Factors

  • The 30-day return of +14.4% shows the token is capable of meaningful rallies from depressed levels, suggesting speculative demand can re-emerge.
  • With 45,512 total holders and a market cap of only $77,425, even modest inflows could produce outsized percentage moves given the micro-cap size.

Bearish Factors

  • The 7-day decline of -27.2% is a sustained, multi-session downtrend — not a single-day event — with 14 consecutive daily closes trending lower from $0.000001302 to $0.0000008952.
  • Buy pressure stands at only 24% of 24-hour volume ($1,027 buys vs. $3,246 sells), confirming active distribution rather than accumulation.
  • Total liquidity of $22,442 is critically shallow; any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage, amplifying downside moves disproportionately.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

WARP call history

Full track record →

Sep 3bearish
24h+1.5%
7d-7.8%
30d-5.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xd915...2b07
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Exit liquidity failure: with only $22,442 in the liquidity pool, a coordinated exit by even a small number of the top-10 holders (who control 74.5% of supply) could collapse the price to near zero before most holders can exit
  • Unverifiable narrative: the claim of being the 'official Farcaster mascot approved by DWR' is the token's entire value proposition, and if this claim is disputed or disavowed, the speculative premium collapses entirely
  • Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: the 14-session consecutive decline and 76% sell-pressure ratio indicate active distribution; without a clear catalyst, the token may continue drifting toward the major support at $6.747e-7 or below

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is decisively bearish, with sell volume outpacing buy volume by more than 3:1 ($3,246 vs. $1,027) over the past 24 hours. Transaction counts are minimal — only 13 total trades from 13 unique participants — indicating this is a thinly traded token where individual orders can move the price materially.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14-session daily close sequence tells a clear story: price has declined from $0.000001302 to $0.0000008952 with only one minor bounce (session 7 and session 10 each saw brief upticks before resuming lower). The 7-day return of -27.2% confirms the short-term trend is firmly bearish. The medium-term picture is complicated by the +14.4% 30-day return, but given that the 7-day decline has already consumed most of that gain and the price sits at 8% of the 89-day range, the medium-term trend is also resolving downward.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With the price at 8% of the 89-day range and a 14-session consecutive decline, momentum indicators would be deeply oversold by conventional measures. However, in micro-cap tokens with thin liquidity, oversold conditions can persist for extended periods without a reversal, as there is insufficient buy-side capital to absorb even modest selling pressure. The 8.9% daily volatility (standard deviation of returns) means large single-day swings in either direction are normal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24-hour total volume of $4,273 against a $22,442 liquidity pool represents a volume-to-liquidity ratio of roughly 19%, which is low and suggests declining trader interest. The sell-side dominance (76% of volume) has been consistent across the 24-hour and 4-hour windows, indicating this is not a temporary imbalance but a sustained pattern of net outflow.

Recent Price Action

Descending staircase with brief consolidations — the daily close series shows a series of lower lows and lower highs over 14 sessions, with the most recent close at $0.0000008952 representing a new local low within the observable window.

This pattern typically indicates sustained selling pressure with no meaningful demand zone being defended. The absence of any multi-session bounce suggests buyers are not stepping in at current levels with conviction, and the token may continue to drift toward major support at $6.747e-7.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$8.639e-7

Major support

$6.747e-7

Immediate resistance

$9.795e-7

Major resistance

$0.000003538

Immediate support at $8.639e-7 is the nearest OHLC-derived floor; a break below it opens the path to major support at $6.747e-7, the 89-day range low. Immediate resistance at $9.795e-7 corresponds to the most recent prior daily close and is the first level bulls must reclaim to signal any stabilization. Major resistance at $0.000003538 — the 89-day range high — is approximately 295% above current price and represents a full recovery scenario that would require a fundamental shift in demand.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 8.9% (standard deviation) means the token routinely moves nearly 9% per day. The 89-day range spans from $6.747e-7 to $0.000003538 — a 424% spread — confirming extreme price instability. A -27.2% move in 7 days is consistent with this volatility profile.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $22,442 on Uniswap is critically shallow. At this depth, a sell order of even a few thousand dollars would cause severe slippage. The 24-hour volume of $4,273 represents nearly 19% of the liquidity pool, meaning normal daily trading already stresses the available depth.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an uncategorized micro-cap token with a memecoin profile and unverifiable claims about third-party endorsement, WARP faces standard regulatory risks applicable to speculative crypto assets, including potential classification as an unregistered security in certain jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Exit liquidity failure: with only $22,442 in the liquidity pool, a coordinated exit by even a small number of the top-10 holders (who control 74.5% of supply) could collapse the price to near zero before most holders can exit
  • Unverifiable narrative: the claim of being the 'official Farcaster mascot approved by DWR' is the token's entire value proposition, and if this claim is disputed or disavowed, the speculative premium collapses entirely
  • Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: the 14-session consecutive decline and 76% sell-pressure ratio indicate active distribution; without a clear catalyst, the token may continue drifting toward the major support at $6.747e-7 or below

Mitigating Factors

  • At 14.5 months old, the token has demonstrated survival longevity unusual for micro-cap memecoins, suggesting at least a core holder base with conviction
  • Fully circulating supply means no future token unlocks or vesting cliffs can create additional sell pressure beyond what is already in the market

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose their entire investment, can afford to hold illiquid positions, and are allocating only a negligible portion of their portfolio. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking income or capital preservation, or anyone unfamiliar with the mechanics of micro-cap memecoin trading.

WARP is a high-risk speculative bet on the Farcaster ecosystem narrative. The bull case depends entirely on renewed social momentum around that narrative, while the bear case — which the current data supports more strongly — is a continued drift toward the range low driven by thin liquidity and active distribution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Farcaster experiences a significant growth event or DWR publicly acknowledges the WARP token, triggering a speculative inflow into the claimed mascot narrative. Given the micro-cap size, even modest dollar inflows could produce triple-digit percentage gains from current levels.

  • Verified public endorsement from Farcaster leadership that substantiates the mascot claim
  • Broader Base chain memecoin cycle that lifts speculative assets across the ecosystem

Base Case

WARP continues to trade in a low-volume, illiquid range near the bottom of its 89-day band, with occasional speculative spikes driven by social media activity but no sustained trend reversal. The token maintains its holder base but fails to attract new capital at scale.

  • No major Farcaster ecosystem catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels, capping both upside and downside velocity

Bear Case

High probability

The current distribution pattern continues, with larger holders gradually exiting into the thin liquidity. Price breaks below immediate support at $8.639e-7 and tests the major support at $6.747e-7. If that level fails, the token enters price discovery to the downside with no OHLC-derived floor below it.

  • Persistent 76% sell-pressure ratio and 7-day decline of -27.2% with no reversal signal
  • Critically shallow liquidity of $22,442 that cannot absorb meaningful sell orders without severe price impact

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 3, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-03 05:02 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$8.95202259976e-7

Market Cap

$77.4K

24h Volume

$4.3K

Holders

45,512

Liquidity

$22,442.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and acquisition-method data were unavailable for this chain — holder analysis is limited to aggregate count and top-10 concentration only
  • Whale transaction data and smart-money cohort data were unavailable — individual large-holder behavior cannot be observed or characterized
  • Contract security data is not available on this chain's data provider — no audit status, verification status, or security score could be assessed
  • 90-day OHLC history was not fully available, limiting long-term trend context
  • Launch allocation and deployer profile forensics were unavailable — the fairness of the initial distribution and deployer intent cannot be evaluated

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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