R

Refugee Price Today & AI Analysis

RFGBaseAnalysis as of Oct 17, 2026

Price

$0.041604

+37.83% 24h

Contract

Live
0xa5053c346f4759198bd6b64171db1eff4cba6331

Chain

Base

Holders

401.9K

Market cap

$1.55M

Liquidity

$37.90K

At a $10M market cap, $RFG would be $0.000104 (6.46x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is RFG a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 17

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through

Buy tax

0%

Sell tax

0%

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about RFG

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

More tokens on Base

RIPERIPERipe DAO Governance Token$0.4226+8.4%MC $4.30MSKISKISKI MASK DOG$0.002535-4.7%MC $2.54MOOLOPENLOOT$0.006626-5.2%MC $442.7KFLUXFLUXFlux$0.0752-8.9%MC $33.11MOWBOWBOWB$0.008472-4.8%MC $3.11MXDPXDPDoppler$0.0192+2.1%MC $192.05M

Refugee: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-17 03:30 UTC

Holder addresses

401,854

Top 10 supply share

67.29%

Reported liquidity

$37,899.00
How concentrated is Refugee ownership?
As of 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 67.29% of supply. It reports 401,854 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Refugee?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $8,815.00 in buys and $3,034.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Refugee liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +4.09%, from $36,431.61 (2026-10-16 04:00 UTC) to $37,923.04 (2026-10-17 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-16 04:00 UTC$36,431.61
2026-10-16 05:00 UTC$37,248.29
2026-10-16 06:00 UTC$36,491.19
2026-10-16 07:00 UTC$36,400.26
2026-10-16 08:00 UTC$37,104.08
2026-10-16 09:00 UTC$34,020.75
2026-10-16 10:00 UTC$35,383.94
2026-10-16 11:00 UTC$35,484.52
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC$35,363.29
2026-10-16 13:00 UTC$35,087.00
2026-10-16 14:00 UTC$34,795.31
2026-10-16 15:00 UTC$34,661.03
2026-10-16 16:00 UTC$34,539.05
2026-10-16 17:00 UTC$34,871.11
2026-10-16 22:00 UTC$34,982.59
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC$35,288.83
2026-10-17 00:00 UTC$35,265.75
2026-10-17 01:00 UTC$35,752.65
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC$37,631.23
2026-10-17 03:00 UTC$37,923.04

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Movement since report

report from Oct 17, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.55M

24h Volume

$11.85K

Liquidity

$37.90K

FDV

—

Holders

401.9K

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Refugee (RFG) is a Base token trading on Uniswap, 25.9 months old, with a market cap of about $1.55M and 401,854 holders. It has no description, no category and no social links, so its purpose cannot be assessed. Price is up 53.4% over 7 days and 209.8% over 90 days. Unhosted's scam check returned NEUTRAL (0/100) with a successful test sell, but thin liquidity and a heavy top-10 share keep risk elevated.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 17, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Very large holder count (401,854) relative to its small $37,899 liquidity pool
  • Top 10 holders control 67.3% of supply
  • No project description, category or social links available

Refugee AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

RFG has gained 53.4% over 7 days after a base near $0.00001 and now trades at $0.00001604, just under the $0.00001609 immediate resistance. Momentum is strong, but a 10.1% daily volatility and a vertical two-day move make a pullback toward the breakout zone plausible before any continuation.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 90d gain of +209.8% and a price at 70% of the 91-day range keep the broader structure constructive, even though the 30d change is only +1.0% because the token round-tripped lower before the latest surge. The call depends on holding the $0.00001387 breakout area; losing it would put the range base back in play.

Bullish Factors

  • 7d gain of +53.4% and 90d gain of +209.8% show sustained upward trend on the daily chart
  • Price closed at $0.00001604 after rising from $0.00001001 in two sessions, pressing against $0.00001609 resistance
  • 24h buy volume of $8,815 vs $3,034 sell volume, with 40 unique buyers vs 22 unique sellers

Bearish Factors

  • The 30d change is just +1.0%, so most of the gain is a recent spike that could retrace
  • Daily volatility of 10.1% means large swings in both directions
  • Liquidity of only $37,899 against a $1.55M market cap makes the price easy to move and hard to exit at size

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RFG call history

Full track record →

Oct 17bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xa505...6331
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($37,899) can cause heavy slippage and hard exits
  • 67.3% top-10 concentration with no breakdown of wallet types
  • Sharp recent rally (+53.4% in 7d) may reverse; the 30d change is only +1.0%
  • No project information, team or social presence to evaluate

Trading Insight

bullish

Buyers dominate recent flow, with 74.4% of 24h volume on the buy side and 14 unique buyers vs 3 sellers in the last 4 hours. Total daily volume of about $11.8K is small, so the signal comes from a limited number of participants.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Closes moved from about $0.00001 to $0.00001604 in the last two sessions, a clear breakout from a mid-range consolidation. The 90d trend is strongly up, while the flat 30d return shows the move is recent.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +53.4% 7d gain and a +37.8% 24h gain after a consolidation suggest stretched short-term momentum, so a cooling or retest is common after such moves.

Volume Analysis

Buy

74.4%

Sell

25.6%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Recent hourly flows are buyer-led, with 21 buys vs 4 sells over 4 hours, but absolute volume is small and no longer-term volume series is available.

Recent Price Action

Tight range around $0.0000117 for several sessions, a dip to $0.000009582, then two strong up closes ($0.00001389, $0.00001604).

A breakout from a base into resistance often leads to a retest of the breakout level, and failure to hold it would signal a false breakout.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00001387

Major support

$0.000004642

Immediate resistance

$0.00001609

Major resistance

$0.00002090

Price sits right at immediate resistance of $0.00001609, while $0.00001387 marks the prior breakout close. The $0.00002090 high is the 91-day top and $0.000004642 the range low, so the major support is far below current price.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 10.1% and a 37.8% 24h move show large swings.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $37,899 liquidity against a $1.55M market cap means larger trades can move price materially.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    The top 10 holders hold 67.3% of supply; wallet types are unavailable so dump risk cannot be classified.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    An anonymous, uncategorized token with no disclosed project carries general regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($37,899) can cause heavy slippage and hard exits
  • 67.3% top-10 concentration with no breakdown of wallet types
  • Sharp recent rally (+53.4% in 7d) may reverse; the 30d change is only +1.0%
  • No project information, team or social presence to evaluate

Mitigating Factors

  • Clean Unhosted scam check with successful test sell and 0% taxes
  • Token has traded for 25.9 months with a large holder base

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who can afford a total loss and understand thin-liquidity trading.

RFG shows strong price momentum and buyer-led flow, but the thesis rests on price action alone, with no fundamentals, thin liquidity and high concentration.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price clears $0.00001609 and advances toward the $0.00002090 range high as buyers keep leading flow.

  • Sustained buy dominance (74.4% of 24h volume)
  • Breakout holding above $0.00001387

Base Case

Price consolidates between $0.00001387 and $0.00001609 or retests support before attempting another leg higher.

  • Buyer flow continues but cools from current levels
  • Liquidity stays near $38K without major change

Bear Case

Medium probability

The rally fades, price loses $0.00001387 and retraces toward the prior $0.00001 base or lower.

  • Profit-taking after a +53.4% week in thin liquidity
  • Large holders (67.3% top-10) selling into the rally

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 17, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-17 03:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000160358842587

Market Cap

$1.55M

24h Volume

$11.8K

Holders

401,854

Liquidity

$37,899.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment — a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • No smart-money, deployer or launch-allocation data was available
  • No project description or social data was provided

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

New reports on Base

All new tokens →

UUSDPUSDPNeutralSSYCAMOREPaperStrategyNeutralSKHYcSKHYcSK hynix Inc.BearishFFTRFlying Tesla RoadsterBearishPDDcPDDcPDD Holdings Inc.NeutralABXABXAlpha Base IndexBullishPOOPCOINPOOPCOINPoop CoinBearishBBFRGBlue FrogBearish

Questions about RFG?